David Emery on Inside Chateaux Beynac - 'We’ve stayed in a couple of the Spanish Parador restored castles, including Alarcon and Zafra. https://paradores.es/en There can be some compromises, particularly with respect to access and room size, but they’re a lot of fun. The Spanish paradors also have very good restaurants. Most of the restored castles I’ve been to have had rough stone walls. But I suspect in their heyday, those walls were plastered and brightly colored. (Same thing applies to medieval churches & cathedrals, which were much brighter than they are now.) Oh, and on a topic more relevant: “New Apple CEO John Ternus may want to watch his back, because Meta Platforms is making a play to upend the smartphone giant’s ecosystem, analysts say. ” The analyst in question, Laura Martin of Needham. But the article also quoted Wamsi Mohan’s claims about how agents will rule. So PED didn’t have to warn us away from those particular pieces of (to use a medieval term) ‘fumet’ (fumet 2 | fyo͞oːˈmet, fyo͞oˈmā, ˌfyo͞omət | (usually fumets) noun archaic the excrement of a deer. origin late Middle English: from an Anglo-Norman French variant of Old French fumees ‘droppings’.)'
on Inside Chateaux Beynac - 'In other news, Apple closed at $330.32/share, down 0.81% after falling to $325.81 earlier in the morning. Volume looks to be about 35 M trades, which is about average for the last couole of weeks.'
on Inside Chateaux Beynac - 'Thanks for sharing, PED! Eleanor of Aquitaine is also Donna’s personal favorite, and you’ve shown us a few good reasons why. Love the pictures, and now I want to visit both the chateau and the castle!'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'In other news, yet another overnight plunge in AAPL by that tiny St Bernard’s tail of a post-premarket created the momentum to push AAPL all the way down to $325/share. Let’s hope that Apple is cashing in on buying back AAPL in these two waning days of fy ‘26 – or at least setting up some Advanced Share Repurchases (ASRs), assuming the AAPL short term manipulators run true to form and ding the stock while Apple is in share repurchase blackout. /s'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'Thanks for your kind words, Greg! I love the idea of a 20-year ROI! Serendipitously: Per my Safari query, the first iPhone was released and began shipping on June 29, 2007,. That’s EXACTLY 20 years about a year from now. So if we start tracking now, we can literally “count down” to that pivotal moment in Apple investor history, and automatically “plot” that moment’s impact for those wise/lucky enough to have invested in AAPL.- and then held onto it!'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'A fan note to Joseph and an idea–It’s the long term that matters, and your comments offer the best stats to cut through the short-term noise. Implied in your selection is the best strategy for investing: buy and hold over a very long time. I love this site for the curation of news plus PED’s takes (and everyone’s comments!). To balance those immediate takes, it would be great to have on the masthead our equivalent of the NYT’s “All the News That’s Fit to Print.” But ours would be: Apple 10-year ROI: 1,078%. S&P500 10-year ROI______ (whatever it is) Or possibly a longer term–20 years? The point is to have an implicit invitation to keep our eyes on the long term.'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - '“India’s PC market is set for a 22% decline in 2H26 as early buying and rising component costs weigh on demand, according to the latest research from Omdia. Purchases brought forward into the first half of the year to avoid higher prices are expected to weaken demand in the second half. In 2Q26, India’s PC market grew 14% year-on-year (YoY) to 4.1 million units, with notebook shipments up 13% to 3.0 million units and desktop shipments up 15% to 954,000 units. Separately, tablet shipments rose 11% to 1.3 million units. PC growth partly reflected advanced purchases by vendors and channel partners seeking to secure inventory before expected price increases later in the year…” “ In the consumer market, online and retail promotions helped sustain purchases despite rising prices, while Apple’s notebook shipments almost doubled as its new Apple MacBook range, including the Neo, gained traction. AI-capable notebooks increased their share from 28% to 44%, showing a shift in shipments toward newer configurations. For the full year, Omdia expects India’s PC market to reach 15.4 million units in 2026, down 2.6% from 2025. Consumer shipments are expected to decline 6%, while commercial shipments are forecast to fall 5%. Education shipments are still expected to grow 