Recent Comments

  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - '”Apple sells ~25-30m Macs depending on the year. Very likely, this goes north of 40M a year fairly quickly.” I love the math, but look at it this way. For the first 5 years Apple benefits by 10-12 million Macs per year, THEN the replacement cycle commences and at the same switchers rate that 10-12 million Macs suddenly becomes 20-24 million units per year, with the older Macs becoming hand-me-downs (unlike PCs they still have economic life). The NEO has the potential to decimate the $600-$800 PC market. It may take 10 years but I can see that happening, especially as Apple silicon continues to mature (Intel can’t compete in this arena).'
  • Bill Donahue on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'This should be a surprise to absolutely nobody.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'I don’t recall seeing this Dan. Great find nevertheless.'
  • Roger Schutte on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'Daniel, here is Ben Bajarin’s thoughts on Neo potential (TAM = total addressable market): “I have LONG argued, Mac is Apple’s greatest short term growth lever. By adding Neo, they just added potential TAM grab of 50m units a year from that price band $600-800. Apple sells ~25-30m Macs depending on the year. Very likely, this goes north of 40M a year fairly quickly.'
  • Dan Scropos on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'I posted this the day he tweeted it in November and probably a half dozen times since (because I agree 100%) “The share of Windows in MSRP <$800 is 100%. This is why the entire PC ecosystem is freaking out over what’s coming from Apple next year,” ~Ben Bajarin This obviously excludes Chromebooks, but they’re garbage and not widely used by professionals and/or Enterprise.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I don’t know if I should be honored by that. Bad pennies do get around., eh?'
  • Fred Stein on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - '“It’s easy (it’s so easy) Like taking candy (like taking candy) From a baby” Len Barry, 1965'
  • Steven Philips on Premarket: Apple is red - 'One – of several – executives holding more shares than TC controlling him makes no sense to me. And are you saying that TC is moving in a wrong direction? Levinson would have to be controlling the whole Board for that to be the case. IMHO. That’s presuming they ARE in disagreement.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'Gregg you summed up most of the issue of using these shipping delays as a metric for sales popularity. Especially for a new product line. And the different colors don’t help. Would you buy a Neo in the configuration you want but in a different color because the color you wanted is going to take too long to be delivered? Sometimes sometime not. How are the shipping times doing for some of the more expensive products Apple introduced this week? According to the Apple site I can order a 16 MacBook Pro in a common configuration and pick it up Mar 11 locally. That is basically the cost of 4 Neo’s. The New Studio display in a standard Glass Tilt adjustable stand is also available Mar 11. about 3 Neo’s. So maybe the NEO shipping delay is indicative of some kind of popularity. I do think Apple Mac sales will get a boost from all of the refreshes and new products for sale. Still wish they could deliver on the Mac Studio upgrades. The piecemeal updates for the product lines does grate a bit.'
  • Charles A. on Premarket: Apple is red - '@Gregg Remember you from way back in the late ’90s on the AOL stock message board for AAPL!'
