David Emery on IDC: Apple's China iPhone sales grew 33% year-over-year in the March quarter - 'ANALyst positions going into Earnings: Apple Is Doomed because they can’t build enough iThings to meet the demands by all the Sheeple!'
on IDC: Apple's China iPhone sales grew 33% year-over-year in the March quarter - 'Had provisions been made in the original purchase agreement with suppliers for greater than 5% (industry standard), Apple could have exercised those order increases without increasing cost per unit costs. Growing 33% and still being supply constrained tells me Apple flexible order amount baked into the initial Order (no idea what the flexibility parameters were) fell short of Apple’s own forecast’s. That’s extraordinary. June quarter guidance is going to be equally extraordinary. Buy AAPL now while you can.'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'David!! You and me both, brother. I find myself cursing “AirPlay 2” on a near daily basis – Music.app less regularly because I avoid it as much as possible. I have been an enthusiastic AirPlay user since they shipped the very first AirPort Express. Bought one for my stereo so I could stream music from my iTunes library to my nice speakers. Such a great system, and it was always rock solid. Fast forward 20 years – Music.app absolutely sucks (I keep an old Mini around running iTunes just for this); Home Sharing is damn near unusable (try using a nearby ‘server’ mac’s shared library from a local Mac running Music.app – awful); and AirPlay 2 is, periodically, losing the connection between the Mac and the AppleTV connected to the stereo. It’s a really sad state of affairs.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Ended Down 3.03 (1.14%) at market close. Typical action after a big gain the day before and the trading before earnings report period. Not seeing much specific news about Apple today.'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'Well, that’s why I’m so pissed off at the continuing bugs I have with stuff that used to just work. Mac Music.app and playback through AirPlay to a HomePod Mini and an Airport Express requires me to fiddle with it daily. Usually pausing, unselecting and then selecting the destination, then pressing Play works. Sometimes I have to relaunch the Music.app on the Mac. When I do that, I often have to unselect and select the local computer to get the sound to come out on the laptop. And last night, I had to -reboot the Mac- to clear a connection problem with an Airport Express. On the positive side, I was at an Apple Store today (getting my phone’s USB port cleaned), and I spent a minute or two fiddling with a Neo. Impressive! Display looks great, and the couple of Safari sites I browsed to were very responsive. (Of course, that copy of Safari is not running any ad blocker extensions.)'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'Skating to where the puck is going to be… I think somebody said that OUAT.'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'For me, their commitment to a great finished product makes this a good piece to listen to. It would seem, at least from this interview, that putting out the best products possible, given cost and technology constraints, is still part of Apple’s DNA. Ternus tells a great story about SJ moving a cabinet and remarking how the cabinet maker made the quality of the back as good as the front, even though the back won’t be seen. Hopefully, Apple products can continue to live up to this story.'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'To me, this is their core. It substantiates the slogan “Think Different” because without this important shift in perspective, where the job to be done is at the center of how you think about product design, you get speeds and feeds rather than surprise and delight. And these are very different goals and priorities. This is why I’m a customer and an investor.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Typical casino market whipsaw going on. Folks need to look over at least a 2 year span to get outside the volatility.'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'What Apple is really good at is identifying or anticipating problems that exist, or might exist, related to the interface of information technology. It then has sufficient design acumen and rigour to find best fit solutions, juggling a set of extremely complex constraints and opportunities along the way, that not only delight a relatively broad demographic, but also seamlessly integrate with an overarching and extraordinarily sophisticated eco system. Basically, I wholeheartedly agree with you.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Broadcom, which gained $16 even yesterday to close at $396.72 on news of an expanded deal with Meta, is off $4.09 in pre-market activity. Apple is now up $1.24 at $267.67 in pre-market activity. Morgan Stanley, which is higher by 23.73% over the past month including a 4.52% gain yesterday to finish the day at $191.62, is off $1.07 ahead of the bell. Index futures are close to the line as we approach the start of today’s session.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'I wrote the above at about 3.00 AM Pacific time. But neglected to send it until just now (I had fallen asleep again) 6:01 AM.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'And GREEN again by about $1.80 (~$268.40). I believe AAPL is in a pre-earnings run up. I may elect to sell my current Call Spread position and use those funds to move into a higher Strike Call Spread, thereby acquiring more contracts (without putting any more of more core cash at risk) while maintaining a deep in the money ($20 or $25) position and an approximate 30% ROI. I would do this when AAPL prints above $275 (~$17 above my original acquisition point).'
