Recent Comments

  • Bill Donahue on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'I’m having trouble squaring this with Ternus’s recent decision to rein in AI bot use and expenses for Apple engineers. How big a corporate priority and financial reality can developing an agentic bot for Siri and the world’s Apple users be, if providing high levels of AI bot access and use just to its own engineers is too expensive? If Apple’s going to pursue true AI, then it should do what Apple does, recognize that LLMs are never going to be the way to get there and will continue to be the centers of financial black holes, and focus elsewhere. Leave the room that everyone else insists on playing in, while they’re all painting themselves into corners.'
  • Bart Yee on Counterpoint: Apple hoovered up half of Sept. quarter phone revenue - 'Apple went through their ownership cycle lengthening back in 2021-2024 with the iPhone 11 & 12 being so good, people didn’t invest in another quick upgrade, the pandemic induced a large buying cycle which satisfied a lot of folks, plus post pandemic buying within a depressive economy dampened sales. All of that meant Apple addressed how to handle a slumping sales market by expanding the market (and manufacturing) to India, had to bide time in China (see decline in China revenues (2022-mid 2025), and getting enough used and refurbished products by itself or third party resellers to become available to price sensitive markets. That last part primed the pump for Apple to now effectively compete in budget and midrange tiers WITHOUT any significant costs for manufacturing, production, logistics, sales, or additional warranty. Sad to say, for Android, many of the makers are now suffering a length of ownership expansion as prices are raised, price sensitive markets’ new sales contract, and current Android owners think twice about getting a new phone. Now some have to get a new phone as their midrange or budget phone is dying or is unsupported now. Because of price increases, value retaining used iPhones now become viable alternative choices to new but pricier Android models. The fact that a 3-4 year old iPhone 13 or 14 still works great, has iOS support for at least 3-4 more years, and had much better resale still makes them attractive for purchase. Apple then keeps growing the install base, new iPhone sales keep adding older used iPhones to the lower tier inventories, and Apple eventually sees ticks in iPhone revenues and Services revenues, and maybe someday down the line, Wearables, iPad and Mac sales if the user becomes invested in the ecosystem. Since Android has very poor and competing ecosystems, no one brand can improve their revenue situation beyond mostly just hardware sales, Huawei and Samsung mostly being the exceptions, and even then, revenue is uneven. Apple is smartly riding out this crazy market by capitalizing now at the high end with Duo, 18 Pro models and continuous iPhone 17 sales, and, somewhat covertly and insidiously penetrating the lower end with used and refurbished long lived and reliable older iPhones. Win-win-win for Apple.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on This week's Apple trading strategies (11/9-11/13/26) - 'Apple ended a tumultuous week of trading off $1.80 or 0.52% on Friday at $342.37. Over the past five trading days Apple was off 0.66%. Over the past month Apple is up 2.62% and year-to-date the shares are higher by 25.94%. The week began with Apple reporting results on Monday, the mid-term elections on Tuesday and the market’s response to the election results for the last three days of the week. For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 0.94%, the S&P 500 was off 2.68% and the NASDAQ Composite was down 3.37%. Apple’s market cap at the close of trading on Friday was $4.975 trillion.'
  • Richard Gayle on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'My guess is Apple is working on agents. The question may well be how hard to work on it with limited resources/personnel. Apple has increased its research budgets but Ternus may want more of that to be focussed on agents, and on making them ready for full, rapid development, rather than mostly research. More focus on making agentic Siri ready for release than sticking in the lab.'
  • Richard Gayle on Counterpoint: Apple hoovered up half of Sept. quarter phone revenue - 'The Apple Upgrade program may supercharge Apple’s revenues wrt the sale of used phones, IMHO. Apple will retain the hardware (instead of having 3rd parties do that). It will also regain those phones at 50% of their value, without having to pay a trade-in fee. After refurbishing, it can then resell those (instead of having 3rd parties do that). And retain all the profits. Not sure how all the economics plays out, but you can bet Apple knows. And it regains direct interactions with the new customer who buys the used iPhone.'
