Recent Comments

  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Hi, Gregg.. Upvoted. “Some large account money is flowing into AAPL.” Trades going both ways, since you say “flowing into”, are you seeing bigger buys than sells? Thanks for any clarification! Joe'
  • Steven Philips on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - 'This was my immediate thought. And there IS the Apple angle!'
  • Steven Philips on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Is your “Sci-Fi allusion” Heinlein’s Waldo? 🙂 Genius! (In Orbit)'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'I discovered an unexpected benefit of trading Call Spreads today. I have the positions page on Thnk or Swim set up for data I find important. One of them is volume. While watching that this morning (AAPL, and the two legs of two spreads, a total of 5 data points) I noticed volume on individual trades were quite high. Example: for AAPL individual trade volume was centered around 300 – 400 shares. That works out to ~$90,000 – ~$120,000 per trade. And they occurred on upticks and downticks. These are not retail accounts. Some large account money is flowing into AAPL.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'When I logged on at 11:00 AM Eastern the NASDAQ 100 was ”DOWN” >400 points, while AAPL was ”UP” 0.60%. If ever there was a strength signal, this has to be it.'
  • Joseph Bland on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'PED, you really need to add that clarification to your “take:”, because it’s a misleading story that won’t please Apple…'
  • Joseph Bland on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Sorry – that should say: “… nor did it provide a reasonable notification that the recording was in progress.“ I did a quick re-read, found the quote, copied/pasted it – but ran out of edit time.'
  • Gregg Thurman on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - 'New fab capacity is coming on line. A lot of that will be gobbled up by Apple, with its delta between order and delivery (2 years?) and the fact that it prepays (built-in production financing), making it a very attractive customer (the best?). Apple won’t have to compete with other silicon consumers of Nvidia, Intel, AMD CPUs or data center capacity. Being on device, Apple’s compute capacity will always perfectly match the numbers of AI users. More specialized Apple compute power may be constrained demand for Apple’s Mac Mini and Mac Studio, but that’s a good problem to have. My point is that Apple is best positioned to weather Fink’s compute shortage, and that Apple will seek everything it can produce. If Fink is correct (who would doubt the analysis of Black Rock’s CEO?), Ive’s $400 PT isn’t high enough.'
  • Joseph Bland on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'I retract my comment. See my comment to David below.'
  • Joseph Bland on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'David’s right. Also: “Both call participants hear an audio notice that the call is being recorded.” From within Apple’s instructions. Does this story mention that “minor” fact? Or acknowledge David’s point? Nope. nor did it provide a reasonable notification that the recording was in progress.“'
  • Joseph Bland on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Lastly, if the world needed another compelling reason (besides global warming) for moving ASAP away from hydrocarbon combustion, it now has one.'
  • Joseph Bland on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'This is all about the Strait of Hormuz. China will be asked to get Iran to back down, since China presently relies on that passage for some goods, principally hydrocarbons. Problem is, Russia is literally bordering them and has hydrocarbons to sell. But the problem with that is – nobody wants to become more dependent on Russia. On the gripping hand (sci fi allusion, btw), any kind of “ownership” of the Straits by Iran is also a non-starter, not just for China or the US, but world-wide. But Russia remains an issue, because they definitely benefit from a pinching of the world’s hydrocarbon supply. And make no mistake: Russia is still under Communist control, as is China (and, I suspect, Venezuela). BTW, fair marks that this power play by Iran was always in the cards. Make of that what you will.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Generally speaking, it’s a really good day for entering new positions and building on existing positions. I’m currently building new positions in a few sectors including private equity enterprises, select utilities and some “picks and shovel” enterprises benefitting from the huge AI capex deployments. The market is likely to move higher over the next few quarters on the strength of corporate earnings. Costco is up $21.16 or 2.12% this morning on an upgrade from Bernstein while Walmart is up 2.10% on an upgrade from the same firm. Class A mall operator Simon Property Group is higher by $4.62 or 2.30% on strong results. Apple is ahead $1.22 at $293.90 while setting a new all-time high of $294.90 in morning trading.'