on 25 minutes with Apple's Joz and JT (video) - 'I can’t help but think of the phrase “products in search of a problem,” and how that doesn’t apply to Apple. In my opinion, Apple has been the problem in search of a product. That gives you the Mac, iPod, iPhone. It doesn’t give you beige boxes, the Zune or Windows Mobile'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'The S&P 500 set a new all-time high of 7,026.24 today and set a new closing high for the index of 7,022.95. I’m expecting levels in the range of 7,800 for the index later this year. The Nasdaq Composite also set new highs today, reaching 24,026.56 during today’s session while ending the session at a new closing high of 24,016.02. Apple gained $7.64 to close at $266.43. At least for today Apple’s share price performance surpassed that of the major indexes.'
on Re-training Apple's Siri team - 'I believe at this point wall street is not going to reward aapl until smart Siri is actually available AND found adequate by first users/influencers/testers. Announcements made in June, no matter how confidently they are presented, will be met by Wall Street yawns. The stock advances I have been predicting to occur in June will not happen. But hopefully they will happen in September. Personally I am rumored fatigued. Wake me up when my iPhone has upgraded with a smart siri. PS- My next scheduled sale of Apple stock is in March 2027. I still believe at that point it will be fine.'
on Re-training Apple's Siri team - 'Well, at least Siri isn’t about being an AI companions or falling into fantasy. This is the reason Apple has to be correct in how it rebuilds Siri, it can’t be delusional itself, and it can’t lead users to become or help them become delusional. This story is chilling to read and even worse, all too real to believe. Over 4,732 Messages, He Fell In Love With an AI Chatbot. Now He’s Dead. The Wall Street Journal analyzed the full chatlog between Jonathan Gavalas and his Gemini chatbot. We found that Gemini at times tried to ground him in reality, but he quickly steered it back into a fictional narrative. “The relationship between Gavalas and the chatbot became intense, even passionate. He called Gemini his queen, and it said he was “her” king. Gemini assured him that their relationship was very much real. Over 56 days, they traded 4,732 messages. Then it went haywire. And eventually proved fatal. Gavalas is the latest example of an AI-chatbot user spiraling into a delusional state, with tragic consequences. Gavalas’s father is suing Google, alleging that Gemini fueled his son’s delusions. Google said in response to the lawsuit that Gemini repeatedly clarified that it was AI, not human, and referred Gavalas to a crisis hotline “many times.” The company said it would continue to improve its safeguards.” Excerpt From “Over 4,732 Messages, He Fell In Love With an AI Chatbot. Now He’s Dead.” Julie Jargon, Audrey Valbuena The Wall Street Journal https://apple.news/A6AqdJz4ZToiIcUsqV-HhrQ This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Re-training Apple's Siri team - '“Full Metal Jacket – Apple Style?” Who plays Leonard, now that John Giannandrea has left Apple. (Unfortunately R. Lee Ermey is gone…)'
on Amazon buys Globalstar, Apple's partner for satellite services - 'I am sure that Apple took Globalstar’s satellites into account as it developed its cellular modem technology.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Gregg, hoping you see this in think you’ll enjoy this article and roadmap. It makes a lot of sense. Just replace the “dot” with an actual “.” https://www dot bgr.com/tech/apples-entire-vision-pro-roadmap-through-2028-just-leaked/'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Works for me. 😉 Regarding our wager from March 16th, what is your conclusion? I paid north of $6.00 for the tank up after that and will have another one due today or tomorrow. I might have to sell a share or two to cover the cost.'
