Recent Comments

  • Bart Yee on Apple's foldable iPhone rumor roundup, with specs - 'Daniel, I agree with you, the $2400 price is rather absurd, no matter how great the product might be. IMO, on reports Apple is happy with the creaseless displays that Samsung Display is now able to produce (at Apple’s long time prodding), at now acceptable yields and quantity pricing (Apple is likely ordering at least 2x more than Samsung or others are buying annually), the display costs are probably reasonably controlled, managing an important BOM part. The hinge system and chassis that maintains the creaseless display condition is the other major engineering construct and its manufacture, reliability and longevity is key to maintaining Apple’s reputation of not releasing hardware till its damn good and ready. Some reports suggest it’s made from Liquid Metal to have hundreds of thousands of fold cycles. The latest news from UDN is that the Fold has entered into preproduction and engineering verification, where a dedicated assembly line from Foxconn / Hon Hai Precision will make around 100 assemblies to test manufacturing and then these devices get tested to see how they stack up. Then iterative management of the assembly process and device performance go hand in hand for months. At some point in early summer, the final design and assembly will be locked down for production, costs and pricing will be determined, and then production will begin for an as yet to be decided launch date in fall 2026. If Apple is able to bring in batter capacities at >5000 mah, solid Pro level camera systems, and provide strong battery and screen time, they’ll have a hit. I’m hoping Apple can blow people away and maintain a pricing level of below $2000, maybe even $1800, forcing Android makers to use price cuts to be competitive. As long as Apple has good margins, it could do that for the base models and allow for higher prices on bigger memory configurations.'
  • Gregg Thurman on WSJ: Apple's next CEO - ' the reason it is seen as primarily a hardware company is because Apple’s revenue primarily comes from hardware, And I say let everyone else see Apple through those prisms. By the time they figure it out how wrong they are (if ever), the game will be over.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple is No. 6 in Daniel Ives' top 10 names to own before the year ends - '3. Nvidia: one chip in the world fueling the AI Revolution“ But not in Apple products. And remember that the cell phone is the main device in the world that people access the web and AI. And the iPhone is the #1 cell phone in the world.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Why do Apple shares zig when AI stocks zag? - ' when added to the trailing 12 months of earnings, will be a 2.5% change to the Earnings component of the P/E. Potentially yes. It depends on the YoY EPS the new EPS amount is replacing. Commencing with whatever Apple’s FY2026Q1 reported EPS is, I think we’re going to see an acceleration in ttm EPS growth that will continue for the next 2 years (at minimum). The wild card will be Investor Sentiment and the multiple that sentiment generates. An increasing revenue and earnings growth rate can drive significant expansion of Investor Sentiment, especially as the market potential for Apple Intelligence, Apple Vision Pro and related Services becomes clearer.'
  • Rodney Avilla on WSJ: Apple's next CEO - 'I believe the reason it is seen as primarily a hardware company is because Apple’s revenue primarily comes from hardware, although the revenue from software is definitely gaining speed and someday, I believe, software/services may pass hardware revenue. But I agree (and happily stand corrected) that it is indeed a hardware/software integrated company as will be proven by the integration of Apple Silicon and AI throughout all its software.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple is No. 6 in Daniel Ives' top 10 names to own before the year ends - 'Well said Don (upvoted). I put AAPL at the top of this list. Whomsoever is #2 will be a distant #2 (probably Alphabet). I think Apple’s M Series Servers are meant to power Apple’s own AI strategy (no off the shelf technology here) and not third party AI software (except maybe third party Apple Intelligence applications/tools). That Apple built a factory in Houston, just to produce these servers, says a great deal about Apple’s AI expectations.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - ' Right now, the AAPL beachball is bobbing half in and out of the water. You aren’t looking at the right time frame. Immediately after Trump announced his tariff war on the world (April 8), AAPL bottomed at $169. Since then it has rallied ~66%. Since June 18 AAPL’s trend line has been a virtual straight line upward from $195 to $280. That’s a 43% gain in 5 months while the “experts” were writing Apple off for lack of an “AI” strategy. This “beach ball” has been on the move since April, but nobody has been paying attention, including myself. If you extend AAPL’s current trend line (I see no reason not to) another 6 months, you have AAPL trading in excess of $350 by WWDC. After that, depending on institutional reception to WWDC’s announcements and July Guidance, I think we can safely see $400 by January 2027. And then the race to $6 Trillion (AAPL @~$420) market cap is over, before it had a chance to begin. I believe this forecast may prove conservative. Apple’s horse in this race will be Apple Vision Pro and related streaming Services, and it’s heretofore non-existent “AI” strategy.'
