Recent Comments

  • Farshad Nayeri on Apple after 50 - 'The data Horace & I analyzed the lifespan of most large companies a few years back we found they tend to that bifurcate. The average tenure on Fortune 500 list was (is?) about 15 years. That’s 20% of a human lifespan. Of course to outlast this dictum, companies who survive usually have to go through some existential transformation both internally and externally.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'F*ck renewables. We have to get over our aversion to nuclear. Nuclear can produce far more energy than any renewable alternative, and do so 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 52 weeks a year, come rain or shine, and meet clean air standards while doing so. As a side thought data centers should not be permitted without a power solution that does not burden the current grid or current consumer’s pocketbooks.'
  • Ben Gepp on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'I think it depends what you do on a larger-than-phone-screen-device as to who adopts a Neo or an iPad. I use an iPad in a very different way to a laptop or desktop. Admittedly I am still working so I use a laptop/desktop more to build something and the iPad more for consuming something. Both cross over to a degree in my case. MacOS seems more efficient for productivity and iOS seems more efficient for consumptive type activities. Personally I think the Neo will add significant market share to Apple.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'Meanwhile, THIS is the real cost of AI; Excerpt From “States are struggling to meet their clean energy goals. Data centers are to blame” The Associated Press https://apple.news/AuBL4WRkEQxSH_3OmUzgCsg This material may be protected by copyright. “LAS VEGAS (AP) — Nevada’s largest utility says it will need three times the electricity required to power Las Vegas just to handle proposed data centers — and it probably can’t do that without fossil fuels. That means the utility could miss Nevada’s clean energy targets requiring 50% renewable power by 2030. “I can’t remember a time in the history of the industry where we’ve seen as much interest in adding load, which is primarily driven by data centers,” said Shawn Elicegui, senior vice president of regulatory and resource planning for NV Energy, which provides electricity to 90% of the state.”'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'An iPad is as much a PC as any other portable. So why is market share and installed base defined as NOT including iPads? Answer: It would give Apple too much credit for having taken a huge chunk of market away from the “PC” manufacturers, that’s why. Look. Maybe the Neo will take more market share away from the so-called PC makers, or maybe it’ll cannibalize iPads, or both. And I’m pleased to see Apple get a little respect for once. Buy let’s not kid ourselves; this is not the 2nd Coming. It’s just Apple being Apple, and it shouldn’t be that big a surprise to folks here. I’m certainly glad to see Apple doing something to get itself back in the hands of the young, something they should have been about long before this. But I seriously doubt it’s going to increase by much the sum total of portables plus iPads that Apple already sells.'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple after 50 - '”i just hope they don’t forget how to keep doing this.” I believe Apple’s culture is to skate to where the puck is going to be. Owning the whole stack gives Apple the power to think further into the future than assemblers of off the shelf components can ever achieve. I’ll bet management is examining several potential products (one of which will be developed) that will be released in 10 years as we speak about it.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'SO wrong! Did this person never hear of iPads? Sheesh!'
  • Gregg Thurman on Apple after 50 - 'The times they are changing. Those that change with the times survive. Those that don’t, don’t. Think Darwin.'
  • Les Surdykowski on Apple after 50 - 'Most organizations do not fully understand the forces that gather around sustaining versus replacing. They build themselves around a winning offering, then develop a culture and customer base more interested in protecting that success than disrupting it. Over time, their best customers begin leading them away from what comes next. Apple seems to have a clearer understanding of this dynamic than most, which is why it has been willing to let the next big thing displace the last one, as the iPhone did to the iPod. I just hope they don’t forget how to keep doing this.'
  • Fred Stein on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'It’s massive and brilliant 1) The functional gap between Neo and MBA, etc. and the price gap minimizes cannibalization. 2) Each year, young iPhone users will get their first computer .They’ll start with Neo and never switch to Windows or Chrome. Its emerging markets and .edu. 3) Employees entering the work force will rebel against the PC mandate. (The exception will be stagnant top-down .coms and and .govs.) 4) The A-series can do Edge AI already. It will get much better, outpacing the competion over time.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Apple's Neo opens the door to a $32 billion market - 'I expect strong sales results in the education market and in the consumer market for buyers seeking a high-quality and lower cost entry into the world of AI-infused computing. I’m looking forward to Apple delivering very soon on its AI-related promises made two years ago at WWDC 2024. The Neo may be the right product at the right time for consumers seeking a sleek and highly portable computing solution. Yes. BofA’s price target of $320 is about 24% above today’s closing price. Delivering on AI and providing an attractive and lower-cost computing solution for consumers is likely to make the Neo a popular choice in computing for consumers the world over that have an iPhone and have yet to embrace the Mac. This combination of attractive hardware and sought after services may assist in moving Apple’s share price much closer to BofA’s target price over the next twelve months.'
  • Stephen Gordon on Apple joins Project Glasswing's bug hunt - 'Let’s see how many false flags it identifies, and how many corrective (destructive) actions it takes as a result.'
  • Steven Philips on Apple after 50 - 'Or WERE relevant but eaten by a bigger fish. And maybe still around in the bigger fish’s guts.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Premarket: Apple is green - 'No doubt there will be some who maybe did not hate us, but have grown to hate us because of our recent actions. However, the vast majority already hated us bring taught that from the youngest ages in school throughout their life. Many of them would destroy us in a heartbeat, if given the opportunity (atomic weapons). To ignore the enemies to appease the semi friends may not be the best strategy.'
