Rodney Avilla on Report: Apple may take a chance with India's chipmakers - 'My take: More pivoting from China to India. I’m not quite ready to make that assumption, that Apple will be taking business away from China. Apple is still growing, and what India will be able to do probably won’t affect what China is presently doing. However if India’s manufacturing is able to meet Apple’s quality standards, then in the future, Apple may be in a better position to do some pivoting. And that will give Apple more leverage when dealing with China.'
on Jim Cramer: Apple will be the beneficiary of the hyperscaler's investments in AI - 'Two bullish recommendations issued today, and the market didn’t notice. Oh well, my gain since October, annualized is about 60%. I just hate retreating.'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Truth n Lending I’m still trying to figure out what is going on with AAPL and have been unsuccessful. That being the case, coupled with today’s continued decline I bailed, losing all but ~$678 of my gains since October. My ROI stands at 13.58%.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'Upvoted you and David. Adding to the complaint against the EU, is the tax revenues, VAT, lower payrolls, property, income tax, etc. the EU countries take in. The EU wants to have it both ways – benefitting from tax revenue and extract more payments for ‘exploitation’.'
on Evercore: Ten days before Christmas, iPhone lead times are expanding - 'Yes, I was curious to see what effect the year-end profit-taking – since AAPL has done well – would have on how the stock ends the year'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Index futures remain green as we approach 9am in the east. Apple is ahead pre-market $0.66 at $275.27. Microsoft, which gained $1.57 on Tuesday, is ahead $1.61 at $4.78. Broadcom, which remains a top semiconductor pick by Morgan Stanley with a $475 price target on the shares, is up $2.29 at $343.59 this morning.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'Well, one way this administration is ‘rattling sabers’ is by withholding them 🙂 Trump’s attacks on NATO and blatant acceptance of Russian narratives tell the EU that “US sabers won’t be there when you need them.” So I’d accept that as an expansive notion of ‘saber rattling.’'
on Report: Apple may take a chance with India's chipmakers - 'If true (it’s only initial talks) I’ll bet Apple leverages an agreement with India to cease with the various, and spurious, anti-competitive actions. I would.'
on Report: Apple may take a chance with India's chipmakers - '“Not necessarily what the POTUS demanded.” No, but what about Modi’s operandi?'
on Premarket: Apple is green - 'They need Micron to tell them about bloated AI valuations?? They just need someone to explain to them that Apple is not a part of that!'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'I would suggest that, while “saber-rattling” is being bandied about here as synonymous with “threatening”, the definition has distinctive military overtones. With the present Administration, that’s not too far a stretch (as for example presently with Venezuela) to be on the table, one way or another. “overtly and often exaggeratedly threatening actions or statements (such as verbal threats or ostentatious displays of military power) that are meant to intimidate an enemy by suggesting possible use of force” – Merriam-Webster'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'As of this morning’s premarket prints AAPL is up ~$3 MoM, on wild trading in an ~$20 range. The market is looking for direction and not finding it.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Index futures are green at 3:15am in the east. Apple is currently off $0.33 at $274.28 overnight.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'On the day 73% of S&P 500 components closed in the red. Apple bucked the market trend, rising $0.50 to finish the day’s session at $274.61. Although there was weakness throughout the markets today, the oil patch was hit hard due in part to falling oil prices worldwide. Among the stocks performing well today Comcast closed up 5.39% at $29.73 on market speculation of interest by an activist investor. Broadcom moved up $1.49 to close at $341.30. Despite the recent sell-off in the shares, JP Morgan has named the company the bank’s top pick in the semiconductor sector for next year. The bank has a $475 price target on the shares.'
on The Information: Apple is bringing seven new iPhones to market - 'My all-time favorite iPhone design prediction was the one where the phone looked almost like an iPod with a scroll wheel for selecting numbers. While it wasn’t actually correct, it was a contender that never made it past the design studio. Bonus points for appearing at the iPhone reveal as a joke bait-and-switch by Jobs himself.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'The EU was created to create … the EU, reducing trade frictions and increase mobility between the EU nations. As such, there has to be at least some favoritism within the EU, but I will also agree that there seems to be too much pushback against the USA – and a lot of saber rattling to go along with it. Seems kinda childish to me: Trump should very successful at it.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'I think you will find that Germany also puts money into Airbus. And also manufactures Airbus planes. I could be wrong, but I don’t think so.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - '“‘reasonable idea, appalling execution’.)” That is a good summation. A comment I have made in the past, which is somewhat similar, is a “bull in a china shop” as a way to reduce inventory.'
on The Information: Apple is bringing seven new iPhones to market - 'Apple will be unforgivably “late” with the designs “we” predicted. Why should “we” be expected to apologize for that?'
