Joseph Bland on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Thank you, Bart! That was a lot of work, I know, especially being spread over several posts, but very illuminating for me personally. One major takeaway for me was a fresh personal appreciation of the sheer level of sophistication China has now achieved. They have truly grown over the years, technologically speaking. The Duo is clearly a technological tour de force. Another takeaway is that whoever supplied the information for this article is extremely knowledgeable about the Duo. I have to admit that knowing someone outside of Apple has that breadth of Apple knowledge makes me uneasy…. Once again, Bart, thanks for going to all that trouble!'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Apple is also buying discounted shares on your behalf, Aaron, which is the icing on your AAPL strudel! Yum!'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Some additional tidbits from South China Morning Post on Apple’s strong iPhone 18 initial sales: Apple leads China smartphone sales after launch of iPhone 18 Pro. Can the momentum last? Sales in the first three days were 12 per cent higher than the previous generation’s entire first week • “Sales of the new Pro models in their first three days after launching on September 18 were 12 per cent higher than sales of the iPhone 17 Pro line-up during its entire first week last year, according to a report published on Wednesday by Counterpoint Research. That strong start catapulted Apple to the No 1 position by smartphone sales for the week of September 14 to 20, with the company capturing 33 per cent of the market.” Apple could receive a further boost from its first foldable handset, the iPhone Duo, which will go on sale on October 23. UBS said in a research note last week that Chinese consumers continued to show greater interest in foldable devices compared with other international markets. “UBS maintained its forecast for Apple’s global iPhone sales for the current financial year, projecting shipments to reach 261 million units, up 15.4 per cent year on year. These gains come against a backdrop of challenges facing the wider industry. The global smartphone market is grappling with a shortage of memory chips, as surging demand for AI infrastructure puts pressure on supplies for consumer electronics. China’s weekly handset sales have declined by double digits year on year since July, according to Counterpoint, which attributed the weakness to soft consumer spending and elevated chip costs. The memory shortage is expected to drag global smartphone shipments down this year. IDC forecast in August that shipments could contract 16.7 per cent, the steepest annual drop on record, while Counterpoint projected a 14 per cent market decline for 2026.” Excerpt From “Apple leads China smartphone sales after launch of iPhone 18 Pro. Can the momentum last?” Emma Ma South China Morning Post https://apple.news/AYgG8gdKARXyBegL8Y6f_FA This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Looks like India is finally getting ApplePay. All the details have been worked out.As reported by AppleInsider: https://appleinsider DOT com/articles/26/09/30/india-finally-gets-apple-pay-after-more-than-nine-years-of-negotiations?utm_source=rss “India is home to a dynamic and digitally savvy population that continues to embrace a cashless future while expecting the highest standards of security and privacy,” said Jennifer Bailey, Apple’s vice president of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet in a statement, “and we’re so excited to bring Apple Pay to users in India today.” This is a positive I believe'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'I love supply chain FUD stories! Let’s me pickup some more AAPL on a discount.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'AppleInsider covering the story: https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/09/30/refreshed-homepod-mini-apple-tv-and-new-homehub-coming-on-october-13 Refreshed HomePod mini, Apple TV and new HomeHub coming on October 13 A new report claims that Apple is planning October 13 for the unveiling of a trio of home products, including the much-awaited HomeHub or HomePod. It’s already been leaked that the HomePod mini refresh will be confined to new colors, and the updated Apple TV 4K will keep its existing chassis design. According to Bloomberg, these two are set to be released alongside the brand-new home hub. As previously reported, that HomePod with a screen has been waiting only for the updated Siri AI to be released. All three of these devices were reportedly first scheduled to launch as long ago as 2024. No details of pricing or really of any configuration is known for the home hub, although there have been code leaks that describe how its screen will work. The device is also believed to check for nearby iPhones, and then display relevant data for that user. Intended to be used by multiple people, this device is expected to act as a central control unit of your Apple Home. It’s previously been reported