Steven Philips on Apple's contempt in Epic case goes to the Supreme Court - 'What to think? “Apple’s contempt …goes to the Supreme Court.” I can’t blame them, mine does too! 🙂'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - '”Has anyone else interacted with the Customer Service chatbots yet?” Just did yesterday with AppleCard support. I got super frustrated, had to hang up, call back then demand a live “Specialist”. If that was “AI”, the technology is doomed. Left a blistering survey response.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'It is true that AOC did not mention Apple by name, but it would be very difficult indeed, to try to make the argument that she would not include Apple in the list of companies that should be broken up. I agree that Fox added the word ‘Apple’ in order to get clicks, a practice that many reporters use (see the New York Times, Washington Post, etc.) to get our attention (and clicks). It is the price Apple pays for being the leader. Sadly, it is a practice that is not going to go away anytime soon.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'I don’t want to dismiss impact of rising costs on the consumer, but for a iPhone purchaser who holds onto their next phone for say 3 years, that’s what, a dime a day? I’ve already spent over a hundred extra dollar on gas over the last two months. Everything is just more expensive now. Eating out…? Yikes!'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Mordechai, of note is that Seattle now has a socialist mayor who is chasing Amazon out of town too. And Seattle is its home town! 🙁'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'She was relieved of duty when she insisted on not raising drink prices when the cost of liquor went up. Also for giving away free drinks.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - '@Joseph I don’t want to rule out greed, but I think it has more to do with the nature of the memory business. Demand can fluctuate rapidly but you don’t just open a new FAB like opening a Costco Warehouse. It takes a huge investment and lots of skilled people and time to build a FAB. The memory makers have been burned in the past by responding to demand that vanished by the time supply increased. This whole mix of AI and CAPEX and RAM pricing is awesomely crazy. You have billionaire Bond-villains investing insane amounts of money because they hope to produce software that will let them run companies with almost no workers. These investments are sucking up enough RAM to distort prices that upend all sorts of other businesses and yet the AI companies (like Anthropic) are losing vast amounts of money on small revenues. Has anyone else interacted with the Customer Service chatbots yet? I find them very annoying. It’s like someone reading back entries in a FAQ page. No real understanding. Worse, they add lots of filler to waste your time (Oh, yes, I understand how that can be frustrating…). It’s a lie because the AI doesn’t understand or feel anything.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'A good day for Apple investors. That paint dried pretty fast today! Also, pretty high volume, over 60 M trades. And once again Max Pain is under water….'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - '$289.07 at the close. Moderate volume. Nice gain for the day.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Tim Cook/Apple increasing prices now gives potential buyers time to get used to that. Should help avoid surprises when a customer walks into a store during the busy Christmas season.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - '“Beyond that, I can’t analyze politics.” Horace Dediu “A good man always knows his limitations” Harry Callahan'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'BTW, Donna still has the 2 AAPL pre-split shares she won as a prize from Apple back in the mid-1980’s, when she sold computers for an Apple-only dealership….'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'I watched the clip you linked to and, admittedly, she did not make any direct connection between Apple, antitrust, and memory prices. She still argues for breaking up big tech companies that have too much power and instituting some sort of consumer protections. Given that AOC was instrumental in chasing Amazon out of her district with the end result that rather than having a lot of tech workers her district is now a hub for sex workers, I would take any policy pronouncement of hers with a big grain of salt. She’s a poster girl for the law of unintended consequences.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Which is why (A) Donna and myself are now long term 100% Apple investors and (B) why these attempts to panic folks out of AAPL are having less impact as time goes on; that is, the relative numbers of long term Apple investors is growing as Apple buys up the shares of AAPL sold by short term traders. There’s a reason Apple is up 261,000% over its lifetime….'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'But for those with lower end phones and an annual (2 year, 3 year, etc) replacement cycle, releasing some phones while postponing others would not be favorable for them.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'The fun thing is, Gregg, that Apple got to buy back some of the undervalued AAPL as well. That’s more ROI for the Apple longs…. (When a company uses undervalued net cash to buy back undervalued stock, it decreases the float, which increases the percentage of ownership of each share remaining. It’s literally a company investing in itself on behalf of its long term owners. Of course, the company needs to keep growing as well, but that’s what Apple is surprisingly good at.)'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'To your point about cartels: Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Sued for Alleged Memory Price-Fixing To your other point, I think Apple has better flexibility using its capital to loan money to multiple companies for their foundry construction. Apple gets the interest from those loans, as well as the principle eventually, while able to often claim first dibs on the chips. It can then play those foundries off each other in ways to get better prices as well as have surge capacity it would not have if it built the foundries itself. And it can get access to new technologies instead of having to spend the capex itself. The problem now is the likely collusion of the memory makers and the deep pockets of AI companies. That will pass and Apple will be in a better position then.