Recent Comments

  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is red - 'After finishing off $10.99 on Tuesday at $290.55, Apple’s share price is off just $0.04 at $290.51 overnight. Index futures are definitely in the red as we move toward Wednesday’s opening bell.'
  • Joseph Bland on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'grantbbunker recently supplied this link: https://9to5mac.com/2026/06/08/craig-federighi-details-apples-collaboration-with-google-for-siri-ai-in-ios-27/ Tying what Mr. Federighi says in the above link with the post above Apple statement, gives me a thought on the “deal” Apple and Alphabet cooked up. There are zero hooks inside Apple for Google. What they got is a “tenant” for their server farms and the good press that made it look like they would get more. Yes, there’s now a direct link through those strictly cordoned off Google Cloud/iCloud farms and Nvidia graphics-processing units, and also some strictly iCloud to Nvidia links, but none of Apple user’s data will pass out of Apple’s control. That, IMO, is a huge Apple accomplishment.'
  • Romeo Esparrago on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'I, too, loved HyperCard. To see me create my own (albeit primitive ugly) apps back in the day was totally fun! I used it then to create storybooks or what I would call my music videos or photo albums now using Final Cut Pro but with much more interactiveness because of its hyperlink buttons & hotspots. Sigh …'
  • Joseph Bland on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'From Barron’s today: ““We are collaborating with Google and NVIDIA to run new Apple Intelligence workloads on Google Cloud, extending our industry-leading PCC [private cloud compute] privacy commitments to third-party data centers for the first time,” Apple said in a statement on Monday.”'
  • Bart Yee on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'So how exactly has Apple’s iPhone done WITHOUT a conversant smart Siri and long delayed Apple Intelligence? Well, here’s one data point from Omdia, published May 27, 2026, emphasis and Italics mine: https://omdia.tech.informa.com/pr/2026/may/us-smartphone-market-declined-3percent-in-1q26-amid-pricing-pressure-and-carrier-subsidy-shifts Omdia: US smartphone market declined 3% in 1Q26 amid pricing pressure and carrier subsidy shifts “LONDON, May 27, 2026: The US smartphone market declined 3% year over year to 33.4 million units in 1Q26, according to Omdia’s latest research. The comparison was against an elevated 1Q25 base when vendors and carriers accelerated inventory build-up ahead of potential US tariff actions. Beyond this comparison effect, US smartphone shipments were pressured by a more restrained carrier upgrade environment, rising memory and storage costs, and delayed device launches that compressed sell-through for key premium models. However, anticipated price increases also drove channel pull-forward for some budget models ahead of 2Q26. • Apple maintained its leading position in Q1 2026 despite a 3% year YoY decline. Apple benefited from Samsung’s delayed Galaxy S26 launch, limiting direct premium Android competition. The iPhone 17 series accounted for 70% of Apple’s shipments, while aggressive iPhone 15 prepaid promotions continued supporting demand in lower price tiers. • Samsung ranked second in Q1 2026, with shipments declining 5% year over year as the delayed Galaxy S26 launch. Despite the later timing, the S26 series showed strong early traction, with pre-orders up nearly 25% versus the S25 series. Samsung relied heavily on prepaid-driven A-series demand during Q1, led by the Galaxy A17. Motorola was the only major vendor to grow in Q126, with shipments rising 18% year over year. Growth was driven primarily by the refreshed Moto G portfolio, which accounted for more than 70% of Motorola’s quarterly shipments. Carrier and prepaid channels also appeared to pull forward inventory ahead of Motorola’s April price increases. Google shipments fell 7% year over year in Q126, as the Pixel 10 series failed to replicate the momentum of the Pixel 9 lineup a year earlier. The earlier launch of the Pixel 10a helped offset some of the decline, while aggressive carrier promotions remained central to Google’s strategy to expand Pixel demand beyond its core premium user base. “The US smartphone market is becoming increasingly polarized, with premium and entry-tier devices proving far more resilient,” added Chen. “In 1Q26, the $800+ premium segment declined only 1% year over year, supported by Apple and carrier financing. The sub-$300 segment grew by 