Troy Thoman on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'haha no. There is no way AAPL should have the same P/E to NVDA, that’s crazy talk compared to the growth of the two.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Hi, Michael. There is no possible reading of the voting situation in Louisiana that doesn’t emphatically conclude that Black votes have been culled by this action on the part of the “conservative” majority of the Supreme Court. This is not an action without dire consequences. It’s far from adequate to put in place a “solution” that destroys even partial justice when it leaves massive injustice behind.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'What would be much more useful is to collect Gurman’s predictions, and publish a scorecard between ‘those that happened’ and ‘those that were “hallucinations” by Gurman’.'
on Big bet on Apple puts - 'Thank you James and Greg, I guess there is no downside if someone else buys them and hence repays the borrowers debt for them. 😉'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'All, Reading a few comments this morning on multiple articles from PED, who BTW does a magnificent job with this site, I thought it might be of some benefit to pass along a snippet from the high court (SCOTUS) in an effort to set forth the reason for their recent decision. Even though I stay away from politics on this site and focus my comments only on news related to the business of Apple, I thought this particular passage from the SCOTUS decision might be of some benefit to those interested. While the decision is long and boring, as are most rulings from the high court, perhaps this particular passage will put into greater focus and clarity the basis for the ruling: “Properly understood, §2 thus does not intrude on States’ prerogative to draw districts based on nonracial factors, including to achieve partisan advantage. In short, §2 imposes liability only when the evidence supports a strong inference that the State intentionally drew its districts to afford minority voters less opportunity because of their race.” I encourage everyone interested to slog through their entire decision. But IMO, this particular passage at least for me, put their ruling into perspective. Now back to what Apple’s earnings will produce tomorrow after the bell. I’ve read a few opinions from the Wall Street types that essentially said Tim Cook would not have departed at this point in time unless the earnings were going to be very good. We will find out for certain about 24 1/2 hours from now.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'What I am referring to will happen tomorrow and following, based on Apple’s forecast'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'It looks like Starbucks is brewing up something good. Shares are up $9.06 today to $106.34. Comparable sales rose 6.2% in the most recent quarter yet analysts remain a bit cautious on the company. Into the last hour of today’s session and Apple is off $0.43 at $270.28. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft report today. Apple is on deck for tomorrow.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'If you took all of Gurman’s analysis and strung them together, at least from what is posted here, you would think that Apple is on its last legs. I don’t mind people pointing out the negatives but he seems to go out of his way to do so. For his sake, I hope he is well compensated for selling his soul to whatever devil is willing to pay for it.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'And this has been going on for 12 years now, and is still being almost completely ignored by so-called analysts. Oddly, that silence just gives Apple longs a continuing advantage, so fine by me.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'If we’re talking about the future, at a valuation of 34.2, Apple is presently undervalued. It truly deserves the valuation of a Nvidia, presently 42.4. That’s a price of ~$335/share, btw….'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - '”You are on a roll…!” I changed my meth supplier.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - '“[Investors/speculators] only want to know what the future holds.” True. But for Apple, some investors and most speculators are continually shooting at the AAPL target, not in front of it. Hence the perpetual undervaluation. And hence the ability for Apple to just as continually buy back cheap AAPL, rewarding the (growing) cadre of long term Apple investors. When a company (1) prints cash, (2) invests huge chunks of that cash in shrinking its float, and (3) keeps handily growing its net income, buybacks become a multiplier of net value per share for long term investors.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'Bang on, Gregg. You are on a roll…!'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'And as regards Mr. Gurman, he’s once again exposed as a meaningless gadfly, only serving as a setup to counter-argue just about everything he’s ever written. And, in the last analysis, water off a duck’s back.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'I only use Pixelmator, which is now obviously an Apple product, and haven’t used photoshop since the first version of Pixelmator was released. I’m guessing photoshop is way ahead in its AI offering?'