Recent Comments

  • David Emery on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - 'One more on Churchill: The story of that most famous portrait: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Roaring_Lion The photo session was only to last two minutes. Karsh asked the prime minister to put down his cigar, as the smoke would interfere with the image. Churchill refused, so just before taking the photograph, Karsh quickly moved toward the prime minister and said, “Forgive me, sir,” while snatching the cigar from his subject’s mouth. Karsh said, “By the time I got back to the camera, he looked so belligerent, he could have devoured me”.'
  • David Emery on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - 'Lady Astor said to Churchill, “If you were my husband, I’d poison your tea,” to which he responded, “Madam, if you were my wife, I’d drink it!” https://thecasualobserver.co.za/churchill-lady-astor-classic-insults-and-witticisms/'
  • Richard Gayle on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'A few thoughts/questions on perhaps why Apple might not raise iPhone prices much as some believe: 1) Apple raised prices now on everything but iPhones (responsible for about 20% of revenues, I believe). And higher than many people thought. Why now and why just those products? Could Apple be doing this partly to prevent price increases for most iPhones? 2) Apple has split the release of the premium iPhones and low end, with the former happening in the Fall. The very high end consumers are not as concerned with price so could Apple raise the prices on the most expensive to keep prices down on the rest? 3) Could this also be one reason why Apple will go straight from M5 to M7? It might be easier to raise prices with a fantastically great chip. 4) And what effect will the Fold have on the revenue mix? Apple can actually set a higher price than it may have to for a very hot product and keep ASP high. Apple looks at overall revenue, not strictly the revenue of one product. So I would not be surprised if Apple makes a variety of price increases that keep low end iPhones cheap while making it up on high end/new products.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'David: In my view the publication itself is barely relevant, perhaps occasionally insightful when I’m reading through product reviews a couple/few times a year. Why are you so concerned about the views of the so-called Macalope? My gosh, at least put your name on an opinion piece if you want credibility and respect! Apple’s decision isn’t happening in a vacuum. Prices are rising across the industry and I’d much prefer Apple not scrimp on product quality or succumb to competing primarily on price. In an era in which the average new car selling price has topped $50,000 I’m not going to quibble about an important personal productivity tool that costs 90% less. A car gets me across town. My Macs allow me to engage with the entire world.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'These are the year-to-date (YTD) share price performances of the Terrific Ten equities ranked by percentage gains in share prices over this time and the percentage gains in the major stock indexes over the same period. Through the first half of the year the Russell 2000 small cap index has outperformed the NASDAQ Composite, the DJIA and the S&P 500. Among the Terrific Ten equities Apple now ranks second in performance with a 13.53% gain, slightly outpacing the gain in Alphabet. Meta, Tesla and Microsoft remain in the red on share price performance halfway through the year. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) up 44.92% Russell 2000 – up 19.82% Apple (AAPL) – up 13.53% Alphabet (GOOG) up 13.51% NASDAQ Composite – up 11.15% DJIA – up 10.06%
S&P 500 – up 9.32%
SpaceX (SPCX) up 8.0%* Amazon (AMZN) up 5.13% NVIDIA (NVDA) up 4.47% Broadcom (AVGO) up 4.15% Meta Platforms (META) down (11.69%) Tesla (TSLA) down (12.51%) Microsoft (MSFT) down (19.26%) * The year-to-date gain in SpaceX represents the gain in share price since the opening price of $150 on June 12th, the first day of trading.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'As of today and following last week’s dramatic rise in the share price, Apple is in striking distance of regaining the market cap crown.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'Entering this week’s trading, below is the market cap scoreboard of the Terrific Ten. These are the ten most valuable enterprises traded on US exchanges and this is a look at the numbers halfway through the calendar year. NVIDIA (NVDA) $4.72 trillion Apple (AAPL) $4.53 trillion Alphabet (GOOG) $4.39 trillion Microsoft (MSFT) $2.90 trillion Amazon (AMZN) $2.61 trillion SpaceX (SPCX) $2.13 trillion Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) $1.98 trillion Broadcom (AVGO) $1.71 trillion Meta Platforms (META) $1.48 trillion Tesla (TSLA) $1.48 trillion'
  • Joseph Bland on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'And yes, a loaded M5 MacBook Pro will cost about $5 K. It’s also worth every penny if you’re really into AI….'
