Recent Comments

  • Richard Gayle on Goldman Sachs: AI feeds on skilled workers - 'The Apple show – Mythic Quest – was a really satirical workplace comedy at a gaming company. As I recall, there were just a couple of programmers who actually created the necessary content for versions of the game and most of the others were drones that helped fix things when they broke and maintained the code. Until a new version was created. Seems to me that the drones can be replaced but the actual ones who created new content would still be needed. Likely using AI to enhance their productivity. META/Google/AMazon likely have a higher number of drones than Apple.'
  • David Drinkwater on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'I think that what this suggests is that Apple sticks to its vision that saying yes to everything is not the real answer and that responsibly saying no to a lot of things is very important.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Goldman Sachs: AI feeds on skilled workers - '”Those are software engineering skills that are much more than” Forgive me if I sound stupid (but when it comes to understanding how to use “AI” I am), wouldn’t that make Apple’s user interface expertise all the more valuable to the multitudes wanting to use “AI”, but haven’t a clue how?'
  • Gregg Thurman on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - '”The idea that Apple might buy chips they can’t use just to prevent others from accessing them is really bizarre” While not believing Apple would do that, for the reasons you highlight, Apple had done it before. The original iPod used a 1 1/2 HD for storage. Toshiba, the only manufacturer of an HD that small, had tried for a long time to get someone to buy it. Apple came along and bought Toshiba’s entire 1 1/2” drive production for 3 years. When Toshiba could then sell to others Apple had moved on to higher capacity drives. Digital music player manufacturers were locked out for 5 years. By the time Apple switched to Flash, the digital music player industry consisted of Apple and…nobody else.'
  • Bart Yee on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'I doubt Apple is trying to freeze out Wintel products and makers, simply due to much higher memory volumes used by Wintel manufacturers, plus higher individual box needs per system compared to Macs. IMO, Apple is trying to be proactive in procuring memory supply where it can and stocking / hoarding inventory at best prices available while they have specific leverage and production needs in a number of different products. It’s a shame that reasonable amounts of reusable LPDDR4X (iPhone 8-XS-11-12 and SE2, Galaxy S8, S9, S10 (some models), and many mid-range models such as the Galaxy A52 and A53 models) or LPDDR5/5X, and NAND Flash Memory (specifically UFS – Universal Flash Storage) for non-volatile, long-term internal storage can’t be harvested and recycled from used smartphones of recent vintages, both iPhones and Android phones.'
  • David Emery on Goldman Sachs: AI feeds on skilled workers - 'You have to understand the domain well enough to ask the AI the right questions to get the code, and understand software-systems enough to know how to deploy and sustain the code in operations. Those are software engineering skills that are much more than “learn to code in 6 weeks”…'
  • David Emery on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'Apple is only going to spend boatloads to secure memory for devices IT makes. The idea that Apple might buy chips they can’t use just to prevent others from accessing them is really bizarre, particularly given the amount of $ it would take to do that. I’d argue that would fail fiduciary responsibilities to shareholders, and even if it didn’t, it would certainly generate a lawsuit to that effect, and probably antitrust and anything else lawyers can think up.'
  • Les Surdykowski on Goldman Sachs: AI feeds on skilled workers - 'These AI tools are a force multiplier as long as you know how to use them and understand their strengths and weaknesses. So assuming these caveats, this technology can allow more output with fewer people. Most people see that statement and assume that means downsizing. And most organizations will approach this the same way they did when they raced to the bottom on computer or smartphone prices. You can do that if your goal is to be the cheapest commodity item around. Or you can use this technology to allow more output with fewer people. Some organizations will have the space to embrace this perspective because they aren’t interested in the commodity price death match championship. But even these organizations need to understand that this technology can allow more output with fewer people, so their ability to maintain their markets uncontested is not a forgone conclusion. I think/hope the executive leadership at Apple appreciates this nuance. If everyone goes for the death match championship title, then this affects Apple because AI agents don’t have aspirational brand affinity. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯'
  • Gregg Thurman on Goldman Sachs: AI feeds on skilled workers - 'The skill level of Apple employees is much higher than the average Amazon, META, et al employee. If there’s a reduction in workforce at Apple, I believe it will be attritional, not disruptive.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Hi, Bart. “Despite…a…“blackout period”, Apple…repurchase[s] shares….” Yep. Advanced Share Repurchases or ASRs. Apple’s equivalent of Br’er Rabbit’s briar patch….'
  • Gregg Thurman on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - '” This is an attempt to knock Apple out of the arena.” Or it could be a media wet dream of a click bait article.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - '” 1) PC clones are more impacted by memory cost.” In today’s “Stocks” is an article from Barons alleging that Apple is buying as much memory as it can get. Is Apple trying to squeeze Wintel manufacturer out of the market, or is this in anticipation of very positive response to the Neo? It doesn’t really matter, either way, if the report is true the Neo is going to gobble up Wintel share. That’s going to negatively impact Lenovo (#3), ASUS (#5) and Others, all bottom dwellers with paper thin margins. #1 HP and #2 DELL rely on higher enterprise margins attributed to Support. They are better positioned to absorb higher memory costs. They just won’t like it. It’s possible institutional buyers of HP and DELL will see declining profits at these two firms, and rotate to Apple (expanding market share and higher GM%).'
  • Fred Stein on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'Yes, good point. Sitting on the edge of my chair ready to jump up and shout.'