63% to 918,000 units, although growth should slow in H2 2026 as the current government-led procurement cycle winds down. “Higher component costs will weigh most heavily on entry-level PCs, where budget-conscious consumers in India are particularly sensitive to price increases,” added Aithal. “Premium and gaming PCs should have more room to absorb higher costs, while enterprise buyers are likely to push ahead with necessary fleet refreshes. Meanwhile, smaller businesses are likely to be more caution and may delay upgrades or opt for models with lower specifications.” “Vendors are also adjusting configurations to maintain key price points and limit the cost increases passed on to buyers. The impact will also differ by platform, with Apple MacBook shipments expected to see a relatively smaller decline, supported by the platform’s premium positioning, tight hardware and software integration, and strong existing user base.“ “ India’s tablet market is undergoing a shift toward higher-value devices. In 2Q26, consumer shipments grew 12%, supported by demand for premium and newer devices, while commercial shipments grew 11%, led by strong SMB purchases. Enterprise demand was more stable. Apple’s shipments grew 35% and Lenovo’s shipments nearly doubled, with both vendors gaining market share.” https://omdia.tech.informa.com/pr/2026/sep/indias-pc-market-growth-set-to-reverse-with-22percent-decline-forecast-in-2h26'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'You thought iPhone Duo was expensive! ‘Liquid metal’ version of Apple’s foldable costs $21,000 Apple’s most expensive iPhone, iPhone Duo, was revealed to the world earlier this month, costing between £1,999 and £3,199. But these costs pale in comparison to a custom version by Caviar. “Apple’s most expensive iPhone was revealed to the world earlier this month, in the form of the iPhone Duo. Costing between £1,999 and £3,199 in the UK, the foldable device is even pricier than Apple’s latest flagships, the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, which start at £1,199. But these costs pale in comparison to a custom version of the iPhone Duo, which has been created by luxury company, Caviar. Described as ‘Liquid Metal’, the device is crafted entirely from sterling silver. ‘The surface evokes metal frozen in motion, while shifting reflections enhance the depth and fluidity of the form,’ Caviar explained. However, if you want to get your hands on one, you’ll have to splash the cash, with the Liquid Metal iPhone Duo coming in at up to $21,340 (£16,084.49) – around 10 times more than Apple’s version.” Excerpt From “You thought iPhone Duo was expensive! ‘Liquid metal’ version of Apple’s foldable costs $21,000” Daily Mail https://apple.news/AV6aVewz2Rc2n8bGzqWw55g This material may be protected by copyright.'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'Dang! AMZN remains ahead, I blame these old eyes, my slow typing – and lack of edit time…. (BTW, these are all courtesy of the Apple Stocks app.)'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'Of the tech stocks I follow, AAPL (1,078%) is only surpassed on the 10 year ROI basis by AVGO (+1,936%), NVDA (+13,232%), and TSLA (+2,509%). And on the all time ROI basis (301,276%), AAPL is only surpassed by MSFT (422,040%) and NVDA (499,637%). It just passed AMZN (323,031%).'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'Comparing the 1, 2, 5, and 10 year averages and the Nasdaq: Apple: +30.4%, +47.2%, +133.5%, +1,078% Nasdaq: +18.0%, +50.0%, +84.4%, +406%'
on The miracles of Rocamadour - 'Thanks for the photos, PED! Stocks are zig-zagging, including AAPL, as we saw yet another tiny post-premarket’s tiny tail drag the AAPL Saint Bernard, this time in the opposite direction, then see it slowly pulled to heel as the day wore on. Still, green for the day by about 1% and only down for the week by about 1%. Volume was much brisker than it has been rising from the low 30 M’s to nearly 50 M and even topping an average count that’s now down to 46.8 M. Basically, still watching the paint dry….'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Thank you, Bart! That was a lot of work, I know, especially being spread over several posts, but very illuminating for me personally. One major takeaway for me was a fresh personal appreciation of the sheer level of sophistication China has now achieved. They have truly grown over the years, technologically speaking. The Duo is clearly a technological tour de force. Another takeaway is that whoever supplied the information for this article is extremely knowledgeable about the Duo. I have to admit that knowing someone outside of Apple has that breadth of Apple knowledge makes me uneasy…. Once again, Bart, thanks for going to all that trouble!'