8%, helped by prepaid demand, plan-linked promotions, and channel pull-forward ahead of price increases on select value models. Meanwhile, pressure was concentrated in the middle of the market, with the $300–599 segment declining 19% and the $600–799 segment falling 6%. This suggests that rising device costs and more selective carrier subsidies put the most [SC1] pressure on Android mid-range and mid-to-high-end devices, while premium models and budget devices remained better supported by US channel structures.” My take, see shipments table at end of article: 33.4M total shipped Q1 2026 Apple 19.9M, 60% US share by vol., -3% YoY, smallest drop (Considering Americas revenue jumped 12% despite a -3% drop in iPhone sales, ASP must have increased as well as other hardware and Services revenues) Samsung 7.9M 24% share -5% YoY, 2nd smallest drop (incl small but useful amt. S26 sales, but much greater reliance on mid-low A series sales) overall -> less than half of Apple’s sales, and much lower ASP of <$350. Motorola (Lenovo) 3.6M 11% +18% YoY. An order of magnitude lower in sales from Samsung but they do have a US following Google 0.6M 3% vs 0.9M -7% YoY, a very, very distant 4th (Android & Pixel fans will say “see, we are 4th in the US!!” but w/just 600,000 sold in the quarter, that’s just 200,000/mo avg., less than Apple’s quarterly daily sales. (221K/day!). This performance supposedly in Google’s home and strongest market. TCL 0.5M 2% -17% YoY, mostly budget, prepaid models, a very small slice of the US market. Others makes up another 0.6M sales, 2% of market, down -28% YoY. Presumably, these are Chinese OEM imports like Xiaomi, OnePlus, Nothing, etc. sold on Amazon, all hit hard or became less available. Again, these iPhone sales were without the benefit of integrated working AI or Siri.'
  • Ron Fredrick on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'John Konopka said: “Btw, I love AppleScript and use it pretty much every day.” **I envy that, John. I’ve never used AppleScript but I was responsible for the Paperless Factory(based on Hypercard) at Lockheed-Martin in Sunnyvale before I retired. I loved working with Hypercard and felt I could create anything which needed to be presented on the assembly area computers that would help the assemblers, production control and engineers. The basic Paperless Factory module increased in size from 3.5K to 3.5M while I was responsible for it. 🙂'
  • Rodney Avilla on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'In the past when you’d meet someone who was a fast talker, we’d say they had a silver tongue or was a smooth talker. And when we knew they could make money from us, the red flags would go up, unless you were completely naive. While we’re listening, we’re asking ourselves what’s his angle, what’s he trying to get me to do, or better yet, how is he gonna make money off of me. And looking at Brownlee’s net worth, he’s very good at it. Looking thru wikipedia, I don’t find any credentials or training that would make his tech opinions of value; but I do find someone who communicates well. Very well. And I like it when I hear him say things I want to hear. Then I ask myself- do I want the truth, or just have my ears tickled? It is nice when both happen at the same time.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Stephen: Don’t forget Anthropic and OpenAI will soon follow with their own IPOs within a year. This is among the reasons I’m tracking several of the nation’s biggest financial firms and especially with those with exposure to the issuers.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple's WWDC26: What the analysts are saying - '“We saw: no clear signs of monetization of AI” I believe Siri AI will cause a great increase in +cloud subscriptions. As well as Apple products being ideal for accessing AI, as noted above.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Bart: I have a lot of respect for Savita Subramanian and her team at BofA. In my reading it’s a general warning for the market. I won’t ignore the team’s cautionary note but I believe there’s plenty of liquidity in the market to keep prices moving higher. Personally, I don’t chase stocks and there’s never a good time to be imprudent with one’s financial choices. I agree. “Dry powder” does provide a means to take advantage of sudden opportunities. In my view if one focuses on quality and doesn’t “change the crowd” then to work out well even if it sometimes takes time.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I wonder how many are selling shares to pool liquidity for the SpaceX IPO.'
