Recent Comments

  • Bart Yee on Bloomberg: Apple is shipping a foldable iPhone this fall, smart glasses next year - 'Hmmm, if new HomePods, HomePod Mini’s, and HomeBase display “are sitting in warehouses” just waiting for Apple software to catch up before being released, this suggests a few things to me: 1) Apple has already built the next generation specification of Home products with likely at least A17 or higher level and S9-10 chips installed. This increases the yield on these older chips, extends their useful life, and allows binned versions to be used as well. That’s a continuing cost advantage. 2) if Apple has say 20M-30M units already built, they have most all of these built with much cheaper memory already paid for. This may sustain inventory for the better part of a year or two with additional production as demand unfolds. I’ll bet Apple also has existing stocks of memory chips waiting to be used specifically for in-demand products. 3) the ability of these products to self-update to the newest versions once released and activated or tied to iPhone/iPad or Macs and WiFi suggest easy OS, Apple Intelligence updates. 4) I wonder if Apple has also installed C1X modem chips or created new Mesh WiFi chips which could use HomePod installations as a mesh WiFi system on its own? HomePod AirPort? 5) pair HomePods with a new Apple TV 4K with at least A18 chips like the Neo. I think we could see a huge leap in Home products and services.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Bloomberg: Apple is shipping a foldable iPhone this fall, smart glasses next year - 'Smart glasses are still creepy to me (thanks Meta and Google!). I’m sure Apple will redefine them in a way that makes them more practical, if, in fact, they are planning to release them.'
  • David Drinkwater on The price of an Apple 3.0 subscription has changed - 'I just did the same research, but I’m not due until April 2028. I think that if AAPL has appreciated significantly by that time, it is fair to give Philip his due, too.'
  • David Drinkwater on Bloomberg: Apple is shipping a foldable iPhone this fall, smart glasses next year - 'indeed, and upvoted! You’ll get a lot of upvotes for this one. You just beat me to it.'
  • Greg Lippert on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'His take on Apple is probably the one I trust most. Agreed, he knows his stuff.'
  • Cy on Bloomberg: Apple is shipping a foldable iPhone this fall, smart glasses next year - 'I’m also very much looking forward to the foldable. 95%+ of my ‘computer time’ (e.g., reading, email, music, GPS directions, P90X and other workouts, watching F1) is done on my Pro Max with the remaining 5% on my 13” iPad Air and MacBook Air. Should use my iPad more, but don’t as I’ve never got into the habit of having it nearby. And even when it is nearby, I don’t switch devices unless I’m going to do a lot of reading. The iPhone screen and keyboard is good enough. And I have 75” and 85” TVs both with Sonos surround sound, sound bars and sub woofers. They’re wonderful, but I only use each of them maybe once per month. If I am going spend time watching something, I’d rather sit outside with my dogs and watch on my iPhone. Part of this as I haven’t had cable in 15 or so years and primarily watch YouTube for its highly tailored content. I’ll use a TV if there’s a ‘must watch’ movie on AppleTV. It’s like they say of cameras, the best one is the one you have with you. My iPhone is always with me and having the fold out screen real estate available is going to be appreciated.'
  • David Emery on Bloomberg: Apple is shipping a foldable iPhone this fall, smart glasses next year - '“Apple Expert” – a legend in his own mind…'
  • Bart Yee on Good Friday: Markets are closed - 'Have a great weekend everyone. If there’s any Apple News, we’ll post some links.'
  • Charles A. on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'I own a small, “starter position” in Globalstar from about 5 years ago.Sure wish I had bought a whole lot more.'
  • Neil Anderson on The price of an Apple 3.0 subscription has changed - 'The same as last year.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - '“WS and the media were just blind to it.” I believe WS assumed that the Smart Siri would be at the center AND main part of Apple AI strategy. So when the Smart Siri Stumble occurred, WS was blinded, not because they weren’t looking, but because they could not see around the Stumble. It’s all they could talk about. So any analysis of Apple’s AI strategy was heavily influenced by The Stumble. I do believe that position is in the process of changing, thanks to some critical thinking regarding AI CapEx and monetization.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'This Woodring guy knows his stuff.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'Perfectly. I can be verbose at times. My major point is that Apple has had an “AI” strategy all along. WS and the media were just blind to it. Not seeing is not the same thing as not having.'
  • David Emery on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'Let me rewrite much of your approach into a simple restatement: Most Big Tech companies are investing in massive data centers to run their big AI models. Apple realized that most users don’t need AI models that big, and Apple is getting users to pay for the hardware to run the AI models users do need. Did I get that right? 🙂'
  • Steven Philips on Apple's fitness guru is gone - 'Only those who become “religious proselytizers” about it. Then like all religious proselytizers they become insufferable.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - '”is sadly “pulling forward” future sales” Or, is increasing the enormity of its user base.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'Eric does know his stuff. In the meantime, my post of yesterday wherein I stated that AI, like all software, requires a platform to operate on. When it comes to Apple’s “AI” strategy, Apple chose individually owned devices vs large community based data centers. To that end, Apple set its sites on Apple designed silicon capable of operating an on device “AI”, with a gateway (aka Apple Intelligence) capable of recognizing how many parameters your inquiry is going to require and shunting that inquiry to either on device, or to the data centers your preferred LLM provider uses. The key to understanding Apple “AI” strategy is first recognizing that all software needs a physical platform in order to function. Apple recognizes this as a core truth. I think it was Alan Keyes who said, “a great software company develops its own hardware” (or something like that). Apple has been headed in that direction for decades, and we’re seeing the fruits of that philosophy unfold most directly with “AI”. This leads to the answer of what “AI” is. Instead of providing a list of sites that may have the answer to your query (Google’s current model) “AI”, depending how well your query is crafted (parameters?) can provide an authoritative answer for you. Most inquiries aren’t going to be that complex, so a small “AI”, like Apple Intelligence, can get be with 3 billion parameters, with data centers can process up 50 billion parameters. I’d really like to hear from those using “AI” on whether or not my statement above is accurate.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Apple's fitness guru is gone - 'Fitness and wellness freaks are insufferable, more so than other freaks with skills that are meaningful.'
