Recent Comments

  • Jonny T on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'I am following my ‘half a lifetime’ trend allocation. I made my trend decision in 1998. Acted on it in 2006 and am unlikely to change it until I depart this mortal coil. That’s sophisticated investing for you! So far, so good.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is red - '”GOOG down 9% after reporting earnings: revenue was close to projected, but missed big on profit and reported a massive decline in FCF because of AI hyperscaling.” Amazing isn’t it, what happens when you miss earnings and FCF all but disappears? It doesn’t matter how big you are, investors don’t like it. I’ll bet Pinchai has been on the phone a lot since last earnings report. There is more of that to come: Zuckerberg at Meta, Ellison at Oracle, Altman at Chat AI, Musk at Tesla/SpaceX, Amodei at Anthropic and others. None have come close to generating a profit from the billions spent on AI, let alone positive cash flow. You couldn’t pay me to invest in the AI divisions of those firms.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Rodney, the 90 DMA provides all the accuracy I need to discern a trend line. The hard part is waiting for it torment form up. This is where I primarily track the intraday low. Take a look at it'
  • Richard Gayle on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'I’m with you there. The report was based on total wealth created, not just the return on investment for a single investor. So Apple made more money for more people than any other company. Of course, a company won’t get to the top with a large ROI.'
  • David Emery on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'Sometimes Bart shows us the -obvious answer that we all missed- 🙂'
  • Bill Donahue on Premarket: Apple is red - 'GOOG down 9% after reporting earnings: revenue was close to projected, but missed big on profit and reported a massive decline in FCF because of AI hyperscaling.'
  • John Konopka on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'There is also the case of pro users running their own models on one or more Mac Studios on-site. Apple skipped the chance to make the M6 Pro, Max or Ultra and is jumping directly to the M7. Considering how much a leap the M6 is I’m really curious to see the M7. I’ve worked most of my life with really slow computers. My first computer back in the day didn’t even have a CPU chip. The CPU was built from 7400 logic DIPs and had iron core doughnut memory. What an amazing run we’ve had.'
  • Joseph Bland on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - 'So my doubling of the Evercore yoy projection is actually considered conservative by John, Gregg, and Bart. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before…. (Smily face)'
  • Joseph Bland on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'I think the later time spot is more basic than that. Yes, the quarter closed a month ago, but there have been major new developments since then (the out of the ballpark Duo home run being one of them). I think Apple just needed more time to do a thorough analysis, under the circumstances.'
  • Bart Yee on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - 'Assuming a 3% drop in AAPL shares outstanding to 14.16B shares by end of 2027, if AAPL reaches $454, it would have a market cap of over $6.4 Trilliion. Wonder if NVDA keeps up or the AI bubble begins to deflate going into 2028?'
  • Joseph Bland on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Very good point, Richard! Well, to be fair, of the ROIs for tech stocks since AAPL came on the scene, NVDA is #1 with a 4,740X ROI, MSFT is #2 with a 4,350X ROI, AMZN is #3 with a 3,280X ROI, and AAPL is #4 with a 3,120X ROI. But Apple is gaining fast. Consider that one more double in valuation puts the AAPL lifetime ROI at over 6,000X.,,.'
  • Joseph Bland on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Well put, Bill! And who else offers a walled garden like Apple’s? (Crickets…) Advantage, Apple.'
  • Joseph Bland on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Agreed, Rodney. However, to see this “trend”, as I just pointed out on another thread, you have to look back in time at least half a year, because over the last 3 months, the trend is flat as a pancake point to point, up a bare 1.6%.'
  • Joseph Bland on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'I think that’s closer to the mark, Bill. Also, the more unified memory you literally buy, the less expensive tokens you will need. Finally, there’s the privacy angle, because privacy is assured by queries being anonymized, whether to a LLM that charges by the token or an open weight model that doesn’t charge per token. And eventually, Apple will have developed its own LLMs, for which it will also sell tokens. But Apple’s LLM won’t be dependent on stealing your personal data.'