  • Gregg Thurman on WSJ: Apple's next CEO - ' because Apple is considered a hardware company. Wrong banana breath. Apple is an integrated hardware/software company that designs, develops its own OS, silicon and FUTURE.'
  • David Wilson on Why do Apple shares zig when AI stocks zag? - 'Well, I reckon Apple didn’t need to buy Perplexity after all.'
  • Bart Yee on Apple's iPhone was the bestselling phone in 6 out of 8 countries last quarter - 'Top 5 sellers in September 2025 USA iPhone 17 models 40% iPhone 16 6% Samsung A16 5G (2024 model $200 MSRP) 6% China iPhone 17 models 10% Honor X70 (July 2025 $195-280 USD) 3% iPhone 16 Pro 2% India iPhone 16 4% Redmi 14C 5G ($180 Jan. 2025) 2% OPPO K13x 5G ($130-150 USD Jun 2025) 2% vivo Y29 5G ($185 USD Dec 2024) 2% iPhone 15 2% A fair amount of value priced phones leading the way. Germany iPhone 17 models 19% iPhone 16 6% Samsung Galaxy A56 ($500 USD Mar 2025) 5% UK iPhone 17 models 22% iPhone 16 models 14% Clean sweep at 36% overall France Samsung S25 10% iPhone 16 models 18% Samsung S25+ 5% Interesting no iPhone 17 models in top 5, suggests initial uptake was tepid or cautious due to costs. Korea Samsung Z Flip & Fold 7’s 26% iPhone 17 models 23% Japan iPhone 16e & 16 31% iPhone 17 Pro & 17 21% Samsung A25 5G 6% Suggest size, costs, frugality were heavy considerations. Still iPhone takes >50% of market.'
  • Bart Yee on Apple's iPhone was the bestselling phone in 6 out of 8 countries last quarter - 'No, you read the wrong graph? France’s #1 phone is the Samsung Galaxy S25 base model at 10% and the #5 phone is the Galaxy S25 Plus model (next up the line) at 5%. The iPhone 16 base, Pro & Pro Max combine for 18% total. I would speculate the lack of new iPhone 17’s and Galaxy S25 Ultras suggest some budgeting and value conscious buying during end of Quarter upgrades. There still may some effects of tariffs on French imports affecting purchases of US products like iPhones.'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'Yeah. I’m happy to “go away and eat turkey”. AAPL Pie will be fine. New Airpods Pro 3 are great (I love the Silence!). New Titanium Apple Watch 11 seems to be pretty good. (Gotta repair the Titanium Watch Series 10 and retire the Stainless Steel Watch Series 7.) Prolly no new iPhone this year. Holdin’ out. AAPL will be fine.'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'I admit that I didn’t buy until ~2002 and I sold half after the 2:1 split in ~2005, because it seemed “prudent”. But that original collection of shares doubled in February 2005, became half when I sold half, became 7 X more in June 2014, and became 28 X more in August 2020. And I did buy some extras in the early 2010s. I’m not unhappy with my position in AAPL. Not at all. It’s not $125 million, but it’s enough that I can sleep quite well at night.'
  • Steven Philips on Apple's foldable iPhone rumor roundup, with specs - 'Wow! I could have had a V68!'
  • Steven Philips on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'I’m beginning to think it’s not a beach ball but a marker buoy showing where the “underwater” treasure lies. Time to dive deep! 🙂'
  • Steven Philips on WSJ: Apple's next CEO - 'He’s not retiring, so this is all a bit of wasted mental exercise.'
