John Konopka on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'There is also the case of pro users running their own models on one or more Mac Studios on-site. Apple skipped the chance to make the M6 Pro, Max or Ultra and is jumping directly to the M7. Considering how much a leap the M6 is I’m really curious to see the M7. I’ve worked most of my life with really slow computers. My first computer back in the day didn’t even have a CPU chip. The CPU was built from 7400 logic DIPs and had iron core doughnut memory. What an amazing run we’ve had.'
on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - 'So my doubling of the Evercore yoy projection is actually considered conservative by John, Gregg, and Bart. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before…. (Smily face)'
on Mooness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'I think the later time spot is more basic than that. Yes, the quarter closed a month ago, but there have been major new developments since then (the out of the ballpark Duo home run being one of them). I think Apple just needed more time to do a thorough analysis, under the circumstances.'
on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - 'Assuming a 3% drop in AAPL shares outstanding to 14.16B shares by end of 2027, if AAPL reaches $454, it would have a market cap of over $6.4 Trilliion. Wonder if NVDA keeps up or the AI bubble begins to deflate going into 2028?'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Very good point, Richard! Well, to be fair, of the ROIs for tech stocks since AAPL came on the scene, NVDA is #1 with a 4,740X ROI, MSFT is #2 with a 4,350X ROI, AMZN is #3 with a 3,280X ROI, and AAPL is #4 with a 3,120X ROI. But Apple is gaining fast. Consider that one more double in valuation puts the AAPL lifetime ROI at over 6,000X.,,.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Well put, Bill! And who else offers a walled garden like Apple’s? (Crickets…) Advantage, Apple.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Agreed, Rodney. However, to see this “trend”, as I just pointed out on another thread, you have to look back in time at least half a year, because over the last 3 months, the trend is flat as a pancake point to point, up a bare 1.6%.'
on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'I think that’s closer to the mark, Bill. Also, the more unified memory you literally buy, the less expensive tokens you will need. Finally, there’s the privacy angle, because privacy is assured by queries being anonymized, whether to a LLM that charges by the token or an open weight model that doesn’t charge per token. And eventually, Apple will have developed its own LLMs, for which it will also sell tokens. But Apple’s LLM won’t be dependent on stealing your personal data.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Here is the timeframe I choose. Since 1926, over half of the total wealth created by the market has come from just 46 companies. And Apple is number 1 by far,. Even in the last decade, where the Mag 7 have skyrocketed, Apple is number 2 behind Nvidia. And the data for that report ended December 2025, so the two are even further ahead of eveyone else.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Looking back a month, AAPL is only up 1.6%. Looking back a quarter, AAPL is up the EXACT SAME 1.6%! What happened a quarter ago? A HUGE overnight selloff following a stellar earnings report that has literally taken three months to recover from. That’s today’s stock market. Well, fine with me, because even though I don’t buy AAPl only sell it, Apple essentially buys it for me, and becomes the ultimate buy and hold investor with the relatively small exception of stock grants and employee discounts.'
on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'My read on his “features will be available for a fee in the future” comment is that Apple users will have access to on-machine AI for free, and that more compute-intensive applications that require access to server-based frontier models will come with a cost. Unless of course users just access frontier models in a limited fashion on-line, as can be done now.'
on Mooness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'I can think of a few more reasons to not have the report on Thursday October 29 for the company. This is a busy time and sometimes you want to have people pay more attention to other things before they look at the earnings report. But Apple can’t avoid some competition even from itself so having the event today (the 28th ) for the new MacBook Pro with touchscreen when the Fed announces an interest rate decision and MSFT and Google report could mean they want more space for the earnings report news from other news. Amazon reports tomorrow the 29th following this idea Apple likely looks at Monday as a better time to deliver the report so people can hear the message with less distractions. Of course it just is because they weren’t ready to keep the old schedule.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'I disagree. Apple is absolutely an AI trade, and it’s my primary AI trade. And my bet that what Apple does best is rapidly extending to AI, as an integrated addition to its products and services. It’s also critical that Apple Intelligence is based in and on the walled garden, especially after this last week of hacks that threaten an open internet and may require integrated security and safety from AI bots wrecking everything (Paul Krugman’s substack article today is about that threat). If I ever decide to use AI in any significant way, it’ll only be through Apple’s hardware, software and security systems and oversight. It’s just not an AI trade for anyone who thinks betting on hyperscaler spending is the only way to approach AI as an investor, a company, or a technological strategy.'
