Joseph Bland on OpenAI promises not to use Apple trade secrets — for now - 'Hi, Richard. Well, there is the “first mover” advantage. If Apple green-lights them before any other open-weights system, then they get immediate access to what in a few years will be a LOT of devices. But my question is – why would Apple not want to stick with its own open-weights system? They could guarantee privacy….'
on OpenAI promises not to use Apple trade secrets — for now - 'There’s a good in-depth interview with Steve Eisman, one of the people described in “The Big Short” who saw early on that the whole mortgage-backed securities investment landscape was a bubble ready to pop, on New Money’s Youtube channel, in which he discusses what he sees an impending AI bubble burst. It went up on October 2nd. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zw0I7kb6zg4'
on OpenAI promises not to use Apple trade secrets — for now - 'Good morning, Richard. I “thumbs-upped” your comment. And I too am suspicious of Muse. Meta’s empire is based on a rapacious appetite for (uncompensated) user information. If a way for Muse to monetize Apple Intelligence is not obvious, then Occam’s razor says it’s (a) really sneaky and (b) involves some kind of theft, probably of Apple user’s personal information. That said, I don’t think Apple will in any way risk its users’ data. Note that Apple’s deal with Alphabet was predicated on a strictly hands-off approach. Also, if Apple can “defang” Meta’s Muse, it can defang other open-weight models. And that would be nothing but positive for Apple users who want to tap into the value proposition that Apple Intelligence represents.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - '“That could be because of the many reports of delays in manufacturing over such a complex new design.” And the moronically uninformed criticisms have already begun. If there’s one thing we all know about Apple, it’s that they start to sell new products without first having a very clear understanding of how complex they are and what they cost to manufacture, and how many they’ve produced or can produce. LOL'
on Apple antitrust: Epic Games and PayPal lobby DOJ for tougher terms - 'It’s a bizarre world in which the law has evolved or been interpreted to prohibit a company from producing a series of products that are designed to work better with each other than with other products. It implies that consumers are too stupid to understand their own choices and purchase decisions. It also tells me that something has gone wrong somewhere along the way, in terms of legislative drafting or its interpretation by courts.'
on iPhone Duo for $5K - 'The Nasdaq 100 is DOWN almost 700 points as investors continue to rotate out of AI stocks AMZN, NVDA, GOOG, META and MSFT. Overall, US Indexes are down as AAPL is on the verge of setting new highs.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - '”I suspect the Duo’s camera was hobbled to prevent people like me from buying one and cannibalizing the Pro Max.” I understand your logic Richard, but would Apple care if IPhone 18 Pro Max sales were cannibalized by a product that cost $700 more?'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'In other iPhone news lost in the iPhone Duo preorders and Home View debut: Tim Cook says Apple Intelligence approved in China, The Paper reports Apple’s (AAPL.O) chairman Tim Cook said Apple Intelligence has been approved in China and a test version is due later in October, China’s state-backed media The Paper reported citing an exclusive interview with Cook on Thursday in Shanghai. “The test version will have features of live translation, writing tools, image clean-up and does not include Siri AI, Cook told The Paper. • The US company has trained a large language model specifically for the China market, Reuters previously reported, a departure from the iPhone maker’s strategy of relying on third-party models to power AI features in the country • The AI model was developed in partnership with Alibaba Group (9988.HK) and trained with the Chinese tech giant’s support. • China’s cyberspace regulator said in July that Apple’s on-device generative AI service, Apple Intelligence, has been registered for use on iPhones in China • According to China’s commerce ministry, Cook met China’s commerce minister Wang Wentao on Thursday and they discussed development of AI and Apple’s business in China” Excerpt From “Tim Cook says Apple Intelligence approved in China, The Paper reports” Reuters https://apple.news/AB5IUlBFpTQa1_O4nQkcZXg This material may be protected by copyright. Nice to see Cook touring China and still involved in needed diplomacy and geopolitical tech development. Another hurdle crossed in China. After the beta breaks sometime by late October or early November we can really see if there is a measurable China effect on iPhone upgrades, usage, and sales. No word just yet of how far back in iPhone models Apple Intelligence applies to in China but presumably iPhone 15 Pro models and all iPhone 16, 17, 18 models will eventually be included. Whether Siri AI China and many of the AI features will be ready off the bat or be rolled out over time is not yet known. This could spark additional iPhone upgrades or boost current iPhone 17 and 18 Pro sales in China over this and next two quarters. I fully expect the Duo allotment for China to be sold out and backed up into early 2027 already.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'I suspect the Duo’s camera was hobbled to prevent people like me from buying one and cannibalizing the Pro Max. I seriously considered the Duo, but I’ve learned over the years to stifle my emotional response to an Apple product (“I just want to hold it!”). I looked at my usages of my iPhone and found that I use the camera a lot. Like a lot. Having access to wide-angle and telephoto is a big part of that. For that reason, I got the 18 Pro Max, which I just received and will be playing with. It will be interesting to see what level of canibalization does take place.'