  • Joseph Bland on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'Re: The Macalope’s hit on Apple’s price hikes. He/it took a cheap shot. Re: Apple TV: You can get a much cheaper streaming device than the Apple TV, but it’s not an equal comparison. And with Fox acquiring Roku, the whole question of intrusiveness gets raised, especially if it’s linked to commercials that directly feed off your TV-watching habits. But the Apple TV is much more dependent on RAM, hence the huge change in price. Consequently, a comparison of price to performance ratio is far less simple than the Macalope would have us believe. And thus it is across Apple’s product line: The degree to which RAM drives their cost of manufacturing equals the degree to which the price of each Apple device goes up. Thus a loaded $5 K MacBook Pro will go up less % than an Apple TV.'
  • Rodney Avilla on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'Macalope asks “Apple won’t go broke for us, so why should we go broke for Apple?” it always seems peculiar to me for people who live (their short and inexperienced) life behind a keyboard to try to influence those who are outliving in the real world. And then we wonder why they say things like this.'
  • David Drinkwater on Counterpoint: Apple is snapping up 29% of the foldable screen supply - 'On “durability”, some engineering math: (I am not really an Engineer, but I do play one at the office …) 16 waking ours in the day, 5 opportunities to flip open and closed per hour. Leads to 80 opportunities per day. Round up to 100. 365 days a year. Let;s be realistic, these things are going to be expensive, so I do not see a typical annual upgrade rate, but more like two, three or even five. AppleCar carries a maximum of three years I think. So that leads to a “lifetime” cycle life of 109,500 cycles. Round up to 125,000 cycles. For reliability AKA durability purposes, that would probably require at least 250,000 cycles and then a little statistical evaluation to see what percentage would fail at 125,000 cycles. The control limit would surely be 150,000 cycles to cover statistical usage variation in the above calculated 125,000 cycles. I estimate human take about 10 seconds to open, less than 5 to close. Testing should emulate that giving a cycle rate of 4 cycles per minute or 62,500 minutes or 1041 hours of testing. Six weeks is not at all atypical for life cycle testing in semiconductor manufacturing, but it still takes time.'
  • Joseph Bland on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'Hi, David. Agreed. Pretty knee-jerk for the Macalope – but then, he does have twice the number of knees of humans. In fact, it’s far more characteristic of another four-footed critter; the scapegoat. Apple makes a profit because it makes the highest quality, most advanced products out there. And that is still teue. What’s being glossed over is the actual mechanism behind ALL these price hikes, and that they have zip to do with Apple. The Macalope should hang his head with shame for taking a cheap shot – but he’ll probably just scarf up some grass in the process….'
  • David Emery on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/6-7/10/26) - 'Even the Macalope asks “Apple won’t go broke for us, so why should we go broke for Apple?” to challenge Apple’s price decisions. https://www.macworld.com/article/3180393/apple-wont-go-broke.html I just don’t get it. Everyone should decide for themselves if a product at a given price is a good value. For me, the run of (Intel based) Macbook Pros during the crappy keyboard/Touch Bar timeframe were not worth the money, so I didn’t buy one. When Apple moved away from the crappy keyboard and into the M-series processors, I jumped on an M1 Max (still my primary computer.) Apple, like most other companies, will adjust their value proposition, i.e. change prices, if people won’t buy products. But media and politician demands that Apple change prices are just bovine effluent.'
  • Greg Lippert on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'Congrats to your ancestors, but the current mad tyrant king is making a push to stay – forever. He again teased a third term in his rally speech last night. Oh, wait, I mean speech honoring the 250 anniversary.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - '@Bart: You’re welcome. When you get appointed to the Apple Board, I’ll be pleased to review the contract.'
  • Bart Yee on Tim Cook is tying up loose ends before the handoff - 'And a nice rundown on why Apple TV has some great shows https://www.theverge.com/entertainment/960985/apple-tv-hits-2026'
  • Bart Yee on Tim Cook is tying up loose ends before the handoff - 'Here’s another loose end: Jon Prosser responds to Apple lawsuit by blaming the other guy Prosser admitted to seeing unreleased iOS features in a FaceTime call and recording it. by Jay Peters, The Verge Jul 3, 2026 at 6:12 AM PDT https://www.theverge.com/tech/961285/jon-prosser-apple-lawsuit-response-ios-leak'
  • Bart Yee on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - 'Michael, thank you for your informed comments on the Contempt case and how SCOTUS may look at the arguments on both sides. I really hope Apple retains its right to determine what it wants to charge as a commission for access to the App Store or its cultivated users. Apple’s position continues to remind me of the Churchill or Bernard-Shaw attributed quote: Churchill: “Madam, would you sleep with me for £5 million?” Woman: “My goodness, Mr. Churchill. Well, yes, I suppose…” Churchill: “Would you sleep with me for £5?” Woman: “Of course not! What kind of woman do you think I am?” Churchill: “We’ve already established that. Now we are haggling about the price.”'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - '@David: Very well done. I too was surprised by the second issue not being accepted. My thought is that SCOTUS has decided that the nationwide injunction isn’t really necessary to address given that the injunction in Apple’s case is mostly a worldwide internet issue that is beyond their scope. Also, since it appears that either nobody, or very few, in the App Developer community are bothering to set up these outside features to go outside of the current App Store payment plan, coupled with the size differentiation of the buttons that Apple has proposed in conjunction with their automatic notification that: “Anyone using this direct payment option by going outside of the protections provided by staying inside the App Store will be all on their own”, the injunction issued is toothless and has no real traction. SCOTUS doesn’t need to address it all since it appears the App Developer community is extremely happy with the current Apple payment structure and system. Except for Epic.'