to launch in 2024, 2025, and most recently in late 2026. The colors of the refreshed HomePod mini lineup colors are expected to be black, white, blue, pink, and green. It’s also expected that four such HomePod minis could be paired to an Apple TV 4K, too. Then the new Apple TV 4K is presumed to bring Siri AI to the TV set for the first time, and it’s rumored to feature both an A20 Pro processor and a doubling of RAM to 8GB. Those are needed for Siri AI but will also benefit gamers. The existing larger HomePod is said to be getting a refresh as well, but not alongside this launch. Apple is also planning home security devices, which are currently expected to launch in 2027. Apple is not expected to release any other brand-new devices, but according to the new report, it is working with other companies. Apple is said to be revising its HomeKit software to better support third-party devices.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Gurman piece out this morning re an Oct 12 launch of new smart home products. Free “gift” link below: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-30/apple-is-finally-ready-to-enter-its-next-big-category-the-smart-home?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc5MDc2Nzc1NiwiZXhwIjoxNzkxMzcyNTU2LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUTTM0SDRUOTZPU0cwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI3NjA5RUVBQjMyNzE0MUNEODlGRjc0MUFDMzJCMDBENSJ9.x7zH-rimMOTWAek_Fx3bvzvNvXKK3R3gW9_eHbEu-Ms'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Doomed I tell ya! iPhone 18 Pro Series Sales Up 12% YoY in Launch Week in China as Apple Takes #1 Spot Apple Leads China Smartphone Sales as iPhone 18 Pro Sees Strong Launch • Apple’s iPhone 18 Pro series saw a solid launch in China with 12% YoY growth in its first week, helping the company lead sales in Week 38, supported by strong early upgrades, aggressive channel support and a narrowing price gap between top-tier competitor flagships and the iPhone Pro series. • China’s weekly sales have declined double-digit YoY since July amid soft demand and rising memory costs; • September’s new product launches are expected to support sequential recovery. • Huawei continues to innovate in form factors, with wide-screen slab Pura X View well received and wide foldable Pura X Max seeing renewed sales momentum after the iPhone Duo announcement. • Chinese flagship models have seen significant price increases, particularly due to higher-memory and 2nm SoC variants, which could weigh on sales. Sept 30, 2026 China’s weekly smartphone sales have declined by double-digits YoY since July, according to Counterpoint Research’s China Weekly Smartphone Sell-Out Tracker. Consumer demand has remained soft amid rising memory costs this year, but the new product launch cycle in September is expected to support sequential market recovery. During the first three days of its sales (which accounted for only three days in Week 38), the iPhone 18 Pro series recorded 12% YoY growth compared with the iPhone sales. The strong initial performance helped Apple move into the No. 1 spot in sales in Week 38, with a 33% share of China’s smartphone market. Commenting on its performance, Senior Analyst Ivan Lam said, “The delayed launch of the base iPhone 18 may have driven some consumers to trade up to the Pro series, while price hikes of over $200 on many Chinese flagship models may have raised the price anchor, strengthening the iPhone’s relative value proposition.” Beyond Apple, Huawei introduced a new wide-screen slab form factor with the Pura X View. It adopts a 16:9.5 wide-screen ratio, bringing a more natural and comfortable viewing. Its innovative form factor, well-positioned pricing and flagship-level specifications have supported strong initial sales. Research Analyst Shiwen Ma commented, “By bringing the wide-screen experience of foldables to a hinge-free slab phone, the Huawei Pura X View addresses a gap for consumers who want a larger screen without paying a premium or accepting the bulk of a foldable device.” Meanwhile, the recent wave of wide-screen foldable launches, including the iPhone Duo and Xiaomi 18 Fold, has further boosted sales of the Pura X Max several months after its launch. Chinese Android OEMs also launched their new flagships in September, with most models going on sale before the Chinese National Day holiday. Rising memory costs have pushed up flagship prices significantly versus predecessors, with higher-memory variants and 2nm SoC models generally seeing more pronounced increases. Therefore we expect this generation to see lower sales than its predecessors over Q4. https://counterpointresearch.com/en/insights/iphone-18-pro-series-sales-up-12-percent-yoy-in-launch-week-in-china-as-apple-takes-hashtag-1-spot'
