Get ready for the third year-over-year decline in a row.
I’m filing this from Cleveland, where there’s a lot going on. I’ll keep it brief.
Nobody’s expecting much from the Mac this time around. IDC and Gartner have already filed their estimates:
- IDC: 4.42 million, -8.3% year over year
- Gartner: 4.56 million, -4.9% year over year
The analysts we’ve heard from so far are even more pessimistic.
- Average: 4.35 million, -9.4%
Bottom line: The third year-over-year decline in a row. The Mac can usually be counted on to outgrow the rest of the PC industry, even in a bad quarter. Not this time.
Here’s the bar chart of Mac sales by quarter, highlighting the year over year comparison. The last entry is the average of the analysts I’ve heard from.
And here are the individual analyst’s estimates, with the pros in blue and the indies in green. We’ll find out who was closest to the mark after the markets close on July 26, a week from today.
Thanks as always to Posts at Eventide’s Robert Paul Leitao for pulling together the Braeburn Group numbers.
Links not working? Try the website.