Recent Comments

  • Bill Donahue on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'I’ve been thinking exactly this for most of this year, Gregg. At what point do government leaders who are being asked to give massive tax cuts and subsidies to the hyperscalers to build their massive energy- and water-sucking datacenters clue in to the fact that that model is in serious jeopardy.'
  • Daniel Albaugh on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'I asked Gemini “does apple purchase memory from third party vendors for their SOC?” Yes, absolutely. While Apple designs the custom processor architecture (the CPU, GPU, and Neural Engine logic) in-house, they do not manufacture their own memory chips (DRAM). Instead, Apple purchases the physical memory dies from major third-party semiconductor manufacturers. The primary suppliers that provide these high-speed memory components include: Micron (a major historical and current primary supplier for many of Apple’s devices) SK Hynix Samsung How It All Comes Together Procurement: Apple buys raw memory chips (such as advanced LPDDR5X DRAM) from these third-party vendors. Advanced Packaging: Apple ships its custom-designed silicon processors alongside these third-party memory chips to contract manufacturers—most notably TSMC. Integration: Using specialized packaging techniques (like InFO-PoP or Integrated Fan-Out Package-on-Package), TSMC physically mounts and interconnects the third-party memory directly onto or right next to the Apple processor die. This creates the final unified system-on-a-chip module that goes into an iPhone, iPad, or Mac, combining Apple’s proprietary processor design with mass-produced memory hardware from global semiconductor leaders.'
  • Daniel Albaugh on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'If I understand your question properly and if I understand Apple’s Mx SOC correctly, Apple’s SOC includes everything except memory which is added on during the packaging phase/process so memory vendors will still be involved. What I know I don’t understand is why memory isn’t part of Apple’s whole SOC to begin with. If they can design and build the current SOC, is memory that much more difficult to design and build into the whole widget?'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'If these machines are configured with SoC unified memory, where will the memory venders fit into this? I don’t think they will. Ergo, increased Apple gross margin.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'If last year’s Mac mini and Mac Studio were in such demand that they were up to two months in back order, what is going to be the lead times for these “AI” monsters? Will Apple cancel last year’s mini and Studio backlog of orders and give them delivery priority if the orders are upgraded to the new models? These new Mac models appear to be a direct attack on data center “AI” models. I’m now waiting for the other shoe to drop, that would be a customize able LLM that slides into a Mac Studio networked via a Baltric powered Mac server. Has Apple secretly developed its own LLM (to run atop of the Mac Studio) with a SIRI front end or is it about to announce the purchase of a competing LLM with a SIRI front end installed on it? No data center expense, immediate positive cash flow, as the user exchanges ongoing token fees for one time hardware expense and complete user privacy. I expect an Apple announcement along those lines when the Baltric server is announced (2028?). Immediately data center demand for memory will disappear. Apple won’t lower prices because consumers will be hooked into the superior “AI” solution (complete with privacy), that costs less. IBM Business Solutions will become very busy installing these solutions/systems. Goodbye Nvidia, and all other “AI” players.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I do have a thought: How will you type on this darned thing? Because I have big, clunky hands, I have to either type on my iPhone with one hand and essentially “move” the iPhone with the other to get an angle (the source of a LOT of my typing errors, btw) or I have to try to use two hands and type with my two index fingers – really tough, ergonomically challenging and literally tiring on the iPhone Max. And it won’t be helped by the increased weight, IMO. So you’ll basically need to either fold it back to an iPhone to type anything or prop it on a flat surface like presently with an iPad, and if you want to have an inclined surface to improve that ability, you’ll have to have some kind of gizmo that’s attached to the “back” that swings out – or have something attached to a protective cover that swings out… …and now I’m thinking you’ll need a second screen on the outside, adding even more complexity, cost, and weight… Nope. A foldable iPad I can see, with a single foldable screen. A foldable iPhone sounds a lot like a boat anchor….'
  • Roger Schutte on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - '$18,299 or $40/month for the most loaded Mac Studio. 512gb ram option can’t be ordered for a month so unknown how much that adds over 256gb config now in my cart.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I know that ear… Really great to see you at the dinner, Robert – along with about 30 other compatriots!'