on Château de Mercuès - 'Any ideas about yesterday’s sell off? Lawsuit “loss” (temporary) or profit taking don’t feel like the reason, but maybe. Also: I’m waiting for the home products. With all the possible variations and multiples (cameras, input devices sensors, controllers etc. it seems like a lot of potential profit. 🙂'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Apple Pay launches in India with Axis Bank partnership “Apple Pay (AAPL.O) has launched in India through a partnership with Axis Bank (AXBK.NS), giving the payment service its first foothold in one of the world’s largest digital payments markets, the lender said on Wednesday. Axis Bank, India’s third-largest private lender, will be the first Indian bank to offer Apple Pay, initially to customers with credit cards on the Visa (V.N) and Mastercard (MA.N) networks.” “Cards on India’s homegrown RuPay network will not be eligible. “India is home to a dynamic and digitally savvy population that continues to embrace a cashless future while expecting the highest standards of security and privacy, and we’re so excited to bring Apple Pay to users in India today,” Jennifer Bailey, Apple’s vice president of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet, said in a statement. Axis Bank is India’s fourth-largest credit card issuer, with 16.3 million cards outstanding as of August, out of 124 million nationwide, central bank data showed. The launch would help the US company offer its payment service in the world’s most populous country, one of the few major economies where it is not available. Apple Pay has also held talks with larger rivals HDFC Bank (HDBK.NS) and ICICI Bank (ICBK.NS), but has yet to agree commercial terms, Reuters reported earlier this month.” “India’s Unified Payments Interface, a real-time bank transfer system, accounts for 84% of digital payment volumes and is the world’s largest retail fast-payment system by transaction volume, according to a 2025 IMF report. Customers can add eligible cards through Axis Bank’s mobile app or Apple Wallet and make payments in stores, in apps and online using an iPhone, Apple Watch or iPad, the lender said in a statement. Apple Pay lets users make contact less payments without entering a card PIN or one-time password, authenticating transactions through Face ID, Touch ID or a device passcode.” Excerpt From “Apple Pay launches in India with Axis Bank partnership” Reuters Reuters https://apple.news/AyF0HgvleTTmncv9cOMsBLw This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - '“Consider that Samsung only produced and sold about 5M Duo in 2026, and up to 8-10M production capacity for all of 2027.” Somehow this got mangled in my post, should have read: “Consider that Samsung only produced and sold about 0.8M Foldables in 1H 2026, and is on track to sell about 6.5M in 2H 2026, ~3.4M Z Fold 8 (wide), ~1.8M Z Fold 8 Ultra, ~ 1.3M Z Flip 8, total for 2026 around 7.3M Foldables, a notable increase from ~6M total in 2025, 5.2M in 2024, and 5.5M in 2023. From 2023 through 2025, the clamshell Z Flips were the dominant majority of sales, partly due to cost. With 2026, that has flipped where the Flip models folded (puns intended) and now are less than 25% of sales and the Fold types now dominate. Apple is expected to sell >5-6M Duo’s in 2026, assuming no major production issues, and up to 10-14M production capacity/sales for all of 2027, more than double. Counterpoint, Omdia and IDC all expect Apple to take 25% of total Foldables sales (total around 22M, and an even higher percentage of Folding types) in 2026, making Apple the immediate #3 Foldables maker. Then Apple is expected to take ~40% of the Foldables market in 2027 with 12-14M sales which would put Apple as the #1 Foldables maker by sales volume w/ just 1 model vs 2-4 by Samsung, Huawei. Whether or not Apple hits those lofty sales predictions or that the entire Foldables market expands that much remains to be seen. But make no mistake, the Duo has definitely caught Apple’s users’ attention, and wallets.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Pretty amazing that Porsche is back-filling Apple Play functionality to older Porsche models, what other manufacturers would do that? From Road & Track via Apple News: https://apple.news/ArxKweCNCQuKfXpczO7bk0Q Porsche Just Gave 300,000 of Its Best Older Sports Cars Modern Infotainment With Apple CarPlay Porsche Classic Communication Management Plus brings CarPlay, Android Auto and more modern functions to many 2009-2016 cars. “Many Porsche enthusiasts prefer old-school technology. Manual transmissions, naturally aspirated engines, and analog gauges often provide a more tactile, more engaging driving experience than their alternatives. But when it comes to infotainment, newer is generally better. Porsche began bringing those two worlds together in 2020 with Porsche Classic Communication Management Plus (PCCM Plus), giving owners of classic models access to modern infotainment without sacrificing the factory look. And as of Tuesday, Porsche is expanding the technology to a newer generation of future classics.” “The latest version of PCCM Plus is now available for the 997.2-generation 911, 987.2-gen Boxster and Cayman, 991.1-generation 911, and 981-gen Boxster and Cayman. Porsche says that opens the factory infotainment upgrade to more than 300,000 cars from model years 2009 through 2016. These generations represent something of a dividing line in Porsche history, arriving before turbocharged Carreras and four-cylinder Boxsters and Caymans became the norm. At the center of PCCM Plus is a seven-inch high-resolution touchscreen, but the biggest upgrade is the addition of wireless Apple CarPlay and Android Auto. Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connectivity are included, along with Bluetooth audio streaming, 4G support through a nano SIM card, and over-the-air map updates.” “PCCM Plus was designed to integrate with the car’s existing electronics. Cars originally equipped with a multifunction steering wheel can use it to control the new system, while navigation instructions and music information can appear in the instrument cluster. Existing vehicle settings remain supported as well; for example, Boxster and Cayman models equipped with parking sensors gain a visual distance display to supplement the original audible warning. Plus, the look is seamless and can easily be mistaken for original equipment, unlike most aftermarket systems. But Porsche drivers love to drive above all else, so PCCM Plus adds a few features that seem tailor-made for drivers. Oil temperature and oil pressure can be displayed on the trip screen; even more exciting is the satellite-image navigation and a Scenic Roads function that can deliberately select winding, panoramic routes rather than simply finding the fastest way to your destination. Porsche offers two versions of the system: One covering the 997.2 and 987.2, and another for the 991.1 and 981. Individual functions vary depending on the model and original equipment, and Porsche recommends having PCCM Plus installed at a Porsche dealer.” Excerpt From “Porsche Just Gave 300,000 of Its Best Older Sports Cars Modern Infotainment With Apple CarPlay” Joe Kucinski Road & Track This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Its is highly speculative. In today’s Fast Money podcast Gene Munster mentions Apple’s AI efforts and Siri at about the 15 minute mark and at about the 25 minute mark the panel debunks the risk to Apple from Meta’s Muse. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cnbcs-fast-money/id215529509?i=1000792271402'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Wow! That is scary. I don’t need to be advised to continue to avoid anything Meta. So maybe after this new report gets out, the market will be less intimidated by the incomplete news from Benzinga that caused the selloff today. That could bode well for an AAPL rebound'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Here is a non-paywall account of the article: Unsurprisingly, Meta’s new Muse AI agent blatantly ignores users permissions'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - '“What Apple could truly change is this cycle. If the iPhone Duo brings in millions of new users, the commercial returns for developers adapting their interfaces to larger screens will increase accordingly. At that point, foldable screens could potentially transform from “foldable smartphones” into new products with their own independent software ecosystem and interaction logic. Therefore, the first year after Apple’s foldable screen is launched will be a crucial window to verify this judgment. In the early stages of a new product launch, there may be supply shortages due to limited production capacity and demand from early adopters, but what truly determines whether the product can achieve sustained growth is whether there will be significant changes in the software ecosystem thereafter. The iPhone Duo is just the first generation of Apple’s foldable screen product line. The aforementioned analyst told reporters that as production capacity ramps up and the software ecosystem matures, its sales volume could increase to 20 to 30 million units in the next two to three years. Only then can it transition from a high-priced, small-scale, early adopter to a mainstream Apple product.” And that’s the whole article. Here’s the AppleInsider Summary: https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/09/29/making-millions-of-iphone-duos-is-proving-harder-than-apple-hoped'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Apple may be able to further expand the foldable screen market. Apple wasn’t the first company to launch a foldable phone. Samsung released a similar product as early as 2019, and many domestic Chinese phone manufacturers followed suit. However, even after seven years of development, foldable screens have yet to become a mainstream product. According to Omdia data, global shipments of foldable smartphones are projected to reach 18.2 million units in 2025, representing a 6% year-on-year increase, the lowest growth rate in recent years. During the same period, global smartphone shipments are estimated at approximately 1.26 billion units. Based on this, the penetration rate of foldable screens is approximately 1.4%, still considered a niche product. In the first half of this year, global shipments of foldable