Recent Comments

  • Rodney Avilla on Mark Gurman: Behind Phil Schiller's exit - 'There are somewhere between 34 and 64 million developers (AI) making apps for the iPhone. Most do so paying zero to use the app store. I don’t believe that asking them to pay a few bucks is ‘squeezing’. It’s definitely not squeezing to require those developers making millions and billions to pay their share (here’s to you, Mr. Sweeney).'
  • Rodney Avilla on This week's Apple trading strategies (9/7-9/11/26) - 'Last week’s pressure on Apple’s price thru FUD articles I believe was for 1 of 2 reasons. First goal was to create a better buy in price before the exciting new products are announced on Wednesday. The second reason was to reduce short losses. Of course there could be a third reason- the articles were true. I, for one, do not think so, but I have no inside information. We’ll see on Wednesday.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Mark Gurman: Behind Phil Schiller's exit - 'Sorry, it was John Giannandrea, not Luca Maestri, though the latter tried blocking spending to develop the M1, so maybe he deserved to go, too.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Mark Gurman: Behind Phil Schiller's exit - 'Don’t know if anyone ever followed Jim Dalrymple (retired Apple blogger), but he said on his weekly podcast that Phil Schiller would’ve been a great CEO had Tim Cook decided to step down several years earlier. We’ll never get to find out. Dalrymple also said Apple needed to get rid of three people: Tim Cook, Craig Federighi, Luca Maestri.'
  • Bill Fouche on Mark Gurman: Behind Phil Schiller's exit - 'I fear Schiller’s concerns are well-founded.'
  • Richard Gayle on Mark Gurman: Behind Phil Schiller's exit - 'Using the word “squeeze” implies there really is no way to add revenue for services but to pressure the developers and users. That only rent-seeking behavior is left. Maybe. But not, I believe, for the main App store. I think of what an AI App store might bring to the table; especially one that also enhances any money Apple gets from the uses of AI. It adds to the hardware ecosystem for AI in ways no one else can (although Nvidia is trying). How Apple monetizes AI, how it charges for tokens used from its own servers or Google’s, is one of the things I want to hear. Will Apple do some rent-seeking here, like the other AI companies? Nickel and dime its users? Is that why Schiller decided to leave? I’m sure we will find out soon.'
  • Richard Gayle on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Jobs could be an asshole but he put the signatures of those who worked on the original Mac in the plastic on the inside so people would know. I may not agree with everything Cook has done as CEO, but I do think he is a good man trying to go good in a tough time of our history. He simply does not speak like those running other tech companies.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Let’s put it out there now before it shows up on CNBC or some “Negative Nancy” article, so here it goes: Why didn’t Tim Cook make his final appearance as CEO at an Apple UNIONIZED Store?'
  • Fred Stein on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'His words ring true. The first time I went into an Apple store, I felt it, the employees, the customers were ‘my people’. I could take any one of them into my home. From then on, buying the products and stock was a no brainer. It’s still true with every store visit, every support call, every web site visit. Tim repeated, ‘enhancing people’s lives’. Tim says that every time. Call it culture, values, leadership, focus, etc. We can rest assured that everyone at every level will do the right thing.'
  • Robert Stack on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Question to ponder: How many CEOs would get that outpouring of applause and expression of love from their rank and file in a situation like this? Esp tech CEOs…'
  • Jonny T on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Sadly, the USA is not quite like Apple.'
  • Bart Yee on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Mentoring and encouraging right to the end…or the next beginning. Who knows, someone in this group of employees may rise to other heights within Apple, just as Deirdre did.'
  • Greg Lippert on The last meeting of Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO - 'Please run for president. We need you!'
  • Bart Yee on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'If you like to drive, and you like to be able to challenge yourself and your car, it’s very fun to be able to drive with precision, with speed, and with some exhilaration. For the vehicle to respond to your steering inputs, the accelerator, and braking while shifting while turning and accelerating again, all at speeds that demand your full concentration plus what you’ve learned in driving school and countless laps on a reasonably challenging circuit. Man, machine, physics, and control of energy. For some, it is like practicing a piano piece until you know it by heart, but then not only play it rote and off the page, but then to embellish it, play it with emotion and feeling and just your personal touch of interpretation. Physics, music, hearing, touch, soul. Or being able to hit that golf shot “just so” to achieve the effect you want – driver straight and true off the tee, middle iron up close to the green, a pitch with backspin to drop within 10 feet of the hole, and a tough putt to read but curves the ball right into the cup. Concentration, swing mechanics, smoothness, energy coil and release, that certain “thwap” of the club and the feel of a perfect hit. It isn’t necessarily racing but doing something well that counts. Best explained by one Steve McQueen, aka Michael Delaney from the classic movie Le Mans: “Lisa Belgetti: But what is so important about driving faster than anyone else? Michael Delaney: A lot of people go through life doing things badly. Racing’s important to men who do it well. When you’re racing, it’s… life. Anything that happens before or after…is just waiting.” https://youtu.be/xvgpbsr-mCE?is=y845LTI2apleIJQZ When I drive my 2000 Porsche Boxster S, even after 26 years, it still brings a smile to my face. It’s not for everyone, but it is important to some. youtu be/ve7C0CzoNx4?is=kA3UDjiho8XlaQrD'
  • Greg Lippert on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'Why isn’t he a PED subscriber? He coulda learned a lot from us through the comments.'