on The Information: Apple is bringing seven new iPhones to market - 'And 2 years from now, when Apple hasn’t done what The Information says it is going to do, you will be hard pressed to find a mea culpa emanating from The Information.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - ' So Boeing has a corporate strategy to emphasize commercial aircraft when the business is good, and feed from the Defense Trough when the commercial aircraft business has a slump. David I would agree with you to a point on that. Where I think your argument weakens is that since 1991 (collapse of the Soviet Union) US defense spending, as a percent of GDP has materially declined. That spend decline led Putin to believe that NATO doesn’t have the resources to support Ukraine in a prolonged war, and maintain its strategic armaments reserve for a possible conflict with Russia. To a great extent Putin is correct. The US, France, Germany and Great Britain are all looking at a drastic 5 year plan to restock their respective arsenals to NATO required levels. Italy and Greece continue to struggle with poor economic management. Eastern European countries are still rebuilding after being released from the Soviet yoke. Poland is the sole exception, spending more than is required. France and Germany have the largest deficit to overcome to achieve NATO requirements. This is being complicated by the French genetic fear of a powerful Germany (France fears everyone over one issue or another). My point is this: Boeing is not receiving the degree of military benefit it has in the past, whereas Airbus’ direct government subsidies have not declined.'
on Counterpoint cuts 2026 smartphone forecast. Apple and Samsung will be fine. - 'I think you have to take into account the difference between calendar year and fiscal year. On a fiscal basis 2026 will represent a significant expansion over fiscal 2025. On a calendar basis the December quarter of 2025 will no longer be included, and after significant YoY growth it is natural for the December quarter of 2026 to under perform December 2025. That seesaw motion has been going on for more than a decade. RAM costs will have nothing to do with Counterpoint’s math. All smartphone manufacturers will suffer the same cost increases, but only Apple has a price framework that would enable it to absorb the minuscule overall price increase attributed to RAM. Remember, iPhone prices were flat this year, just in time for the COVID purchase cycle to enter the upgrade window. Apple can afford to absorb RAM cost increases because of increases in high margin Services revenue (attributable to AI and VisionOS streaming sports content alledged to be arriving in 2026). This part of Counterpoint’s article continues a history of under researched speculation, or a deliberate attempt to manipulate markets.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'The argument you’ll hear on Boeing, which from my observation has validity, is that the US subsidizes Boeing through its military contracts. So Boeing has a corporate strategy to emphasize commercial aircraft when the business is good, and feed from the Defense Trough when the commercial aircraft business has a slump. (I admit to being biased against Boeing based on Boeing’s performance on the big Army Future Combat Systems program. You haven’t lived until you’ve been part of a $22 billion failure. The Boeing PM was later hired and fired as Boeing’s CEO after the 737 Max catastrophe.)'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'Instead of developing a progressive framework where innovation is rewarded, the EU is hell bent on protecting industries still making buggy whips. Yes there are a lot of EU firms contributing to the world’s economy, but there are just as many that have done little to nothing, except complain unfair. Their evidence for unfair is that they arrived late, and that they have been unable to catch up. A notable exception, and perfect illustration of the EU mindset is Airbus. It manufactures wonderful aircraft, but without massive subsidies from Great Britain, France, Spain and many others it would have failed years ago, and would fail today without them. Now who is being unfair? Perhaps the US should place tariffs on Airbus aircraft purchased by US airlines? Then use those funds to subsidize sales of US manufactured aircraft around the world.'
on Raw Data: The U.S. rattling its sabers at Europe - 'What we -should have- is global, or at least “the West” international agreement on multinational corporations, including multinational tech corporations. That should include tax and finance, data/privacy protection, market definitions and market rules, and uniform treatment under law for both domestic and international companies. Failing wide international agreements, I have very little trust and faith in the EU and its ability to construct regulations that apply fairly across their markets. So on this issue, I would agree with the intent of the Trump administration. But like so many other issues, we’ll have to see if Trump can actually execute this in any reasonable way. (Prior experience would argue ‘reasonable idea, appalling execution’.)'
on Counterpoint cuts 2026 smartphone forecast. Apple and Samsung will be fine. - 'And Apple is The Master at locking in sufficient supplies of necessary parts at good prices…'
on Counterpoint cuts 2026 smartphone forecast. Apple and Samsung will be fine. - 'I think you have nailed it Fred! I doubt the whole argument that Ram costs will change prices overall. On the premium phones it is unlikely the potential price changes would be enough to slow sales. There might be other reasons for slowing sales and rotation from one manufacturer to another but I think this particular issue should be a short term problem. When commodities are in short supply the market usually responds with increased production eventually leading to enough supply or even over supply. I could see those “others” who are barely profitable or worse deciding not to continue competing but people will still need devices so some other manufacturer would likely pick up the slack. I think phone demand and price sensitivity is not precisely correlated. Profit and revenue maybe.'
on Counterpoint cuts 2026 smartphone forecast. Apple and Samsung will be fine. - 'Wait. Are they saying CY 2026, iPhone sales drop by 2.2%? Hey team, y’all doubt it too? Chime in.'