  • David Emery on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - 'I haven’t read all the filings, and IANAL. Apple advances 2 questions: (1) you can’t enforce a ‘spirit of the ruling’ in other circuits, so there’s a circuit split between 9th Circuit where you can, and the others. That split (conflicting rulings by circuits) puts the case squarely into SCOTUS. (2) The ruling is not just nationwide but worldwide, and this violates the SCOTUS decision that limits universal injunctions (the recent Trump v CASA). SCOTUS accepted the first issue for argument. I’m a bit surprised they didn’t accept both issues. #2 seems to be pretty strong on its face. #1 would find favor with this SCOTUS’ emphasis on ‘originalism’ and ‘no judicial invention of the law’. Michael G: How did I do with that sumary?'
  • Bart Yee on Tim Cook is tying up loose ends before the handoff - 'Well here’s an interesting story from X based on reports in the tech media on how META repurposed old previous generation DDR4 memory sticks (DIMMs) from old or obsolete servers they had and, with a new Vistara chip, rewrote its software to route “hot” or important constantly used data to current high speed memory and “cold” less important or infrequently used data to the older, slower memory. Suggests its cost and performance effective. Seems like something Apple could do easily for its own servers systems based on non-Apple servers. M-series based servers’ Unified Memory probably working as well or better with less memory, and higher efficiency, since DDR4 and DDR5 are NOT low power parts. But if you have literally tons of old(er) memory sticks, make memory lemonade. I’ll give META engineers props for thinking outside the box. Wonder if suddenly all the old memory sitting in old computers, drawers, or at e-waste / electronics recyclers suddenly became a whole lot more valuable than just the gold recovery? Maybe a stop gap for now but at least a second life for the RAM. https://x.com/evanluthra/status/2073408388185350525?s=46&t=oxd_m7t-OId5inFp8E4nbQ Evan Luthra @Evan…•8h “THERE’S A GLOBAL MEMORY SHORTAGE MAKING YOUR PHONE AND LAPTOP MORE EXPENSIVE. META JUST DODGED IT COMPLETELY BY PULLING 10- YEAR-OLD RAM OUT OF ITS OWN TRASH AND RUNNING IT INSIDE CUTTING-EDGE AI SERVERS. There’s a global memory crisis happening right now that most people don’t realize is affecting them.. Al has created insane demand for a special kind of memory called HBM.. And making it eats up huge amounts of chip factory capacity.. A single gigabyte of it needs about three times the silicon of normal memory.. So the big memory makers, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, shifted their factories toward the Al stuff which earns them fatter margins.. The result.. Regular memory supply dried up.. Prices jumped 50% or more in a single quarter.. This is why your next phone, laptop, and PC are quietly getting more expensive.. Some phone makers are even downgrading memory to keep prices under control.. For a company like Meta running millions of servers, buying inflated memory at these prices was mathematically insane.. So they did something brilliant.. When Meta retires an old server after 3 to 5 years, the processor is outdated.. But the memory sticks inside are fine.. RAM can last 10 to 14 years.. For decades, all that perfectly good memory got thrown away.. Meta built a custom chip called Vistara that lets them take that old, “obsolete” DDR4 memory and plug it into their newest Al servers..Running side by side with modern memory.. Here’s the clever part.. The old memory is slower.. So Meta wrote software that automatically sorts data by temperature.. “Hot” data that’s used constantly stays on the fast new memory.. “Cold” data that mostly sits idle gets pushed to the recycled old memory.. The applications have no idea it’s even happening.. And the results are almost unfair.. They cut their total Al server count by 25%.. In their caching systems, they actually got 29% faster, because having tons of cheap memory beats constantly fetch data across the network.. Then there’s the part nobody talks about.. Memory is the single biggest source of a data center’s carbon footprint.. A staggering 69%.. More than the processors, the drives, everything.. By rescuing old memory instead of manufacturing new, Meta slashed both cost and emissions at the same time.. Everyone else is paying the “RAM tax” .. Bidding against each other for scarce, overpriced memory.. Meta just looked at the pile of hardware it was about to throw away.. And realized it was sitting on goldmine.” Disagree on the last part – using more of less power efficient RAM increases energy use (upstream emissions) plus more heat (downstream emissions and cooling), that’s why META has 10 Natural Gas turbine plants for 7.5 GW Louisiana center, 3 for an El Paso center, Nuclear power contracts for three more states, and space solar, and renewables in India. Nothing is free. And servers only last 3-5 years?'
