Recent Comments

  • Gregg Thurman on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Beautifully said Bill.'
  • David Thall on Gene Munster on Apple's latest leadership changes - 'Munster is easy to agree with because he tends to restate the obvious in a very positive way. And his very long history of covering Apple closely, confirms the accuracy of his facts and helps support his conclusions. Anyone who follows him knows his prognostications are not always 100% right. But he is more right than wrong and being a perennial Apple bull, he’s still one of my favorite analysts. For me, the most salient and interesting thing he said – at least for the near-term, is that he thinks Apple’s going to out-perform the top tech stocks into the Spring. What’s not to like?'
  • Kirk DeBernardi on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Gregg T. — Ditto. Ditto. And Ditto.'
  • Kirk DeBernardi on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - '“…slow moving Apple…”??? How about SMART moving Apple?'
  • Steven Philips on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'It’ll get people through the Apple Store doors. 🙂'
  • Jim Fonda on Apple snags star attorney, gives her two big jobs - 'Newstead was at Meta for 6 1/2 years … that’s a major blot on her resume in my book. In my book, a bigger blot is her role in helping to draft the Patriot Act.'
  • Digant Jariwala on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'Solving the durability is an issue. But not durability of the hinge mechanism, because that is a solved problem (see MacBooks). It the durability of the folding screen. If Apple (and Samsung as the screen supplier, if the rumors are true) solves this, expect the foldable screens to permeate Apple’s device line up from the MacBook to iPads, and may be even the smaller sized iPhones.'
  • Brian Nakamoto on Apple AirTag helps rescue black lab swept out to sea (video) - 'Sadie needs an Apple Watch to call for help. I’d totally pay for some AirTag Ultra with GPS and cellular connectivity. P.S. Go Niners and CMC! (See Sadie’s mom’s jersey.) LA doesn’t deserve two NFL teams.'
  • David Emery on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'Well, one question is whether Apple could make a foldable that is as reliable as the iPhone. What’s the expected life for an iPhone? 6 years (2 owners) (I’m inclined to think Apple could sell more iPhone Minis than iPhone Folds…)'
  • Digant Jariwala on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'Other commenters have a US-centric view. I expect the foldable will sell very well in Asia and many EU countries. Especially in Asia, the cell phone is the primary computing device for hundreds of millions of people. Unlike here in the US with their big SUVs and one person per car, most Asian and EU countries have mass transportation and people commuting to work with free time and free hands that can be put to do personal work (whether it’s entertainment or scheduling / coordinating kids activities, shopping, whatever). Will they all jump to foldables on day one? No, the high price will keep many away. But over time, if the software interface is compelling then many will switch over, even if the are pre-owned models. Just as the shift away from ‘small’ screened smartphones to the Pro Max sized screens. I remember seeing lots of similar comments here and elsewhere dismissing the larger phones when the jumbo screens were first introduced the Pro Max models (which screens have only gotten incrementally larger with each generation). Now the Pro Max models are the biggest sellers and best margin generator in terms of hardware. This is why Apple’s simultaneous work on the new iPad OS’26 multitasking software and the iPhone Air hardware in 2025 is so important. They are laying the ground work so that the hardware and software is tested out in the wild as well as amortizing the costs of developing these new shifts in personal computing. It was Gregg here who indicated they no longer need a Mac as the latest iPad with the IPad OS 26 meets all their computing needs. I see a future ~10 years from now where many may say the same thing about the foldable iPhone replacing their iPads as well. Steve Jobs: “ PCs are like trucks, iPhones are like cars” So why not have the iPads become the trucks as well? Each leap in computing Apple chip performance brings the iPhone closer to being able to do the important personal work tasks of the average Joe. Why shouldn’t Apple try and cannibalize it’s iPad and Macs with the folding iPhone ? The iPhone is a device that is replaced more often than the other two and at the higher trims carries better margins. Not to mention there is a whole industry set up to entice consumers to upgrade their personal computing devices. Unlike the Mac and iPads where the marketing push is mainly Apple Store and unmanned kiosks at the big-box retailers. Why shouldn’t Apple at least try making a compelling foldable? They have laid the ground work, assembled all their key ingredients and done most of the hard work. Don’t see a foldable that is compelling (to you!) ? Buy the Pro Max.'
  • John Konopka on David Baraff: Dear Apple, why the hell... - 'Unlocking my Mac with Watch mostly works, but often enough it doesn’t. Sometimes it gives no reason, sometimes it says something about a weak signal even though the Watch is right next to the Mac. The upside is that this helps me remember my password as I have to use it almost every day. 😉'
  • David Emery on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - '“We call it ‘iRocket’ “'
  • Bill Donahue on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Because Sam is running out of ways on Earth to spend far, far, far more money than Open-AI will ever have.'
  • Bill Donahue on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'I love that cap-ex graph. It always amazes me how almost all the financial press, investment analysts and talking heads are so hind-looking and apparently lacking in any aptitudes for strategic thought or understanding that a business’s value – and its stock’s – is based on financial realities and growth in profit… and yet somehow expect that people should pay attention to them. At least, presumably as something other than a contrary indicator. Instead, they always seem distracted by the latest pink cloud shaped like an animal that shows up today. Even this opinion is a sort of back-handed compliment, stating that it’s Wall Street that’s decided Apple’s been on the right track all along (“But not us here at Barrons!”). Even the proposition that Apple’s “emerged from the AI doghouse” is ill-informed (“Well, Apple WAS wrong back then, but apparently now they’re right…”) – when many of us here on PED3.0 have been arguing all along that it’s all the mega-spenders that are deep in the doghouse because they’re well on the way to spending a trillion dollars on scaling in what will be a failed attempt to solve the serious problems with LLMs and chasing a computing capability that doesn’t have a business case that justifies the spend.'