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Apple is also buying discounted shares on your behalf, Aaron, which is the icing on your AAPL strudel! Yum!'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Some additional tidbits from South China Morning Post on Apple’s strong iPhone 18 initial sales: Apple leads China smartphone sales after launch of iPhone 18 Pro. Can the momentum last? Sales in the first three days were 12 per cent higher than the previous generation’s entire first week • “Sales of the new Pro models in their first three days after launching on September 18 were 12 per cent higher than sales of the iPhone 17 Pro line-up during its entire first week last year, according to a report published on Wednesday by Counterpoint Research. That strong start catapulted Apple to the No 1 position by smartphone sales for the week of September 14 to 20, with the company capturing 33 per cent of the market.” Apple could receive a further boost from its first foldable handset, the iPhone Duo, which will go on sale on October 23. UBS said in a research note last week that Chinese consumers continued to show greater interest in foldable devices compared with other international markets. “UBS maintained its forecast for Apple’s global iPhone sales for the current financial year, projecting shipments to reach 261 million units, up 15.4 per cent year on year. These gains come against a backdrop of challenges facing the wider industry. The global smartphone market is grappling with a shortage of memory chips, as surging demand for AI infrastructure puts pressure on supplies for consumer electronics. China’s weekly handset sales have declined by double digits year on year since July, according to Counterpoint, which attributed the weakness to soft consumer spending and elevated chip costs. The memory shortage is expected to drag global smartphone shipments down this year. IDC forecast in August that shipments could contract 16.7 per cent, the steepest annual drop on record, while Counterpoint projected a 14 per cent market decline for 2026.” Excerpt From “Apple leads China smartphone sales after launch of iPhone 18 Pro. Can the momentum last?” Emma Ma South China Morning Post https://apple.news/AYgG8gdKARXyBegL8Y6f_FA This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Looks like India is finally getting ApplePay. All the details have been worked out.As reported by AppleInsider: https://appleinsider DOT com/articles/26/09/30/india-finally-gets-apple-pay-after-more-than-nine-years-of-negotiations?utm_source=rss “India is home to a dynamic and digitally savvy population that continues to embrace a cashless future while expecting the highest standards of security and privacy,” said Jennifer Bailey, Apple’s vice president of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet in a statement, “and we’re so excited to bring Apple Pay to users in India today.” This is a positive I believe'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'I love supply chain FUD stories! Let’s me pickup some more AAPL on a discount.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'AppleInsider covering the story: https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/09/30/refreshed-homepod-mini-apple-tv-and-new-homehub-coming-on-october-13 Refreshed HomePod mini, Apple TV and new HomeHub coming on October 13 A new report claims that Apple is planning October 13 for the unveiling of a trio of home products, including the much-awaited HomeHub or HomePod. It’s already been leaked that the HomePod mini refresh will be confined to new colors, and the updated Apple TV 4K will keep its existing chassis design. According to Bloomberg, these two are set to be released alongside the brand-new home hub. As previously reported, that HomePod with a screen has been waiting only for the updated Siri AI to be released. All three of these devices were reportedly first scheduled to launch as long ago as 2024. No details of pricing or really of any configuration is known for the home hub, although there have been code leaks that describe how its screen will work. The device is also believed to check for nearby iPhones, and then display relevant data for that user. Intended to be used by multiple people, this device is expected to act as a central control unit of your Apple Home. It’s previously been reported to launch in 2024, 2025, and most recently in late 2026. The colors of the refreshed HomePod mini lineup colors are expected to be black, white, blue, pink, and green. It’s also expected that four such HomePod minis could be paired to an Apple TV 4K, too. Then the new Apple TV 4K is presumed to bring Siri AI to the TV set for the first time, and it’s rumored to feature both an A20 Pro processor and a doubling of RAM to 8GB. Those are needed for Siri AI but will also benefit gamers. The existing larger HomePod is said to be getting a refresh as well, but not alongside this launch. Apple is also planning home security devices, which are currently expected to launch in 2027. Apple is not expected to release any other brand-new devices, but according to the new report, it is working with other companies. Apple is said to be revising its HomeKit software to better support third-party devices.