Joseph Bland on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Anice, that’s because Mr. Musk doesn’t know how grok in fullness…. #;^) Time for me to reread as well, Steven.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Oops! That’s a yoy quarterly increase in EPS of 20%. So not a 20% increase in average EPS, but maybe a 20% increase over the next year…. I’ll take it!'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Next earnings, Horace is looking for about a 20% increase in yoy EPS, so assuming valuation returns to the present number of 35.7 after that, then the price should touch today’s close of $294.80×1.2 or $354/share (!) – which surprises even me!'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Hi, Bart. Just a fyi, at 6 PM PDT, the AAPL volume shown on Apple Stocks settled at 43.9 M trades, or basically equal to the 43.8 M present average for AAPL shown on Apple Stocks. Also, Apple has regained the valuation it had prior to their earnings guidance, and a bit more.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Bart, thanks. Thankfully, I’m pretty well set so I just need to sell a small fraction to support my retirement career (scanning electron microscopy and energy dispersive spectroscopy).'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - '”Gee, I wonder if that’s because long term investors aren’t selling and folks see it as a safe haven?” I think it’s because there are more buyers than there are sellers, and each of those buyers think AAPL is going much higher than it is today.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'AAPL closed at $294.80 up $2.12, another record close, on slightly lower than average volume of 39M shares. Second all time closing high in 3 sessions. Also set another all time intraday high of $295.27. Nothing fancy, just grinding higher on a day where 2/3rds of the market stayed red due to continued geopolitical jitters and inflation fears, and a market that has almost given up on any further interest rate easing in 2026.'
on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Forgot that one. Yes, very good book. Been too long and old brain forgot the details. Time to reread a lot of the old SF. Back to the 30’s – 60’s. Thanks for the reminder! 🙂'
on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Anything you say or text or email; Any place you go, etc. You may be recorded or videotaped. Follow your own principles and don’t worry who sees or hears.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Yesterday I saw a house in Spokane Zillow. The seller, 11 years ago, wanted a 3 car garage, current garage only fit one. Down comes the 80 year old garage, and up goes a new 4 car garage with indoor storage at the back. The garage’s footprint is actually bigger than his 3 berm 1 bath house (with livable basement). Water heater and A/C were upgraded to electric/heat exchanger. To finish it off he installed 30 solar panels on the new garage’s west facing gable and batteries to store excess production. That was eleven years ago. He hasn’t paid an electric bill since, while getting paid by Avista for his surplus electricity generation. I don’t know, but I’d hazard a guess that at least one of his cars is a Tesla. In the listing it says he hasn’t paid for electricity in 10 years (but I’ll bet he’s still paying on all of the electric upgrades). The new owner is going to benefit more than he did, because the value of his home is just slightly above the neighborhood.'
on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute' - 'Yeah, and BlackRock / Jupiter Power are also pushing hard to get its subsidiaries to build out battery energy storage solutions (BESS) to deal in whole sale energy sales to tap into more of this compute dilemma. Lots of attempts here around the Seattle Area / PNW. After seeing the massive failure to contain the BESS fire at PG&E’s Moss Landing site, alarm bells are ringing and many communities are trying to shut these projects down. Sip energy when it’s cheap in the evening and sell it at a profit to the utilities when demand is high. Something… something Enron flashback.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'John, I would counsel that if you need the money relatively soon, then sell now while the price is high and quite acceptable, no one ever would fault you for locking in a profit now IF you need it for something else. That’s what it’s there for. If the stock price continues to go up, don’t look back and kick yourself, you’re using your money. If it grows higher, be happy, the market is replacing what you just took out and then some.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'well, Bart (doffs cap) a fine rant, if I may say so… you crammed in an education in a post and half. Once started, this inflationary flywheel keeps rolling I fear the average consumer of this generation, unused to high inflation is going to get deeply shocked.'
