Rodney Avilla on The Information: The risks of putting Hair Force One in charge of Apple Intelligence - 'He is known at Apple as a penny-pincher I cringe whenever I hear someone justifying an expenditure saying “they can afford that” or “that’s only 0.5% of their revenue”. The justification of an expenditure is based on the price of the item/service vs its value to the company. It has nothing to do with whether they can afford it or not. I have a business, and I don’t pay $5 for an ink pen just because I can afford it, or it’s only 0.001% of my revenues. And these are 2 common reasons I hear when people complain about Apple not buying something. Now whether Craig is overly frugal or just wise, I don’t know. But my guess is that those who are complaining don’t know either; they just wanted something that he didn’t think it’s value matched the price.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple's Gemini-powered chatbot coming in June - 'So two Siris, one private but dumb, one smart but ubiquitous in its knowledge of you – and under the thumb of Alphabet. Thus does Apple kick the can down the road. Well, at least they give us a choice.'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - '“…according to people with direct knowledge of the project.” Just what does that mean? How direct? Paid spys? Suppliers? Apple employees who want to lose their jobs?'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Apple is up $1.58 at $249.23 pre-market.’ AAPL is up ~$80 since bottoming a couple weeks ago. And yet January Options contracts are marginally down. So much for options wagging the dog.'
on Apple cuts iPhone prices in China. Again. - 'It was always possible for AAPL to protect market share by decreasing the sales price. But Apple is circumspect in its use and exquisite in its timing. Manufacturing is both tamping down right on schedule as the 2nd fiscal quarter begins and Chinese New Year gives Apple an opportunity to clear inventory. What’s not to like?'
on Apple cuts iPhone prices in China. Again. - 'Isn’t there 2 different kinds of memory? One is the on-chip/integrated memory (“core”) and the other is the persistent storage (“disk”).'
on Apple cuts iPhone prices in China. Again. - 'No mention of the fact THE SAME research from Cointerpoint showed that yes, while the overall Chinese smartphone market shrank, Apple gained significant market share.'
on The Information: The risks of putting Hair Force One in charge of Apple Intelligence - 'Geaux Craig. Give ‘em hell.'
on Apple cuts iPhone prices in China. Again. - 'Memory was never an issue. TSMC produces Apple designed unified memory on Apple designed SOCs. Unified memory is an exclusive Apple technology. Except for foundry cost increases Apple isn’t going to raise the price to itself.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple's Gemini-powered chatbot coming in June - 'This is exactly what TC said at the last conference call with a bit more detail, detail that’s made possible with Apple/Google’s Gemini announcements earlier this month. Eddie doesn’t want to reveal his sources because they are Company (Apple/Google) Press Releases that his employer previously published.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple's Gemini-powered chatbot coming in June - 'This rumor doesn’t sound overly unlikely to me.'
on The Information: The risks of putting Hair Force One in charge of Apple Intelligence - 'Craig Federighi seems to understand both the power and limitations of LLMs. I think/hope/expect that he will be one of the rare software leaders in this era of LLM exuberance that will not get deluded by the hype. LLMs alone will not deliver what Apple and its users want in Siri 2.0 because LLMs are fundamentally not able to do so. Apple has been at the forefront of acknowledging the reasoning and world model issues with LLMs, and Craig seems to have a knack for leading teams that combine key software elements together to produce something that users want. I am looking forward to seeing what Apple delivers with the next gen of Siri.'
on The Information: The risks of putting Hair Force One in charge of Apple Intelligence - 'I’ve read several accounts of this, and one thing seems clear: Key individuals on Apple’s AI team seem to be – or to have been – quite thin-skinned and defensive. When your company’s back is against the wall, few things are less helpful than the “it’s not my fault” song. All that matters – and all the grownups care about at that point – is: “where exactly are we now? And how do we get our collective ox out of this ditch as quickly as possible, while minimizing longterm damage.” Everything else is secondary, personal indulgence, and a distraction. Going further, I wonder if key inside sources for the myriad “Apple is hopelessly behind on AI” stories are these same people, embittered by the feeling that they were unfairly shackled and then scapegoated, mad that they weren’t allowed to keep driving the bus. Would explain a lot. And if these same people fled to Meta for bigger bucks, good riddance. Finally, to the idea that Federighi has irreversibly mortgaged Apple’s AI future by outsourcing certain things to outside companies, I doubt this very much. Apple can walk and chew gum at the same time. It can research a better way while temporarily relying on a partner. And the suggestion that Apple is unwilling to spend big bucks to get this done ignores so much recent history. Ask Intel. Ask Qualcomm. Ask Palm.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'The S&P 500 is up 0.50% and Apple is trading higher by $1.66 or 0.69% at $249.37. Again today the Russell 2000 index is outpacing the big cap indexes. The small cap index is higher by 1.26% at 2,732.24.'