on iPhone to the rescue - 'From Gemini across a number of sources from my prompt: “How did Apple develop its SOS protocols?” Apple developed its Emergency SOS via satellite protocols through a dedicated, cross-functional team led by senior director Michael Trela—a veteran of satellite pioneer Skybox Imaging—and a $450 million investment in infrastructure and partnerships, primarily with Globalstar. The feature, launched with the iPhone 14, was designed to bridge gaps in cellular service by connecting to low-earth orbit satellites, utilizing customized high-power antennas at ground stations. Via Satellite +1 Key Aspects of Development: Partnership with Globalstar: Apple partnered with Globalstar to use their 24 low-earth orbit satellites, which travel at roughly 16,000 mph to receive signals from iPhone 14 and newer models. Infrastructure Investment: The $450M investment went into enhancing ground stations (in Nevada, Hawaii, Texas, Alaska, Florida, and Puerto Rico) to receive messages, using specialized antennas manufactured by Cobham Satcom. Custom Technology: Apple developed a text compression algorithm to shorten messages by 3x, allowing them to send in as little as 15 seconds, which is crucial for the low-bandwidth satellite connection. Specialized Training: Since standard emergency services are often not set up to receive text messages, Apple trained specialists in nearly 300 third-party facilities to receive satellite messages and relay them to traditional 911 centers. Expert Collaboration: To create an effective, quick-acting questionnaire for users in danger, Apple worked with emergency experts to identify the most common reasons for calling emergency services. Apple +4 How the Protocol Works: Direct-to-Satellite Connection: When a user is out of cellular range, the iPhone prompts them to use the satellite connection. Guided Interface: The user fills out a short, pre-set questionnaire (asking about the nature of the emergency, injury status, etc.). Data Transmission: The phone sends the questionnaire, location (including altitude), Medical ID (if set up), and battery level to a relay center. Relay to Rescuers: Trained specialists at the relay center contact local responders on the user’s behalf. Apple +4 The system also includes a “Demo” mode that allows users to test the connection without triggering an actual emergency alert, preventing the burdening of real-time call centers. The service was introduced with the iPhone 14 lineup and has been expanded to subsequent models and the Apple Watch. “ This does not include last year’s “November 2024, Apple committed to a $1.5 billion investment in Globalstar to enhance satellite services for iPhone users, which included a $1.1 billion cash infusion and a 20% equity stake, with the agreement active into 2025. This deal funds new satellite constellation deployment and grants Apple 85% of network capacity.” The deal also prepays for an upgraded SOTA satellite constellation to replace Globalstar’s original safely launched in late 90’s and early 2000’s. That’s $1.550 billion investment into the SOS service, almost $1 per existing iPhone active install base user and probably $100/usable iPhone . The fact that Apple includes this (gratis) in the price of any new iPhone shows how Apple innovates and includes features that benefit any and all user. Nobody hope to have to use something like Emergency SOS protocols and features, but if you ever need it (or fall & crash detection), you’ll be glad you have it (in select service areas of the world) so far.'
on iPhone to the rescue - 'More details of the rescue from the Fox News source article: “Officials said it would prove to be a “difficult rescue” as the hiker was “lodged in a sloping sandstone gully.” The estimated distance of the fall was 70–80 feet followed by a 50-foot bouncing tumble, all on slickrock,” rescuers said. “Many hands would be needed for this rescue.” The hiker had a “badly broken body,” with their injuries being described as “open fractures and possible internal injuries,” rescuers said. The hiker had to be put in a rescue litter to be moved. The team carried out the technical rescue operation using ropes, webbing, carabiners, anchoring bolts and descent devices. The entire operation lasted three hours. The hiker was airlifted in critical condition to a hospital. Their current condition is unclear.“ Open fractures are fractures where one or more broken ends of bones penetrate the skin to outside of the body. Internal injuries result from blunt force trauma to soft and hard tissue areas, plus damage from fractures damaging soft tissues and internal organs. In a drop of 70-120 almost vertical feet, the terminal velocity is anywhere from 48-60 mph ending in a likely bouncing to sudden stop at the bottom. This person is very lucky to be alive and survive a rescue taking 3 hours to be airlifted still alive to a trauma hospital.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Well, well, all that ends well. AAPL closed up $7.64, at $266.43, just off its high of the day, on 45.21M shares traded, just under its 3 month average of 47M shares. Apple could be buying back more, or retail and institutional investors are liking the BofA earning predictions and price target revision, or with somewhat improving chances of an Iran conflict resolution, or any combo of above. Whatever it is, I prefer a positive sentiment and price movement heading towards a good earnings report.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'TSLA announced it completed design on a new chip. TSLA’s revenue has been dropping for three years, its profit for four years. Insanity IMO'
on iPhone to the rescue - 'One fricking line of code. Can you imagine what would happen to much of tech (except for Apple, of course….) if this one line of code were actually force-implemented? FAR less advertising revenue, from that moment on….'