on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'I suspect that Apple will roll some subscriptions into Apple One with a low price incentive due to bundling. This will be for the normal person, who may not pay very much if they do not use a lot of off-device compute. But Apple is building out its own servers that do need to be paid for. And the Pareto Principle suggests that a small number of people will use a lot of total compute (simply 20% of the people use 80% of the compute). So I think there will be pricing for those that chew up a lot of AI tokens.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'They’re both full stack, from silicon to software to software app developer ecosystem. And best of breed.'
on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'If you allow me to pick the timeline (I get to choose which data I use) I can make a lot of stocks look good (or bad). What’s hard to do is to identify a trend. Is it defined in terms of days? Weeks? Months? And the real key (for traders) is to determine a trend before it occurs, because once it occurs, one trend does not determine what the next trend will be, and it can change- quickly. Right now, I believe Apple is trending upward (silicon and private AI). It is always good to see analysts recognize that, but the better ones were recommending to buy Apple before the trend started (last March). For Apple, long-term investing seems to be working the best.'
on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - '“features will be available for a fee in the future.” If you want to plant your own vegetable garden, then you use your own backyard. But if you want to grow a lot of produce to sell to the community, you will need to rent a field.'
on Mooness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'Has Apple ever reported on a Monday before? Usually, if you have good news, you report earlier in the week and bad news as late as possible(I have seen some companies report bad news as late on Friday as possible). Or is this Ternus changing something more to his liking or putting his stamp on things?'
on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'Agreed. No admin has challenged free elections like this one. If they are not outright changing votes (see Tennessee), they will try to challenge results they don’t like. Watch Alaska, Texas, Michigan. We and the system will be tested next week.'
on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'No previous administration has taken the combined legal assaults on the voting system, coupled with continual mis-statements across the administration to create FUD on election systems.'
on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'Greg, I appreciate your angst about this premenon, but the realty is that every administration does this.'
on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'Fee based AI will be an impediment to AI adoption by the masses. I can see a low use tier that is free until AI usage become a higher usage tier, then even higher as usage increases. As the “token” tier usage increases, the subscription prices will look the same as the lower tier. The difference being that full usage of the tier will be charged despite your actual usage, until your usage puts you in a higher tier. The effects of this strategy results in higher net prices, as the initial used portion of the tier is charged at a higher net, declining until the tier usage is maxed out at the subscription rate. As the number of tiers being subscribed increases, the cost of the free tier declines as a percentage of the overall charge Apple won’t be selling “tokens”, it’ll be selling “tiers”.'
on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'This criminal administration is trying to hide the bad news – that they created – as part of their attempt to steal the elections and become the perennial leadership with head fake democracy.'
on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'From the estimates you can see units declining, but only Apple’s revenue grew, underlying its belief that revenue, as a growth metric, is more important than unit growth.'
on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - 'Using the formula above, one year’s average daily prints may target $454 ~this time next year, or about a 30% gain (rounded down from 30.9%). I think that is about average in a higher growth year, as FY2027 may prove to be.'
on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - '”If we assume a more likely 20% increase a year out (barring black swans), that’s (347X1.2=) $416.40/share….” Another way of looking at growth potential, is to look at daily average move during the previous one year period, then use that moving average to calculate AAPL’s price target for your desired period, adding it to the days Closing print. I’ve been toying with, and will continue to do so until it shows validity, or does not. Right now it’s a mind excise to keep the gray matter somewhat functioning properly.'