  • Rodney Avilla on Apple after 50 - 'How long a company has been around, IMHO, has no bearing on whether or not they will survive. The two factors that determine survivability is being irrelevant in the present and changing to be relevant in the future. And that’s the job of Mgmt.. It doesn’t matter whether you are talking about one year or 100 years. I would venture to bet that if you go down that list of companies that all started when Apple started, you were find that each and every one of them went out of business whenever they became irrelevant in the present or unprepared for the future.'
  • David Emery on Apple after 50 - 'It was an interesting session, an hour with Gene and then another 30 minutes of other questions for Horace.'
  • Farshad Nayeri on Apple after 50 - 'Yes, recordings and transcripts will be available in a couple of days. Incidentally, we were asked to extend the discount beyond April 1, so we have, for PED subscribers via asymco.com/one/ped30 .'
  • Roger Schutte on Apple after 50 - 'Yes, a recording will be posted for Asymco One supporters.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Hi, David, Greg. Apple has been buying back cheap AAPL. That’s an investment in itself that is literally paying dividends to long term investors. The average growth in AAPL’s value over 5 years is about 15%/year or about 50% every 3 years, with lots of opportunities for Apple to buy back cheap AAPL. Yes, it’s not the stellar growth that Apple saw in the previous 5 yeas, but it is proving to be pretty darned steady. Yes, if you’d invested in Nvidia stock 10 years ago, your stock wouldn’t be up Apple’s 8.5X but NVDA’s 203X. But there’s only one NVDA, and like everything else, the value YTD has dropped, albeit only 3.73% vs AAPL’s 4.8%. OTOH, MSFT is down 19.9% and TSLA is down 20.3%. And while GOOGL is up 1.1%, that’s largely down to Alphabet’s AI partnership with Apple. Bottom line: It’s best to focus on Apple’s long term trends. And Apple longs aren’t doing at all badly when you look it things from that POV.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'With the major index all up over 2% this morning Apple is higher by $4.33 or 1.71% at $257.83. Financial stocks appear to be in recovery. Morgan Stanley is up $6.17 or 3.66% at $174.60. Goldman Sachs is higher by $33.36 or 3.86% at $897.51. Apple supplier Corning is up $10.28 at $158.80 and Home Depot is in the green $17.02 at $335.79. This is a good way to start the day!'
  • Greg Lippert on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Insiders are making a killing. Unbridled corruption.'
  • Greg Lippert on Premarket: Apple is green - 'We also united the people of Iran against us. A new generation of US haters. They will rebuild and be a continued thorn. All we did is anger the hornets.'
  • David Emery on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Actually, we accomplished a lot in Iran. Their navy (except for speedboats) is sunk. Their missile forces are down somewhere between 50%-80%. Their military industrial capacity is severely degraded, again possibly 50%-75% (although I haven’t seen a lot of analysis of that, it’s hard to do that via open-source.) Their political and particularly military leadership has been mostly eliminated, and until today the remainder are in hiding. Their domestic security apparatus has taken a lot of hits (leadership, facilities.) All these are -military accomplishments-. But the political accomplishments, the ‘war objectives’ are less clear. Iran has not been actually -blocked- from re-establishing a nuclear or long range missile program. Iran’s ability to support its proxy forces is substantially degraded (and Israel has not “declared peace” against Hezbollah), but not eliminated. And most significantly, Iran still controls the Straits of Hormuz. What happens next is, of course, not clear at all. Negotiations between US & Iran will be very difficult. China (apparently pressured Iran over the Straights) is a major player in the resulting armistice/peace. Russia benefited financially from the war’s impact on oil prices, but if those come down, Russia will have opposite goals from China. The previous NATO alliance is broken, it’s not clear what comes next. But the one thing I will predict: There’ll be a new arms race as everyone rebuilds stocks of interceptors, and develop drones & counter-drones.'
  • David Wilson on Premarket: Apple is green - 'The stock pump is in full swing, giving cronies wild advantages that the rest of us don’t have. What a sham. It’s all a massive money grab.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on Premarket: Apple is green - 'With less than 15 minutes until the opening bell Apple is trading up $5.60 at $259.10. This is $3.18 ahead of Friday’s closing price. Index futures are forecasting a very bullish open with Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 futures up 3.55%. VIX is at 20.25, down 21.47%. I’m looking forward to seeing this morning’s numbers!'
  • Greg Lippert on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Ha. Funny, not funny. But true in his deranged/dementia mind.'
  • Greg Lippert on Premarket: Apple is green - 'TACO strikes again. So what the F did we accomplish in Iran? The government is not going to change. The religious nut jobs are going to still be in control, and the brutal regime is going to continue killing their own people. Probably still working on nukes as well. Mission not accomplished. That’s a pedo hallmark. Not saying we should have bombed them to the Stone Ages (also appalling), but why did we engage at all? Now we lost American lives (with many in harm’s way), wasted billions, and enabled fuel and good prices across the board to skyrocket. Promises kept. SMH. P.S. You can bet his family and friends profited from these shenanigans.'
  • Steven Philips on Apple joins Project Glasswing's bug hunt - '@PED it may not have been a good idea, but like all things, if it was possible, someone was going to do it. I suspect “bad actors” were already using AI. So another necessary evil. AI proliferation is the new nuclear proliferation of the 1950’s. “Duck and Cover” with no place to hide.'
  • Steven Philips on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Trump didn’t chicken out, he “won”! /s/'
  • Gregg Thurman on Premarket: Apple is green - 'Something strange going on with AAPL. At 7.38 AM Eastern Nasdaq quotes for AAPL has flashed well over a dozen times in quick succession between $253.50 and $259.25. There were no intermediary trades. Just $253.50 and $259.25. Trade size while this was happening ran from ~950 shares to about 1,230 shares.'