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Hi, Gregg. I dislike the idea of giving the Chinese Communist Party even more power over Apple. I like better the idea that Apple rolls their own. That said, mine is at best a long term solution. Horace points that out as well in this same article: “These investments take many years to bear fruit. A new fab would take five years before the first wafer, 10 years before high volume yield, and 15 years or more before cost competitiveness with incumbent DRAM vendors. It may not ever become profitable. China is 12 years in and its state-sponsored memory industry may only be reaching profitability due to the market imbalance just experienced.” In the meantime, just the act of moving in that direction should put some needed fear in the minds of the would-be cartel. That said, I don’t think Apple should make this move as a shot across the bow. I think they should follow through to the bitter end and completely sink ‘em.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Looks thike SCOTUS will hear Apple’s appeal of the Epic lawsuit. The one where Apple was found in contempt. That could be very helpful for Apple. Best lawyers in the world.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Horace does not share my opinion. “There has never been a situation where a commodity shortage has resulted in a perpetual undersupply (unless a cartel forms–and even that is hard to keep going indefinitely.] The reason commodities balance in price is by their definition. Unless memories can be differentiated on performance, their price will float. If their price will float, high prices will attract investment and thus production and thus a glut and prices will fall.” It’s the ‘unless a cartel forms’ exception Horace brackets that worries me. The price isn’t going up because it’s more expensive to make RAM: The massive profit increases prove that it’s just greed. And we’ve seen what the Hydrocarbon Cartel can do over decades. Besides, Apple of all companies can afford some longer term insurance. And even a small move in that direction could break this proto-cartel up before it does any more damage. Besdes, what’s the worst that can happen? Apple has a segment thst doesn’t make a direct profit? Is that so horrible if they also make themselves less vulnerable to being made a hostage?'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'It’s a good day for the market and a very good day for Apple! The shares are currently up $6.26 at $288. All four major indexes are in the green in early afternoon trading. AMD is trading up 7.17% at $578.16 and Vertiv Holdings, a data center supplier, is up 7.12% at $328.84. I’m looking forward to seeing what happens as we move through the afternoon.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'I went and looked at what she actually said. AOC never mentions Apple at all. The original reporting from Fox News, which has the video, added Apple into the mix, not AOC, likely conflating what she said with Apple as clickbait. She mentioned the impact on laptop prices in general BECAUSE of AI companies and the need to regulate those companies along with their data centers. She actually gave, to my mind, pretty reasonable and extemporaneous responses focussed on the impacts of AI on local communities and the ramifications throughout the industry on laptop prices (not like the more unreasonable flayings of Bernie). I may not fully agree, but many people would. But she was not talking about Apple. (As an aside, this Fox reporter, Nicholas Ballasy, is making a place for himself with these hallway ‘hit’ pieces. He is the same one Massie went after hard the other day.) Fox News cherry-picked and misrepresented what she said in order to get more hits. And that likely worked as every other major right-leaning media (ie NY Post, Washington Examiner) picked up on it, often more directly implying she meant Apple. The old telephone game.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Red at the Open, the bullishly Green thereafter with a slight dip just before the Close. Volume shows interest, while AAPL continues to rise, is declining. I interpret that as the big boys got their fill of super cheap AAPL below $277.50. Currently, AAPL is up over $12 since the big boys stopped buying.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - '“It felt like he was shaken. It sounded unprecedented to him, and he wasn’t in his element.” On the contrary, he is indeed in his element, which is why Apple will do much better than other tech companies whose CEO is not as skilled as TC. Also I don’t think he was shaken. I believe he saw it coming a mile away, second only to the management of TSMC. I believe other CEO’s also saw it coming, but did not have the means (as Apple did) to do something about it (longterm contracts). But there was only so much TC could do. No one knew how long Apple could hold off the price increases until the time came. And it came. It may had come a little sooner than TC wanted, but it was no surprise. Footnote: Having said that, I do understand that Horace follows Apple much closer than I do, with much greater insight. Just wanted to add my 2 cents worth.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Getting even. What if Apple’s efforts to get Chinese memory producers approved is real. Samsung, Micron, SK Hynix lose their number one long term customer, AND their gross margins. In the meantime Apple designs its own memory, foregoing industry standards to improve performance and has Intel and/or Global Foundry produce them in the US. In that scenario I could see Apple knocking on SK Hynix’s door for the #3 spot. What would the trio above do to prevent that from happening. After all, data center construction at current rates aren’t sustainable. I give them 2 years max before the roof caves in, and the floor crumbles beneath their feet.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - 'Question for those with knowledge of memory chip fabbing: To my knowledge, Intel does not make any memory chips. But could they? And could they ramp up any production quickly? If yes, this would be a wonderful win for Apple and also help fund Intel’s recovery. Of course a blow to Intel’s corporate ego, but survival from the cash flow could help them in their ongoing evolution.'
on Horace Dediu expects iPhone prices to go up $100 - '”They teach good stuff in bartending school.” She failed the part that says, “Don’t drink your product”.'