smartphones reached 5.1 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 21.6%. Among them, shipments of vertically foldable models decreased by 47% compared to the first half of 2025, while shipments of horizontally foldable models remained basically flat. However, after speaking with several industry insiders, reporters found that many still have high hopes for Apple’s entry into this market. They believe that Apple’s significance goes beyond simply adding another foldable screen brand; rather, it could leverage its global sales, developer ecosystem, and supply chain influence to further expand the foldable screen market. An individual who has long been engaged in mobile phone retail and has come into contact with many foldable screen products also told reporters that he is relatively optimistic about the growth of this market. In his view, the demand for larger display areas has been a long-standing issue. While mobile phone screens have grown from one or two inches to nearly seven inches, the size of traditional smartphones is nearing its limit due to limitations in grip and portability. Holographic displays and rollable screens are unlikely to mature in the short term, making foldable screens one of the few viable solutions that balance large screens and portability for the next three to five years. “If Apple can expand its user base and encourage Samsung and domestic mobile phone manufacturers to continue investing, the foldable screen market may enter a new round of growth,” the person also mentioned. According to industry sources, Apple’s sales guidance for its first product in 2026 has exceeded 5 million units, which is about a quarter of the total global foldable screen market in 2025. In addition, Apple can also promote the further development of the foldable screen software ecosystem. In the early days of foldable screens, many apps simply stretched the existing phone interface horizontally after unfolding. For apps like short videos, social media, and e-commerce, the larger screen did not necessarily result in a significantly better user experience. A retail industry insider who uses domestically produced foldable screen phones told reporters that even if store managers need to use the large screen to view business reports, they usually only unfold the foldable screen for less than 10 minutes a day. Many apps haven’t redesigned their information layout, split-screen collaboration, and interaction methods for foldable screens. Even though users buy a foldable phone, they’re essentially still using the same logic as a traditional smartphone. Foldable screens have thus fallen into a cycle: insufficient user base, software vendors lack the motivation to specifically adapt their software; no significant improvement in software experience, and users can’t find a reason to frequently unfold the screen.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'The screen support plate is located below the flexible inner screen. It needs to provide support for the screen when unfolded to prevent the middle area from sagging; and when folded, it should not prevent the screen from bending according to a set radius. Beneath the support plate lies a hinge composed of over 100 parts. The hinge needs to control the opening and closing resistance, determine the screen’s bending radius, and flatten the center of the screen when the phone is fully unfolded. It also needs to be lightweight, durable, and dust and water resistant within a very small space. “Hinges contain many components, each manufactured using different processes, such as stamping, CNC machining, and MIM,” the analyst said. Different manufacturers produce the bearing caps, transmission components, support components, and other precision parts, which are then assembled into complete hinges by assembly companies. Of course, the challenges posed by hinges extend beyond their own manufacturing and assembly. They occupy space in the center of the fuselage, further limiting the layout options for other components. When unfolded, the iPhone Duo is only about 5.2 millimeters thick, about 0.4 millimeters thinner than the iPhone Air. The hinge occupies the central space of the device, leaving the battery, motherboard, and cooling system to be placed on the sides. To allow more space for the battery cells, the battery casing needs to be as thin as possible. Lingyi Intelligent Manufacturing uses ultra-thin stainless steel sheets, which are precision stamped or deep drawn to form a flat casing, and a flange is formed around the edge for subsequent welding, sealing and assembly. If the casing is too thin, it is prone to wrinkling, cracking, or springback deformation during stamping; if it is too thick, it will take up the limited battery space. The two batteries are distributed on both sides of the body, and the shapes and space conditions of the two battery casings are not exactly the same, which puts forward higher requirements for dimensional accuracy and flatness. The vapor chamber also needs to be thinner. It needs to dissipate the heat