  • Ron Fredrick on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Robert Paul Leitao said: “Ron: Congratulations on your continued success as an Apple shareholder!” **Thanks, Robert! My wife does always tell me I’m a lucky man…however, I somehow feel she’s not referring to our AAPL stock when she does so. 🙂'
  • ben luna on Apple's WWDC26: What the analysts are saying - 'I got the same impression, likely due to lack of nuance. At the same there’s a big “Redmond, start your photocopiers” vibe.'
  • ben luna on Gene Munster: 'Everything they showed at the keynote is effectively vaporware' - 'The 50% number is an underestimate in some studies. Interestingly, Robert Cringely has formed a company to address that problem with a very Apple-like approach: https://www.cringely.com/2026/06/09/two-brains/ Here is the teaser: I owe you a confession, and then I owe you a demonstration. The confession first. For weeks I’ve written about why the machines can’t tell truth from plausibility…'
  • Bart Yee on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Does that apply to AAPL specifically, or tech, or the overall market? I guess dry powder and all that time?'
  • Bart Yee on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Ron, I did the exact same thing for the exact same reasons, increased estimate taxes in 2026 due to the added 2026 expense (and RMD income harvesting) for a second but used 2023 Toyota Braun Handicapped converted Hybrid Sienna minivan and a long hospital stay at UCLA last year, both for my daughter. Considering by conventional wisdom you’re supposed to be conservatively 40:60 or 60:40 invested in retirement, I determined long ago that there is no reason to be content with just keeping up with inflation or have a certain fixed income to live off of. My retirement mantra is the same as when I invested while working, my investments are going to need to grow as much as I can get, working FOR ME in job abstentia, while satisfying my specific beliefs in the principles and actions of the companies I invest in, hence AAPL and not much in the others. While missing out on most of the Go-Go Yo-Yo AI frenzied stock action with NVDA, META, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and now ORCL, AVGO, TSMC and INTC, my primary investment in AAPL has provided plenty of income and resources to work with over the past year, even now covering those pending estimate taxes, and another recent 5 week stay in the ICU for my daughter & associated costs outside of insurance. On top of that, my 1970 914-6 is finally exiting the chassis , body and paint stage after 6 years of work and now is ready for re-assembly, so now more cubic money expenditure over the next 12-18 months. Hope my bad knees will allow me to use the damn clutch! Anyway, this AAPL dip will pass, meanwhile Apple gets some discounted shares for buybacks IF they are buying some back this month, we’ll see at earnings. I’ll post a bit of good news that will buoy the stock, or at least your convictions, despite some people’s letdown with WWDC or regular “sell the news and move on to another shiny” reaction.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is red - 'I haven’t sold any shares of Apple in years and I’m not about to start now. I very much like what was announced yesterday during the WWDC keynote address. To put things in perspective Apple last traded at $290 per share one month ago on May 8th. I’m looking for $350 – $400 per share on the near-term horizon. I think yesterday’s announcements were rock solid for Apple and a huge step forward in functionality for the company’s costumers all around the world! I’m grateful I’m many years away from forced sales of Apple (or any stock) to accommodate RMD requirements. Go Apple. Go Apple AI! I’m looking forward to making use of the major league-level enhancements to Siri that will be in our hands and within our grasp quite soon! Ron: Congratulations on your continued success as an Apple shareholder!'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is red - 'BofA’s quant team is warning investors it’s time to take profits. According to the stories, 70% of BofA’s bear market indicators are flashing red. I don’t agree with the team but it is adding pressure to prices.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'It’s the little things. Yup, there are a lot of them. Party tricks is a good description. I’m going to forget most if not all of them, unless they are automatically applied. Like I’ve said before, use of iPhone means getting a doctoral degree in iPhone Science, or chucking it altogether for a flip phone.'
  • John Konopka on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'Other AI companies are in the position of taking a shot at success. Throw everything at the wall and hope something sticks. Apple is in the position of having lots to lose if it doesn’t go right. Google et al put out cool videos of slick demos. Elsewhere you can read case studies where things go horribly wrong. The early bird gets the worm but the second mouse gets the cheese. Btw, I love AppleScript and use it pretty much every day.'