  • David Emery on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'I’ll be VERY interested to hear a regional breakdown for the NEO, if Apple reports it… I could see this being a big seller in India, in particular.'
  • Fred Stein on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'For those reading Asymco’s recent posts on the Mac/Pc topic, especially Neo, Apple’s Mac future growth looks even more promising. A few highlights: 1) PC clones are more impacted by memory cost. 2) Neo’s affordability dramatically increases Approachable Market. 3) A lot of the Mac growth is “new to”, vs PCs clones relying on churning their base (at nearly twice the rate of Mac refresh).'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'Very, very interesting…. So why does Amazon need Globalstar? Answer: They don’t. This is an attempt to knock Apple out of the arena.'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'I did find this in Wikipedia: “Amazon Leo, is a subsidiary of Amazon established in 2019 to deploy a large satellite internet constellation providing low-latency broadband connectivity.[2][3] The project’s original codename was inspired by the Kuiper belt. The service was rebranded as Amazon Leo in November 2025.[4]… …In July 2020, the Federal Communications Commission authorized Amazon to deploy 3,236 satellites into low Earth orbit.[5] Deployment is planned in five phases, with service expected to begin after the first 578 satellites reach orbit. Under the terms of its license, Amazon must launch and operate half of the constellation by July 30, 2026, and the remainder by July 30, 2029.[6] To support the constellation, Amazon has purchased 92 rocket launches from United Launch Alliance, ArianeGroup, and Blue Origin—the latter founded by Amazon executive chairman Jeff Bezos—for a total cost exceeding US$10 billion.[7] In 2023, it also purchased three launches from SpaceX, operator of the competing Starlink network.[8]'
  • Bart Yee on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Gregg, some share price increase can be expected due to Apple buybacks for the month of April, especially during these dips and troughs. Despite being in a quarterly reporting month “blackout period”, Apple and its trading partners still do repurchase shares during the month of its earnings report “under plans complying with Rule 10b5-1 under the Exchange Act.” Here’s the share repurchasing activity for the past 3 Aprils: April 2025 43.2M @ $200.79 41.4% of quarter’s total shares $8.76B, 41% of $21.2B spent April 2024 45.7M @ $169.74 33% of Quarter’s total shares $7.76B, 30% of $26.2B spent April 2023 38.1M @ $165.46 37% of Quarter’s total shares $6.31B, 35% of $18.1B spent'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'Hi, Philip. “Just one more example of Apple letting opportunity slip.” See my comment to Richard above. Hi, Sharon. I see you’re still as much a proponent of Amazon as I am of Apple….'
  • Joseph Bland on Amazon wants Globalstar. Apple owns 20 percent - 'That’s a reasonable hypothesis, Richard. BTW, per Wikipedia: “Globalstar reserves 85% of its network capacity for the service…” I’d say Apple not only hasn’t let this opportunity slip, but thanks to the recent high profile interest in space-based server farms, they are also acutely aware of having bought a highly valuable seat at the orbiting satellite table. Blue Origin will bring the transport system (which Apple can bankroll). So why do these three need Amazon? Maybe there’s a seat at the table for them, and maybe not.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'This is pre Neo (and pre Touch Screen MacBook) growth. Looking forward to the next couple of years.'
  • Ben Gepp on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'So, running this thru Perplexity, Apple has a 25% higher ASP than PC’s (this seems to close to me… but who knows?), so that implies Apple commands roughly 20% of global revenue. Very likely edge compute on M series and affordable Neos will lift market share and corresponding revenue. YAy! (Assuming tomorrow’s apocalypse is TACOed)'
  • Gregg Thurman on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'Given the introduction of the NEO (switchers including education) and on device “AI” Apple could surpass Lenovo in the next 4 years.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Omdia: Apple's share of the global PC market grew to 16% last year - 'This is all interesting news for Apple’s Mac business. The rankings are interesting but unit sales is always understating Apple’s revenue share since they tend to sell higher cost models compared to many PC competitors. The Neo does change that somewhat and Apple’s ability to maintain profit margins is going to help. The Mac business is not as impressive as the IPhone business but it is good to see Apple doing well with it. And they always exclude tablets which suffice to say is an Apple stronghold.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Under government pressure, Apple removes Bitchat from its Chinese App Store - '” Apple obeys the laws of every country in which it operates.” As it should, no matter how we feel about it. Picking and choosing which laws to be followed is the very essence of anarchy.'
  • Greg Lippert on Under government pressure, Apple removes Bitchat from its Chinese App Store - 'I know Apple follow the laws, but it’s always scary when governments try to stifle freedom. Same as it ever was…'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'During the period 9:45 AM to 10:15 AM AAPL has rallied ~$3.00. This is a continuation of a rally that began March 31 totaling ~$11.00. I can’t find any news that might be responsible for such an increase. AAPL is now up ~$6.00 during the first hour of trading. My July options are looking very pretty, although I did expect such a move this early. I do not believe Key Bank’s aggressive increase in revenue growth (released today) to be the catalyst.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Index futures are mixed fifteen minutes out from today’s opening bell. Apple is ahead in the last few minutes of pre-market activity $0.33 at $256.25. We are now in Apple’s 3rd fiscal quarter with results for the March quarter due around the end of this month.'
  • David Emery on Still no Apple price target from KeyBanc despite raised estimates - 'Still no Apple price target from KeyBanc despite raised estimates Ask me if I care….'