on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - 'Did anyone consider that all of this would have to happen through telecom carrier networks via POTS or telecom digital signal networks? Is the system configurable to allow this kind of separate but associated signaling (recording, buttons to be pushed, notifications, etc.)? Not clear if can be done easily on normal telecom systems. Calls via internet or digital networks may be much easier to do the above privacy measures and agreed should be done. While we are at it, could we get the same notification, real time reminded that YOUR written words, YOUR browsing behaviors, YOUR personally generated data is being harvested, recorded, and sent to someone else’s you don’t even know you’re sending it to by Google, Facebook / Meta, and a host of others? Just because you use their services doesn’t mean that data collection shouldn’t continue to acknowledged and reminded to end user in a daily basis. Give me some outrage and an essay about the massive offenders first before I worry about Apple’s small issue.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'I’m thinking of selling some stock now to reduce some debt and for a personal project. The price is very nice now and I’m worried about a drop in the near future. Maybe three to six months? On the other hand, the Republicans will want to juice the economy and market till the elections. I was listening to someone on CNBC laying out this problem. The high flyers are way up and there are storm clouds on the horizon but there doesn’t seem to be a safe harbor anywhere. He claimed that big investors are looking at some sort of derivatives to protect themselves. It is a puzzle.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Once started, this inflationary flywheel keeps rolling, the Iran war induced inflationary trend will not slow down for some time. Couple that with the AI infrastructure build out competing for electricity (powered by oil or natural gas, less on renewables since the administration cut back on those projects) will cause regional energy prices to surge for all users, but normal residential rate payers will see, oh, lemme check, 20-40% higher summer electricity bills, as we go into an El Niño summer with, again, predictably higher and prolonged temps. Let 2-3-4 good summer heat waves occur across the country and the grids will buckle, brownouts and blackouts may occur, people will predictably DIE, and domestic oil companies will rake it in while selling US crude and refined product at inflated prices to US and international customers, there will be an easy oil industry windfall maybe approaching the AI spend, how about that? Trump wanted more dependence on EASY OIL instead of continuing harder but better longer term renewables (or fast tracking Gregg’s preferred US thorium fast breeder nuclear power which should be built next to any clustered AI data centers to directly satisfy power needs instead of pulling from the same residential and industrial grid we use now). So I’d predict close to 5% inflation across the summer even if the Iran Conflict is resolved because oil prices won’t come down quickly, neither will goods and service prices, and going into fall, we may still see the ripple effects from today’s decisions. Now, will Trump and his new Fed Chair still suggest cutting interest rate to stimulate the US economy further? How will that moderate demand, increase supply, reduce prices, and get inflation under control? No amount of actual real data or science will be believed by this administration, it’s only what they want to promulgate, it’s not even believe, because they can’t agree on what to believe, and they’re so removed from the realities of average people (or don’t really care), that they’ll just tell people to patriotically suck it up and bear with higher prices because there is a grander plan, er, scheme, er, grift to eventually bring prices down for the little guys while the big billionaires and companies (you know, Trumps buddies, sycophants and grovelers) continue to grow their wealth almost at will. I never counted Apple or Cook as among them because IMO Apple and Cook believe in people, whereas Republicans IMO only believe in wealth and power, and this who hold either. Shall we ask “are we better off now than when Biden left office?” More secure? Maybe, personal rights trampled on or being abused and reduced or reversed? Only ok if it’s someone else’s, not mine. Lower prices for food, fuel, travel, goods and services? No comment, be patient, it’s everything else including government regulation and bloat that led to higher costs, not billions spent sending the navy hither and yon, etc. In short and long, it’s gonna get a lot worse before it gets better, theme Fed could be strong-armed into voting for an interest cut which would be completely counterproductive (we will spend our way out of inflation, just use trickle down economics from Larry Ellison, Mark Zuckerberg, and Jeff Bezos, and Peter Thiel, they’ll surely be hiring and keeping you on long term.) Sorry, not sorry for the rant infiltrating my off the cuff analysis. It’s just hard to see the results when you look at the causes.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Hello Anice, I think the CPI is about right, a little worse than expected. The completely expected and certainly predictable oil price shocks (do anything with the Middle East – support Israel, small strikes against Lebanon, rattle sabres, oh, I don’t know, take out the Iranian Supreme leader, launch bombing attacks, have Iran launch retaliatory missile and drone strikes at ALL other countries nearby, close the Straits of Hormuz AND claim ownership of same (um, who has jurisdiction over the western sides of the strait? It borders UAE and Oman and supposedly there are maritime boundaries right down the middle per maps). But I guess if you have military might greater than the smaller countries then you can enforce your will and Oh BTW, extort some Cryptopayments for passage? It’s fricking 21 miles wide at its narrowest and yeah, 60-180 seconds flight time for an anti-ship missile. So anyone with even a modicum of a sophomore college education (oh, right, we don’t want educated voters or people in the US) could have easily predicted oil price hikes of oh, 50% to now 66% or more higher (from Dec 2025 WTI & Brent at $57 & $60, multiyear lows, now at WTI $101 (77%) and Brent $107 (78%)) by causing ANY turmoil in the Middle East and not planned for it. So a 3.8% CPI rise due to higher oil & fuel prices is utterly believable, and IMO, lagging inflationary effects from this will ripple through most all sectors and start showing up in May, June and July. Because there’s now no quick fix ceasefire (has there ever been? Trump was depending on Iran to cower, whimper and capitulate but, gosh, they actually want to fight back and exert THEIR power. So what is the US Navy doing there anyway, observe?), so this drags on, and on, and on. Meanwhile, oil tankers stack up, shipping is disrupted, logistics gummed up, and downstream industries and energy are upended. Sound familiar? It’s Covid-19, months 3-12 about to happen again. Oh, there’s more ways to mitigate it, but we have no shutdown to temper demand, but instead full operating world economies that depend on functional energy and shipping, now hampered by a choke point / bottleneck of our own creation. Here’s the BLS report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cpi.pdf If you think this print wasn’t enough, last May the CPI went down and June predictably up again as summer driving season started, while it’s clear the CPI will rise this month and keep rising into June, probably at a faster rate than YoY. A SWAG guess would put May CPI rising above 4.1% and June probably at 4.5% minimum – because commodity and food prices all affected by transport costs. Oh yeah, 1/3 of the world’s seaborne fertilizer goes through the SofH, so fertilizer prices also shoot up, shortages and missed planting deadlines, late harvests, poorer yields, higher food prices 3-6-9-12 months down the line, farmers worldwide get squeezed, as will consumers (of course, as always, the lower socioeconomic groups get disproportionately affected as food makes up a much higher percentage of their meager spending power. Guess that low priced Android smartphone will have to wait.) All manner of air and sea travel will suffer due to fuel costs, routes and services will be cut, demand will actually increase for what is left – prices shoot up as well, so worldwide tourism is affected. Building material and supplies will all go higher as production & shipping is disrupted and transport charges increase, this increases housing and maintenance costs. Continued'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'And it looks like AAPL peaked at $294.92. ATH. Are we going to see $295 tomorrow?'