  • Joseph Bland on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'Good on you, Mr. Federighi! The absolute target as AI evolves is personal privacy protection. Apple’s system gives its users a choice. If Mr. Ternus isn’t 100% behind that, then putting him in charge was a mistake. More likely, though, this is just Mark Gurman making trouble.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'I thought they were doing this already. Stop pussyfooting, Craig!'
  • Gregg Thurman on Singapore has become Apple's biggest tax shelter - 'Vestager accomplished nothing.'
  • Eric Harbert on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'I use Grok Bot for agentic work that I wish Siri could handle. Yesterday I asked it to check iPhone Duo inventory at local Apple and T-Mobile stores every hour. It found exactly the model I wanted within a few hours. Siri cannot do that, but it should be able to!'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'You aren’t behind if no one is asking for it.'
  • Greg Lippert on Mark Gurman: Ternus wants a more agentic Siri - 'Have you met them? Apple will not stop. They don’t have the same goals as the others. They need an agent to get things done on device. And Apple is still the best device for AI – even the competitions.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Singapore has become Apple's biggest tax shelter - 'Giddy up Guinness. Ireland stood by Apple throughout that political nonsense. So I will give them kudos for being a stalwart partner fighting the likes of Vestager from beginning to end.'
  • Greg Lippert on Counterpoint: Apple hoovered up half of Sept. quarter phone revenue - 'When you phone is only competing on price, they look pretty crappy when they can’t compete on merit.'
  • Fred Stein on Counterpoint: Apple hoovered up half of Sept. quarter phone revenue - 'It gets even better next quarter, when Duo sales get counted,'
  • Fred Stein on Counterpoint: Apple hoovered up half of Sept. quarter phone revenue - 'Used iPhones must be killing the low end. An AI search said the 1/2 of all used SmartPhone sales are iPhones. Per Universal Telecom FZCO, used iPhone sales exceed new iPhone sales. Crazy? That must mean that a good number of people buy a used iPhone and later sell it and buy a new iPhone. That also means the lengthening upgrade cycles is JUST FINE.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Joseph, I agree with you. Doing the investigations doesn’t do anything to lower the price of gas or food. I think some of the early comments that I heard may be encouraging that at least there is some sanity left in some of the politicians but we will have to see. They would be more wise to dealing with things that will make people’s lives better and not looking for revenge. I would hope that investigations into Apple would be further down the list. But, then again, you never know. There may be a few on the far left(as with the far right) that may say some crazy things but hopefully, they don’t speak for most of the people elected to office this past week. But we will have to see.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Um, how did you miss that the present Congress just had its ass kicked for that kind of head-in-the-sand behavior, Steven? And how about we let the new Congress get a chance to actually take the reins before we start with the trash talk? Last I looked, that’s a couple of months from now. i will agree that, over the next sixty days or so, the crowd that you’re talking about are free to create even more damage. But you do know that the Presidency cannot veto an impeachment, right? I suspect that will get the attention of even the dullest knives in the drawer, two months from now. You guys appear to have gotten way way out over your skis, if you think the butt whippinng is over with. It hasn’t even started….'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Considering the new level of Presidential authority that has now been carved into the US body politic, and the continuing testing/stretching of that level, Apple has had no choice but to get along. I see that now. But how much of that authority was an acquiescence by the two US Congresses and a “packed” Supreme Court? One thing I feel sure about: Apple needs to make it clear now on which side they stand. I think they’ll be given the benefit of the doubt, if they do that. Otherwise…. The forces trying to regain a balance back towards a US democracy should not allow themselves to get comfortable just because they fought and won a great battle. This “war” is far from being over.'
