Recent Comments

  • Steven Philips on Another week, another invitation-only Apple event - '“One more thing. OH! By the way, here’s another! Oh! And….”'
  • Roger Schutte on Another week, another invitation-only Apple event - 'I’m typing this reply on a 2021 M1 MacBook Pro 16″ to say that my wife just approved an upgrade to an M6 OLED MacBook Pro 16″. Hoping I can keep it to the ‘under $5000’ I told her it would be. lol'
  • Daniel Epstein on Another week, another invitation-only Apple event - 'One of the side effects of having a large product portfolio is the large array of products that need to be introduced when upgraded etc. Each of Apple’s product categories (Iphone, Ipad, Mac, Services, Others) could have at least an annual event of some kind. If you tried to do it all at once we would all be sleep deprived by the end and probably would lose enthusiasm just based on the length alone. From what I read Apple is delivering new products for the next four Fridays. Yes some have already been announced. Some are more important than others. The bottleneck which was Siri AI is being cleared. Apple is catching up with the upgrades. Too bad the Ram prices have gone through the roof so some of the new prices are steeper than they would like. Apple is showing confidence in their ability to deliver these updates despite the supply chain expenses. Looking forward to next weeks event while I am still trying to figure what I might buy from the September and October events. Melting the credit card is likely.'
  • Fred Stein on Another week, another invitation-only Apple event - 'OK. Time to upgrade my 2021 M1 iMac.'
  • John Konopka on Another week, another invitation-only Apple event - 'Philip, are you going? Did you get an invite? I guess this is better than just a press release. Maybe this is effective? iJustine et al get millions of views. Going to this event they get exclusive access so are more motivated to talk about it.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - '”People covet what they cannot have.” I’ve been on many occasions that, the best way to get an American to want something, is to ell them they can’t have it.'
  • Bill Donahue on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - '“Apple has dealt with launch shortages before, but a three-month wait for a new iPhone is practically unprecedented.” So, in other words, it’s not unprecedented. But the sky is still falling. I’m shaking my head, because we all know that if Apple hadn’t released the Duo and started taking pre-orders when it did, Gurman would have been screaming about it and how it is the final proof that Apple has completely lost its way. When it comes to his “heads Apple loses, tails Apple doesn’t win” criticisms, I can only say that I’m happy that Apple appears to be continuing to stick to what they do best – truly innovate, then develop and release amazing products and functionality – and then letting the hits from MG that everyone knows are coming, no matter what Apple does or doesn’t do, fall like water off a duck’s back. It’s obvious that the response and demand for the Duo has exceeded Apple’s expectations. As a shareholder, and knowing the scale and excellence of integration of their logistics, supply-chain and manufacturing, and thinking of the fact that the Duo is coming out simultaneously with their AI initiatives, iPhone 18, upgrades to all the rest of their hardware, and everything else they’re doing – all while there’s a massive global chip shortage because of AI hyperscalers – I couldn’t be happier. But all Gurman can seem to say is, “Wow, they really screwed that one thing up badly!!”'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - '“Apple (AAPL) announced on Monday that it will hold its second event in October, this time in Los Angeles, with the gathering likely focused on new MacBooks and iPads. The event is scheduled for Oct. 28 at 10 a.m. P.T., and features the tagline “Pro and tell.”  The tech titan is likely to show off new versions of its popular MacBook Pro laptops, including a version that offers a touch screen. The iPhone maker is also likely to unveil other computers, including a new iMac, a new version of its iPad Mini tablet, and perhaps more.” Excerpt From “Apple to hold second event this month to unveil new MacBooks, iPads” Chris Ciaccia, SA News Editor Seeking Alpha https://stocks.apple.com/AvZYL-e16SMqmms2nFsx7UA This material may be protected by copyright.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I’ve looked at weekly AAPL charts for years and never seen that peak-valley pattern before. It reminds me of hysteresis in a spring, slowly damping down. Wild.'
  • Greg Lippert on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'True but it is a marketing axiom. People covet what they cannot have. The idea that scarcity and high demand can create even more demand is a well-established psychological and marketing principle.'