  • Digant Jariwala on Apple's foldable iPhone rumor roundup, with specs - 'I remember when the original iPad was rumored to debut at $1000+ before official pricing was announced'
  • David Emery on Apple's foldable iPhone rumor roundup, with specs - 'If you’re going to make stuff up, be consistent about it. It helps the sell the lie…. Mebbe he’s right. But I don’t see anything that makes this particular set of specifications any more valid than a set someone who has looked at specs of other phones could construct.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Apple's foldable iPhone rumor roundup, with specs - '“Lastly, the rumored Apple fold launch price could reach $2,399, ” I would imagine this price is not the base model price unless the screen and hinge price is so much higher from the supplier than I would expect. There maybe some model which gets to 2399 but who knows. I think Apple will of course maintain good margins but a price of 1999 for the base model some how is what I think they will aim for . Unless their suppliers are giving them prices low enough to start at 1799. Looking at other companies folds they seem to be in the 1599 price to start. Apple likely would not go for 2399 unless it is a limited edition model.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'Just wanted to tell all of the long time farmers (You too Gregg our option Jedi Master) on the Apple 3.0 Platform and PED for the fantastic job that he does keeping it up and running through thick and thin: “Happy Thanksgiving.” Enjoy the football and leftovers.'
  • Ron Fredrick on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'David Drinkwater said: “It’s a good time to hold long.” **I very much agree, David!! But then, when investing in a great stock like AAPL, it’s pretty much always been a good idea to hold long. As an example, let’s say an investor owned 8,000 shares of AAPL in 2001, when the stock ranged between $16.24 and $22.40 during the year. So, those share were worth $129,920.00 on the first day of the year and $179,200.00 at the end. If the investor just held those shares through the 3 splits and during intervening years for the stock, they’d now own 8,000 X 2 X 7 X 4=448,000 AAPL shares worth $124,082,560.00, as of market close today. Not a bad result for just holding the stock long-term. 🙂'
  • Stephen Gordon on Why do Apple shares zig when AI stocks zag? - 'Can the institutional lag be due, in part, to fixed trading cycles within a given month? I’m sure the process is a lot more rigid than it is with retail (P&L, rebalancing, model projection, hedging, etc.) hence the perceived latency.'
  • Miguel Ancira on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'AVP and Sports, Sports, Sports ….'
  • Daniel Epstein on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'The optical of that 1 week chart confused me as the bottom axis is November days 19 – 25 which is very close to looking like years if one doesn’t pay to close attention. While the top headings are the potential choices for the chart like 1 week to 10 Y. So this last five trading days the range has been 270 and 280. A 3.85% move if the chart is correct. A significant move for long term holders but not that dramatic for short term holders as the graph makes it look. Best to look at longer time frames to really understand how the stock has been doing this year and longer. This price area for the stock is about what one would have expected this year from steady but not spectacular growth without all the worries about tariff’s and government intervention. A 15% gain overall but not a straight line up.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'to. It’s a good time to hold long. The ground work has been laid. It’s time to reap the benefits of Apple Intelligence, Apple Vision Pro and immersive video. FY2026 is going to be the luxurious appetizer preceding the FY2027 feast.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'Truthfully, David, I could care less about the foldable iPhone. Now, if they made a foldable iPad that could double the screen size plus give me a decent fold-out keyboard….'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'Right now, the AAPL beachball is bobbing half in and out of the water. Fine with me. On a per share basis, valuation is low enough to keep Apple pulling shares out of the float while net income continues to grow better than expected. Net/net, our investment continues to generate a very good ROI.'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'Santa Claus doesn’t tip the claret jug until January. January should be good. And hopefully, a meaningful raise to dividend in April. And we have iPhone XX and “foldable” yet to look forward to. It’s a good time to hold long.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple at $276.97: Third all-time high close of November - 'I can still remember how excited I was when it hit $180.00 for the first time several years ago in December I believe of 2022.'
  • Bart Yee on Apple at $280.38: A new all-time intraday high - 'At a high of $280.38, and current reported 14.78B shares, AAPL’s market cap would approach $4.144T. AAPL settled today at $4.110T With Nvidia’s drop today, its market cap has fallen to $4.321T, about $177B ahead of AAPL at its intraday high, and $211B at the close. Alphabet / Google has risen sharply to $3.906T while MSFT has fallen out of the $4T club to $3.545T.'