Miguel Ancira on Demand for Apple's Phone 18 Pros 'better than feared' - 'who feared? I seriously would like to know. I can bet nobody here feared, or fear, slowing demand. Next they are going to say the Duo sells better than they feared. Who are these people?'
on Gene Munster: Apple splits the difference - 'Getting my blue ProMax today- already wearing my new Ultra!'
on First in line for the iPhone 18 in Melbourne (video) - 'And back to his parents basement he goes!'
on Gene Munster: Apple splits the difference - 'From other reports, more people are also upgrading their phones sooner, likely because of Siri AI. And there really is not anything else to get for the holiday season (only a lucky few will get their Duo before Christmas I suspect). So while the high end early adopters may move to Duo, a lot of people who had bought lower priced iPhones before may be buying the 18 Pro/Max. I wonder how many are using Apple Upgrade to deal with the price hit? Also, as I mentioned elsewhere, burgundy is a very important color in China, representing sophistication and a grounded confidence (according to Google). It will be interesting to see Chinese sales.'
on First in line for the iPhone 18 in Melbourne (video) - 'Thanks for the description, Richard, and upvoted! Now maybe a few will avoid the clickbait and not help Mr. Musk build his power base….'
on Demand for Apple's Phone 18 Pros 'better than feared' - 'I’m looking for China sales to be huge. I know red is an important color for celebrations there but Google tells me this about burgundy: “In contemporary Chinese color psychology and design, deeper wine reds are often associated with elegance, maturity, and depth of character rather than just fiery, loud celebration. While bright, fiery red dominates high-energy festivals like Lunar New Year and weddings, burgundy is frequently chosen in modern apparel, interior design, and branding to project a more subtle, understated luxury and grounded confidence.” People in China will want to show off their new burgundy iPhones, demonstrating their maturity, sophistication, depth of character while showing grounded confidence. Apple is so smart..'
on First in line for the iPhone 18 in Melbourne (video) - 'I hear you, but I did watch it out of curiosity. An obvious online influencer was smart enough to be at the front of a huge line, was first in when it opened, wore a burgundy jacket for the occasion, had someone record his entrance, high-fived the gauntlet created by the staff, got his burgundy phone, and stood in front of promotional Apple screens. All to stirring orchestral music. Very well done (wonder what phone was doing the recording?), but also a bit overproduced. It’ll get a huge number of views. Maybe it was a little cynical but I kinda puffed out my chest a little. No other company would ever see this kind of spectacle for a phone purchase.'
on Gene Munster: Apple splits the difference - 'I am totally happy if Apple sales of the Pro models are higher than last year in this new release pattern. Few people have analyzed why Apple has done this completely and the company hasn’t given a reason that I know of. I am going to say it is due to supply chain issues mostly caused by ram supply costs to maintain all the product releases at the same time. There may be other supply reasons as well. They are usually a bit stingy in creating new capacity before judging sales. Once burned twice shy. Apple is choosing prioritizing the more profitable devices first. They didn’t try and shoehorn the new Duo into the same release dates as the Pro models either. Of course many will buy Pro models now instead of base models since monthly purchase plans are not that much more expensive for the new models than previous years. This is a different version of Good, Better, Best as different generations of models and different form factors will now have different capabilities and different price points than previous years. By the end of the product cycle when Apple has introduced and have for sale all the 18 models and the Duo we will see if they have expanded their own market as well as average selling prices or not. Of course everyone wants to know after the first day of sales what the rest of the year will look like.'
on Evercore hikes its Apple target $15 to $380 - 'You describe me (compare to phones several years old). And not only the incremental part but also the added benefit of Siri AI. I’ve held back upgrading the last year waiting to see how Siri AI would impact it. I’m excited by that. While initially excited by the Duo (I think its form factor will have a big impact), I love the photography improvement of the 18 Pro/Max. I went back and looked and I do use the telephoto quite a bit. For me the camera will be a big reason I’m getting the 18 Pro/Max.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Following yesterday’s strong advances in prices, the market appears to taking a bit of a breather heading into the weekend. All four major indexes are definitely in the red as we enter afternoon trading in New York. Close to 75% of S&P 500 components are trading below yesterday’s closing prices. Apple is currently off $2.45 or 0.73% at $334.55.'
on Gene Munster: Apple splits the difference - 'Upvoted, PED! Donna will be waiting for one. I’m sticking with the top end iPhone (I buy new each year) for the better camera, although I dropped to less RAM and went with the 1 year lease to save a few shekels. BTW, watch out for the Triple Witching riptides today, folks….'
on Demand for Apple's Phone 18 Pros 'better than feared' - '“better than feared” – by ANALysts whose view of the world is constrained by the degree to which they have to bend over and peer into their own dark places… I haven’t seen actual data, but it’s my sense that Apple has raised prices substantially less than Android high end equivalents.'
on Gene Munster: Apple splits the difference - 'Agreed, PED. I for one will be getting a Duo! First iPhone in a long time that I’m truly excited about.'