  • Robert Stack on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Greg – agreed. But that last statement is mighty bold…'
  • Greg Lippert on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Making assumptions without all the facts makes you look ignorant, stupid, or just a jackass. We don’t know how many Duo’s Apple has ready for launch, but based upon the website issues, we can assume demand was incredible. To put in context, I had no difficulty ordering an 18 ProMax online. IMO, that points to overwhelming demand. In the past, Apple has been able to handle ginormous volume. This is a great problem to have. Scarcity brings envy, desire, and ever more DEMAND! On a $2000+ device!'
  • Gregg Thurman on Inviting friends of the blog to Apple’s Q4 2026 Earnings Smackdown - ' Fiscal Q4 2026: Total revenue: $115,100 EPS $2.08 Gross margin on total revenue: 46%'
  • David Emery on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Actually, I found a lot of Tommo’s comments grounded in reasoning, I disagreed with his interpretation. Gurman just extracts fertilizer from his nether regions to spin a yarn, because bad news about Apple generates clicks and attracts speculator attention..'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Whoops. The above should read: ”AAPL is ranging between -60 cents and +60 cents from Friday’s Close,”'
  • Steven Philips on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Trump isn’t assessing the economic impact. He doesn’t have a clue. He can only look at how it affects people’s assessment of himself.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is red - '”AAPL shares are down 1% after Bloomberg broke the news.” If the premarket is an indicator of regular session trading, then investors aren’t buying Gurman’s disaster thesis. With Asian markets already closed for Monday, and European markets in mid day trading (6:30AM EST) AAPL is ranging between 60 cents and +60 cents from Friday’s Close, essentially flat on volume total of less than 200 thousand shares (much more representative of US premarket trading at this time of day).'
  • Jonny T on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'And if he is banned, I support Apple’s decision 100%. He is a close second to Tommo.'
  • Jonny T on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Every now and again, Mark Gurman shows what a dickhead he is. Better to stay quiet than let people know how dim you really are Mr G? Armchair critics outnumber the creators by a million to one in this small world of ours. Sad, because they produce nothing but hot air, and do no good for anyone.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Alan: Thank you. I had to look up TurboMan because I didn’t see “Jingle All The Way.” It was released 30 years ago in 1996. Personally, I’d take the Duo over a TurboMan. Actually, I’d take just about anything over a TurboMan, but that’s just me. All things considered, I think Android handsets are just right for those that would pick a TurboMan over a Duo. I don’t think the guy from Bloomberg gets it. He might just be a TurboMan kind of guy.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'I just read through another note from CFRA dated yesterday. Supporting the firm’s $380 price target for the shares is a positive view on unit demand for the Duo in light of the model being brought to market at a price $200 below what the firm was forecasting. The firm does note larger storage options could drive up the ASP. The Duo is coming to market at a price largely below expectations. In looking at the issue of January delivery dates, how many of us can remember when Apple didn’t reach supply/demand equilibrium on the latest iPhones each model year until channel supply fulfillment was accomplished to satisfy Lunar New Year demands? I’ll go with Kirk here. When did very high product demand become a bad thing for Apple? And, which regions would be pushed to a later release date in an effort to increase launch day supplies in the Americas and other regions?'
  • Steven Philips on Apple targets nudification - 'And now the FDA and the Snake Oil salesman are tied at the hip! The snake oil salesman is actually the snake. “The snake he’s long. Seven miles. This – is – the – end.”'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Bart, You said that according to Gemini Mark Gurman has never stopped covering Apple events, nor has he been actively excluded or blacklisted by Apple But I thought that Gurman implied, in some of the video posted here, that he has not been invited to Apple events and was not welcome. If I am remembering correctly, I think he mentioned this when he didn’t attend the latest iPhone introduction event.'
  • Kirk Burgess on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'What a boneheaded response by Gurman. The alternative choice he suggested Apple had was to piss off every apple consumer globally who wanted a Duo outside of US/China – creating negative consequences for the brand, rather than treat everyone equally (which they wisely chose to do).'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Richard: Please let us know how it works out for you. I’m researching how to have the HomePod minis handle the sound for all of the audio inputs in the room. I’m planning to add a Nintendo Switch 2 to the home system and eliminate a receiver and blu-ray player.'