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'I agree, Gregg. Upvoted. And if they didn’t take that “fork in the road”, they explored it thoroughly in case they ever had to retrace their direction – which is exactly what they’ve done. Indeed, those who have lambasted Apple for “wasting time and treasure” on an “Apple Car” literally saw how that worked, but could only criticize the process. They never understood the rationale behind it. Now, suddenly, not taking a fork in the road that has cost immense corporate debt for Apple’s rivals is shown to have a far more minimum cost to Apple, who are now financially free to take other forks in the road. That is the hidden benefit of NOT being a “fast follower”, but instead traveling down many unbeaten paths that often need to be abandoned.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'The Kagan dissent is pretty blunt in that regard. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/24-109_21o3.pdf'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'I presume/hope you mean bundled Android photo editing apps? I would’t think independent apps (on either platform) would be part of this particular iOS-Android comparison.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'I’m reminded of a Johnny Carson skit wherein he had an easel depicting the LA freeway (a spaghetti mess). He would use that to give directions. There was always a “fork” in the road. Seems to me that Apple’s competitors are always taking the wrong fork, but after Apple had gone down the correct fork years earlier. Because of Apple’s secrecy nobody saw the turn Apple took, a major failing of fast copiers. You can never “copy” Apple fast enough. While the pundits on WS and in the media decry Apple for being a laggard, the reality is that years earlier Apple has secretly taken a different path.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'In other news, despite the fact that Louisiana has a 33% black popultation, the Supreme Court’s “conservative” majority has gutted the Voting Rights Act, and reduced their representation in the House to a single seat. In short, on a national scale, we have violated one of the reasons we even exist as a representational democracy.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'The market is bleeding red. The massive Trump Black Swan is settling like a miasma, not just over the US of A, but over the world. Add in the power for AI to be abused by the powerful, and the future looks bleak indeed. Thank God the Republicans didn’t grant him more power over the Fed – but now that is deadly close to ending aa well. And that’s not a political statement; it’s simple fact.'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'Always the purveyor of negative Apple news. How are those “superior” Android “AI” tools working for ya?'
on Mark Gurman: Apple is playing catch-up in AI darkroom tools - 'Since I use Photoshop regularly and know what I’m doing with regards to retouching, I find the Apple tools very lacking. Hoping for casual use it will get a lot better.'
on Nate B. Jones: Apple has made a hardware bet against cloud AI (video) - 'Correction…they’re reporting after TODAY’s market close.'
on Nate B. Jones: Apple has made a hardware bet against cloud AI (video) - 'I just read this at Joe’s cesspool…”My theory: How do you keep analysts from asking awkward questions about skyrocketing capex? You schedule your call at the same time as everyone else so analysts literally can’t ask questions.” Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon have scheduled their earnings release + analyst calls all for tomorrow after market close.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'Wall Street has been very consistent in that they respond to quarterly earnings based primarily on the forecast, not the last quarter results. In other words, Apple’s EPS could double and Wall Street would respond with a sell off if Apple were to announce a major reduction in future iPhone sales. If Wall Street misses a great quarter, they don’t make up for it. That’s the past. They only want to know what the future holds. The only time a past performance counts, is when it is an indication of what the future holds.'
on Big bet on Apple puts - 'There was a unique quantity of contracts sold and it was large. In order to lock out accidental interlopers you could structure the buy and sell orders as “all or nothing”. Then place the orders simultaneously. That would raise some eyebrows at the SEC, but isn’t illegal in and of itself. It would likely precipitate an FBI investigation though.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings - 'As in the past, Apple could knock it out of the part on every aspect, the price pops three bucks and the stock dives $8 the next day'
on Nate B. Jones: Apple has made a hardware bet against cloud AI (video) - 'TR, I can’t take credit for the video. That was John Konopka. It sort of looks like the consensus is mostly that Apple took the present AI path, maybe after seeing that the data center path was a no go or a non winner. And it seems like it was a relatively early decision. Thanks for all the responses to my question.'