  • Joseph Bland on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'Thanks, Dan! I was about to pass on the same info…. So Gurman literally ran a story that Apple itself ran – on the VERY SAME DAY. Great scoop! Hope Gurman paid through the nose for the info…. /s “Eh, what a maroon!” – Bugs Bunny https://apple.news/A37SuA3tjPRm9tPtSUEx6LA'
  • Jonathan Rotenberg on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I think the critical question is: How well does this thing work as a pocket phone? How thin? How light? How much battery life? I think Jerry’s hypothesis is intriguing. But the opposite could be truer: That the foldable is actually a very weak replacement for an iPhone …and a very weak replacement for an iPad as well. Two weak things do not add up to something strong. I love the idea of being able to unfold my beloved iPhone into something larger. But I have a hard time imagining how that could be accomplished without making a very sub-optimal product. (Case in point: iPhone Air.) I hope Apple has figured out something dazzling here. Based on the iPhone Air, I’m not betting on it.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Errol Brandt: A tale of two awesome families of Apple chips (video) - 'Definitely a worthwhile video to view. The next video I saw, MSFT broke OpenAI, was also very interesting. The evil empire may not be totally asleep. The video also talks about other problems with OpenAI as a company.'
  • John Lizza on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'Good discussion All. Hypothetical. Assume 100 percent of the Fold purchases come at the expense of a purchase of a different iPhone, ie. 100 percent cannibalization. So Apple makes its 35 percent profit on a $2000 dollar purchase instead of a $1100 purchase? I think I can live with that.'
  • Bill Donahue on Errol Brandt: A tale of two awesome families of Apple chips (video) - 'This morning Apple announced the release new versions of the Mac Mini and Mac Studio, aimed at AI developers. The Mini comes with the all-new M6 processor or the M5 Pro chip. The M6 version comes with up to 32GB of memory, and the M5 Pro comes with up to 64GB. The Mac Studio has M5 Max or new M5 Ultra processors. As of Monday, if you ordered a base Mac Mini, it takes more than a month to arrive, and the Mac Studio takes 10 to 12 weeks to arrive.'
  • Dan Scropos on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - '“Use case” matters. Tim Cook seemed hollow and cold in his presentations. Jobs always sold the use case. He *told you* why you needed one and got you excited about it. Cook never did that. He just told us how scored *he* was. Now it’s up to Ternus. This will be a huge test for him and one I’ll be watching closely.'
  • Dan Scropos on Mark Gurman: New Mac Mini any day now, AirPods with eyes not until next year - 'Apple on Tuesday announced new Mac Mini and Mac Studio models with updated chips and other improvements for artificial intelligence applications. The announcement shows how desktop computers have become strategically important for Apple as a foothold in the AI development world and as a showcase for the AI capabilities of its chips. The Mac Mini can now be configured with two new chips, the M6 and M5 Pro, and now starts at $899, versus $799 for the prior model.'
  • Mordechai Beizer on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'Enjoy owning the latest new thing. As the owner of a Vision Pro gathering dust I think I’ll pass on this shiny object.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - '” Would love to be told I’m wrong. “ You aren’t wrong, and thank you for pointing out the kind of discussions we should be having, instead of the one we are having. Terse or not, I enjoyed your post.'
  • Ben Gepp on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I’m with Ted Kluger here. ….Sure. That pretty much every one here can buy one is nice… but so what? It may be a great product for the upwardly mobile. Vision Pro was a great product for the upwardly mobile. But after the upwardly mobile have sated their early adopter needs, who’s left to buy this product? There is an ever worsening cost of living issue compounded by RAMageddon, that is undercutting the potential consumer base, not to mention idiotic tariff regimes and another pointless, endless war that will drive up logistics cost and eat away at disposable income. As a subscriber in this self-cited savvy investor group… I want to know what this is going to do to AAPL. What is our collective and considered opinion about how it affects revenue and EPS? Which markets will buy it and what will it cannibalise? How many can they may with component constraints? Personally I think there are serious issues on both the supply and demand side. Would love to be told I’m wrong. (apologies if this comes across a bit terse)'