  • Bart Yee on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - '“yet Bloomberg sends other reporters whom Gurman has to talk to by video call to get what was happening, who was there, and physical interactions and impressions of the actual hardware and/or talking to Apple representatives. “Yet, isn’t it odd that Gurman isn’t there in person like so many other invited reporters and now influencers” It is definitely a unique arrangement, but it isn’t odd when looking at how Bloomberg structure their investigative reporting. The division of labor between Mark Gurman and the rest of the Bloomberg newsroom is a deliberate strategy rather than an omission. • Separation of “Scoops” vs. “Specs”: Bloomberg separates investigative reporting from product reviewing. Gurman’s job is exclusively corporate investigation—breaking news about leadership shakeups, supply chain delays, and unreleased roadmaps months in advance. Bloomberg sends general tech editors, field reporters, and video crews to handle the hands-on hardware impressions, physical interactions, and direct questions to Apple PR representatives. • The “Source Protection” Factor: In-person press events are heavily managed environments. Reporters are surrounded by Apple PR handlers, executives, and other journalists. For an investigative reporter whose entire career relies on highly sensitive corporate leaks, spending a day shaking hands with Apple executives in public is a massive conflict. Gurman talking to his colleagues afterward allows Bloomberg to aggregate hands-on details without their main investigative asset being handled or pressured by corporate PR on-site. • Influencer Crowds vs. Serious Journalism: Apple has drastically shifted its invite lists toward lifestyle influencers, YouTubers, and creators who prioritize aesthetic content and immediate hype. Bloomberg is a global financial wire. They don’t need Gurman to stand in a crowded room filming a hands-on video; they need him at a secure desk analyzing what the launch means for Apple’s stock, market share, and fiscal quarter. Ultimately, Gurman’s absence from the physical crowd is a sign of his unique role: he is an industry analyst and corporate reporter, while the colleagues he calls are the boots-on-the-ground journalists gathering the tactical product details.” At least that’s Gurman’s and Bloomberg’s spin on it, use him strategically in studio and podcasts, let him work his inside sources securely, get his scoops, ironically report on specs and details before release and then confirm those specs w/cub reporters in the field that go instead. Yeah, sure. Waste of his time to travel, not to attend, not to be invited or allowed to do interviews w/any number of key people, waste of time to engage in Apple PR or marketing and prescribed messaging. I suppose it’s true. I don’t know whether Apple stopped inviting him or he gets the invite and chooses / is told Not to go. Maybe it would appear to be a conflict of Gurman actually accepts Apple invite, gets flown and housed on Apple’s dime (sorry, $5 bill, inflation) like the influencers are, and actually sees first hand the products he supposedly scooped. Look at his after event reporting and quarterbacking – no products in hand, no invited short session exposures, no actual use for some time, so he has to offer his opinions based on scoops, hearsay, final Apple introduction, and then wait to eventually obtain his own and MAYBE report or review. But I suppose Bloomberg doesn’t want him reviewing actual products because info is more important, especially negative info or slant that moves the market per Bloomberg, so the hit pieces and click-bait. I can see Monday’s remarked Bloomberg headline: “Apple Botches Duo Pre-orders, Delivery Times Into 2027 Leave Apple’s Best Customers Fuming, • Apple’s clearly antiquated and inadequate Preorder system failed yet again. • Apple Risks Losing Billions in Sales or User Defections to Samsung and Android • Apple’s Duo production woes make launch inventory wholly inadequate for a global launch to the dismay of rabid buyers • First big misstep or mistake of Ternus’ CEO tenure • Sources say recovery and demand / supply balance not likely till February or March 2027 • Why didn’t Apple foresee this issue and better manage the launch by limiting to US and China? AAPL shares are down 1% after Bloomberg broke the news.'