  • Greg Lippert on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'Why do you see it won’t be available in the fall? They said in the keynote the beta is coming this summer with release in the fall.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'Worthwhile way to spend about 15 minutes watching this video'
  • Joseph Bland on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - '…and I, Jeff, am thrilled that they’re taking the time to do the job right. I couldn’t give a fig when the job is done. Of course, from my vantage, Apple’s road has always been a long one. In fact, I can’t think of anyone actually traveling their road, which I expect to long outlive yours truly.'
  • Richard Gayle on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'Apple led the way with being able to easily-ish create complex scripts to auotmate tasks with Apple Script. But it was never commonly used by most people. I’ve always felt that the true power of ML on device would be to make AppleScript processes easier. Looks like Apple got us there. IN typical Apple fashion, I expect in a few years we will wonder how we ever got anything done without the new Siri and Apple Intelligence.'
  • Ron Fredrick on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Yesterday morning, my wife reminded me once again to sell AAPL stock from my IRA this week to pay our estimated taxes next Monday and, also, satisfy a large percentage of my yearly RMD requirements. AAPL was about $311/share at the time, and it was just prior to the WWDC opening at 10:00 AM PDT. Remembering that AAPL tends to fall after the WWDC opening day broadcast, I set up a limit order on Charles Schwab to sell at $315/share in case the stock rose with good news from the WWDC opening as it had in the past. But, after watching the first part of the broadcast and seeing AAPL slowly climb up pretty close to $315, I changed my limit order to $316/share…and I’m so glad I did. AAPL set a new ATH at 317.40, triggering my limit order on the way up, and then, just as with past WWDC opening days, AAPL started to drop as traders began to sell and it ended up dropping *dramatically* to close at $301.54…$14+ below where I had just sold. I was/am shocked to see this morning that AAPL was down as low as $287.78…these are not investors selling their AAPL stock because of disappointment with the WWDC broadcast, IMO. Yesterday was much different than when I usually have to sell shares of AAPL because of my yearly RMD. Normally, the day after I sell is the start of a slow climb in AAPL share price. 🙂 Looking at how AAPL is being crushed this morning, that climb may not start for a few days or weeks…but, it *will* start, IMO. Cheers to the *many* AAPL Longs on Apple 3.0!!'
  • Jeff Daniel on Marques Brownlee gives WWDC26 an intelligent once-over (video) - 'I don’t think Craig Federighi will keep AI under his control or he will be out entirely next year. The new CEO will put new people in. This new Intelligent Siri is in beta by years end so best base is a year from now. I believe Tim Cooks abrupt Retirement plans are because of lack of movement on AI. And the Beta in the Fall is for the new CEO to make sure he is comfortable with the direction. I was very disappointed that this would not be available this fall.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Premarket: Apple is red - 'The long standing tradition has been buy the rumors and sell the news, especially when the news matches the rumors as in the case of WWDC 2026. Usually the only time it is ‘buy the rumors, and buy the news’, has been when the news exceeds the rumors. However, nowadays that’s pretty much impossible with each Apple project having hundreds of potential leakers. Over time IMHO the price will go back up because, after all, the news was goood.'
  • Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Apple's WWDC26: What the analysts are saying - 'Goldman Sachs has weighed in. Buy. $380.'
  • Kemble Widmer on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Ignore the noise. Particularly when the best the naysayers can come up with are future “unknownables”. “We doubt they will find a way to monetize it in the future”. “We doubt they will actually deliver the features they just said they would”. No different than past refrains “We doubt they will maintain their margins in the future”. “We doubt they will continue to grow services at this rate”. Etc. Know who I trust more than the naysayers behind their keyboards with dubious to zero real world credentials? Apple’s collective braintrust of hundreds of the sharpest most experienced minds on the planet in the business. To think these keyboard warriors and analysts know better where Apple should zig or zag than Apple is hubris at its worst. The good news for all of us: eventually the truth will out, it just may not be exactly when we want…..'
  • Greg Lippert on Premarket: Apple is red - 'The stone is a falling. Expected a sell off but not this much. Over 25 points from yesterday’s high of 317! Yikes!'