generated by the A20 Pro chip quickly without taking up too much of the already limited internal space. Chinese supply chain companies are involved in more than just glass and structural components. According to public responses from listed companies, Zhuhai Guanyu supplies battery cells for Apple’s foldable phones; Qiangrui Technology participates in the R&D, prototyping, and trial production of related testing equipment and precision fixtures; and Rongqi Technology participates in the VC heat dissipation testing for the iPhone Duo. Pressure, temperature, bonding position, hinge assembly precision, and even minute differences between different batches of materials can all affect the final result. While the production line and process parameters for a regular iPhone have matured over many years of iteration, the iPhone Duo essentially requires establishing a completely new manufacturing system. “Without the Chinese supply chain, it’s not that it’s impossible to produce, but it would be very difficult to turn it into a consumer product at the current cost and scale,” the analyst said. China’s supply chain has moved from low-cost assembly to precision manufacturing. However, the ability to extend further upstream to materials, module assemblies, and joint design will determine these companies’ profit margins and bargaining power.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Based on Apple’s disclosed technical solutions and information gathered by reporters from the supply chain, Apple addresses the crease issue by breaking it down into three problems: how the screen material changes, how light is reflected, and how the screen should actually be folded. The special adhesive layer is responsible for releasing bending pressure; the nano-texture on the surface reduces the visual presence of creases by dispersing reflected light; and the hinge and support structure below the screen are responsible for controlling the bending trajectory and flattening the center of the screen after unfolding. These solutions are designed by Apple as a whole, but turning them into products that can be delivered in large quantities still relies on the long-term accumulation of suppliers in materials, processing and mass production processes. Several key manufacturing processes are undertaken by Chinese supply chain companies. Apple Reorganizes its China Supply Chain According to sources in the supply chain, the inner screen of Apple’s first foldable phone, the iPhone DUO, uses custom nano-textured UTG glass, which can reduce creases. The nano-textured glass was exclusively developed by Lens Technology. Lens Technology recently mentioned in an institutional survey that it supplies core components such as UTG glass, CPI film, UTG glass support plate and 3D glass cover plate to its major customers’ folding machine projects. “Previously, high-end Android foldable screens were already using UTG glass.” An analyst who has long followed Apple’s supply chain told Jiemian News that UTG is more advanced than PI film and can also reduce creases. “Apple has also designed UTG glass with uneven thickness, with the middle folded part being thinner, while the sides need to maintain strength. The technical requirements are indeed higher than before.” Lens Technology previously primarily supplied front and rear cover glass, camera covers, and metal frames for some models of the standard iPhone. With the advent of foldable screens, the added internal screen and technical requirements have further increased its supply scope and the value per unit. Below the UTG is a complete foldable OLED and support structure. The flexible screen’s ability to bend also means it cannot remain flat like a single piece of rigid glass. When the phone is unfolded, the center of the screen must be supported by both the hinge and the support plate. According to sources within the industry chain, Lingyi Intelligent Manufacturing supplies iPhone Duo with precision hinge components, screen support plates, ultra-thin VC heat sinks, and ultra-thin stainless steel battery casing modules with flanges. Continued'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Hinges and creases are major obstacles to mass production. Apple has allocated more time than in previous years for the iPhone Duo’s production ramp-up. On the morning of September 10th, newly appointed Apple CEO John Tenus unveiled the iPhone Duo at a product launch event. However, unlike previous new iPhones, the phone did not launch immediately. Apple announced that the iPhone Duo would be available for pre-order on October 16th and officially released on October 23rd. According to statistics compiled by Jiemian News reporters, in the past five years, Apple’s fall flagship iPhones have taken an average of only about 3 days from release to pre-orders and about 10 days from release to market launch. The two time intervals for the iPhone Duo have been extended to 36 days and 43 days respectively, about a month longer than before. According to Jiemian News, the delayed launch of the iPhone Duo is