  • Bart Yee on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'Here’s a few things to chew on: Gurman used to attend ALL in person Apple events & do his own interviews, even in his first 2 years at Bloomberg. But since 2020 pandemic & shift to recorded presentations, apparently he & Bloomberg decided it wasn’t worth his time to travel, watch a movie / keynote, & then be shepherded around by PR people while making in-person videos or talking to tightly scripted Apple representatives. No, according to his website, LinkedIn, Bloomberg & other sources, his workflow time is best spent elsewhere. According to Gemini: “Mark Gurman has never stopped covering Apple events, nor has he been actively excluded or blacklisted by Apple. He remains one of the most prominent journalists covering the company. While Apple is historically known for managing its relationships with reporters tightly, Gurman continues to report on internal company details for Bloomberg & routinely receives and shares updates regarding Apple’s event schedules and invitations. Your observation is accurate, (that he isn’t doing in-person reporting) but his absence from physical press rows at Apple Park or regional events like the recent “Welcome Home” smart home showcase in Tribeca, New York is entirely by his own choice and Bloomberg’s editorial policy, rather than an exclusion or ban by Apple. The shift in how Mark Gurman covers these events boils down to three logistical and practical realities: • He is based in Los Angeles: Gurman permanently resides and works out of Los Angeles, California. Flying to Cupertino (Apple Park) or New York multiple times a year for events that are essentially pre-recorded video screenings is no longer a practical use of time for a top-tier investigative reporter. • The “Keynote Video” Era: Ever since 2020, Apple has largely transitioned away from true, live on-stage announcements. Even when they host media at Apple Park or a Manhattan venue, the journalists are generally sitting together watching a pre-taped film. Because the video broadcasts globally at the exact same second, Gurman can report, write, and break information from his home office in LA without missing a beat. • Leveraging Regional Events: Instead of traveling to Cupertino, Gurman utilizes Apple’s increasing shift toward decentralized, regional media hubs. For instance, for the upcoming late-October hardware launches, Apple is bypassing a massive central keynote entirely and holding a localized “all-day product launch experience” specifically in Los Angeles. Gurman is actively covering and tracking these intimate, city-specific creator and media sessions because they happen directly in his backyard. Gurman’s primary value as a reporter is his network of inside corporate sources, which he maintains over secure lines. Standing in the crowded hands-on area at Apple Park isn’t where he gets his biggest scoops, so he skips the travel. Continued'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'That’s interesting. This is what the site is indicating now: In Stock Estimated delivery: Oct 20 – 24 This is the specific item: Nimbus+ Controller for Apple Products with Included iPhone Mount $48.99 30% Off $69.99 MSRP Model: Plus'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: 'Apple’s iPhone Duo preorders were an absolute disaster' - 'I’ve been trying to create a Bayesian inference model based on announced shipping dates for 70 countries during the December quarter. Variables include population of each market, total number of Apple Stores, total number of authorized 3rd party retailers and iPhone share of each market. Of the 70 countries Apple said were in the initial shipment allotment I can only find 18 that begin shipping on OCT 23. Another 28 begin shipping on the 23rd. The remaining twenty-two are not referenced as to Country or ship date. I don’t think we will see any announcements on the latter group until the March quarter. There is no verifiable iPhone Duo shipment estimates during the December quarter. Apple guided 11% YoY iPhone revenue qrowth during the September quarter. With the information available at this time it is impossible to create a model that can produce support for Gurman’s assertions iPhone Duo’s pre-order commencement is an unmitigated disaster. To the contrary, there is no way to make any authoritative statements as to the success, or failure, of the iPhone preorder launch. There simply aren’t enough data points to support any kind of presumptive declarations other than Gurman is talking completely out of his ass, as is his historic modus operandi. Investment decisions (either way) based on Gurman’s article, are doomed to failure. What is needed are reports from statistical professionals, or better yet, a definitive statement from Apple. Gurman is neither of these. He is a certified rumor monger that is compensated by how much he can influence AAPL’s short term price. One thing we do know is that total Android foldables sales were projected to be ~20,000,000 units during calendar 2025 (a 10% YoY increase from 2024). If Android sales follow Apple’s 16 year seasonal pattern, then December 2026 total Android units sold during the December quarter may equal ~7,000,000 units worldwide. If iPhone Duo’s December quarter estimated units sold (based on combined iPhone revenue results and limited Duo availability) were to equal 2,000,0000 units I would declare iPhone Duo a resounding success. It would also mean that if Apple only prepared for 2,000,000 units, backlog could easily extend to late January. Somehow, I don’t think Apple delayed taking orders for non-Pro iPhone 18s until the March quarter for a mere 2,000,000 iPhone Duos.'