Recent Comments

  • Gregg Thurman on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - '”I’m expecting AAPL to close over $310 next week” I wouldn’t object, but what you are saying is that, at that level, investors see AAPL printing $387 within a year (25% ROI). Using the same theory Ives’ $400 target comes into view with a present print of $320. This is why I believe Ives” target is very reasonable. On the question about when AAPL will split my response would be at about $450, and unlike my previous guess of 2:1, I think it will be a 3:1. On another note I’ve been seeing little changes in search results lately. On of those is a small print alert stating stating: “This search was made with SIRI.”'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'I don’t believe any of this matters pending the WWDC keynote. IF Apple delivers on AI in just a few weeks and impresses stakeholders around the world, today’s new all-time highs will quickly vanish into the proverbial rearview mirror.'
  • Dan Scropos on Premarket: Apple is green - 'I don’t disagree with anything you said, really, but I would challenge you to dismiss the current Nvidia p/e, as it’s a lagging indicator. Nvidia is expected, as a midpoint, to earn ~$10 in eps over the next 12 months. My guess is it will be closer to $11 … but let’s use $10. Slap on a 30 p/e at some point over the next 12-ish month and you have a $300 print. If they get to $11, you’re probably looking at $330-ish. To me, this thing is cheap NOW.'
  • David Drinkwater on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - 'Inch by inch Row by row Gonna make this garden grow mu$ic to my ear$'
  • Rodney Avilla on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - 'From AppleInsider: For six months, Jobs personally reviewed and brutally rejected dozens of ideas every week until the agency cracked the “Mac vs. PC” concept. Even during filming, Jobs micro-managed details down to the lighting reflections on the screen.'
  • Steven Philips on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - 'It was! That’s why I really hate seeing these two actors in that really badly done copycat commercial for some weight loss drug. It’s awful.'
  • Robert Stack on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - 'Best. Ad. Campaign. Ever.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Bottom line: Self-funding is a beautiful, and lucrative, thing….'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Finally, I’d once again remind folks that Apple has spent something like $800+ B on buybacks and has a very low average share repurchase price, where I believe NVDA has yet to pass the $150 B buyback level and is therefore just beginning its journey of de-diluting it’s stock float. Yes, it may get where Apple is more quickly, but how much will it have to spend to decrease its float as much as Apple already has? My guess; plenty! And at some point, if Apple truly is diverting its cash flow to some other use, that “better investment oppoortunity” will itself start to increase the cash flow even more, and Apple can then easily once again convert back to buybacks. To the benefit of the stalwart long term investment contingent and their loved ones.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Morning, Dan. I am waiting for solid verification of a move lower for both price and valuation, consistent with the thesis. And even then, Donna would have to buy in. I really do like seeing another solidly run company following the Apple tack. Way too many investors still see buybacks not as a legit way to return investor value but as a gimmick and a waste of cash – and those investors end up (I propose) perpetuating the devaluation by abandoning the stock. Of course, part of that is down to a very large contingent of investors making their ROI by incessant trading/short term investing, since the real winners in this alternative scenario are long term investors. Also, as Apple is apparently just beginning to illustrate and as I’ve begun to appreciate, among other benefits to managing a massive free cash flow with buybacks is NOT having committed that cash flow to the more standard approach of dividend growth, which means you can easily divert the flow without rattling the cage of folks who depend on that dividend income. As regards the third place to funnel cash, M&A, Apple knows that it’s culture is paramount, so that will always be very carefully controlled.'
  • Dan Scropos on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Joe, I’m thinking of doing the exact same thing. Nvidia should have very few obstacles moving from ~$215 to $300 over the next 12-18 months. For me, it nets out some of the long term capital gains from Apple and resets my cost basis, as the NVDA gain would more than cover the tax implications. Not necessarily a bad thing for a 55 year old because tax brackets definitely aren’t going down in the future.'
  • Greg Bates on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - '20 years later, and those ads are still really…relevant.'
  • David Emery on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - '20 years later, and those ads are still really funny!'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Saturday Apple video: Counselor (Get a Mac 2006) - 'I just saw that Lenovo had some very good earnings this past week in their quarterly report. That bodes for Apple as the “Neo” is still in high demand and apparently the current demand and supply imbalance will still take several months to get caught up. Great news for the long term farmers.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'Volume, btw, was right at average volume, which is to say was high enough to frustrate the Max Pain of $297.50, which can be seen lowering the valuation below the intraday high of $311.40. So yes, $300/share has indeed become the new AAPL floor, from which it will now build. IMO. I’m expecting AAPL to close over $310 next week, assuming Trump Black Swans cooperate.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'Note: A double like that in less than a year is not likely, since it would involve doubling about &250/share from the end of March. But it sure is fun to dream about!'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'The upwards momentum, IMO, has something to do with AAPL options shorters throwing in their hands. It’s possible this is a serious and semi-permanent revaluation such as we haven’t seen since the huge AAPL turnaround beginning in March, 2020, when Apple went from a split-adjusted ~$60/share to more than double that by January, 2021 – and a P/E of 40+.'