  • Gregg Thurman on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'Like cities all across North America, Coeur d’Alene, ID is celebrating July 4th with a fireworks show. They do it every year. It takes place over Lake Coeur d’Alene. This year is going to be slightly different. Traditionally (as in always) the finale has a burst of very large “Salutes” (boomer) measuring 12” to 14” across (1” equals about 100 feet up, each inch thereafter is another 100 feet higher with corresponding bloom and bang). This year’s finale will include a monster 24” “Salute”. It’s the largest firework ever fired in Idaho.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Wedbush's Daniel Ives has become a merchant bank - '@Robert: Or the equivalent of a historic Ted Williams batting average.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Wedbush's Daniel Ives has become a merchant bank - 'Continuing with the baseball analogies and metaphors, should Apple reach the $400 price target recently set by Mr. Ives, it would really be a “grand slam” for Apple investors.'
  • David Wilson on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'My ancestors fought on the right side in both of those wars. Today, I thank them for freeing us from tyrant kings, and for ridding the land of slavery.'
  • David Emery on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'I heard an interview with a presidential historian who claimed that Lincoln was the most important/significant president. His argument over Washington was that Lincoln had to fight a war and then reunite the country. Washington set the precedent of turning over power, but Lincoln accepted limits on his power in an existential crisis.'
  • Richard Gayle on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'For me, July 4th also resonates with the United States victory in the Civil War, another revolution won by the forces for freedom. On July 3, 1863 we had the resolution of the battle at Gettysburg in the East and of the siege of Vicksburg in the West. That two such amazing events not only happened virtually simultaneously but also so proximate to the 4th always makes my heart sing. No one could have written a better script. The South would never be as strong. Lincoln knew of both almost immediately via telegraph and gave an impromptu speech from the White House to a celebrating crowd.'
  • Bart Yee on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'By the time the US (or its successor nation state) celebrates its 500th anniversary in 2276, , in Star Trek future history, Captain Jame Kirk will have completed his second 5 year mission aboard the Enterprise and the Enterprise underwent a extensive refit before the V’Ger incident in 2273 under his command as Admiral Kirk. If we are to get to that future history where humans are traveling among the stars and there’s peaceful coexistence on Earth as well as neighboring star systems, we have a hell of a lot more work to do. Supposedly, Zephram Cochran successfully uses his prototype Warp Drive to achieve faster than light travel in 2063, a scant 37 years from now. Maybe AI helped with its theoretical and physical development?'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'From my unscientific research of listening to people from these recent generations, it’s obvious that American History is no longer being taught anywhere outside of possibly kids who are being home schooled. Financial literacy is nonexistent so I have no clue what is being taught these days because “reading, writing, and arithmetic” seems to have gone the way of the buffalo in public schools. Perhaps the religious schools are churning out much better students? Education was always the backbone of a strong society and IMO still is today. But I have no clue what these local school boards have instituted recently in the arena of academics as kids currently have no basic skills or knowledge by comparison to what I can remember from my days of K-12.'
  • Joseph Bland on Independence Day. July 4, 2026 - 'I’m currently reading a history of what might be called the “manifest destiny” imperative of non-Native Americans. (The Westerners, by Megan Kate Nelson) Even those who fought against slavery here bought into that group-think. Yes, Native Americans were murderous in their interactions between one another long before Europeans came on the scene, so it’s not an issue without shades of gray. Yes, there were tremendous untapped resources lying fallow, but there was also a profound lack of respect for a different way of life. We were a representative democracy, but we didn’t apply that term fairly, and across the board. So as we celebrate the fact that we’re still here, we should also recognize how far we fell from perfection in getting here, and how far we have yet to go to live up to the promise that our form of government represents. Nothing represents that continuing failure better than our present circumstances. After our celebration is over, it’s time for us to roll up our sleeves and get to work, and to do a better job of it than those who preceded us. 250 years is a blink of the eye in comparison to how far we have yet to travel.'