Recent Comments

  • David Drinkwater on Barron's: John Ternus is off to a good start - '“My take: As choreographed as an Apple product introduction.” John Ternus’ ascent to the CEO role was not choreographed in the sense that is was “fake”, but the stage was well set, and I am 100% confident that there was lots of (years of, no decades of) work that laid the groundwork for a transition where he was ready to step into the limelight. He deeply knew every product that he was going to present, which is why it “looked” so effortless. It’s because it was effortless from him. No magic tricks. Just sharing something that he deeply understood and believed in. What I am trying to say, I think, is that it is not a good start: it is a good transition and public demonstration. For Ternus, this is hardly the “start”.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Apple finished the day up $1.07 or 0.32% at $332.41. Looking at the financial stocks Goldman Sachs dropped 3.96% today to finish at $937.98 and Morgan Stanley pulled back 1.87% to $202.42. Select AI-related names such as Arista Networks, which gained 2.44% to $197.54, and Vertiv Holding, which rose 2.05% to $239.41, moved higher on the day.'
  • David Emery on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'My Firewire drives got all excited at the thought they’d be relevant again! 🙂 🙂'
  • Charles A. on Barron's: John Ternus is off to a good start - 'More color on the Emmys: https://brooklyneagle.com/415287/widows-bay-breaks-emmys-record/'
  • Stephen Gordon on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Yup, stricter emissions regulation than rest of the U.S. It’s our recompense for the lack of winter fuel consumption.'
  • David Drinkwater on GM reverses itself, designs new dashboard with Apple and Google - 'I think that is the total diagonal across *all* infotainment screens. But I don’t know that for a fact.'
  • Joseph Bland on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Yikes! Thanks for that correction, David!'
  • Dan Scropos on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'David, here’s what AI said to your question: Switch and Chiplet Sales: Nvidia makes direct revenue by selling its specialized networking gear, switches, chiplets, and software licensing through NVLink. Fusion.Ecosystem Expansion: Embedding its architecture inside Apple’s hardware guarantees Nvidia a financial stake in a brand-new enterprise server product line targeted at governments and major businesses.'
  • Brian M MacManus on GM reverses itself, designs new dashboard with Apple and Google - 'It was simply foolish on GM’s part, three years ago, they now see the light. I look forward to news of the ‘27 models from all makes running Carplay 3.0'
  • David Emery on Premarket: Apple is green - 'But then, California does have the highest gas tax in the country, according to this website: https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/state/gas-taxes-state/ So The State of California does have a significant contribution to the price of gas there. I -think- California might also have state-specific regulations governing retail and wholesale gas production (e.g. ethanol percentage) and sales.'
  • Bart Yee on Premarket: Apple is green - 'AAPL closed at $332.42, up 1.07 on weak volume of 36M shares. AAPL didn’t get sucked down with the broader market after the Fed raised rates by 0.25% to combat rising inflation. What is the inflation due to? Rising and persistent oil price hikes due to the Iran War and resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz which STILL hasn’t been resolved, leading to near and record gasoline and diesel prices. “The current U.S. national averages for major energy commodities are $4.37 per gallon for regular gasoline, $6.31 per gallon for diesel, ~$5.21 per gallon for heating oil, and ~$2.83 to $2.90 per MMBtu for natural gas (Henry Hub spot/futures).“ Diesel: At or near record highs. National diesel averages recently crossed the $6-a-gallon threshold for the first time on record, driven heavily by middle-east supply bottlenecks and surging crude costs linked to geopolitical conflict. They are tracking near or above nominal all-time peaks. Gasoline: Elevated, but below all-time records. At roughly $4.37, gasoline is high and climbing contrary to normal late-summer demand drops, but remains below the historic peaks near $5.00+ seen during mid-2022. Heating Oil: Hovering high. Retail heating oil sits above $5.20/gallon, influenced by tight distillate inventories, though regional variations in the Northeast remain sharp. Guess what, all of the above cause ripple increases to everything that is moved including trucking, rail, air, and of course small business, leading to price increases in food, commodities, resources. As well, continued tariff wars raised imported products which America cannot replace or will not pay higher for US products. Of course, here’s the President’s response to the unanimous rate hike headed by his hand picked Chair replacement, Kevin Warsh: ““Interest Rates in the United States should be 1%, or less, because we are the Best Credit in the World — BY FAR. Our Country is BOOMING with new Investment!” “If we stopped Trading with every country that we have a Deficit with, which is most of them, we would make, at least, 1.5 Trillion Dollars a year,” the president continued. “LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!” Such macroeconomic understanding! Generally, inflation was reignited and fanned by the last 6 months of geopolitical, military, trade and foreign policy “decisions”, pretty much leading to average Americans having to foot the bill AND transfer wealth to energy businesses AND stress smaller businesses on costs and eventual price hikes, dripping down to us consumers. Whether there is a long game to discredit California and its Governor because of record gasoline & diesel prices (Avg $6.04, record $6.44 in 2022, >$8.14 for diesel, an all time record), we don’t know.'