  • Bill Fouche on Morgan Stanley: Apple upgrade rates are at all-time highs (video) - 'This is obviously bad news for AAPL, which should be seen as doomed no matter what. If upgrades are occurring at all-time-high rates, this means AAPL is at a peak, it can only get worse from here, and is sadly “pulling forward” future sales, as any fool can see.'
  • Daniel Albaugh on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'Maybe Apple should up their stake in Globalstar to 51%.'
  • Steven Philips on Larry Ellison's AI meltdown - 'As much as I’d like to vote for Zuckerberg, I think you’re right.'
  • Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Apple's fitness guru is gone - 'Speaking of introspection, I highly recommend Ezra Klein’s conversation with Michael Pollan about consciousness. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-ezra-klein-show/id1548604447 Mindblowing.'
  • Steven Philips on Premarket: Apple is red - 'But now predictably unpredictable and deranged.'
  • David Emery on Larry Ellison's AI meltdown - 'Yeah, if ‘seniority’ and ‘longevity’ are Things for measuring assholatry, Ellison is the clear winner. (But the one who scares me the most on that list is Thiel and Palantir…)'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple's fitness guru is gone - 'Here is the current model I am playing with to explain why kind, caring , empathetic people are in charge. It seems to go a long way to explain some things. Basically, many people simply do not think and are not fully conscious as we know it. The techbros claim that introspection is not part of their process. However, introspection, the ability to have an internal monologue to examine one’s actions and create logical causes and effects, is the hallmark of consciousness. From Socrates and the concept of the unexamined life to Descartes and the famous statement “I think, therefore I am,” to Jaynes and “The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind,” we see the significance of introspection throughout history. The absence of introspection implies a lack of consciousness as we understand it—the ability to engage in actual thought. Now, consider the fact that approximately 30% of people today lack an introspective, internal monologue, an internal “I,” and the potential consequences when they are allowed control over us. They live without slow, deep thought, relying instead on fast, instinct-driven actions (as suggested by Kahneman’s ideas). They fail to think; they simply act from their heart, not their head. They are even proud of claiming that this is how they make decisions—not by thoughtful consideration. And, for some, this has allowed them to gain tremendous power/money. They do not think of others. Because they do not think. They do not think about consequences. Because they do not think. And they do not ever think of failure. Because they do not think. And in a changing complex world, where what we used to think was true does not seem to work as well, they attract many of the other ‘unconscious’ who are afraid. And an unrealistic cult is born. One without empathy, without kindness, without thought. Unmoving, solitary islands in the stream of human consciousness (like my metaphor? 😉 But, we are a social animal, not a solitary one. And as Feynman said “Nature cannot be fooled”, so their approaches will cause collapse and those of us who do live an examained life will have to pick up the pieces. (My gut feeling is that PED 3.0 members do a lot of introspection. Pun intended.)'
  • Richard Gayle on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'If I recall correctly, Globalstar has the rights to radio frequencies that are valuable (Musk tried to get them by claiming they were not being used). I suspect Amazon wants those frequencies for its own satellites (that get into orbit from Bezos’ Blue Origin). Apple wants access to those frequencies also, even if Globalstar satellites are too far away for any fast communications to be used, ie phone. And likely because it is not Musk/SpaceX. If Amazon put up more satellites in LEO and still gave Apple access, then we might get real-time communications on iOS devices. A possible win-kinda win. (Without Globalstar, the only real satellite communication options are Musk’s Starlink and Bezos’ projected one). Amazon/Blue Origin/Bezos gets possible access to billions of customers and Apple gets rapid communications anywhere in the world perhaps without the need for telecos. And Musk gets cut out totally. I’d call that a win.'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'Hi, Rodney. “…could GlobalStar sell their share and Apple become partners with Amazon?” Not nearly as far-fetched as you might imagine. Globalstar is a ticket to space, and there aren’t many left. Blue Origin and Apple? Personally, I’m in favor of it.'
  • Greg Lippert on Larry Ellison's AI meltdown - 'That news was allowed to be for profit was one of the biggest mistakes this country has ever made. It just allowed for echo chambers on both sides that pander to a specific audience for ad dollars.'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'This is not, repeat, NOT a coincidence. Amazon was/still probably is Jeff Bezos’ major money-maker, but he’s now built the only other operable reusable 1st stage rocket in the world and he’s watching what SpaceX has been doing like a hawk. When you construct a large number of reusables, you find the need to make money off of them. StarLink fits the bill perfectly for SpaceX. Globalstar can do the same for Blue Origin. Apple needs to be right in there. Which I’ve been saying for quite some time now….'