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Gurman piece out this morning re an Oct 12 launch of new smart home products. Free “gift” link below: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-30/apple-is-finally-ready-to-enter-its-next-big-category-the-smart-home?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc5MDc2Nzc1NiwiZXhwIjoxNzkxMzcyNTU2LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUTTM0SDRUOTZPU0cwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI3NjA5RUVBQjMyNzE0MUNEODlGRjc0MUFDMzJCMDBENSJ9.x7zH-rimMOTWAek_Fx3bvzvNvXKK3R3gW9_eHbEu-Ms'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Doomed I tell ya! iPhone 18 Pro Series Sales Up 12% YoY in Launch Week in China as Apple Takes #1 Spot Apple Leads China Smartphone Sales as iPhone 18 Pro Sees Strong Launch • Apple’s iPhone 18 Pro series saw a solid launch in China with 12% YoY growth in its first week, helping the company lead sales in Week 38, supported by strong early upgrades, aggressive channel support and a narrowing price gap between top-tier competitor flagships and the iPhone Pro series. • China’s weekly sales have declined double-digit YoY since July amid soft demand and rising memory costs; • September’s new product launches are expected to support sequential recovery. • Huawei continues to innovate in form factors, with wide-screen slab Pura X View well received and wide foldable Pura X Max seeing renewed sales momentum after the iPhone Duo announcement. • Chinese flagship models have seen significant price increases, particularly due to higher-memory and 2nm SoC variants, which could weigh on sales. Sept 30, 2026 China’s weekly smartphone sales have declined by double-digits YoY since July, according to Counterpoint Research’s China Weekly Smartphone Sell-Out Tracker. Consumer demand has remained soft amid rising memory costs this year, but the new product launch cycle in September is expected to support sequential market recovery. During the first three days of its sales (which accounted for only three days in Week 38), the iPhone 18 Pro series recorded 12% YoY growth compared with the iPhone sales. The strong initial performance helped Apple move into the No. 1 spot in sales in Week 38, with a 33% share of China’s smartphone market. Commenting on its performance, Senior Analyst Ivan Lam said, “The delayed launch of the base iPhone 18 may have driven some consumers to trade up to the Pro series, while price hikes of over $200 on many Chinese flagship models may have raised the price anchor, strengthening the iPhone’s relative value proposition.” Beyond Apple, Huawei introduced a new wide-screen slab form factor with the Pura X View. It adopts a 16:9.5 wide-screen ratio, bringing a more natural and comfortable viewing. Its innovative form factor, well-positioned pricing and flagship-level specifications have supported strong initial sales. Research Analyst Shiwen Ma commented, “By bringing the wide-screen experience of foldables to a hinge-free slab phone, the Huawei Pura X View addresses a gap for consumers who want a larger screen without paying a premium or accepting the bulk of a foldable device.” Meanwhile, the recent wave of wide-screen foldable launches, including the iPhone Duo and Xiaomi 18 Fold, has further boosted sales of the Pura X Max several months after its launch. Chinese Android OEMs also launched their new flagships in September, with most models going on sale before the Chinese National Day holiday. Rising memory costs have pushed up flagship prices significantly versus predecessors, with higher-memory variants and 2nm SoC models generally seeing more pronounced increases. Therefore we expect this generation to see lower sales than its predecessors over Q4. https://counterpointresearch.com/en/insights/iphone-18-pro-series-sales-up-12-percent-yoy-in-launch-week-in-china-as-apple-takes-hashtag-1-spot'