  • David Emery on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'Sports cars are in the same category with me as luxury watches: I just don’t understand the appeal.'
  • Dan Scropos on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'I’m now more certain than ever that Apple Vision Pro will find its way into Formula 1.'
  • Bart Yee on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'PS: the original Rainbow and Rainbow Apple logos and Apple Computer fonts have never looked better. Wonder if Ternus would brink back this “livery” as an option for iPhones, iPads or Macs? I think it could sell very well for those who want to get away from boring blacks and silvers, or at least add the graphics to background colors. “In your face” graphics marketing to all Apple competitors, probably eliciting a ton of imitations but expanding the color palette and instantly recognizable look with some nostalgia. Go for it!!'
  • Bart Yee on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'For those of you who remember Apple Computer sponsoring a 1980 Porsche 935K3 all season and raced at Le Mans, here is Porsche’s modern 963 in a similar livery and shown at Laguna Seca. This Porsche page features downloadable wallpapers and photos for your iPhone, iPad and Mac. Enjoy! https://www.porsche.com/stories/culture/porsche-963-in-apple-computer-livery-images/'
  • Bart Yee on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - '“Weeks describes Ternus as a humble “good guy” but adds that his hobby of racing cars might give an insight into another side of his character. “There are not many non-passionate people that drive race cars . . . but at the same time, you have to be wicked calm and really dedicated to excellence if you’re good at it. And John is good at it.” “ To expand on this, I found this Autoblog article, and I wasn’t at all surprised at Ternus’ choice of race car or skills: https://apple.news/AVV3cSmF1QeinJwrPPjl2Qg Apple’s New CEO Doesn’t Just Drive Porsches, He Tracks Them “But outside Cupertino, Ternus has a rather more analog hobby. According to the Wall Street Journal, he takes his Porsche racing at Laguna Seca, where he reportedly manages laps below 1:40, respectable times for an amateur. It also suggests that the man responsible for Apple’s next generation of hardware appreciates precision in more than just aluminum and glass. Tim Cook Liked Porsches Too, But Ternus Takes It Further Ternus isn’t the first Apple CEO with a taste for German sports cars. Tim Cook was also associated with Porsche, including a first-generation Boxster he reportedly owned early in his Apple career. Ternus appears to be taking the enthusiasm considerably further. He’s not merely a Porsche owner or someone who occasionally enjoys a spirited drive. He’s an active amateur racer who actually takes his car to one of America’s most demanding circuits. The exact Porsche Ternus drives has not been publicly identified, which somehow makes the story even more intriguing. Ternus is also a genuine motorsport fan, possibly even an iRacing subscriber. Apple services chief Eddy Cue told Sports Business Journal that Ternus is a “huge, huge fan” of Formula 1 and suggested he could attend even more races than Cook. In fact, when Ternus could have been at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, he was instead at Laguna Seca.” “This year, Porsche and Apple revived one of the more unusual chapters in their shared history with special Porsche 963 race cars wearing an Apple Computer-inspired livery at Laguna Seca. The design paid tribute to a Porsche 935 K3 that carried Apple colors at Le Mans in 1980, while celebrating Apple’s 50th anniversary and Porsche Motorsport’s 75th. So Apple’s new CEO isn’t just taking charge of a company that already has deep ties to automakers and an increasingly serious relationship with motorsport. He’s personally a Porsche racer who spends his weekends at the same racetrack where the two brands recently celebrated their shared history. And with Apple now holding the exclusive US Formula 1 broadcast rights, having a CEO who does trackdays himself might turn out to be rather useful. If this does go deeper with Porsche, let’s just hope it turns out better than Apple’s last unofficial “tryst” with Ferrari, because we all know how that worked out. ” (Ouch, a dig at Jony Ives and the Ferrari Luce) Here’s a short list of capable Porsche street based models that could lap under 1:40 at Laguna Seca / WeatherTech Raceway in a capable amateur’s hands, from newer to vintage: 911 GT3 / GT3 RS (991 and 992 generations) – 1:28 to 1:34 718 Cayman GT4 RS & GT4 – 1:32 to 1:38 911 GT2 RS (991) – 1:28 to 1:32 911 Turbo / Turbo S (991 and 992) – 1:33 -1:38 Taycan Turbo GT / Turbo S: This all electric 4 door sedan holds the Laguna Seca production EV track record at 1:27:87, amateur easily gets 1:34 to 1:37, all in air conditioned comfort! 911 Carrera S / GTS (992 and late 991.2) – 1:36 to 1:39 718 Cayman GTS 4.0 / Boxster Spyder – 1:37 to 1:39 Heavily modified vintage Porsches: Ultra-Lightweight 911 “Outlaw” (G-Body / 964) Weight stripper w/3.6L to 3.8L engine 930 Turbo Restomod “Monster” w/custom tuning = 450+ wheel hp A heavily resto-modded 914-6 GT spec to “RSR” spec with 3.6L to 3.8L engine, GT spec flares, wide race rubber gives 350+hp in a 2000 lb vehicle easily gets into sub-1:40 times. But very expensive, terrifyingly analog w/o ABS or traction control. A 718 Cayman 4.0 is turnkey, same price, faster, w/AC and comfort, can do these laps all day and take you to dinner afterwards. For Ternus, it was probably what was his fun car, and how to challenge it & himself. For the rest of us, it’s how fast do we want to go & how much cubic money we’d want to spend. BTW, don’t discount the possibility Ternus drives a vintage Porsche race car.'