on Apple cuts iPhone prices in China. Again. - 'Puts doubt on the rumors about memory cost – at least for now.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple's Gemini-powered chatbot coming in June - 'It’s not an official rumor until Gurman says it?'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'I *so SO* don’t get this “wearable AI pin” idea. It strikes me as the greatest human surveillance and privacy threat in the history of technology. If I imagine a world of people wearing these things in public spaces, I see myself always on edge—having to stop and stay silent any time I speak with a stranger or someone who may have questionable motives. I always have to ask myself: Am I being covertly recorded? Can anything I say be used against me? Am I being used to advance someone else’s agenda that I don’t endorse? Might this even be a setup for entrapment? This is not now—and never was—Apple’s vision of technology empowering people. This is an insane dystopian future. And to what end? Is my phone going to have amazingly better intelligence (or serve me better) if every moment of my life is being sucked into the cloud? Does someone in the 3.0 community have a more optimistic view of why these pins aren’t the worst idea ever? I’ve never seen any prototypes or read any use cases, so I am totally ignorant. I would love to feel more positively about Sam, Jony, and now Apple. Can anyone help? Thanks '
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'News of progress on the Greenland issue has the market seeing green this morning. Jobless claims remain low and there’s a slight upward revision to the September quarter economic growth numbers. Apple is up $1.58 at $249.23 pre-market.'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'From Ben Bajarin X account… PSA: Apple experiments making all sorts of stuff. Most never to come to market. This will not.'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'What? Feeling the need to compete with the Sam and Jony “Alexa Pen”?! Pull the other one… Cameras and microphones everywhere.. just what AI needs to fill its coffers with data.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'The Russell 2000 reached a new all-time high today of 2,703.75. The S&P 500, the DJIA and the Nasdaq Composite partially recovered from Tuesday’s sell-off. Bargains remain in the market. Apple gained $0.95 on Wednesday and is in the green $1.30 at $248.95 overnight. Apple’s current all-time high of $288.62 was set on December 3rd. At today’s closing price Apple is off Apple is down $40.97 or about 14.20% from the all-time high.'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'I think it is more interesting what John Gruber at Daring Fireball is reporting that Mark Grumman is reporting on new features in the coming versions of the Gemini-powered Siri. Apparently there will be two big Siri releases coming soon, the second one of which will be more chatbot-like — and that later version could end up being hosted on Google’s servers rather than Apple’s own Private Cloud Compute servers. I wonder what THAT would do to privacy. As for Apple’s rumored pin, I don’t think I will find a need for it.'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'Engineering, one to beam up!'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'Apple isn’t trying to upstage anybody; it’s the other way around'
on Apple aims to upstage Sam & Jony with 2 cameras, 3 mics and a Siri that works - report - 'It shouldn’t use a speaker. It should connect wirelessly to AirPods or hearing aids. Then the AI can inform the paranoid that “Those people are looking at you.” “Talking about you.” “Conspiring against you! Maybe you should kill them.” Honest, Your Honor, it was a voice inside my head! 🙂'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Buying back undervalued shares does indirectly support the valuation Buying back shares DOES NOT increase the value of the enterprise. What buybacks do is increase the value of the shares. Value of enterprise / total shares outstanding. Buybacks result in fewer shares, that results in more enterprise value attributed to each share.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - '“Seppuku” – I had to look that one up. Thx Digant – I like learning new words. 🙂 And great use of the word to convey what sooo many of us are feeling. Remember a crisis a day keeps the Jeffrey Epstein files away!'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Agree Rodney, but do recall it can often take days for a “rationale” reaction by the market to upside surprise earnings, and in Apple’s case; can often take months as new narratives arise along the lines of “Apple will never achieve YOY growth next year after this great quarter” etc. etc. Hope I’m wrong, but I have reluctantly learned to temper my enthusiasm for immediate stock growth after a great Apple quarter. It seems where the Apple gains are made are in relatively “quiet” times between earnings when Apple grinds upward 1-2%/day for weeks on end. Again, sincerely hope I’m wrong as this quarter looks to be great.'


