Recent Comments

  • Robert Stack on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'You meant Altman, Zuckerberg, or Musk right? Poor Elon may be busy right now looking for another state to move to…'
  • Richard Gayle on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - 'My guess is that a lot of the budgeted AI money was actually not being used. So, to reclaim that budget, and get a better idea of its specific needs, Apple lowers the amount given to all employees but also allows those in need to ask for more, demonstrate the need and get it. The Apple gets a very good idea of its AI needs, gets a more accurate budget and saves some money.'
  • Richard Gayle on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'There is a wafer shortage because the AI memory chips need so many. Apple has a partnership with GlobalWafers in Texas, providing wafers for Apple’s partners, like TI and TSMC. Phase 1 is producing about 350,000 wafers a month and that is expected to double next year. I wonder if Apple could also send some of those wafers to help companies having a harder time getting wafers? And get a better deal for things like memory?'
  • Raj Pandey on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Market was up 1500 points yesterday and as of noon today, it’s down 1400. Go figure! Compared to a few others, we’re not down as much. At 345, we’re at a 5.0 trillion valuation while NVDA has been hammered down to 4.4 trillion.'
  • Daniel Epstein on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Not likely to spike up and stay today given market sell off. Apple down 3.71 at 11:45 EST.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'Apple is and will always be the Lone Wolf as they value a customer’s privacy. Every other Big Tech Company monetizes that personal data for their own purposes and now they want everyone to cede their privacy to them so they can store it all in their own data center clouds. Apple will never go along with that business model and once consumers understand how Apple aggressively protects users privacy as opposed to Altman and these various LLM’s, there will be a backlash similar to what just happened in the midterm elections. Hard to decide who is worse: Altman or Zuckerberg?'
  • Don Donofrio on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - 'Neal – Interesting idea to guess at the savings. Just for fun, let’s say that they can save $200 per employee (based on the $300 down to $100 mentioned in the article). So that is then $32m _every day_, which is $960 a month. $12b a year is really money even in Apple terms.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - '”Unlike the air its engineers breathe, Apple’s AI is not free.” Neither are the engineers. The balancing act is the cost per unit of work product. Sounds like Apple has been researching the best cost per unit of work product method, human or AI, and has made a determination.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - 'If I had to guess who was Gurman’s source, it would be the design department, if this really is a thing. So I wonder if the curb on AI usage is more related to personal usage than for professional usage. Secondly, unless this is becoming a huge line item, I am wondering how much does this really save Apple vs pissing off its employees. Apple has around 160K employees. If they save $100 per employee,(which probably way overestimates the savings) that is 16 million dollars. Not inconsequential but, when looked at related to total apple revenues/earnings, not a big percentage at all(more of a rounding error). Maybe it is on a department by department basis and related to people wasting AI usage. Not really enough information to tell what this really is about.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - 'David, Funniest thing I have read all week. Thanks for that. Good thing I wasn’t drinking any coffee while I was reading it.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'I never thought of it this way before, but Apple IS in the memory business. Instead of building out a foundry to fab processor memory and system memory, it devised a way for both types to share the same memory. Doing so brought both types of memory closer together and the CPU core, thereby speeding up the process, using less power and creating less heat. Heat, by the way slows the process down. It acts as an exponential resistor. The hotter the bus gets the slower it gets. The slower the bus gets the more power is needed to maintain speed. Batteries hate heat. Altman is an idiot that created the model everyone one is copying without thinking. Why wouldn’t they. AI engineers are really smart software developers writing for silicon that other engineers, without consultation, have been developing since the ‘60s, perpetuating an inefficiency that has existed since the ENIAC. Apple combined the two sciences into a single intellectual exercise calling it Unified Memory, and eliminating the need for slower HBM memory.'
  • David Emery on Mark Gurman: Apple curtails AI use by its engineers - 'In a related story, Bloomberg announced a reduction in the use of intelligence by its journalists, particularly those covering Big Tech. “We find doing actual research is expensive, so it’s much easier to move markets by just making stuff up. Actual analysis is over-rated, so we’ll just go for what brings in the clicks” '
  • Miguel Ancira on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'I think we need to check if they are sociopaths first … then, if not, maybe listen…maybe'
  • Fred Stein on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'Great material. Thanks. So AI’s debt fueled demand has created both a memory and silicon shortage, made worse because cloud AI’s HBM requires 3x the silicon as Apple’s DRAM, per bit.'
  • David Emery on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'Air is wasted in Sam Altman’s lungs…'
  • Greg Lippert on Errol Brandt: Sam Altman says memory is wasted in your Apple devices - 'Good stuff – Sam is a self-serving prick.'
  • Raj Pandey on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Turbo spike to 360 today?'
  • Bart Yee on What the midterm results mean for the AI buildout - 'Joseph, the odds are slim and none, with None being the operative term. When you’re a crooked politician, contriteness, admission, and taking responsibility have already been excised from their thinking and vocabulary. Now the operative actions are to get what you can while you still can, leave a mess behind (as always for Republicans), and make cleanup as difficult as possible for the party elected to replace you. Doing a mea culpa does nothing to pad your Swiss bank account or vacation home outside of the US so why bother, you weren’t accountable to constituents, rule of law or the Constitution before, why start now? Something about changing stripes and seeing true colors, plus rats abandoning ship should be noted here.'