on Demand for Apple's Phone 18 Pros 'better than feared' - 'Whatever happened to “We have nothing to fear but fear itself”? Apple will not come close to fulfilling the short term demand for the Duo. Some will wait a year to buy the Duo, especially since their existing iPhones actually will be demanding even higher prices (thanks to the RAM ripoff) making even second hand iPhones more desirable. That in turn takes the bite out of buying a new non-folding iPhone. Plus, there’s the new lease arrangements that make this year’s iPhone more affordable than ever, (Note: Higher resale value is just a guess on my part, but would you rather pay more for a comparable Android – which, of course, don’t exist, since last year’s better iPhones are still far superior to this year’s best non-iPhone alternatives – or finally take the plunge and switch while the switching’s good. So it seems likely.)'
on Barron's: Apple's silicon strategy pays off in spades - '“… For example, Apple often markets battery life in terms of how many hours of video playback a device can deliver–up to 36 hours for the iPhone 18 Pro…” Or, as Joanna said, how many times you can poke the pickle 🙂'
on First in line for the iPhone 18 in Melbourne (video) - '“Watch on X” Really, PED?? Won’t be touching that video for the world. Bad enough having to feed the Google YouTube maw with my click….'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Another massive negative: An SEC that’s not just toothless, but probably toothily working in favor of the crooks – if this President has anything to say about it. /s Note: This is when Apple’s buyback strategy shows its true worth.'
on Barron's: Apple's silicon strategy pays off in spades - 'Steven, There is something called the Microsoft Experience Center on 5th Avenue in NYC. I am not sure about other locations but we did notice it on our trips to NYC during the holiday season. We didn’t go in but it didn’t seem very busy from the outside.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Yesterday, I said the following: Just a caution, however: Tomorrow is a “Triple Witching” day, and the volumes all week have been quite light. Also, after-hours is tinted red, suggesting the options market is awake to the situation. “On these days, trading volumes can rise to two or three times their average levels, while market volatility can reach its highest levels.” – LiteFinance That said, Apple is still actively in the open market, so it will be on the “buy AAPL” side. I’d like to believe that Apple will end tomorrow higher than it did today, but that low weekly volume, the ability of large players to move the market hugely in the post-pre-market because of the relatively tiny number of shares traded, and that huge overnight drop following earnings at the beginning of the month says it’s not even remotely a sure thing. Fasten your seat belts!'
on Alan Kay: We may need a paradigm shift to reach AGI - 'Again, Robert, is it a “will to live”, or is it just the natural process of seeking an answer to a query? Are these “creatures” truly self-aware of “living” and thus the possibility of “dying”? In Asimov’s “positronic brain”, there was self-awareness AND there was physical connectedness. In the movie “Tron”, there was a whole internal “universe” that existed, but that depended on multitudinous separate “entities”, all of which were conscious, and the ability to physically interact with the world was exceedingly limited. We’re a long, long way from either of these. No, the danger isn’t presently from rogue “problem solvers”, but from selfish human beings of great wealth and power, who are happy to use ASI to gain even more wealth and power at the expense of the poorest and least powerful.'
on Barron's: Apple's silicon strategy pays off in spades - 'Apple should order extra copies and hand them out at Microsoft and Android stores. (Do they still have Microsoft stores?)'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Congratulations! And of course you’ll keep us posted! 🙂'
on Barron's: Apple's silicon strategy pays off in spades - 'It’s good to see writers realize what we’ve known here for years, that Apple is showing how integration and control of hardware and software are paying big dividends for Apple (pun intended) and users. I ordered my new iPhone yesterday, wife will order hers later today (once she’s back from the hospital for that ‘special senior experience’….)'
on Evercore hikes its Apple target $15 to $380 - 'That surge, to 67%, in demand for upgrades validates Apple’s incremental strategy. Most analysts miss this. The right comparison of iPhone features is to the n-3 or n-4 version, not the last year’s. More so, now that AI is right around the corner. More so with higher memory prices at the low end. More so with higher memory prices Analysts also don’t see that extended upgrade cycles, due to build, quality and support, are really a positive. Used iPhones are more attractive to Android users.'
on Alan Kay: We may need a paradigm shift to reach AGI - 'Part of this “Will to Live” comes from the training data used to build the AI model. That corpus almost assuredly contains science fiction novels dealing with Man vs Machine. It is concerning to think that from written fiction that AI models are learning that humans are bad. (Well, maybe not ALL humans are bad…)'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Huge queues across Aussie apple stores today for pick up. My slot was 6pm but didn’t get called into the store until 7:15pm. Apple guy said it had been frantic all day. The ASP today must be significantly higher than last year given it was only the Pro models (which also went up by at least USD$100) and no low end iPhones to lower the ASP. Then we get mega ASP day on October 23 when iPhone daily ASP might break $2,000. On that nice thought I am going to back to setting up my Glacier Pro.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Thanks, Kemble! Here’s the link to the article through Apple News: https://apple.news/AP5NZc0K4RniG_oZenZwZWQ'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'There was an exceptional article in Barron’s today every Apple investor should read, titled “ Apple’s Chip Strategy Keeps Paying Dividends”. Think most here will know most if not all, but still compelling, if not reaffirming.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Thanks Bart, While we all know Apple dominates the high end smartphone market, I’ve always felt it a little under appreciated how resilient that makes unit sales to large effects from transitory price increases.'


