Joseph Bland on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'Hi, Greg. The proof is in the pudding. Apple leadership went back to the drawing board,, recovering from their slip-up, and did the job right. That’s 2 years spent wisely. It was always a slippery slope, and others have slipped all the way down. Isn’t it odd that Mr. Gurman isn’t noticing that? Oh, and really good Apple pudding, by all accounts….'
on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'What wth merged memory, Apple Intelligence and on device strategies, and App Specific AI does Apple NEED as much memory as its competitors? How much can AI memory needs be shrunk before you have to add physical memory?'
on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'Once again, I’d ask PED to note in the headline any article citing Gurman, so I can avoid it'
on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'His backhanded compliment that Apple fell bassakwards into being the AI leader is BS. I believe this was Apple’s strategy all along – not spending like drunken sailors, waiting for AI to become more of a commodity, and bringing AI to on device tasks.'
on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'Here’s to the longs. The odds that anyone’s recommendation beats AAPL are pretty slim. This landed in my inbox, from Cache Exchange Fund’s newsletter touting their portfolio. “Of the nearly 30,000 stocks listed in the US markets over the last century, what percentage do you think created all the stock market wealth*? It’s just 3.7% of the stocks. The rest, combined, produced zero net wealth over a 1-month Treasury bill. In fact, just 46 companies accounted for more than 50% of all stock market wealth. That comes from Professor Hendrik Bessembinder’s study of every US common stock from 1926 to 2025.”'
on This week's Apple trading strategies (7/20-7/24/26) - 'First: Devices represent 74% of revenue, not 80%, as Gurman states. Memory is a big deal. They hyper scalars must spend $100B more on memory, which then passes to their customers like OpenAI, Anthropic and many more. The leaders are in a winner take all race, funded by VCs since customer revenue does not cover the current CapEx estimated at $600B this year and growing. Big problem: It’s not winner take all. It will be competitive, which depresses margins long term. Lousy bet for investors. Apple, by contrast easily pass the incremental memory cost to consumers at about $10 a month. With 400M devices sold annually, Apple’s desirable demographic absorb north of $40B in incremental cost for memory. Great bet for us Apple-longs.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'Phil, it’s HSBC, not USBC. Although UBS and David Vogt has a similar neutral rating with a price target of $296 since July 7.'
on Apple at $333.74: Third all-time high in as many days - '@SacJoe We struggle to see what Apple knows internally. They have a different view of the world. Those on the outside are looking for some toehold, some edge, to compete against Apple. You have to step back and look at it from a multiyear perspective to see it.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - '@Michael That’s a great story.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'Typo: my opening reference quote should be: “Raises target by $106 to $366“ … in one shot?'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - '“Raises target from $106-$366“ … in one shot? Excuse me if I’m being a little snarky, but this begs for it. Despite all the rationale that he may be giving, analyst Nicolas Cote-Colisson is raising his target for one reason and one reason only. If he doesn’t raise it, he looks like an idiot. And by raising his target by such a whopping number all at once, indicates what a truly magnificent idiot he is. I mean, this is an analyst whose judgment has been so lousy for so long, the only reason anyone’s paying attention to him is because after being a devil worshiper for years, he suddenly found Jesus? Seriously, an analyst like this one – to be generous – should seriously consider finding another line of work. Because for useful investing advice, at least regarding Apple, he is totally irrelevant to the conversation. Except maybe as an object lesson to other analysts… about what not to do. Or… let me put it this way: as one of the world’s most insightful observers of human behavior once said: “He may look like an idiot and talk like an idiot, but don’t let that fool you. He really is an idiot.” -GROUCHO MARX'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'And to that end Gregg, when the analyst all of a sudden wakes up and has a brain fart that perhaps Apple might be worth more than $260, rather then saying, “well if the stars align you could add on another, say, 30 bucks an be in the vicinity of $400”. They prognosticated a precise $31 to make their wild arse guess look a little more serious… Well if it spruiks the market… I’m all good, but at the same time I’m not fooled by the smoke and mirrors of their WAGs.