  • Bart Yee on What the midterm results mean for the AI buildout - 'Bill said: “I think there could be very stormy waters in the very near future for the AI hyperscalers and unregulated frontier model pushers. Ironically, regulatory resistance may be what saves some of these companies.” That’s quite prescient, Bill. I’ve been wondering whether the Catch-22 the Hyperscalers faced – keep spending and hope no one asks hard questions about the accounting, or slow spending down and risk the VC / financing / and stock support collapsing now has reasonable cover to be solved by Democrats demanding a slowdown or moratorium on datacenters, giving companies now a chance to cut back “because they had to comply with mandates”, saving face, and hundreds of billions in expenditures. Of course, there will be ripple effects down the construction, energy, water, and infrastructure supply chain, probably quite a few lawsuits about broken contracts, and plenty of continued civic and local opposition now given huge strength and voice. However, it might be the best thing for many companies facing a fast approaching reckoning if someone else forces them to pump the brakes instead of openly admitting their spending was not sustainable. It’ll give them cover as well to face reality about whether there’s any real short or long term ROI to Cloud and Datacenter based AI, and continued movement toward commoditization, a question everyone else is asking, and Hyperscalers keep dodging.'
  • Bart Yee on Apple price target changes - 'Oh don’t worry Greg, there’s still plenty of time for His Orange Highness to wreak/reek/wreck havoc on the economy, stock market and world by petty, ill-conceived, self-serving and double dealing actions to help his fellow grifters and family while trying to inflict as much damage before they forcefully drag him out of the White House. You’ll always have a few more dips to count on coming. Trump has plenty of time to toss out more Black Swans to the market while he self-roasts his lame duck ass in a last gasp flaming blaze of orange glory, or shall we say “Orange Chicken”? That last quip is apropos because Orange Chicken is boneless.'
  • Bart Yee on Apple price target changes - 'John Konopka said: “Given their cautious nature I suspect they’d wait a while to be sure it wasn’t a temporary swing.” This is very true, but Apple has already bought and paid for a significant amount of DRAM at previous or recent high prices which is already in the pipeline for products. What is also not generally known is Memory suppliers (Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron for DRAM and Kioxia for NAND Flash) have all required purchasers to buy long term contracts (6mo to 3 years) worth of memory to 1) force buyers to compete and drive up prices, 2) fix and establish long term pricing to maintain prices as long as possible, 3) cushion the fall if HBM memory demand suddenly falls off a cliff. It’s not terribly ethical, and there’s been some debate whether it’s collusion or unlawful, but here we are. Now if and when memory prices drop meaningfully, AND supply is sufficient to meet demand so that there’s enough or more than enough to go around, then Apple could begin to see some relief in memory pricing. However, memory prices are unlikely to fall quickly given the general pent up demand for DRAM as production lines were switched over to make HBM memory which constrained DRAM production and supply. In essence, any true memory chip price reductions would not likely induce an Apple finished product price reduction for at least 6 months, if not an entire product cycle, or a year. That lag won’t look good to most but it isn’t instantaneous to drop prices, and it isn’t good business to sacrifice improving margins just to look good to the public. I guarantee all smartphone and PC makers will also maintain prices until someone decides market share and sales are more important than margins.'
  • Gregg Thurman on What the midterm results mean for the AI buildout - 'Shorts perform a vital role in the market. Whether the market goes up or down, Shorts set support. As an equity goes down, at some point the Shorts buy shares back in order to return borrowed shares. They bought low and sold high, just not in the order most people understand. As an equity goes up the Shorts buy back the shares they borrowed and sold, supporting further gains in the shorted shares. One thing to consider with AAPL Shorts: most are expressed with options. Calls are sold with the expectation that the underlying shares are going to go down. Puts are bought with same expectation. In either case if the investor is wrong, unwinding the Short position bolsters the longs.'
  • Steven Philips on What the midterm results mean for the AI buildout - 'Well, it IS electric and those shorts can deliver quite a shock! 🙂'
  • Greg Boyd on Apple price target changes - 'I haven’t run out of runway or patience but if Apple share price keeps increasing I may run out of options …..literally out of options. I mean can an honest trader get a pullback for a couple of months?'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple bungee jumps to $349.51, a new record close - 'The market always loves certainty and the Midterms gave us certainty. I suspect the moderates will be going after tariffs, and the progressives going after investigations/subpoenas. Both will want re-engagement with out allies. They likely both support Ukraine and will work to find a peace with Iran. All those should make the markets happy. we shall see.'
  • Darren DMW on Apple bungee jumps to $349.51, a new record close - 'Interesting that AAPL has traded above $350 in pre-market, open market and after hours on numerous days recently, but just can’t close over $350. Is tomorrow the day?'
  • Roger Schutte on Apple bungee jumps to $349.51, a new record close - 'I missed the absolute low Monday after hours but I was able to buy a pile that night at 227 to 227.6. I can trade till 8pm at Fidelity.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple bungee jumps to $349.51, a new record close - 'Man, did all those after-hours dumpers of AAPL following earnings just get spanked! And yes, I’m havin’ a laugh! Congrats to all those who had the gumption yesterday AM to beat everyone to the punch!'
  • Greg Lippert on Apple bungee jumps to $349.51, a new record close - 'I am just elated that the results were so decisive that there was no blood on the streets. I was afraid that Trump was going to pull shenanigans. Go Democracy!'