  • Steven Philips on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'Yup. Need actual numbers.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo is already selling out - 'Did Apple under estimate demand for the 512 version? Not knowing Apple’s production mix it’s impossible to know.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'OT, but interesting to me, is this article from The Street on Apple Business News today: “Who owns Apple? Institutional holdings & executives’ shares” …”Tim Cook, Apple’s CEO, has…held 3,280,295 shares as of October 2025…Arthur D. Levinson, chairman of Apple’s board of directors, owned 4,069,576 shares as of February 2026…” Is Mr. Levinson pulling Mr. Cook’s strings? And what about institutional investors? More and more, I’m convinced that Mr. Cook is just doing what he’s told to do….'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'Anybody notice that the targeted PC brands are all consumer devices (Lenovo, Asus and Acer)?'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'The budget hardware market is 70%-75% of the TAM. The budget hardware market isn’t worth the effort. As consumers of Services it is huge. Apple One in this market is going to destroy Spotify.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'Daniel, I think the profit opportunity is in increasing Services (specifically AI, Vision Pro movies and iCloud storage). Services gross margins and rapid growth rate offset a lot of hardware costs, and that hardware is required to access those Services.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple is coming to a sports bar near you - 'Had to go back some to find this thread. ”[Cadillac] Marketing efforts have directly targeted a U.S. audience, following the sport’s boom in the country since the start of the season.” The above was from an article (copyrighted) about Cadillac’s entry to F-1 competition. Cadillac fields an F-1 team, Apple buys US F-1 broadcast rights, Apple produces a blockbuster F-1 movie, Apple announces new Vision Pro’s (my speculation) and it’s all coming to a head in 2026. All these efforts began 6-10 years ago. How did they know F-1 would be a big deal in the US, starting in 2026?'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Thanks for clarification, Rodney, and I upvoted both comments! This ridiculous drop in Apple’s valuation is (1) SO predictable, and (2) a huge opportunity for both Apple and long term investors to buy cheap AAPL – which Apple has now been doing for over 12 years!'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'Hi, Daniel. Is gross margin better than increased net profit? The Neo is IMO a classic loss leader – with one huge difference: A loss leader that breaks even is gravy, so one that turns a profit is fantastic. Also, the whole Apple assembly line normally goes into hibernation following Chinese New Year. This year, portions of it will stay open. These new products are a win all around; for kids and their parents, for Apple, for Apple employees, and for long term AAPL investors.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'Anybody have an idea how big the revenue opportunity is for Apple in the budget market for laptops? If Apple sells annually 4 million additional budget laptops at 650 asp that works out to 2.6 billion per year. A nice use of older technology but not a super difference to the overall Apple ecosystem. If they do better than that then it bodes well for future Mac user sales so a good way to expand.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple's MacBook Neo stars in this week's Joy of Tech - 'And if you think the valuation of Apple is bananas now, just think how it would have been without this week’s reveals!'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Morning, Gregg. Agreed. Among other things, that near-death experience created a need to get their hands on cash, which they were forced to do by hugely diluting the float. Only now is the float back close to normal.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Premarket: Apple is red - '“ And no, Rodney, what some folks see as the tardiness of Smart Siri is not the problem.” I agree. I am not in a big hurry, and I don’t think Apple should be either. But there are some on Wall Street who think otherwise. And I believe that when Apple does make that announcement, we will see a very sizable bump in aapl.'
  • Bill Donahue on Premarket: Apple is red - 'FYI, this filing was this morning.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - '“…the rule of law is no longer of relevance…” It means we’re in deep shit, and it’s getting deeper. There’s a reckoning coming down the pike. Well, that, or the Republicans drag us into full-on authoritarianism. Like I said, folks: It’s past time to have fastened your seat belts….'
  • David Wilson on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Indeed, that is the question.'
  • Bill Donahue on Premarket: Apple is red - 'According to a court filing with the U.S. Court ‌for International ​Trade, U.S. Customs ‌and Border Protection ​agency stated they are unable to comply with a ‌court order ⁠directing it to refund ⁠tariffs that the Supreme Court ​has ​ruled ​illegal. That may also be what’s weighing on the market, from a couple of perspectives. First being companies and consumers won’t be getting their money that was illegally taken by US Customs and Border Protection any time soon and, second, the bigger, broader, and more significant implications of the US government simply saying they can’t (or won’t?) follow a court order to undo their illegal actions. Put simply, what does it mean to do business in a jurisdiction in which the rule of law is no longer of relevance to government and regulators?'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'IMO, Rodney, uncomfortableness with AI is growing. Apple may actually be the beneficiary of a go-slow approach. Apple/AAPL is a stock thar absolutely requires patience, and even a tab or two of dramamine. It’s not a good fit as a momentum stick, although it’s also streaky at times.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple MacBook Neo hands on (videos) - 'Just wait till Xmas! And Jr High and High School Graduation gifts in May/June And Back to School in Fall.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Some folks are (belatedly) raiding their piggy banks. And there are suddenly a LOT of falling knives. Stagflation is now a real danger. But hey, the wealthy got their Big Beautiful Bill, so it’s completely worth the price we’re gonna pay…. /s And no, Rodney, what some folks see as the tardiness of Smart Siri is not the problem.'