on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'great story Mote… on the gripping hand is one of those, if you know, you know … for science fiction fans… Like Grok before Elon made it meaningless'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Into the last hour of trading today and Apple is up $1.79 at $294.47 while setting new all-time highs along the way! The major indexes are mixed as we approach the closing bell…'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'You look and you don’t see. What I didn’t see today was a new ATH $294.90 at the same time I was posting AAPL was up, while the NASDAQ was down.'
on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute' - 'Will “compute” then be like a fungible or am I misunderstanding the application of the term’s definition?'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'My answer is anecdotal because I can’t see enough trades to make a judgement call. But based on AAPL’s direction since the Open I’d say yes. Here’s another tidbit that indirectly addresses AAPL’s strength in today’s trading. From an AP headline: “Slumping AI stocks and rising oil prices halt Wall Street’s record-breaking run” Apparently the AP sees today’s NASDAQ selloff as an “AI” selloff, and AAPL in unaffected. Would have been nice had they said so (they highlighted several other minor firms action), but that would have been positive reporting on AAPL.'
on Fast Company: Apple must fix iPhone call recording - '“on-screen notification on each user’s device when a recording is in progress. Both participants should also be able to stop the recording with a tap of a button positioned within the persistent notification.” 2 thoughts. First, for your phone to know you are being recorded, your phone needs to extract information from someone else’s phone without their knowledge or consent; and second, to be able to stop a recording your iPhone would need to be able to control someone else’s phone. Also you can never stop someone from simply using their phone speaker and recording your conversation with another phone app or an external recording. The law says you’re supposed to notify someone when recording, a law easily ignored. Take away- assume you may be recorded (unless it is your spouse- and if they are recording you, you have a much bigger problem), just like in public spaces you may be [visually or audibly] recorded (especially with the increasing use of smart glasses). And yes, he sounds paranoid, but I definitely would want to know whenever I am being recorded.'
on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - '“The Mote in God’s Eye” by Niven and Pournelle. “ The Mote in God’s Eye and The Gripping Hand concern the conflicts attending humanity as it expands its reach into the galaxy. Primary among these conflicts is the encounter with an alien species from a star system called the Mote. This species differs from humans, particularly in its highly stratified social organization, which has evolved out of biological stratification, creating what are effectively subspecies. Each subspecies has its own peculiar social task: Warriors, Engineers, Mediators, Masters, and many others adapted for various specific tasks. This makes the Moties, as they are called, more similar to the social insects than to humans, who can perform a wide variety of tasks. The Moties’ efficiency is increased by specialization, making them formidable opponents both in war and in peaceable endeavors.” – from EBSCO.com The Moties have three arms and hands….'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'Hi, Gregg.. Upvoted. “Some large account money is flowing into AAPL.” Trades going both ways, since you say “flowing into”, are you seeing bigger buys than sells? Thanks for any clarification! Joe'
on BlackRock's Larry Fink: 'We just don't have enough compute' - 'This was my immediate thought. And there IS the Apple angle!'
on Trump's China trip: Apple and X are in, Nvidia is out - 'Is your “Sci-Fi allusion” Heinlein’s Waldo? 🙂 Genius! (In Orbit)'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'I discovered an unexpected benefit of trading Call Spreads today. I have the positions page on Thnk or Swim set up for data I find important. One of them is volume. While watching that this morning (AAPL, and the two legs of two spreads, a total of 5 data points) I noticed volume on individual trades were quite high. Example: for AAPL individual trade volume was centered around 300 – 400 shares. That works out to ~$90,000 – ~$120,000 per trade. And they occurred on upticks and downticks. These are not retail accounts. Some large account money is flowing into AAPL.'
on Premarket: Apple was red, turned green - 'When I logged on at 11:00 AM Eastern the NASDAQ 100 was ”DOWN” >400 points, while AAPL was ”UP” 0.60%. If ever there was a strength signal, this has to be it.'


