Recent Comments

  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'In afternoon trading the major indexes are mixed. Among S&P 500 components about 67% are currently in the red on the day. Apple is up $0.19 at $311.19. SpaceX continues to wobble with the shares up $2.68 today at $110.95. Microsoft, still working off its 52-week low of $349.20 set on June 25th, is up $8.60 or 1.76% at $496.06. The all-time high of $553.72 was set last October 28th.'
  • Rodney Avilla on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - '“At the same time, dollars per download rose nearly 5%.” Decrease in downloads with an increase in revenue tells me that the App store has got rid of a lot of freebies (or a lot of freebies are not being downloaded as much). I believe AI will help Apple’s app store in the following way. Since it is the big companies (Epic Games) that want to have their own App stores and receive Apple’s services free so that they can reap all the profits, AI will help the smaller developers (who tend to stay in Apple’s app store) create better products and be more competitive (against Epic, etc), bringing more profit to Apple.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - 'Steven: I expect Apple-branded services such as Apple One and all of components, including iCloud+, and other services such as Apple Creator Studio, Maps, etc. to gradually comprise an increasing percentage of the company’s services revenue mix. The last numbers I’ve seen estimate games make up 44% of App Store revenue. I also expect Apple to increase the number of Apple-branded solutions that will be offered, including AI services through major partners. I consider the App Store model, while currently necessary for 3rd-party developers and enterprises around the world, to be antiquated and problematic for Apple due to regulatory activity. The regulatory challenges with the EU are just one example.'
  • David Emery on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - 'Granted I’m not a ‘typical user’, but I think I’ve downloaded -1- new App in the last year. That was for my new blood sugar sensor. That app required a lot of login/account creation, and since the older app works just fine to do what I want it to do (display readings locally), I’ll probably remove the new app. All those stores, etc that want me to ‘download their app for deals’ get -ignored-.'
  • John Konopka on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - 'Steven, I could be wrong but I don’t see AI obviating the need for an app. AI supposedly amplifies the app, but you still need the app. I just looked at my first few pages on my iPad and I see streaming music, Apple TV, a remote for the physical Apple TV, an app for the photo scanner, one for earthquake alerts, Universe Splitter, and others. I guess AI would try to make those easier to use but I still need the basic function each provides.'
  • David Emery on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'I don’t think that question is particularly relevant. If you steal an auto and then park it in your garage, is it still theft?'
  • Gregg Thurman on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - 'Steven, I’m guessing the “AI” apps at this stage are going to be low hanging fruit. In other words, obvious and easy to develop. As “AI” tools proliferate, “AI” capable apps will become more capable and usage will expand. I couldn’t tell you in what categories these Apps will appear. My imagination isn’t omnipresent. But a multitude of developers will create a multitude of Apps. It’ll just take time for developer knowledge to grow and startups to emerge.'
  • Steven Philips on BofA: Apple App Store downloads fell 4% Y/Y in July - 'Here’s a question. There are a ton of apps that improve specific functions or add things that are missing and a lot of these are now adding AI functionality which could increase downloads when newer AI iPhones roll out. BUT – AI itself may eliminate the need for many of these apps and seemingly could devastate App Store sales. Would Apple’s AI monetization make up for these losses – IF I’m correct?'
  • Fred Stein on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Fair question. This may help. AI says Apple’s ROIC is 45%, or at the 95% for all businesses. We can take comfort that they make excellent investment choices. Also, they never spend all the buyback allocation. Final note: The $160M in buyback allocation is about 3% of the market cap.'
  • Roger Schutte on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Favorable comments on SiTime’s earnings call last night guiding that sales to their ‘large consumer company’ will be strong in the second half of 2026 + stronger for 2027 as they (Apple) ‘continue to roll out our products into their next generation’. SiTime sells precision timing products used networking. Sales to data centers has taken off for them but 2 of their products are used in Apple’s C-series modems. Another answer by the CEO later in the Q+A regarding long term growth rates (next 5-8 years) absolutely caught my attention and reconfirmed my conviction in the stock. Not investment advice so do you own research but I will be continuing to add on all pullbacks.'
  • Jonny T on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'If it were to work you must assume there would be no distraction from its core business. Which has been fundamental to Apple’s success.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'The DJIA set yet another all-time high today. This time the record of 54,744.33 was set early in the session. The index trailed off into the close to set a new all-time closing high of 54,349.12. Disney contributed to the index’s gain as the shares rose 3.65% to $101.76. Apple closed up $1.62 to $311. Although the current all-time high of $344.57 was set on July 29th and the shares closed $33.57 below that level, over the past month Apple is up 0.77%.'