on iPhone Duo for $5K - 'When someone tells me they are investing in Apple, I think: they’re buying shares. Shows you how little I know.'
on Apple antitrust: Epic Games and PayPal lobby DOJ for tougher terms - 'At the same time, I don’t think I’d really trust a jury if it went to trial. I’d rather see a judge decide. Some things are just too complicated for juries to understand. They aren’t really “peers” in these cases and that’s a major flaw in the system.'
on Apple antitrust: Epic Games and PayPal lobby DOJ for tougher terms - 'Listening to Epic about Apple shows the weakness of the DOJ case. They are still trying to rescue a victory after mostly being defeated in court. I doubt Apple would agree to concessions on this if they thought it was only an advantage to Epic. And I thought the case was weak when it was filed. Regardless of the administration which brought it.'
on Apple antitrust: Epic Games and PayPal lobby DOJ for tougher terms - 'A DOJ in a different administration would probably fight.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'In this article by Angela Palumbo at Barron’s, it’s noted Counterpoint Research this week reported consumers are choosing to keep their current devices for longer as prices rise. This makes strong iPhone Duo order noteworthy for Apple, the industry and consumers. https://apple.news/AzM4xv3rBTWGf5AQR8SG-kg Apple is on track for a record close if today’s gains can be sustained into the close. Shares are up $2.95 at $344.95.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'AAPL has broken through its month long trading range ($330/$340) with four consecutive intraday low prints above $340. This is substantiated by increased Options Open Interest and today’s $20 increase in the Call Mountain (now at $360).'
on Premarket: Apple is green - '”there’s been a clear and strong downward push (probably by the big options houses) to bring AAPL down from its highs” How do you figure that Raj? The Call Mountain has increased a substantial $20 in a single day, and while Put Peak has increased $35, it remains about half that of the Call Mountain? The Options Bulls are firmly in charge.'
on Apple antitrust: Epic Games and PayPal lobby DOJ for tougher terms - 'The DOJ would rather settle than fight. Unlike the infamous “Tareyton Cigarette” Commercials from the 60’s who coined the phrase: “Us Tareyton smokers would rather fight than switch.” Complete with a black eye on every smoker.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'One way you could guesstimate Duo sales number is to look at Pro Max numbers. As I have stated in the past, among existing iPhone owners there will be cannibalization. So earlier reports that Pro Max are off from last year, one might be able to determine early Duo volume. Total iPhone unit volume may not change much, but revenue would increase substantially as each cannibalized sale will be about $700 higher. Of course management guided revenue growth of ~11% for the September quarter, so how much of that growth rate will be generated from switchers, upgrades and impacted by delayed sales caused by cannibalization? The fly in the ointment at this stage is there is no way to determine the number of switchers. And then there is the fact that the Duo is only going to be available for about two of this quarter’s three months. Even so, iPhone ASP is going to rise substantially, something Samsung would like to see from its foldable, but hasn’t. Does unit volume really matter that much when there is substantial revenue growth? March quarter GUIDANCE is going to be interesting this year as will be full year.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'Apple has a tendency to underpromise and over deliver in these instances. It will be interesting to see if wait times shorten significantly. That could be related to people going to the stores to buy one, improving ramp up of production and some people losing interest(hopefully not a lot of those) or needing a new phone right away and buying one of Apple’s other offerings.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'Mine is arriving before Dec 7. Happy to support the incredible company that delivers in so many different ways. And if I am not happy I’ll probably be able to sell it for twice the amount!'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'That’s 20 more than my sources!!! BTW that count includes the 4 I’m producing for them and returning to them. I suppose that explains the January delivery at this point.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'In the past three days, and even today (so far in the first 15 minutes), there’s been a clear and strong downward push (probably by the big options houses) to bring AAPL down from its highs to specifically the 342.50 range. Go figure!'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'Now the speculation has already started. How many were made? Only Apple knows the exact answer to that question. But it’s been patently obvious that Apple knew well before they announced and showed off their “creaseless” foldable iPhone called the Duo that it was going to be a major seller. My hunch is demand is insatiable. That includes the increased speculation that they ordered as many as 10 million units to be made. Let the articles start as to the real reason for the delays. Same old nonsense as nobody wants to give Apple any credit for having once again rolled out a major hit.'
on Apple's iPhone Duo sold out - 'My rock-solid sources tell me Apple only made 10 Duo’s available for pre-order. :)-'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'By the way delivery order dates that are far in the future can change depending on what the bottleneck is. My IPhone 17 pro at first had a 3 or 4 week date when ordered. It showed up after a week which did catch me off guard. It wasn’t a lack of demand issue that time. Of course it was not a new form factor like the Duo so Apple may not be able to catch up to the demand quickly this time.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/10/16/iphone-duo-sells-out-moments-after-pre-orders-begin'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Duo preorders on a tear!!! My friend and I got into the Store at about 8:03 Eastern. He was able to check out a minute or so earlier than me. Friend’s delivery date: Nov 6-13. My delivery date: Nov 9-16!!! AAPL rising quickly now in the premarket. Could we see a 349/350 close today?'


