Recent Comments

  • Ron Fredrick on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Gregg Thurman said:”If I were long AAPL I’d ride the bumpy road until it recovered.” **Gregg, my wife and I continued holding 100% AAPL when it dropped -4% in 2002, -57% in 2008, -5% in 2015, -7% in 2018 and -27% in 2022…so we‘re very familiar with that bumpy road to which you’re referring. 🙂 But, I also know that since I retired in 2008, AAPL has had two major splits and the share price has increased dramatically, especially considering those down years. As of market close today, our 100% AAPL portfolio has 44.1 times the worth it had when I retired. So, at this stage, I know we could endure a pullback in AAPL share price very much easier than in the early days of our AAPL investment. I appreciate your comment about using options to “hedge my bet” but, at my age and with AAPL’s performance over the past 24+ years, I’m well past considering any other type of investing other than being long AAPL.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'It shouldn’t be a surprise that iPhone did so well. Giving your loved one anything other than an iPhone would be like giving her a cubic zirconia instead of a diamond. It isn’t the actual difference in quality, it’s the perception of the difference in quality.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'I know nothing about how to hedge my bets with AAPL. Options. Hedging requires a very strong conviction that an equity is going to decline, and by a significant amount. If I were long AAPL I’d ride the bumpy road until it recovered. Since I started investing in AAPL (2004) it has recovered after every selloff, even after the most severe decline. I’m not a fan of hedging against a potential decline. The risk of being wrong is just too high for me. To Short NVDA to the degree he has, Burry must have some super compelling data, and a set of balls the size of basketballs. I believe he’s correct, but I’d sell my shares before I shorted anything.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple at $278.85: Fourth all-time high in four trading days - 'I’m hoping it was for everyone else as well.“ It was for me, I got to order a new iPad Pro 13 inch M5'
  • Fred Stein on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Nice. Astute. And certainly, all of the out-performance relative to S&P.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple at $278.85: Fourth all-time high in four trading days - 'This was a very good day for me. I’m hoping it was for everyone else as well. I expect Monday to be even better.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple at $278.85: Fourth all-time high in four trading days - 'With the sales uptick in China and demand for the iPhone 17 remaining strong as we head into the holiday season, those first quarter numbers ought to be something special. Toss in these recent short numbers, and when those shares are covered it could be quite the ride for long term farmers: Short interest was (118.199) Million as of September 15, 2025. 2.127 Short interest was (110.777) Million as of September 30, 2025. 1.744 Short interest was (109.135) Million as of October 15, 2025. 2.628 Short interest was (115.557) Million as of October 31, 2025. 2.198 Short interest was (114.913) Million as of November 15, 2025. 2.442'
  • Ron Fredrick on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Joseph Bland said: “Thanks, Michael! And luckily, Tommo hedged his bets, although I think he was out of the stock when he left us. **But, as a long-term AAPL-farmer, Joseph, you know that hedging one’s bets, by moving in and out of AAPL over the years, hasn’t been the most profitable idea. As I posted recently, if someone like Tommo owned 8,000 shares of AAPL in 2001, the three AAPL splits since then would have turned them into 448,000 shares…and AAPL’s share price at today’s close would mean those shares would now be worth $124,924,800.00. It’s difficult for me to imagine that hedging one’s bets with AAPL would have turned out to be as nearly as profitable. But, then again, as a long-term investor myself, I know nothing about how to hedge my bets with AAPL.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Greg, love that you’re hedging yourself with the spread approach, unlike the Reddit folks on r/wallstreetbets who buy risky longs and puts on Robinhood, and end up deeply in the red, because they didn’t limit their downside.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - '@Robert and Gregg: Thank you both for those observations and noteworthy statistics. Staying the course as a farmer can have long term benefits. As well as the options subscribers to Apple 3.0.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Great purchase. For those curious about the 2.20 price, each contract owns the rights of 100 shares, ergo 2.20 equates to a $220 price per contract. The $275/$280 Call Spread equates to a $5 spread, or $500. Breakeven is $277.20 on JAN 16. AAPL is already trading above that, so the risk is quite low. Max profit, in this example is $14,000 on an $11,000 investment (127% ROI in about 2 months). There are risks, although in my opinion they are lower than holding the stock.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'over the past 10 years Berkshire has barely beaten the performance of this widely followed index. Wouldn’t AAPL represent most of that gain?'