  • Ted Kluger on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I’m perfectly happy if Jerry gets the last laugh – we all win. My only comment would be: if you have a strong conviction on something AAPL related, then, sure, get it out there on this forum, BUT don’t harp on it endlessly… please.'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'Of course BMW drivers don’t look down on the smaller vehicles. The M3 *defines* the ultimate driving machine: nimble and quick! And, yes, of course smaller than the 5, 6, 7, and 8 (don’t see many of the latter around anymore. I think the 1s and 2s are kinda cute. And also, a 2024 M3 is a fair bit bigger than the old E30s of yesteryear. To me, though, the idea of “versatility” in a Cadillac as an SUV just seems silly. I can’t imagine one of those things ever driving over a curb, much less off-road. Roomy? Yes. Practically a conference room. Comfortable? I am sure they are. Practical? Meh. (The M3 does not go off-road, either. Stiletto heels do not belong in mud or even barely grass – though I do have a few near-horror stories.)'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I’m buying one. Period. Simply because it is the first of a new category, and Apple pays me well enough to buy it. Doesn’t hurt that my iPhone 15 Pro Max is getting a bit long in the tooth. I think, as others have suggested, that it is an interesting use-case. I do consume content on my iPhone. I would like a little more space for that, but I don’t usually have my iPad with me. I don’t feel any shame for my technology “man-bag”, but I just don’t always take it with me. I almost *always* have my iPhone with me (exceptions are generally body-maintenance functions: exercise, sleep, etc). To have my always and everywhere device be more enjoyable and usable is an easy win for me. This isn’t rocket science. Geaux, Jerry …'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - '“ Kind of an empty last laugh, I’d say, considering that the foldable skeptics of 3.0 will profit by exactly the same amount as the pro-folders” That was exactly my immediate thought. But on 2nd thought, I’m thinking the ones that stop laughing first are not 3.0 members (Apple longs), but those Apple critics who short Apple or not own it.'
  • John Konopka on Premarket: Apple is green - '@Gregg Once the new iPhone comes out we will see it get lots of press because of the new Siri AI. Everyone will want to be out there with their test results.'
  • John Konopka on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'I’m very happy for Jerry. It’s great when persistence pays off.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'In afternoon trading Apple is up $1.58 of 0.51% at $310.93. The major indexes are mixed on the day. Powering the DJIA into positive territory is Visa which is poised to set a new all-time high. The shares are trading up $10.06 or 2.71% at $381.10. Just behind Visa on the day is Disney which is up $2.34 or 2.17% at $110.12. Disney has been a big multi-year under performer. Over the past five years the shares have dropped 38.28% and year-to-date the shares are off 3.18%. Over the past month the shares have climbed 16.13%. Under the new CEO the company is pressured to increase profitability and reverse the multi-year underperformance in the share price. Back to Apple. Let’s see how the shares close out the day. Apple is outperforming the broad market today.'
  • Bill Donahue on Mopping up the AI slop - 'AI slop in digital music and streaming is just the next step, after all the corporate music slop that’s been increasingly pumped out in the last 30+ years and the dominance of professional song-writing factories, over-production in the studio, and auto-tune. I always think of The Buggles’ “Video Killed The Radio Star”, and how true that is. Think of all the true musical greats of the past, and then ask how many would get a record contract or a song on the charts today because of the fact that they weren’t physically attractive and “video friendly”. AI slop is just the next obvious step for all the accountants running the music industry: “You know how we could make even more money? Get rid of all the musicians and singers!!” In many cases, “pop” stars don’t play instruments and barely even sing, with recorded vocal tracks even drowning them out during what are supposed to be live events.'
  • Bill Donahue on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'Kind of an empty last laugh, I’d say, considering that the foldable skeptics of 3.0 will profit by exactly the same amount as the pro-folders, if a folding iPhone is a huge hit. Personally, I have absolutely no problem admitting I was wrong when it comes to an opinion about something, and especially when it was never going to affect my behaviour or life. *IF* they actually release a folding iPhone, I hope it’s a gargantuan hit and a colossal cash generator. I just don’t think it will be. At best, it’ll be a form-factor option in a robust line of iPhones, the non-folding of which will be smaller, more powerful, and (most importantly) a lot cheaper.'
  • Romeo Esparrago on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'It’d be great to see  Foldables in SactoJoe’s next get-together❣️'
  • Robert Stack on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - 'That’s hilarious Romeo – I hereby nominate you for a Hasselblad Award! But I’m also wondering who’s the guy whose ear is just peeking out from the side of the photo?? It looks vaguely familiar… 🙂'
  • Romeo Esparrago on Apple foldable: Jerry W. Doyle is prepared to have the last laugh - '“The Brand Matters. “ “ All BMW owners see each other as equals” Mr. Thall, your post was a great read. Thank you.'