  • Bill Fouche on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Shocking though this is, I think the Washington Post is all wet here. I am unaware of Apple ‘hosting tracking apps” used by ICE. I do recall that Apple removed “ICE Block” from the App Store at the Trump Administration’s request. That was an app that some people protesting ICE used to keep track of the agency’s movements in real time so they could show up in time to video-record their actions. Photographing and even protesting law-enforcement actions that occur in plain sight is activity protected by the First-Amendment. So if Congress plans to apply some heat to reinforce that basic idea, I am in favor of it.'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Could well be. But Cook et al know how to deal with Xi, etc. I am sure they can handle any posers. What will be critical is not how smart the Congresscritters are but how capable their staff people are. They are the ones really behind all this. I expect a lot of good lawyers, etc. will be waiting to get involved, just as they did with Watergate. So I am hopeful we have hearings as capable as that. Time will tell.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Why would anyone take on a job wherein half the population thinks you’re an idiot and that pays less (in some cases a lot less) than their day job, unless they have some degree of a god complex, or the side benefits are really good. Are lawyers anymore ethical than the average politician? I think not.'
  • Steven Philips on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'Unfortunately congress is made up of a bunch of amateurs posturing for constituents rather than legal professionals evaluating the facts and merits. I don’t expect that kind of rational thinking from them.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Saturday Apple video: Why Apple Didn't Make Steve Jobs Rich - 'Jobs believed that the best product would be profitable almost by accident, if priced (not discounted) properly. Today’s consumers EXPECT Apple products to cost more than the competition, but pay it anyway because they also expect it to be the best.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Saturday Apple video: Why Apple Didn't Make Steve Jobs Rich - 'It is not uncommon to hear people say the Jobs was all about the product and not the profit. And yet…….'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'I’m not sure Apple will be the one in trouble wrt the ICE tracking apps. I think if anything it will reveal corruption/extortion from the WH (“You remove those apps or we will put a 100% tariff on iPhones!”). The WH often stupidly and explicitly says exactly what it wants, leaving a paper trail that I suspect Apple has copies of. Prosecutors don’t go after the mom-and-pop store for paying extortion but would use evidence from them to prosecute the mobsters. It could well be that Tim Cook may be a friendly witness in the investigations. Now that might make for good TV!'
  • Richard Gayle on Jason Snell: 100,000 Duo apps and counting - 'From what I have heard, developers that have closely followed Apple’s GUI guidelines have had a pretty easy time. Those that have rolled their own have not. Apple once again provides real incentives to follow their rules. I wonder how many of them will thank Apple for making it easier to sell their apps, as compared to those who complain about Apple’s App Store costs? (I suspect that a higher precentage of those 100,000 are free apps than in the general App Store).'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'I think Biden was afraid of losing her voting constituency. I don’t think, as a result of this election, that fear exists any longer. Both Party’s have crosses to bear.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Daniel Ives: Tech sell-off way overdone - 'I’ve been negative on the potential in AI, ever since I read a financial analysis of the cost of Data Center build outs about 2 years ago in the EEE Times, and what the hyper scalers were spending and planned to spend on them. Intuitively I felt the build out was unsustainable, but had no accounting principle to quantify why I felt that way. Also, I had read years ago that WS bought or sold 9-12 months before the retail market did, hence good news/bad news being priced in before the moves occurred Try as I might I could never figure out how that good news/bad news could be discerned ahead of time. Now I know. Errol’s explanation of the differences in equity/debt markets and bond markets (left brain/right brain) suddenly brought my intuitive understanding into focus. Good or bad, watching the relationship between the equity/debt markets and the bond markets provides a metric from which you can plan ahead.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Apple in Dem's crosshairs? - 'If they bring back Lina Khan in any capacity I’m done with this party.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Saturday Apple video: Why Apple Didn't Make Steve Jobs Rich - 'Steve Jobs was a visionary on so many levels. In addition, he made business decisions that bore out he also had a Midas Touch. Great video as to how it all came about chronologically.'