  • Richard Gayle on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'Here is the timeframe I choose. Since 1926, over half of the total wealth created by the market has come from just 46 companies. And Apple is number 1 by far,. Even in the last decade, where the Mag 7 have skyrocketed, Apple is number 2 behind Nvidia. And the data for that report ended December 2025, so the two are even further ahead of eveyone else.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Looking back a month, AAPL is only up 1.6%. Looking back a quarter, AAPL is up the EXACT SAME 1.6%! What happened a quarter ago? A HUGE overnight selloff following a stellar earnings report that has literally taken three months to recover from. That’s today’s stock market. Well, fine with me, because even though I don’t buy AAPl only sell it, Apple essentially buys it for me, and becomes the ultimate buy and hold investor with the relatively small exception of stock grants and employee discounts.'
  • Bill Donahue on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'My read on his “features will be available for a fee in the future” comment is that Apple users will have access to on-machine AI for free, and that more compute-intensive applications that require access to server-based frontier models will come with a cost. Unless of course users just access frontier models in a limited fashion on-line, as can be done now.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'I can think of a few more reasons to not have the report on Thursday October 29 for the company. This is a busy time and sometimes you want to have people pay more attention to other things before they look at the earnings report. But Apple can’t avoid some competition even from itself so having the event today (the 28th ) for the new MacBook Pro with touchscreen when the Fed announces an interest rate decision and MSFT and Google report could mean they want more space for the earnings report news from other news. Amazon reports tomorrow the 29th following this idea Apple likely looks at Monday as a better time to deliver the report so people can hear the message with less distractions. Of course it just is because they weren’t ready to keep the old schedule.'
  • Bill Donahue on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'I disagree. Apple is absolutely an AI trade, and it’s my primary AI trade. And my bet that what Apple does best is rapidly extending to AI, as an integrated addition to its products and services. It’s also critical that Apple Intelligence is based in and on the walled garden, especially after this last week of hacks that threaten an open internet and may require integrated security and safety from AI bots wrecking everything (Paul Krugman’s substack article today is about that threat). If I ever decide to use AI in any significant way, it’ll only be through Apple’s hardware, software and security systems and oversight. It’s just not an AI trade for anyone who thinks betting on hyperscaler spending is the only way to approach AI as an investor, a company, or a technological strategy.'
  • Richard Gayle on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'I suspect that Apple will roll some subscriptions into Apple One with a low price incentive due to bundling. This will be for the normal person, who may not pay very much if they do not use a lot of off-device compute. But Apple is building out its own servers that do need to be paid for. And the Pareto Principle suggests that a small number of people will use a lot of total compute (simply 20% of the people use 80% of the compute). So I think there will be pricing for those that chew up a lot of AI tokens.'
  • John Konopka on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - 'Mr Ives is looking a little subdued today. 🙂'
  • Fred Stein on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'They’re both full stack, from silicon to software to software app developer ecosystem. And best of breed.'
  • Chris De Armond on Evercore is sticking with its $380 Apple target - '@John: Dividing by 0.8 gives a 25% increase.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Nvidia and Apple are the only Mag 7s outperforming the S&P 500 - 'If you allow me to pick the timeline (I get to choose which data I use) I can make a lot of stocks look good (or bad). What’s hard to do is to identify a trend. Is it defined in terms of days? Weeks? Months? And the real key (for traders) is to determine a trend before it occurs, because once it occurs, one trend does not determine what the next trend will be, and it can change- quickly. Right now, I believe Apple is trending upward (silicon and private AI). It is always good to see analysts recognize that, but the better ones were recommending to buy Apple before the trend started (last March). For Apple, long-term investing seems to be working the best.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Daniel Ives: The Ternus cadence continues - '“features will be available for a fee in the future.” If you want to plant your own vegetable garden, then you use your own backyard. But if you want to grow a lot of produce to sell to the community, you will need to rent a field.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'Bart, Thanks. Didn’t think about that.'
  • Bart Yee on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'Avoiding elections is best reason.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Monness, Crespi, Hardt hikes Apple target $20 to $355 - 'Has Apple ever reported on a Monday before? Usually, if you have good news, you report earlier in the week and bad news as late as possible(I have seen some companies report bad news as late on Friday as possible). Or is this Ternus changing something more to his liking or putting his stamp on things?'
  • Greg Lippert on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'Agreed. No admin has challenged free elections like this one. If they are not outright changing votes (see Tennessee), they will try to challenge results they don’t like. Watch Alaska, Texas, Michigan. We and the system will be tested next week.'
  • David Emery on iPhone 18 Pro series up 3.1% from the iPhone 17 Pros - 'No previous administration has taken the combined legal assaults on the voting system, coupled with continual mis-statements across the administration to create FUD on election systems.'