on Château de Mercuès - 'Any ideas about yesterday’s sell off? Lawsuit “loss” (temporary) or profit taking don’t feel like the reason, but maybe. Also: I’m waiting for the home products. With all the possible variations and multiples (cameras, input devices sensors, controllers etc. it seems like a lot of potential profit. 🙂'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Apple Pay launches in India with Axis Bank partnership “Apple Pay (AAPL.O) has launched in India through a partnership with Axis Bank (AXBK.NS), giving the payment service its first foothold in one of the world’s largest digital payments markets, the lender said on Wednesday. Axis Bank, India’s third-largest private lender, will be the first Indian bank to offer Apple Pay, initially to customers with credit cards on the Visa (V.N) and Mastercard (MA.N) networks.” “Cards on India’s homegrown RuPay network will not be eligible. “India is home to a dynamic and digitally savvy population that continues to embrace a cashless future while expecting the highest standards of security and privacy, and we’re so excited to bring Apple Pay to users in India today,” Jennifer Bailey, Apple’s vice president of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet, said in a statement. Axis Bank is India’s fourth-largest credit card issuer, with 16.3 million cards outstanding as of August, out of 124 million nationwide, central bank data showed. The launch would help the US company offer its payment service in the world’s most populous country, one of the few major economies where it is not available. Apple Pay has also held talks with larger rivals HDFC Bank (HDBK.NS) and ICICI Bank (ICBK.NS), but has yet to agree commercial terms, Reuters reported earlier this month.” “India’s Unified Payments Interface, a real-time bank transfer system, accounts for 84% of digital payment volumes and is the world’s largest retail fast-payment system by transaction volume, according to a 2025 IMF report. Customers can add eligible cards through Axis Bank’s mobile app or Apple Wallet and make payments in stores, in apps and online using an iPhone, Apple Watch or iPad, the lender said in a statement. Apple Pay lets users make contact less payments without entering a card PIN or one-time password, authenticating transactions through Face ID, Touch ID or a device passcode.” Excerpt From “Apple Pay launches in India with Axis Bank partnership” Reuters Reuters https://apple.news/AyF0HgvleTTmncv9cOMsBLw This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - '“Consider that Samsung only produced and sold about 5M Duo in 2026, and up to 8-10M production capacity for all of 2027.” Somehow this got mangled in my post, should have read: “Consider that Samsung only produced and sold about 0.8M Foldables in 1H 2026, and is on track to sell about 6.5M in 2H 2026, ~3.4M Z Fold 8 (wide), ~1.8M Z Fold 8 Ultra, ~ 1.3M Z Flip 8, total for 2026 around 7.3M Foldables, a notable increase from ~6M total in 2025, 5.2M in 2024, and 5.5M in 2023. From 2023 through 2025, the clamshell Z Flips were the dominant majority of sales, partly due to cost. With 2026, that has flipped where the Flip models folded (puns intended) and now are less than 25% of sales and the Fold types now dominate. Apple is expected to sell >5-6M Duo’s in 2026, assuming no major production issues, and up to 10-14M production capacity/sales for all of 2027, more than double. Counterpoint, Omdia and IDC all expect Apple to take 25% of total Foldables sales (total around 22M, and an even higher percentage of Folding types) in 2026, making Apple the immediate #3 Foldables maker. Then Apple is expected to take ~40% of the Foldables market in 2027 with 12-14M sales which would put Apple as the #1 Foldables maker by sales volume w/ just 1 model vs 2-4 by Samsung, Huawei. Whether or not Apple hits those lofty sales predictions or that the entire Foldables market expands that much remains to be seen. But make no mistake, the Duo has definitely caught Apple’s users’ attention, and wallets.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Pretty amazing that Porsche is back-filling Apple Play functionality to older Porsche models, what other manufacturers would do that? From Road & Track via Apple News: https://apple.news/ArxKweCNCQuKfXpczO7bk0Q Porsche Just Gave 300,000 of Its Best Older Sports Cars Modern Infotainment With Apple CarPlay Porsche Classic Communication Management Plus brings CarPlay, Android Auto and more modern functions to many 2009-2016 cars. “Many Porsche enthusiasts prefer old-school technology. Manual transmissions, naturally aspirated engines, and analog gauges often provide a more tactile, more engaging driving experience than their alternatives. But when it comes to infotainment, newer is generally better. Porsche began bringing those two worlds together in 2020 with Porsche Classic Communication