  • Ben Gepp on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Robert – “I am a little surprised” …indeed. Perhaps they didn’t anticipate it being as protracted or as deep. But it will serve as a cautionary tale going forward.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Who do you see as the most likely “AI losers”? To your point, there are concerns the markets for memory and storage are cyclical. No one wants excess capacity when the demand cycle ebbs.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Ben: I was composing this post as you were posting above: I appreciate Wamsi Mohan’s look at the numbers. Western Digital dropped $29.39 or 5.36% today on news of slimmer margins on memory products sold. Micron is likely to face tougher competition from Chinese suppliers and there is a risk in the cyclicality of the businesses – memory and storage – for all of the suppliers. I’m a little surprised Apple wasn’t ahead of these supply problems. Apple just announced a major deal with Broadcom in the $30 billion+ range that will expand Broadcom’s production capacity and we know of Apple’s high-profile deal with Corning as well. Is there/have there been opportunities for Apple to co-invest with storage and memory suppliers to increase capacity to meet the company’s needs?'
  • Steven Philips on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'I don’t think that Apple – or anyone – thought that buying a chip foundry made fiscal sense. Till now!'
  • John Konopka on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'I changed companies a couple of times. Each time both companies bent over backwards to be careful that we played by the rules.'
  • Ben Gepp on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Robert: I also agree with those decisions. Buybacks have served us well, I just question whether those buybacks may have incurred any opportunity costs. Presently it’s easy, with hindsight, to wonder whether if some of that money were directed to a chip fab to ensure long(er)term robust partnerships that Apple might have mitigated the predicament it finds itself in now? Apple certainly identified a vulnerability with Qualcomm and took prudent steps to avoid being cornered in. And I expect now that Apple will react decisively to mitigate this constraint which has had a massive impact on its products’ BOM. Apple needs far more control of the vertical stack.'
  • Daniel Epstein on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'I am not sure if Apple’s announced annual buyback authorization amounts are being fully exercised by the time they announce the new amounts each year. If they have a smaller buyback like the 11 billion in the previous quarter the 25 Billion in the last quarter doesn’t make them on pace for the announced annual amount which would average around 25 billion per quarter. This happens with buybacks as opposed to dividends. They are not a promise but more of an aspiration. Still a lot of shareholder return but they can adjust as they like.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Ben: IIRC Apple’s new CFO has stated the company may reduce the dollar size of future repurchase authorizations. I did notice the company has also de-emphasized reaching net cash neutral as a policy or strategic goal. I agree with both decisions by senior management.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'I listen to about 3 hours of news/economic/and market-related podcasts a day. It’s what I do while exercising throughout the day. I have about 60 different podcasts in my library for easy access. On a Bloomberg Surveillance podcast this morning titled,“ Market Rally and Warnings” Alicia Levine, CIO at BNY Wealth, mentioned the market is looking for explosive growth in tech industry cash flows from the big capex spends by 2030. I do recommend this particular podcast. Later in the episode Dan Ives joins the conversation and talks about Microsoft’s latest earnings and SpaceX. He mentions Apple and says again the consumer AI revolution runs through Cupertino.'
  • Ben Gepp on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Whilst I appreciate the financial security Apple’s buyback program has brought me I do wonder whether it’s the best allocation of capital? Happy to be refuted here, but what if Apple spent that roughly $800B on building adjacent businesses that were infused with Apple like culture and spinning them off? Would that not only build wealth for Apple investors but also help build a more resilient and ‘healthier’ US/global economy? They could have moved into energy/banking/manufacturing/services…'
  • Rodney Avilla on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'The theft of trade secrets is well documented. The only question is, did OpenAI accept those secrets and or use them?'
  • Fred Stein on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Apple’s buy backs last quarter, near an all time high, shows confidence that Apple will do very well under Ternus. The authorized buy back allocation, now well above prior all time highs, also shows confidence. Oddly buybacks were very low in FYQ2 ’26.'
  • Charles A. on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'I find that one of the main benefits of subscribing to Seeking Alpha is the wide range of reader comments/opinions at the end of each article. And there are tons of long-term AAPL holders out there. The strong rebuttals on “negative” Apple articles on SA by these multi-decade AAPL investors — much like so many of us here on PED’s blog — more than compensate for the pricey sub fee, IMO.'
  • Steven Philips on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'Thank you for your consideration of this matter! 🙂'
  • David Emery on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'The legal doctrine of affectus laesi….'
  • Bill Fouche on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'DEFENDANTS’ MOTION TO DISMISS ALL CLAIMS TO THE HONORABLE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT: Defendants hereby move to dismiss all Apple’s claims against them on grounds that their claims are careless, they are aggressive, and they are oddly personal. The lawsuit is very mean. And it has hurt our feelings.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'About 90 minutes from the closing bell and the major indexes are now mixed on the day. Apple is currently trading off $0.95 at $308.43. Arista Networks is up $12.36 or 6.49% at $202.87 on strong revenue, earnings and forward guidance. Disney is also moving higher on strong earnings. The shares are up $3.01 or 3.07 at $101.19. Let’s see how the market closes out the day…'