  • David Emery on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'I think by “Firewire”, you mean “Thunderbolt 5” https://www.macrumors.com/guide/thunderbolt-5-new-macs-features-benefits-necessity/'
  • Greg Lippert on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Apple likes to control its key hardware and software so I would bet they will partner to start and then eventually roll their own (like they did with Qualcomm).'
  • ben luna on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Bill, thanks for pointing that out. Here’s one interesting report from January: https://metalcloud.space/compare/apple-silicon-vs-nvidia/ So many great points in there, so here is just one teaser: “The cost implication is massive: Running Llama 70B at full precision on NVIDIA requires 2-3 H100s ($6,000-$12,000/month cloud rental). On MetalCloud, it’s a single machine [M3 MacStudio Ultra] at £3.50/hour.”'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Share prices have moved from up to down and all around! I don’t think it’s so much the widely anticipated rate hike today that’s put pressure on share prices. It’s the prospect of another 25 basis point move higher in 2026 that has put the brakes on what was a positive day for the market. That’s OK. Hopefully today’s action by the Fed will end the incessant press speculation on the Fed’s next steps. As we’ve seen lately, share price are moving higher not due to interest rates or even earnings multiple expansion. Share prices have been moving higher due to rising earnings and earnings per share. Earnings multiples, in general, have begun to contract. Ten minutes from the close and Apple has moved back into the green every so slightly. The shares are currently up $0.75 or 0.23% at $332.09.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Horace Dediu on iPhone 2.0 - 'As iPhone cameras improve the number of exacting users do not keep pace.'
  • Joseph Bland on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Hi, Bill, What I can tell you is that Apple’s Macs are selling because of their Unified Memory more than anything else. And that Apple’s capability to turn on a relative dime is due to their adopting that across the board years in advance. Also, Firewire allows quick and easy interconnection between Macs, permitting the creation of a “mini-cloud” able to “stack” unified memory. It’s called “serendipity”. (I understand that this is the reason for the massive leap to a 512 GB unified memory Mac Studio.)'
  • Gregg Thurman on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Nvidia and Apple would be a match made in hell.'
  • Gregg Thurman on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - '” I’m not sure there’s much Apple brand value these days in the server market!” How much brand value did Apple have in the digital music player market before iPod? How much brand value did Apple have in the smartphone market before iPhone? How much brand value did Apple have in the tablet market before iPad? How much brand value did Apple have in the digital watch market before Apple Watch? How much brand value did Apple have in the ear pod market before AirPod? How much brand value did Apple have in the digital car dash market before CarPlay? How much brand value did Apple have in the… I don’t think having brand value in a market is a prerequisite to a successful Apple product. APPLE is the brand value that counts.'
  • Horace Dediu on Horace Dediu on iPhone 2.0 - 'If you are used to wearing sneakers you might very well vow to never wear boots, or high heels if you’re a lady. Note that boots and heels are more expensive.'