Management Plus (PCCM Plus), giving owners of classic models access to modern infotainment without sacrificing the factory look. And as of Tuesday, Porsche is expanding the technology to a newer generation of future classics.” “The latest version of PCCM Plus is now available for the 997.2-generation 911, 987.2-gen Boxster and Cayman, 991.1-generation 911, and 981-gen Boxster and Cayman. Porsche says that opens the factory infotainment upgrade to more than 300,000 cars from model years 2009 through 2016. These generations represent something of a dividing line in Porsche history, arriving before turbocharged Carreras and four-cylinder Boxsters and Caymans became the norm. At the center of PCCM Plus is a seven-inch high-resolution touchscreen, but the biggest upgrade is the addition of wireless Apple CarPlay and Android Auto. Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connectivity are included, along with Bluetooth audio streaming, 4G support through a nano SIM card, and over-the-air map updates.” “PCCM Plus was designed to integrate with the car’s existing electronics. Cars originally equipped with a multifunction steering wheel can use it to control the new system, while navigation instructions and music information can appear in the instrument cluster. Existing vehicle settings remain supported as well; for example, Boxster and Cayman models equipped with parking sensors gain a visual distance display to supplement the original audible warning. Plus, the look is seamless and can easily be mistaken for original equipment, unlike most aftermarket systems. But Porsche drivers love to drive above all else, so PCCM Plus adds a few features that seem tailor-made for drivers. Oil temperature and oil pressure can be displayed on the trip screen; even more exciting is the satellite-image navigation and a Scenic Roads function that can deliberately select winding, panoramic routes rather than simply finding the fastest way to your destination. Porsche offers two versions of the system: One covering the 997.2 and 987.2, and another for the 991.1 and 981. Individual functions vary depending on the model and original equipment, and Porsche recommends having PCCM Plus installed at a Porsche dealer.” Excerpt From “Porsche Just Gave 300,000 of Its Best Older Sports Cars Modern Infotainment With Apple CarPlay” Joe Kucinski Road & Track This material may be protected by copyright.'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Its is highly speculative. In today’s Fast Money podcast Gene Munster mentions Apple’s AI efforts and Siri at about the 15 minute mark and at about the 25 minute mark the panel debunks the risk to Apple from Meta’s Muse. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cnbcs-fast-money/id215529509?i=1000792271402'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Wow! That is scary. I don’t need to be advised to continue to avoid anything Meta. So maybe after this new report gets out, the market will be less intimidated by the incomplete news from Benzinga that caused the selloff today. That could bode well for an AAPL rebound'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - 'Here is a non-paywall account of the article: Unsurprisingly, Meta’s new Muse AI agent blatantly ignores users permissions'
on Chateâu de la Treyne - '“What Apple could truly change is this cycle. If the iPhone Duo brings in millions of new users, the commercial returns for developers adapting their interfaces to larger screens will increase accordingly. At that point, foldable screens could potentially transform from “foldable smartphones” into new products with their own independent software ecosystem and interaction logic. Therefore, the first year after Apple’s foldable screen is launched will be a crucial window to verify this judgment. In the early stages of a new product launch, there may be supply shortages due to limited production capacity and demand from early adopters, but what truly determines whether the product can achieve sustained growth is whether there will be significant changes in the software ecosystem thereafter. The iPhone Duo is just the first generation of Apple’s foldable screen product line. The aforementioned analyst told reporters that as production capacity ramps up and the software ecosystem matures, its sales volume could increase to 20 to 30 million units in the next two to three years. Only then can it transition from a high-priced, small-scale, early adopter to a mainstream Apple product.” And that’s the whole article. Here’s the AppleInsider Summary: https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/09/29/making-millions-of-iphone-duos-is-proving-harder-than-apple-hoped'