  • Anice Hassim on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Bart, you are keeping an eye on the numbers, as has Robert and a few others. What’s your feeling on the economic data? Do you think it can be trusted or are there short fingered vulgarians putting their thumbs on the scale? I see the inflation print jumped today, but I guess you can’t hide the energy shock easily, but I would have thought they would have been much worse.'
  • Anice Hassim on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - 'David, I believe strongly that the emergence of “edge” solutions built on the big platforms but better fit for purpose and use case will start to rapidly emerge. Two things to consider. The foundation model, cloud infra, compute game is always going to be ruthless, and depending on who is where in the cycle, different vendors provide different arbitrage opportunities. The cost of building a scaffold around the model access – MCP, workflows, context management etc are dropping like a stone. We are a small team of limited resources and this year has felt like the world opening up to us as we can tackle more complex, previously impractical things on our product roadmap that would have required capital raise or particular specialist skills. Those are not gone as impediments, but they are orders of magnitude less constraining than they used to be. So I fully expect the emergence of small, local players, sensitive and empathetic to a local context fine-tuning and delivering significant and immediate value to clients with tangible impact. In fact, you could say, AI levels the playing field by lifting the edge to the same plane as the centre. The edge is where opportunity will lie in human scale AI deployments and I also think that many people are missing the potential disruption that edge compute will bring – ie. what happens if the datacenter you need is in your pocket? Infrastructure has dropped in cost, Complexity has been flattened, Creativity exploded… A Cambrian explosion is coming. And the new economy – let me put it this way “Tokens are the new airtime”'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - '@PED: Thank you for posting this informative video. This is the first time I’ve heard Brookfield’s Bruce Flatt speak. Resource and capital allocation in the AI era are important and timely topics.'
  • David Emery on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Once again, this is framed as an “Apple only/Apple created” problem. What about a call between an iPhone and an Android? Companies usually tell you “your calls may be recorded”, and I suspect they do this as a legal requirement. Given the small number of mobile handset providers, a law to require recording notification there is feasible. But consider the landline or office PBX: Should the law extend to those, too? We know the beep to ‘record a message’ but should that be legally required for all phone recording? I dunno, but as is typical, the actual Real World ™ is MUCH MORE COMPLEX than this “Apple is spying on you” bovine effluent.'
  • David Emery on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - 'IANA Economist, but…. There’s been a lot of talk about ‘units of compute’ as a separate commodity. For that to happen, seems to me a couple things are essential: (1) a market to buy & sell (2) a means to move computation from one provider to another Right now, NVIDIA has a pretty good moat on #2. But I can’t see that moat remaining. Looking at cloud computing, there are bundling mechanisms that allowed you to package your computation, and then move/deploy that computation on alternative cloud services. (A friend has done this ‘in the small’, moving most of his small business services from computers in his house to a colocation/cloud service. He had to work through configuration, secure access management of the data/backup, and decide which services could not be done remotely.) Right now, NVIDIA’s system (HW and CUDA SW) provides an efficient compute platform but at a high cost and high margins. But those margins make competition attractive. And then we’re into commodity pricing, with a dynamic market, winners and losers, booms and busts. Horace pointed out that semiconductors ALWAYS have boom & bust cycles. Seems to me ‘compute’ will go the same way. The big question for me is whether a commoditized ‘compute’ market is ONLY the province of Big Tech, or whether smaller service providers can carve out their own niche of the market. Cloud/co-location is dominated by a few big cloud service providers, but there are LOTS of local companies providing efficient services to customers at an attractive price.'
  • Joseph Bland on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - '…and the facts keep piling up. Unfortunately, so does the actual fake news, spoon-fed to the multitudinous milling masses at the bottoms of their echo chambers. The medium is the message, and the message is corrosive.'
  • Joseph Bland on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Shocking! Apple, fix this, stat!'