  • Rodney Avilla on David Baraff: Dear Apple, why the hell... - 'I use my watch to unlock my computer at home several times a day and also my computer at work multiple times a day when I am there. I can’t remember the last time that my watch was unable to unlock my computer. I didn’t realize that it was such a complicated process. Wish there was a process to find out where the glitch is when it doesn’t work right. Everything is getting so complicated. In the old days, when my car did not run smoothly, I would check the spark (plugs, distributor, wires) and then the fuel (carburetor, filter). Nowadays, I’m afraid to raise the hood.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'I am still not counting on Apple releasing a foldable in 2026. But let’s say that they do. How many will they have to sell for the analysts/traders/investors to claim it is a hit vs mistake? And how many will Apple be able to manufacture each quarter? Given Bart’s numbers, is a million per quarter a decent number since that gets Apple to a 20% market share if they sell everything they can make? If they can make and sell 2.5 million per quarter, that would get them to a 50% market share for foldables. If Apple does release a foldable device, how many do people here think they can make/sell?'
  • David Baraff on David Baraff: Dear Apple, why the hell... - 'That’s not my words, explaining why it doesn’t work… And, no, it was working at home. Until it wasn’t.'
  • David Wilson on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - '“Make it so, Number One.”'
  • Joseph Bland on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'Yet again, David, we are in agreement. Won’t be cheap, though, so expect to hear the groans, a la Vision Pro…. Still, it shouldn’t be much more expensive than a foldable smartphone….'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Also, David, depending on the orbit, sunlight is potentially available 24 hours a day and 365 days a year. And all you are beaming back and forth is information…. Of course, sunlight needs to be converted into electricity, and the waste energy needs to be dissipated. But we know how to do that, and the efficiency of the process is amenable to technological improvement….'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'I’m guessing it’ll take Apple a total of about 15 years to cut its split-adjusted float in half, or by about 2029. I figure another 20 years to cut that float in half again, and so on, assuming buybacks continue that long. Note that Apple will never completely buy back all its shares, and that splits will ensure a plentiful supply, But for many of us, we should be in a position to hand off a respectable number of those pre-buyback shares to others when we pass on. Not a bad legacy….'
  • David Wilson on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Imagine running those *massive* data centers in space — datacenter which on Earth are encumbered by such negatives as requiring inordinate amounts of expensive power, needing huge amounts of water to cool, and dumping more heat into the already hot environment (which adds to more expenses down the line to combat its effects) — all getting every bit of their power *for free* from the sun, and dumping heat into space rather than the atmosphere. Nah. Let’s keep soiling our own bed and continue building them on the ground.'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Just to clarify the 79% figure, when 50% of the split-adjusted shares are bought back, the per-share metrics will equal 100%, and each share held since buybacks started will then own twice as much of Apple Incorporated. If 75% of Apple’s shares are eventually bought back, each of those shares will own 4X as much of a percentage of Apple. Note that, at the same time, Apple continues to grow, and shows every indication of continuing to do so for a very long time to come.'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Off topic from arstechnica,com on a subject I’ve been pushing Apple to enter for months now. Come on, PED. My turn. https://apple.news/AudUQPtOfT8KWQkaS5b825Q “Another big name flirts with the launch industry. OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman has explored putting together funds to either acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that would position him to compete with Elon Musk’s SpaceX, the Wall Street Journal reports. Altman reached out to at least one rocket maker, Stoke Space, in the summer, and the discussions picked up in the fall, according to people familiar with the talks. Among the proposals was for OpenAI to make a multibillion-dollar series of equity investments in the company and end up with a controlling stake. The talks are no longer active, people close to OpenAI told the Journal. Here’s the reason … Altman has been interested in building data centers in space for some time, the Journal reports, suggesting that the insatiable demand for computing resources to power artificial-intelligence systems eventually could require so much power that the environmental consequences would make space a better option. Orbital data centers would allow companies to harness the power of the Sun to operate them. Alphabet’s Google is pursuing a similar concept in partnership with satellite operator Planet Labs. Jeff Bezos and Musk himself have also expressed interest in the idea. Outside of SpaceX and Blue Origin, Stoke Space seems to be a natural partner for such a project because it is one of the few companies developing a fully reusable rocket.“'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Oops! Same article….'
  • Joseph Bland on Barron's: How slow-moving Apple could win the AI race - 'Roger Schutte linked to a similar positive article in an earlier thread. https://apple.news/AMZ8IqMeeSNihDULmsK2bxg As I said there: This stood out among much: “ Since 2012, the company has retired nearly half of its outstanding stock, raising per-share metrics by 79%.” Nailed it! Thanks again, Roger!'
  • Ron Fredrick on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Joseph Bland said: “Tommo should have planted his flag back on April 7th. To my knowledge he didn’t.” **Tommo…Tommo…oh, wait…he’s the one that posted on Apple 3.0: “Let’s be clear: I’ve been a long-term Apple bull. I owned 8,000 shares in 2001, posted 50,000+ intraday posts and trades for over two decades, and argued for holding when few believed.” Geez, if he just *held* those 8,000 share he had in 2001, they’d be worth over $124,000,000.00 today.'
  • David Emery on Counterpoint: With Apple's entry, 2026 will be a breakout year for foldables - 'I still think the compelling use cases for foldables apply more to iPads than iPhones. I’d definitely consider a foldable iPad Mini that basically has the form factor of a paperback book.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'And the ending money quote; “Apple has plenty of time. Its investors should hold on for the ride.” Tommo should have planted his flag back on April 7th. To my knowledge he didn’t.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is red - 'Thanks, Roger! A sane assessment at last! This stood out among much: “ Since 2012, the company has retired nearly half of its outstanding stock, raising per-share metrics by 79%.” Nailed it!'