primarily affected by the delivery schedule of core components such as the foldable OLED panel and hinge. The foldable OLED panels used in the iPhone Duo are supplied by Samsung Display. An analyst who closely follows Apple’s supply chain stated that the delivery time of these panels may be later than previously expected, and subsequent assembly and production line ramp-up will also be delayed. The hinge design also underwent adjustments. According to sources within the supply chain, Apple once tested the use of liquid metal in some hinge components, but the proposed solution was re-evaluated before mass production. “If the materials or production process of the components are changed midway, other suppliers will need to re-sample, verify and produce, and the new supplier cannot immediately increase the output,” the analyst said. Even without adjusting the design, foldable screens and hinges are not standard components that are easy to manufacture. Compared to regular candybar phones, they introduce new material, structural, and assembly requirements, making error control in the overall manufacturing process more difficult. Judging from the prototype shown at the launch event, the crease on the iPhone Duo is less noticeable than most foldable phones on the market. However, this still doesn’t meet Apple’s initial vision of a “perfect” foldable phone. A crease is not simply a groove on the screen surface, but the result of the combined effects of screen materials, hinge structure, and overall assembly. Compared to regular candybar phones, foldable phones not only have an additional internal screen but also a hinge composed of over 100 parts. The errors between the screen, hinge, and body must be controlled within a very small range; otherwise, it may result in deeper creases, inconsistent opening and closing resistance, localized screen sagging, and even affect the phone’s lifespan. Continued'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - '[Hard Tech Headlines] iPhone Duo assembly yield is only slightly over 60%, Apple’s foldable screen is still ramping up mass production. Based on Apple’s current quality standards, it may take another six months or even a year for the overall yield rate of the device to reach a mature level. Jiemian News reporters | Liang Baoxin and Li Jiaqi Jiemian News Editors | Lin Teng, Liu Fangyuan With just over a month left before its official release, Apple’s first foldable phone, the iPhone Duo, has not yet completed its mass production ramp-up. On September 17, a reporter from Jiemian News exclusively learned from sources close to Foxconn’s supply chain that the current yield rate of Foxconn’s assembled iPhone Duo is only slightly over 60%, with a small initial production run. Based on Apple’s current quality standards, it may take another six months to a year for the overall yield rate to reach a mature level. “The supply chain is now waiting for Apple to make a decision on whether to relax the quality requirements. If the quality requirements are relaxed, it will be possible to move towards mass production more quickly.” The aforementioned person said that the low yield rate is not entirely due to a problem with a certain technology, but rather because Apple is mass-producing foldable screen phones for the first time, and the production line still needs to be repeatedly adjusted in actual operation to optimize equipment, processes, and parameters. “A production line cannot be made good simply by having the technology and equipment; it needs to be debugged while producing.” Jiemian News reporters also learned from industry sources that, in addition to Foxconn’s assembly yield still being ramped up, Samsung Display’s OLED panels and hinge-related components have also previously experienced insufficient yield, delivery delays, and adjustments to plans. Any delay in any upstream link reduces the time available for subsequent assembly plants to debug their production lines. In a research report released on September 3, Mizuho Securities also mentioned that hinge specifications and screen crease issues have hampered the mass production progress of Apple’s foldable screen devices. Apple needs to weigh quality standards in order to promote full-scale mass production. An industry insider told Jiemian News that the global inventory target for the iPhone Duo this year is approximately 6 to 8 million units. In comparison, a mainstream Pro or Pro Max model typically ships 20 to 30 million units per product cycle. “The folding phone is a separate model, and it won’t start shipping until October this year, so sales won’t be particularly high,” he said. A source from the retail channel told reporters that Apple’s sales guidance exceeds 5 million units. Continued'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Love the details about the locations you’re staying at, PED. Makes me want to go back and explore the country some more, though by car. There used to be a version of me that was more journalistic after finishing college, but my career path got the better of me