  • Bart Yee on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'At 7:45, an hour+ into trading, AAPL is bucking the general market red trend and up almost $2.00 or so. Only Meta and NFLX of the rest of the Mag-7 are green. Memory stocks like Sandisk, Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix are down significantly, partly due to a top South Korean official proposing a tax on AI profits to be redistributed among society as a semiconductor boom drives massive earnings for tech giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.'
  • Joseph Bland on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute'  - 'The world wants it’s cake (low cost, abundant, clean energy) and it wants to eat it too. Meanwhile, the Globe warms….'
  • Stephen Gordon on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'The thought crossed my mind when I first saw the feature… guess I was waiting for someone with better forum to address it.'
  • Greg Bates on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Then there is the Zoom standard: a pop up from the get go says this meeting is being recorded and you have to click an acknowledgment to join. It’s not just a notification; you must take action to permit the recording. That is a far higher standard than what is proposed here.'
  • Bill Fouche on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'To me the tone seems proportionate to the invasiveness of the feature. It’s awful. Most people are unaware. And it’s grossly out of character for Apple.'
  • Bart Yee on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Just like to note who else is or isn’t there from tech or Mag-7: Is coming Micron technology Qualcomm’s Amon Tesla’s Musk META’s Zuckerberg isn’t coming but in his place is Dina Powell McCormack, President & Chair, Republican Financial – VISA, Mastercard, Citi, Blackstone, Black Rock Isn’t coming: Microsoft Google Amazon Netflix Oracle’s Ellison Any direct representative of small Farmers’ interests since soybeans, rice, corn, pork products, etc. have been hit hard (again) by the trade wars II. Maybe they are just too small to be seen or heard and a trade representative is all that’s needed for sidebar negotiations on rather mundane issues as agriculture. Yeah, the CEO of Cargill (largest US Food conglomerate) is there, reinforcing how the GOP caters to big business interests.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Meanwhile, AAPL appears to be in demand. Gee, I wonder if that’s because long term investors aren’t selling and folks see it as a safe haven? /s'
  • Don Donofrio on Apple competes with Apple - 'Gruber made this same point at the end of his Neo review. As someone who uses my iPad Pro 100% of the time in the case, I am certainly thinking of going with a Neo when the battery eventually gives out.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Cause, meet effect. Excerpt From: “Hormuz standoff drives oil higher as Iran-US peace hopes ebb” Nandita Bose, Jana Choukeir Reuters https://apple.news/AfTrnHHZoSNWLWJLLbAIiGg This material may be protected by copyright. “Iran demands end to blockade, compensation, and sovereignty over Hormuz Trump to visit China this week, leaders to discuss Iran US faces domestic, international pressure as energy prices rise Hopes for a peace deal on Iran dwindled on Tuesday ​after Donald Trump said a ceasefire with Iran was “on life support” as Tehran rejected a U.S. proposal to end the conflict and stuck to a list of demands the U.S. ‌president described as “garbage”. Iran has called for an end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, where U.S. ally Israel is fighting Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. Tehran also emphasised its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, demanded compensation for war damage, and an end to the U.S. naval blockade, among other conditions.”'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Excerpt From “Inflation Soared to 3.8% in April, Driven by Gasoline Prices” Chao Deng The Wall Street Journal https://apple.news/AxnDIfz8YRw-lBWQIbikvQw This material may be protected by copyright. “Investors at the start of this year were pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts. Those are all but off the table for now. Consumer prices rose 3.8% in April from a year earlier, a clear impact of higher gas prices since the start of the war with Iran. The numbers The figures, reported Tuesday by the Labor Department, surpassed the previous month’s reported increase of 3.3%. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected inflation of 3.7%. The April increase was the highest in three years. Prices excluding food and energy categories—the so-called core measure economists watch in an effort to better capture inflation’s underlying trend—rose 2.8%. That compared with forecasts for a 2.7% increase, and was a pickup from 2.6% the previous month.”'