Gregg Thurman on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - '”Much of the hardware needed for the robot has been finished” “Much?” Then neither the hardware, nor the software, are complete on this vaporware piece of crap rumor. And they want $750/year for this tripe. Why should I pay that when I can the same stuff from Gurman for free?'
on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - 'Also — odd that they didn’t design the HomeView with an all-degrees swiveling screen, as in the graphic on this post.'
on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - '“My take: Seems like a big effort for such a modest goal.” With Apple, methinks they’re all ‘big’ efforts, and when it comes to hardware, very few modest goals.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - '”Only waiting for after hours indicator, could be widl ride!” I think you are correct. Trading since Friday had nothing to do with “AI”. “AI” was Thursday’s issue. I think Friday had everything to do with fears related to Trump’s reaction, should the House and/or the Senate change hands tomorrow. We’ve already seen him in action in November of 2024, and he’s less stable today.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'For my wife and I, approximately 56% of the AAPL shares in our 100% AAPL portfolio are in our IRAs, while the remainder of the AAPL shares are in our trust accounts. We have our IRA accounts set to auto-reinvest the quarterly AAPL dividends to buy new AAPL shares and have done so for the past 14 years. The average cost basis of those new AAPL shares is $59.18/share. The most recent auto-reinvest was on 08/12/26 and the AAPL purchase price was $316.48/share. At the moment, less than 4 hours prior to Apple earnings today, AAPL is down around $337/share, only about $22 higher than on 08/12/26. If my wife and I didn’t believe Apple will continue to be a great investment, we would have sold our AAPL shares long ago. Meanwhile, if the stock speculators force the AAPL share price down before and after earnings so when November AAPL dividends are paid, and we end up buying additional AAPL shares closer to the price we paid in August, I’ll have to feel, as a long-term AAPL investor that, just like Br’er Rabbit, I’m being thrown into the briar patch. 🙂'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Oil should not cost as much as it does. Volume through the Straight is the same now as before the war, and WITHOUT Iranian oil. Iran, without oil revenue cannot sustain a war, PERIOD, and is about to collapse economically. I would be looking for more oil price reductions. Trump’s mistake (he’s made enough he should build a museum to house them all instead of an Arch) is that he sold the war wrong. This should have been about the elimination of funding for Hamas, Houthis and Hezbollah, and the source of that funding – Revolutionary Islamic Iran – not to be confused with Islam.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I figured it out. The reason Apple has delayed shipping non-Pro iPhones is that it has introduced two (so far) new variations of existing products that will require memory. The new variations cost upwards of $1,800 more the the delayed iPhones. Delaying the lower cost iPhones frees up memory for higher cost products. If you absolutely gotta have a new iPhone, and can’t wait 6 months, then get an iPhone 17 or 18 Pro/Pro Max. For those that can wait 6 months will be nothing. And besides, Apple may be seeing a change in memory prices coming sooner than the “experts” are foretelling. Or Apple is setting us up for a 20th anniversary iPhone (July 2007 to July 2027) with all the bells and whistles, with a new form factor/color, at the higher price than the IP18 Pro Max and offered for a single year. Justification for that thought is: Apple changed the naming convention and form factor in 2017 to iPhone ”X”.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'At Bill, might reconsider iPhone 18 Pro, incredible build, dou, not so much, too many early neg reports. My 2 cents.'
on Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final estimates Q4 2026 - 'Very helpful, Brian, thanks! Don’t think Luca or Tim will be on the call, though!'
on What Steve Jobs said about touchscreens on Macs (video) - '”Call it the Mirror Monitor” It would never be accepted. You need a better name. Something like Monitor Mirror.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'For some reason oil prices dropped 7 – 10%. Looks like the fighting is still going on and there is threat of escalation in the next few days. Maybe some rich guys gamed the system to goose stocks for Election Day? I read about this recently. They place a few large trades at night when trading volumes are low. This bumps the market and the bots will follow, for a while. What a world. Oilprice dot com'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'A field observation from NorthPark Mall in Dallas. I checked my iPhone Duo delivery date in the Apple Store app this morning. It still shows January 25. Frustrated by this, I went to my favorite local Apple Store this morning to hold a Duo in my hot little hands. Arrived there about 10:15 AM. I confirmed its quality feel, mechanical function, and overall gorgeousness. Decided I want a black one. But, no Duos were available for sale. A store employee told me they receive “a few” new Duos most every day, but they sell them out within minutes of opening. Duo demand is probably immaterial for the quarter just ended, but can only be good news for the current and subsequent quarters.'