  • Roger Schutte on Premarket: Apple is green - '$2.20'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'He was, and like me, he missed out on a 60% gain by complaining (me fearing more of the same), instead of believing in the quality of Apple’s management.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Michael: Just looking at the numbers: Over the past 10 years Apple is up 846.14%, Microsoft has advanced 779.21%, Google has gained 735.11% and Berkshire has moved higher by 274.67%. Over this same 10-year period the S&P 500 has gained 227.69. In other words, over the past 10 years Berkshire has barely beaten the performance of this widely followed index. As much as I respect Warren Buffet and appreciated the wit and wisdom of the late Charlie Munger, Berkshire’s investment decisions are not ones I consider to be a road map to follow at this point in time.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Thanks, Michael! And luckily, Tommo hedged his bets, although I think he was out of the stock when he left us.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'It was! The 4th ATCH in a row!'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'While Warren Buffett still has a substantial Apple stake and used his sales proceeds to purchase Dominos pizza and a buy out of Occidental Petroleum’s chemicals business, he has missed out on quite a run up in Apple. Here’s to the long term farmers on Apple 3.0.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Markets are now closed for this abbreviated post-Thanksgiving trading day. Over 75% of S&P 500 components ended the session in the green as the index rose 0.54%. Data center supplier Vertiv Holdings rose 4.48% to $179.73. Arista Networks gained $3.03 or 2.37% to end the session at $130.68. Apple added $1.30 or 0.47%, close to matching the percentage rise in the index, to end the week at $278.85.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Was that yet another new ATCH (all time closing high)?'
  • Stephen Gordon on Apple flipped China's 'Single's Day' sales from -5% to +3% - 'Doom becomes boom.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Release the Kraken! Apple moved solidly green in the last few minutes….'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Roger, if I may ask, what did you pay per contract?'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Roger, my suggestion is based on my historical knowledge (15+ years) of AAPL seasonal trading trends and management’s guidance. These are my interpretations of the data. I hope you are not relying on my comments without doing your own due diligence. I have been known to be wrong in the past. I post my trades to stimulate discussion, on the hope/chance that someone has seen something I haven’t (and to keep my enthusiasm in check).'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Nice. I don’t think you are going to need luck. AAPL has already printed $280. Its current pullback is the result of a natural locking in of profits cycle, and the traders left town Wednesday afternoon for a very long weekend. Starting Monday we should see AAPL valuation begin to recover. It may not be fast, but with price targets steadily increasing (result of Apple management’s December quarter guidance), a January 16 print above $285 (+23% YoY on a favorable compare) is highly likely. AAPL is currently trading up ~66% from a false selloff (tariff induced) last APR. Historically, APR expiry print is (on average) 3% higher than JAN expiry, even though revenue for the MAR quarter declines on average ~19% QoQ.'
  • David Emery on Strategic News Service warning: China is weaponizing American AI - 'We’re getting well off-topic, but it is worth noting some of the conspiracy theories on Covid origin have passed significant (peer) review. The skeptic in me says “Well, given what we know, a human origin can’t be completely ruled out.”'
  • Roger Schutte on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Gregg, I’ve got 50 Jan $275/$280’s from your suggestion earlier this month. Good Luck to us!'
  • Bill Donahue on Strategic News Service warning: China is weaponizing American AI - 'Me too. I was with it until that, and then they leapt deep, deep, deep into internet conspiracy theory territory. Definitely not the best way to buttress your credibility.'
  • Steven Philips on Strategic News Service warning: China is weaponizing American AI - 'Tell that to the EU! 🙁'
  • John Manning on Strategic News Service warning: China is weaponizing American AI - '“Covid Wuhan Lab release” makes me discount everything else this guy says.'