  • Stephen Gordon on John Ternus has Emmy red carpet flair (videos) - 'Headline will be written by Samsung AI.'
  • Joseph Bland on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'BTW, speaking of the long game, I think of Apple as a supertanker, with massive momentum, growing more massive by the day. Physics informs us that an object in motion continues in the direction of that motion. So it is with Apple. But a supertanker has to be steered, and changing course even a little takes extreme force and time. Fortunately, Apple has free cash flow that is the envy of the industry, so the force is available. But time can only minimally be adjusted, which is why the Apple equivalent of the old Lockheed Skunkworks is continually at work, exploring the unknown. Of course, they aren’t alone in that. And btw, Apple isn’t immune from growing barnacles and having its arteries harden. That’s why they screwed up two years ago. But they figured it out, and made the massive and time-consuming effort to alter course. The real question is – have they, even now, sufficiently integrated this whole AI issue? Or do they still have course changes to make? IMO, this “pivot” back towards servers should have begun happening much, much sooner, and Apple now finds itself once again needing to supply massive force to correct its course. Hopefully, they can begin learning the lesson here, and start to take AI a LOT more seriously! A good place to start is to begin using AI within its very fabric, right down there deep within Apple’s Skunkworks. I have zero doubt Apple’s present and, more importantly future competitors are doing exactly that.'
  • Bill Donahue on GM reverses itself, designs new dashboard with Apple and Google - '60 inches of screen space?? That’s just ridiculous.'
  • Bill Donahue on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Isn’t ones of the major advantages of using Apple’s hardware and software for secure AI the simplicity and exceptionally low cost of connecting units of hardware to each other? I recall a recent cost and performance comparison between Nvidia’s AI servers and Apple’s hardware that I read, and Nvidia’s linkage systems cost orders of magnitude more than what it costs to link together Mac Studios etc, and the Mac performance was much better. Can anyone in the PED3.0 world speak knowledgeably about this, and what it might look like in relation to M8-based Apple servers? I’m wondering what Apple would get out of an agreement as described in this article, given that it’s the only one occupying the “secure AI” space.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'This is all a smokescreen and the real reason is Nvidia needs to warm up to Apple is so they can figure out how to properly execute on buybacks and hopefully some day be as successful as Apple was and currently still is in this shrinking the float methodology.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on John Ternus has Emmy red carpet flair (videos) - 'The next headline will read: “John Ternus was seen at the Emmy’s pimping the new Apple Duo. Apple’s September 9, 2026 flip phone event was so disappointing and underwhelming that Ternus had to ‘crash’ this once year special award event dedicated to extraordinary actors in order to hawk his underwhelming competitor to the Samsung Galaxy that has been incredibly successful going on now for more than 5 years.”'
  • Joseph Bland on The Information: Apple may reenter the server market with Nvidia - 'Morning, Daniel. It’s a process. How long did it take to first land on the Moon? Some things, you don’t just snap your fingers and it happens. No other company, with the possible exception of Nvidia, plays the long game better than Apple. It’s literally one of their super-powers, right up there with a laser focus on their billion+ users. (There’s a reason for their unmatchable user loyalty.) As for why the rapprochement with Nvidia, it’s all about those billion+ loyal users. Nvidia can’t come close to matching that.'
  • Steven Philips on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Opus One time!'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Hot diggity! The green grass grew all around and the around, the green grass grew all around! Finally a green day for the markets! Into the noon hour in New York and Apple is trading up $1.49 or 0.45% at $332.83. This keeps pace with the rise in the S&P 500 today. On that index over 58% of components are in the green on the day. Over the past five trading days the index is in the red while Apple has moved 5.52% higher.'
  • Stephen Gordon on John Ternus has Emmy red carpet flair (videos) - 'Her reaction to the Duo mirrors that of my family members. It’s gonna be a hit!'