  • Joseph Bland on The Financial Times profiles Apple new CEO - 'He’s got plenty of blue sky to work with. I’m predicting an AAPL double in valuation over the next 3 years, excluding inflation driving it even higher. Not counting Black Swans, of course….'
  • Joseph Bland on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'I agree with Chris and Mark. There’s a reason Apple is close to another 40+ valuation, and a reason it could continue to be, That said, he is calculating in buybacks to generate “forward EPS” of $14.27 over the next 3 years (which is IMO just a future calculation of EPS 3 years out. But if you assume Apple’s future valuation is the same as today’s valuation of 36.61, then that’s simple math: (14.7×36.61=) $522.42. Pretty darned close to Chris’ calculation. And that’s based on Mr. Njagi‘s guestimate 3 years out. IMO, barring a really horrible Black Swan Event or two, Apple could double by then.'
  • Mark Visnic on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'Also, on a reread, 29x likely is a more conservative multiple to underpromise.'
  • Mark Visnic on Nikkei Asia: Apple foldable iPhone hits snags - 'Very low probability, Cook would not go out with a logistics snafu.'
  • Mark Visnic on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'Haven’t looked at it but would expect it is a forward multiple.'
  • Chris De Armond on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'His price target needs explanation as it doesn’t fit with historical or current numbers. Apple PE is currently just over 37. PE is price/earnings X/14.27 = 37, X = $528. (Not adjusting for any estimated share buybacks.) So with all the positives he listed, why does his PE go down to 29? (414/14.27) PED: Perhaps you could ask The Curious Analyst as we’re curious.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Nikkei Asia: Apple foldable iPhone hits snags - 'Furthering the above. Apple doesn’t produce and hope to sell, it’s produces to contractual orders received months ago. The supply chain, all down the line, requires advance notice of what they will need to order to satisfy Apple’s needs. Unplanned changing of production schedules are highly disruptive and not what you would see from the world’s best supply chain management firm. Penalties are built into production orders to insure supply/demand imbalance. The better the ultimate buyer (Apple) manages its needs, the more confident suppliers are with those orders, and the better the pricing that Apple gets.'
  • Joseph Bland on Curious Analyst foresees three years of Apple earnings growth - 'There are other intangibles, such as the immense reward to Apple employees, who are given the opportunity to set aside AAPL at below market value. And probably others that I haven’t thought about or have just forgotten about over the years. But, of course, it can never be forgotten, as Robert Paul Leitao pointed out many, many years ago (on his Braeburn Group that I was privileged to be a part of): Everything depends on a continuing growth in net income. Without that, net income/share or EPS is not real.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Nikkei Asia: Apple foldable iPhone hits snags - 'It would appear that, ethics or not, there are a multitude of players reacting to a multitude of incentives to leak real (but incomplete data), or just make stuff up. Reporters of “leaks” are primarily incentivized to report the negative (if it bleeds it leads). Negative stories dominate just ahead of major events. IOW, it’s an eyeballs game, exploited by program traders that influence retail traders. Conclusion: the only effective investor defense is to buy and forget, and to stop relying on financial publications/media vs taking deep dives into corporate Earnings Reports and GUIDANCE. By the time management issues GUIDANCE results for one third of the guided period have already occurred, AND all issues having material impact to production have been identified and resolved. The only unresolved issues will come from black swans external to the company’s operations ie proclamations and actions from a mad man President. Can we limit reporting of the sensational by the media? I think that will be difficult, because from PED’s point of view “if it bleeds, it bleeds”. He is just as susceptible to readers’ attraction to blood as the media. Without a bit of controversy there is no reader engagement and without that engagement what’s the point. For Apple 3.0 readers can we engage more on Apple’s SEC filings, especially Apple’s 10Q and 10K, and less on rumors and unsubstantiated speculation?'