on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - 'But part of the engineering for that would be making sure the assembly (screen, arm, base) can handle being “poked” without falling over, etc.'
on What Steve Jobs said about touchscreens on Macs (video) - 'Hmm. It should be possible to do this with just a camera that is suspended over your keyboard and mouse and pointed down, and a long flatscreen monitor mounted just below a regular desktop monitor…. Should be pretty inexpensive, too….'
on What Steve Jobs said about touchscreens on Macs (video) - 'This would probably not be possible with the existing Vision Pro, unless it has cameras on the bottom that can look down vertically and “see” your hands, keyboard, and mouse in 3d, then separate that vertical camera output and present the resulting virtual 3d video horizontally under the virtual monitor. I actually have done something similar, but by physical means, which is probably why it came to mind. I have a three-vertebrae fusion in my neck (don’t ask!), and though I am a touch typist, I found it impossible to keep from frequently looking down as I typed. So I hung a truck mirror sideways right under my monitor that reflected my keyboard. Weirdly, I could see my fingers, but they were of course mirror-imaged and were pointing the wrong way. But after a surprisingly short amount of time, my brain adjusted for the weirdness, and I found it quite easy to switch from constantly looking down at my hands to using just the truck mirror. Folks thought I was being my normal weird self, but it really saved my neck!'
on Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final estimates Q4 2026 - 'Brian, The gross margins guidance will be interesting. We have higher prices but we have higher component costs as well as the introduction of several new products which can affect margins. It may also come down to how well the Services sector grows because of the higher margins associated with it. I am thinking revenue guidance will be more important. If revenues grow enough, then margins could take a back seat somewhat. I probably will be out and about today(just want to sit at home for Election Day tomorrow after early voting a couple of weeks ago) so I probably won’t get to hear the CC at first. I will probably check in on the after hours price to see how the market is reacting to the CC which will tell me how soon after I get home that I will get on the computer and check things out a bit. I might need to sit and meditate a while before I check things out(I hope not)'
on What Steve Jobs said about touchscreens on Macs (video) - 'Ergonomically, a touch screen desktop computer (being portable not withstanding, because that’s what the PROLED XDR really is [Really? That’s it’s name??]) is an accident waiting to happen. And a pencil would make it worse. I’m an ex-CAD and CAD/CAM drafter with a bad neck and right shoulder. Holding your arm in the air in front of you is an invitation to problems, especially if it’s a big arm like mine. Far better to have a tablet at a slight angle that lets you rest your elbow on something. Even better to have a keyboard, be a touch typist, and have the monitor set at about eye height. BTW, the best ergonomic “solution” is to use a Vision Pro that is set up to let you “see” your actual keyboard and your hands virtually, but moved up right underneath your virtual monitor, so you can just move your eyeballs to see what you’re typing. Then, instead of either lifting your arm or bending your neck., you can just use a mouse, touchpad or even just move your finger on your desktop, and show a “virtual pencil” on your virtual monitor. A mouse would be nice since it gives you extra functions and you only have to move your hands from keyboard to mouse, which you can see, including a virtual mousepad.'
on Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final estimates Q4 2026 - 'Timeline to Watch 3:30 PM CT (4:30 PM ET) – The Press Release Drop: The headline print lands on Apple’s Investor Relations page and Business Wire. High-frequency algorithms will react within milliseconds to the primary top/bottom-line headlines ($113.0B revenue / $1.98 EPS consensus benchmarks). Expect immediate erratic after-hours tape action before humans have even parsed the sheet. 4:00 PM CT (5:00 PM ET) – The Live Conference Call: This is where the real narrative unfolds and where post-market price discovery actually solidifies. What to Listen For on the Call The press release delivers the backward-looking Q4 numbers, but the call dictates the stock’s multi-week trajectory: 1. The CFO’s Margin Cadence: Luca Maestri/Kevan Parekh’s color on Gross Margin guidance for the December quarter (Q1 2027) will make or break the aftermarket move. As Horace Dediu’s 48.80% print highlighted, expectations for structural margin expansion are sky-high. If management guides gross margins toward 47.5%–48.5% for the holiday quarter, the stock catches a strong defensive bid. If they guide conservatively lower due to component costs, the street will punish it. 2. Qualitative December Quarter Direction: Apple no longer provides formal numeric revenue guidance, but their directional language will be dissected phrase by phrase. If they project total revenue growth accelerating into the high single digits driven by device upgrade cycles, that clears the bar. 3. Services Trajectory & Regulatory Lingering: Listen closely to commentary regarding European DMA impact or licensing revenue stability. If Services grew at \ge12–14% year-over-year without margin erosion, it underscores the recurring-revenue fortress narrative. 4. Capital Return & Cash Deployment: Updates on the pace of the accelerated share repurchase (buyback) program and net-cash-neutral glide path, reinforcing the bottom under the shares. The initial 4:30 PM ET knee-jerk reaction often whipsaws in reverse once Tim Cook finishes his opening remarks and executive guidance begins around 5:15 PM ET. It’s definitely a popcorn evening.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Apple needs flawless results, and yet all the world is crowing about how successful Anthropic and its IPO and stock are going to be. Record earnings that aren’t a big enough beat – even by a penny – will be viewed as a catastrophe, is my bet. Meanwhile, Anthropic’s financials for the last quarter: $17B revenue; $17.3B operating costs; $23.3B net loss; and no possible way to pay for $70B in contracted spending commitments through Sept. 2027, $448B by the end of 2030, and another $450B after that. If that’s what the financial results look like for the “leading” AI company that we’re all supposed to be slobbering about investing in, then I have no idea what “flawless” results are supposed to look like for Apple.'
on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - 'A touch screen would probably make more sense on a robotic arm than on a laptop.'
on Why Apple's robot arm has been delayed and delayed - 'Is not the new HomePod device somewhat the beginning of this ‘robotic” venture… Am I missing something?'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'As regards the Barron’s article PED quotes, if the statement is correct that “Equities historically welcome post-election clarity and often favor congressional gridlock…”, then the market will be meh because they’ll get the first but likely not the second. We’ve had (purposeful) Congressional gridlock, and it’s practically destroyed the country. Here’s hoping for the end of Congressional gridlock!! (Granted, it won’t be the end of gridlock until this President and his enablers are out the door.)'
on Premarket: Apple is red - '“Apple Earnings: Stock Needs Flawless Results To Defend $5 Trillion Crown – Barron’s” Bah. Humbug! First, it’s not a “record valuation”. They need to do their bleeping homework…. Second, the market cap is well deserved, unlike many other companies one could name.'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I’d say the wild ride we’re in for is for more than just today, Brian. Hope everyone has their safety belt buckled, because post-Tuesday, all the dirt that’s been shoved under the rug comes out…. Fortunately, in Apple’s case, the curtain goes up on the show tonight….'
on Apple's John Ternus: The Wired interview - 'The comparison: Athens, 414 BCE, and AI, 2026 Athens, 415–414 BCE AI industry, 2026 Large military expenditure authorized in anticipation of strategic and economic gains Large infrastructure expenditure authorized in anticipation of future AI earnings Continued funding needed as the Sicilian campaign progressed Continued investment needed to expand computing capacity Expectations of additional imperial revenue Expectations of growing subscriptions, enterprise demand and AI services Failure risk concentrated in the expedition and Athens’ public finances Risk distributed among AI developers, investors, cloud companies and lenders Comparing 414 BCE to Today in Western world. Just a thought.'
on What Steve Jobs said about touchscreens on Macs (video) - 'Definitely worth watching this video. MB comes to, sort of, the same conclusion that Gurman does but it is so much more nuanced and informative and gives cases where it might be worthwhile to buy this product. MB seems like he is teaching you something. Gurman comes across as preaching. This laptop is not for me but we are in a more “touchy” environment in terms of screen computing. Apple Pencil support would be nice, especially for better accuracy for those of us with fat fingers and to keep fingerprints off of the screen. This fills a niche area of laptop computing that Apple wasn’t in. It will be interesting to some for the touch screen, but, as MB points out, it is much lighter and some people may buy it for that, if they have the extra scratch to pay for it.'
on Apple's John Ternus: The Wired interview - 'David – Not sure why you are offended by Steve Jobs’ vision of the integration of liberal arts and technology. Apple is an engineering company—and a spectacular engineering company. But what has always distinguished Apple from Microsoft is that Apple is more than an engineering company. It has a humanistic soul. This is not an insult to engineers. It’s just saying that engineering with no soul is not Apple.'
on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'Phil, where’s the Wearables segment in the table above?'
on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Pre Market -63¢ Only waiting for after hours indicator, could be widl ride!'