and eventually led to Apple stock ownership, 3.0, etc. In other words, my passion for research and curation is not what it used to be, not to mention the lack of bandwidth. Much respect to whomever can fill in when needed. Regarding Muse, I downloaded the app and set up my avatar, then deleted the app after hearing how it accessed information that was supposed to be walled off. Never used it in between, I might add. Meta might squeeze out a few extra bucks by leveraging the agent against their vast advertising network, but competition is on the horizon, and the new Siri is already much improved and will only get better. Speaking of leverage, does it matter that Meta had to resort to financial engineering to keep data center expenses off the balance sheet?'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Ok, here is the translated Chinese to English text of the Jiemian article TR refers to: https://m.jiemian.com/article/15109695.html Its long but very detailed on the Duo design, design choices, implementation and production challenges, and the choices Apple & Foxconn have to make between Apple Quality standards, so far lower production yields due to hinge and display bottlenecks and assembly yields, production line complexity, learning and tuning, or choosing to relax some quality standards and get yields up. Interesting is the comments that Samsung Foldable display yields are also a bottleneck. You know my choice – stay at Apple’s highest standards, produce what you can of highest quality level products you can make, resist the desire to cut quality for quantity – because ANY quality faults found, especially in such an expensive device, will be long remembered and mocked over any sales crowns. Apple’s quality reputation is built on products such as the Duo, so it can ill afford putting out less than perfect/best they can do products. Certainly Apple and Foxconn will learn from Manufacturing issues and version 2 may address that in the refined or redesigned hinges, and execution phase for next few years. At this point, what it results in is delayed deliveries, IMO, not lost sales. Consider that Samsung only produced and sold about 5M Duo in 2026, and up to 8-10M production capacity for all of 2027. Next post: the article text'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'BofA maintained its buy rating on Apple and its $370 Price Objective. The team looked at the potential risks to Apple and the intent of Meta. Apple will always face some level of new and prospective competition. I’m in Apple’s camp on this and see no reason to be overly concerned. Markets will react in the moment and sort it all out later. Will you trust your purchases, transaction security and privacy on your payment means to Meta? Not me.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'The idea that Meta’s software replaces Apple’s hardware is highly “speculative”. The little bit I read on Mohan’s comments were not particularly persuasive.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'I saw a Benzinga report today that seems to be what T R refers to. There’s just a slight problem, though, with that report. It’s somewhat incomplete. I happened to find a more complete explanation of BOA’s comments at StockTwits (love that name, eh). Basically, StokTiwts stated: “ Bank of America reiterated its ‘Buy’ rating on Apple Inc. (AAPL), saying concerns around Meta Platforms Inc.’s Muse AI agent are overdone even as it acknowledged a new risk to Apple’s role in how consumers discover products and start transactions. And “ Whoever owns the agent collects the routing economics that previously accrued to operating systems, search, and app stores, it said, adding, “The risk for Apple is that it can keep every handset sale and still lose discovery, referral, and transaction initiation”. And, “Despite those emerging risks, the firm said it views Apple as an “eventual winner of AI at the edge.” So, including those two additional quotes could certainly have tempered the big sell-off today but Benzinga is Benzinga. Not particularly good, apparently, at including relevant quotes. In kind of a Jim Cramer kinda way'
on Château de Mercuès - 'Some interesting revelations in the filings for Anthropic’s IPO: Revenue in 2025 was nearly $4.6 billion. Operating losses more than doubled in 2025 to more than $8 billion. About $3.8 billion of the 2025 revenue was from customers paying based on how much they use Claude , while subscription revenue was $789 million. Anthropic said it expects the former to comprise “the substantial majority” of its revenue for the foreseeable future. Anthropic paid roughly $351 million back to the platforms in distribution fees, or about 16% of sales. By early 2026, Anthropic’s total long-term commitments exceeded $417 billion. So, in summary: their IPO goal is a $2 trillion valuation… with last year’s revenue of $4.6 billion, an operating loss of $8 billion (more than double the year before), and outstanding long-term commitments of $417 billion. Now that IPO “plan” truly is some financial alchemy!'