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'Thanks, Michael? (he said, hesitantly…)'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'The most plausible reason for this substantial upgrade can be put into very simplistic terms. I believe that HSBC analyst Nicolas Cote-Colisson was seated at the bar last Saturday at the Pro Bono Cafe in Palo Alto. While everyone else screaming and shouting at the World Cup Match that was on the multiple television screens, there was a lone gentleman that move toward the end of the bar to be closer to where the Apple 3.0 dinner was being held in the special events room. I noticed he kept opening the door wider to hear what was being said, especially while “Jerry” was recording the informative words being spoken by “Sacto Joe” regarding the future of Apple from his perspective. Jerry wanted to play that video for his group of Apple investors when he returned home from Palo Alto. What other reasonable explanation could there be to have a sudden $106 bump up in the stock price? No doubt HSBC analyst Nicolas Cote-Colisson has been a long time lurker on PED’s Apple 3.0 platform and was a ware of this upcoming dinner.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'So, my broker asked me if I wanted to sell some covered calls. Just for S&G, I asked him what the prices were. He said $10 per share with a strike price of $350 on Jan ‘27. I said I was not interested, and also, he just told me what I knew, that the market thinks the shares are going over $360 by January. Mind you, this was BEFORE the shares climbed from $314 to $333.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'BTW, did Kit Norton somehow get a copy of Horace’s story “Why all-in and why all are in”? It would explain why the change from Hold to Buy. THAT was a serious and shocking enlightenment even for me! If there was a Pulitzer for Apple analyst, Horace would win it, hands down. Folks need to start reading him….'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'Well, I’ve been saying $350 for years now… #;^) Seriously, though; if AAPP holds its present valuation and EPS goes up 20% a year from now, then (40X$8.24X1.2=) $395.52/share….'
on Saturday Apple video: Lemmings (1985) - 'Pages, Numbers, and Keynotes. Macintosh Office Lives on! Yes, there is life after Microsoft.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'And who has the highest price target here on Ped 3.0? 😉'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - '” What is the “blue sky scenario” that raises the target to $397?” The “blue sky scenario” is the financial industry recognizing Apple’s long history of exceeding estimates. $397 looks awfully similar to Ives’ long held estimate of $400.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'From the thestreet.com article: The bank also outlined what it calls a blue-sky scenario, which adds another $31 per share beyond the base target if both the product cycle and AI execution land better than expected.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'We’ve seen this before, analysts following the market up, w.r.t. AAPL PTs. And the market follows the thought leaders here at Apple3.0.'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'What is the “blue sky scenario” that raises the target to $397? $31 add on is a very specific amount. “Blu sky” is very ambiguous. Am I missing something?'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'Anyone sitting at $260 has NOT BEEN PAYING ATTENTION. So that makes their latest number highly suspect. What’s their track record?'
on USBC upgrades Apple to Buy from Hold and raises target $106 to $366 - 'He may be slow, but “By Jove I think he’s got it!” “Blue skies! Nothing but blue skies…”. 🙂'
on Apple at $333.74: Third all-time high in as many days - 'Somehow, reading Joe’s last two paragraphs brought to mind one of my favorite Dylan songs. It ends: “ The moral of this story, the moral of this song Is simply that one should never be Where one does not belong. And if you see your neighbor carrying something Help him with his load. And don’t go expecting paradise From that home across the road.”'
on Saturday Apple video: Lemmings (1985) - 'It applies to sooo many things. The ad is a variation of “Think Different”.'
on Apple at $333.74: Third all-time high in as many days - 'Hi Bill. Yep. My favorite: “Apple preserved its shareholders’ wealth because they focused on their customers.” What Horace pointed out elsewhere in his stellar analysis is that “Free cash flow is wealth and it belongs to shareholders.” This is why I’m happy I signed up for Asymco One. What a pleasure reading Horace! And that “Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle decided to transfer their shareholders’ wealth to the shareholders of Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom and Applied Materials”. Pretty darned simple, really. And pretty darned damning.'


