Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'The DJIA set yet another all-time high today. This time the record of 54,744.33 was set early in the session. The index trailed off into the close to set a new all-time closing high of 54,349.12. Disney contributed to the index’s gain as the shares rose 3.65% to $101.76. Apple closed up $1.62 to $311. Although the current all-time high of $344.57 was set on July 29th and the shares closed $33.57 below that level, over the past month Apple is up 0.77%.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Robert – “I am a little surprised” …indeed. Perhaps they didn’t anticipate it being as protracted or as deep. But it will serve as a cautionary tale going forward.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'Who do you see as the most likely “AI losers”? To your point, there are concerns the markets for memory and storage are cyclical. No one wants excess capacity when the demand cycle ebbs.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Ben: I was composing this post as you were posting above: I appreciate Wamsi Mohan’s look at the numbers. Western Digital dropped $29.39 or 5.36% today on news of slimmer margins on memory products sold. Micron is likely to face tougher competition from Chinese suppliers and there is a risk in the cyclicality of the businesses – memory and storage – for all of the suppliers. I’m a little surprised Apple wasn’t ahead of these supply problems. Apple just announced a major deal with Broadcom in the $30 billion+ range that will expand Broadcom’s production capacity and we know of Apple’s high-profile deal with Corning as well. Is there/have there been opportunities for Apple to co-invest with storage and memory suppliers to increase capacity to meet the company’s needs?'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'I don’t think that Apple – or anyone – thought that buying a chip foundry made fiscal sense. Till now!'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'I changed companies a couple of times. Each time both companies bent over backwards to be careful that we played by the rules.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Robert: I also agree with those decisions. Buybacks have served us well, I just question whether those buybacks may have incurred any opportunity costs. Presently it’s easy, with hindsight, to wonder whether if some of that money were directed to a chip fab to ensure long(er)term robust partnerships that Apple might have mitigated the predicament it finds itself in now? Apple certainly identified a vulnerability with Qualcomm and took prudent steps to avoid being cornered in. And I expect now that Apple will react decisively to mitigate this constraint which has had a massive impact on its products’ BOM. Apple needs far more control of the vertical stack.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'I am not sure if Apple’s announced annual buyback authorization amounts are being fully exercised by the time they announce the new amounts each year. If they have a smaller buyback like the 11 billion in the previous quarter the 25 Billion in the last quarter doesn’t make them on pace for the announced annual amount which would average around 25 billion per quarter. This happens with buybacks as opposed to dividends. They are not a promise but more of an aspiration. Still a lot of shareholder return but they can adjust as they like.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Ben: IIRC Apple’s new CFO has stated the company may reduce the dollar size of future repurchase authorizations. I did notice the company has also de-emphasized reaching net cash neutral as a policy or strategic goal. I agree with both decisions by senior management.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'I listen to about 3 hours of news/economic/and market-related podcasts a day. It’s what I do while exercising throughout the day. I have about 60 different podcasts in my library for easy access. On a Bloomberg Surveillance podcast this morning titled,“ Market Rally and Warnings” Alicia Levine, CIO at BNY Wealth, mentioned the market is looking for explosive growth in tech industry cash flows from the big capex spends by 2030. I do recommend this particular podcast. Later in the episode Dan Ives joins the conversation and talks about Microsoft’s latest earnings and SpaceX. He mentions Apple and says again the consumer AI revolution runs through Cupertino.'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Whilst I appreciate the financial security Apple’s buyback program has brought me I do wonder whether it’s the best allocation of capital? Happy to be refuted here, but what if Apple spent that roughly $800B on building adjacent businesses that were infused with Apple like culture and spinning them off? Would that not only build wealth for Apple investors but also help build a more resilient and ‘healthier’ US/global economy? They could have moved into energy/banking/manufacturing/services…'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'The theft of trade secrets is well documented. The only question is, did OpenAI accept those secrets and or use them?'