  • David Emery on Premarket: Apple is green - 'I suspect ALL the Macs currently on sale are covered by PRIOR memory purchase agreements.'
  • David Emery on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'Now do we all short the stock when PED heads back home? 🙂 :_)'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple at $308.82: Third record high in a row - 'Great end to the week. Everyone have a nice weekend. Onward.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Premarket: Apple is green - '@Joseph: Thank you for that update. I was saying that was an issue as a California Injunction under 17200 Business and Professions Code for Unfair Business Practices cannot be used as a capture net beyond the State. Additionally, the Trump v. CASA Case, which limited the ability of federal courts to issue broad injunctions that go beyond the parties actually involved in a case, was on point with the Epic/Apple case. Inasmuch that the litigation between Epic/Apple/and the Federal District Court Judge Gonzalez has been ongoing, how ironic that the Trump v. CASA Case will now be available as a very strong argument for Apple to bring to the attention of SCOTUS.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - '” They’re laying the groundwork (larger Installed Base) for their eventual AI subscription rollout(s).” Yes indeedy they are, and you know what? After years of playing second fiddle in media and analyst minds, this time Apple will be recognized as the true winner.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'In other news: Excerpt From “Apple Seeks Supreme Court Review of Contempt Finding and Injunction Scope in Epic Games Case” Daring Fireball https://apple.news/ARdx1Ym8GNQmZ3rZfdoFJNw This material may be protected by copyright. “Apple today filed a request with the Supreme Court in an attempt to reverse key lower court rulings over the App Store injunction in its long-running legal battle with Epic Games. […] In its petition, Apple is asking the Supreme Court to review two questions. The first is whether Apple should have been held in contempt for charging a commission on purchases made outside the App Store. The second is about the scope of the injunction….As for the second point, regarding scope, Apple argues that the injunction extends far beyond Epic itself, as it applies to all registered developers worldwide with apps on the U.S. App Store storefront. That includes developers that were never part of the Epic case, and, as Apple has pointed out before, even companies that compete with Epic.”'
  • Bill Donahue on Premarket: Apple is green - '“Lower oil prices… in the short term…”??? I don’t know what Kathleen Brooks is smoking, but among many, many others, JP Morgan predicted last week that oil was going to remain above US$100/bbl for at least the remainder of 2026. And EU officials expect the price of oil to remain high because of Trump’s attacks on Iran until at least the end of 2027. The opening of the Strait of Hormuz this afternoon still wouldn’t affect the price of oil for a long time, due to all the damage to production facilities in the Middle East. Any discussion that doesn’t acknowledge that is one that is not based in reality.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Somebody else gets the power of converting a gusher of cash into buybacks and dividends…. From today’s MarketWatch; “Nvidia made one of the biggest buyback announcements ever. It may not be enough.” “[Mark] Malek [chief investment officer at Siebert Financial] added that Nvidia’s boost to dividend and buyback authorization reflects a CEO who can see “the hypergrowth chapter has a last page, and who may be engineering the transition before the market forces his hand.””'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Dan, A larger installed base could be part of the long term strategy. Not only does that improve hardware revenues, but it also may lead to a much larger growth number in services. Interesting times. I don’t think the present administration will mind if Apple significantly increases its share. But a different administration might. It is one of the things we will have to wait and see.'
  • Robert Stack on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Dan: I hope that’s true! Otherwise, a nearly $200 price cut on the popular 15″ MBA would of course only exacerbate any memory chip shortage Apple may – or perhaps may not – have. I’m sure they know what they’re doing – I do like your idea of a further “land grab,” as they’re already grabbing land with the Neo. I’m just trying to reconcile that with comments made during the last earnings call that they were “supply-constrained.”'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'If NVDA continues on this tack, I will be sorely tempted to recommend to Donna that we trade some of our precious AAPL for some NVDA…. Shocking, I know….'
  • Dan Scropos on Premarket: Apple is green - 'It sounds like Apple might be leveraging the chip shortage (that everyone *else* has) into market share and an even bigger installed base. They’re laying the groundwork (larger Installed Base) for their eventual AI subscription rollout(s). There is a massive land grab going on by Apple.'