on BofA: Apple is stocking up on chips, buying up its shares - 'Apple’s buy backs last quarter, near an all time high, shows confidence that Apple will do very well under Ternus. The authorized buy back allocation, now well above prior all time highs, also shows confidence. Oddly buybacks were very low in FYQ2 ’26.'
on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'I find that one of the main benefits of subscribing to Seeking Alpha is the wide range of reader comments/opinions at the end of each article. And there are tons of long-term AAPL holders out there. The strong rebuttals on “negative” Apple articles on SA by these multi-decade AAPL investors — much like so many of us here on PED’s blog — more than compensate for the pricey sub fee, IMO.'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'Thank you for your consideration of this matter! 🙂'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'DEFENDANTS’ MOTION TO DISMISS ALL CLAIMS TO THE HONORABLE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT: Defendants hereby move to dismiss all Apple’s claims against them on grounds that their claims are careless, they are aggressive, and they are oddly personal. The lawsuit is very mean. And it has hurt our feelings.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'About 90 minutes from the closing bell and the major indexes are now mixed on the day. Apple is currently trading off $0.95 at $308.43. Arista Networks is up $12.36 or 6.49% at $202.87 on strong revenue, earnings and forward guidance. Disney is also moving higher on strong earnings. The shares are up $3.01 or 3.07 at $101.19. Let’s see how the market closes out the day…'
on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'I stopped thinking of Seeking Alpha as having a single opinion about any stock or situation when I learned how the articles were authored. There was no overriding editorial board that reviews the posts and says this is the sites opinion. And the authors who post on Seeking Alpha are a very mixed group. I stopped using the site when I thought it was steering me in the wrong direction by listening to what some of the authors said on the site. I presume this is still the case.'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'Open AI has bigger worries, Open Source, (get the pun OpenAI?). Per Yahoo article Open Source options are taking their high growth area, coding. OpenAI’s CEO thinks he can raise at $1T valuation, which requires high margin and high growth. But his best segment may become commoditized. https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/ai-coding-boom-faces-8-140604386.html'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'OpenAI has registered for an IPO. Altman hopes it will be bigger than SpaceX, with well over $1 trillion valuation. This lawsuit, which happened about a month after OpenAI registered for the public offering, puts a real crimp in that hope. I guess we will see how hardcore Ternus is here. Altman could be quite desperate to settle. If Apple is smart, it will take cash on the barrelhead up front. A lot of it. I don’t trust Altman for anything else.'
on Premarket: Apple was green, turned red - 'It is being reported that CXMT is negotiating with greater leverage than Apple expected, due to Chinese customer demand (or maybe due to the Chinese government giving Chinese companies an advantage). It wants the same amounts that Samsung is getting. If true, and with the bipartisan pressure from US Senators to stay away from Chinese memory makers, it seems likely that CXMT will not ride to the rescue wrt Apple’s memory costs.'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'Open AI is going to regret this theft of trade secrets. As will the employees who were involved.'
on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'At the money for only few months out is flying way too close to the sun for my liking. The day after ER I sold the 12/2028 200’s and bought more shares with the premium. Worst case I have to buy shares at $200 a piece 2.5 years from now…sign me up!'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - '“overly broad and indeterminate” + “Discovery to be catastrophic” = settle out of court. The ball is in your court, OpenAI.'
on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'As someone who conservatively held AAPL since 2006, I am being tempted by your words David!'
on Seeking Alpha recommends selling Apple puts - 'In this particular case, I believe that the macro issue here is repricing a supply timing problem as a demand problem.” This is the one sentence that made the most sense to me. Still trying to figure out the rest.'
on OpenAI gets 'oddly personal' with Apple legal - 'Another step towards OpenAI falling catastrophically on its face..'
on China Renaissance cuts Apple target $49 to $280 - 'It’s as even he did not listen to the conference call or chose to believe that what management said was false. “Fundamental headwinds” while demand is accelerating and beyond ability to supply. Exchange rate headwinds, in contrast, are perceived as a loss of growth in Services.'


