Recent Comments

  • Richard Gayle on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'I should have added, as the others above me wrote, that in the long run, this will be good for Apple. Its stock price may drop but it still produces things of real value that people need. It will be able to use its cash to not only sustain itself but likely gain market share. It will return better than ever.'
  • Richard Gayle on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'To my mind, this laptop is a niche device, much like the Studio is, not meant for mass markets, like the iMac or mini are. It will be hugely useful for people who need a fast computer with a innovative displa. Touch is more an afterthought. Thus why it is not replacing any Macbook but is in addition.'
  • Kirk DeBernardi on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - '“The company should be working fast toward what could succeed today’s Mac and iPad designs, even if that means bringing them together.” Oh Apple…please bestow upon us the next Jesus-device! Doncha jus’ love those pundits who postulate what Apple SHOULD do? Gurman often leads the pack. Nilay Patel from ‘The Verge’ is a close second. One can only wonder what collective mess of a product they would come up with on their own.'
  • Ron Fredrick on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'Richard Gayle said: “I’m pretty pessimistic about the skittishness of the overall market at the moment.” **Upvoted your comment, Richard. And let me say, I’m *always* pessimistic about the skittishness of the overall market. 🙂 That’s partly the reason why my wife and I have stayed 100% invested in AAPL over the last 26 years. Thanks to 3 AAPL splits and AAPL’s remarkable performance over those years, our portfolio is worth 56.2 times its worth when I retired 18 years ago, in 2008. If the market reacts negatively to Apple’s earnings on Monday, and the AAPL stock price eventually reduces the value of our AAPL portfolio by half, we’ll still be doing much better financially than we ever expected to do thanks to AAPL/Apple! Many cheers to the AAPL Longs!'
  • Daniel Albaugh on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'I don’t know, but I fail to see what is so advantageous about a touch screen on a laptop. Having to take your hands off the keyboard or trackpad to move or rotate something on screen seems so anti-productive. At this point, everything you would do with your fingers by pressing and moving around on the screen have been so much more efficiently implemented using a mouse or trackpad. Zooming, rotating, it seems much more efficient using the trackpad and/or mouse. But, what do I know. I just use my laptop and desktop machines to surf the web, spreadsheet, read articles on the News app, send emails, use thinkorswim, things like that. I don’t do graphics work or things that require much pinching and zooming. I remember back when touch screens first came out on Windows machines, I escorted a 3rd party vendor into our data center so he could make some changes to one of their pieces of equipment. He proudly showed me him moving around the terminal window with his finger. Didn’t see it then, don’t see it now.'
  • Joseph Bland on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'I hope you are right, Richard! The Good Ship Apple will transform into Bathyscaph Apple, and sock away even more undervalued AAPL. Meantime, Apple’s net cash flow torrent will get even larger, fully funding the process that’s been going on for 13 years in a row now…. But that’s Donna and myself, 100% invested in AAPL, and with a decent cash stash for insurance. For so many others, it’s going to be an unmitigated disaster. And there’s not the slightest doubt about who’s to blame….'
  • Joseph Bland on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'Thumbs up, Michael!'
  • Richard Gayle on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'I’m pretty pessimistic about the skittishness of the overall market at the moment. Lots of lights starting to flash red, IMHO. I think it is likely that there will be one thing in an otherwise stellar report that Wall Street will grab and scream “the sky is falling.” Heck, it may say that Apple is doing too well and it can;t be sustained, “Sell!”. I think the next few weeks are going to be hectic. Hope I am wrong.'
  • Greg Lippert on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'Those who cannot do criticize. He’s excellent at critique. Has he never studied Apple? Apple relentlessly iterates and improves and takes feedback from customers.'
  • Joseph Bland on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - '“…I am not sure they support the present valuation.” Apple has now repeatedly returned to this valuation. As I just said in another Apple 3.0 thread, I am not convinced that this move is a “flight to safety”, since that move to a higher valuation started before the present move away from LLM AI valuations, before Apple Intelligence was revealed, and before so much other “good press” was generated by new Apple product introductions. Note that this high valuation will automatically be adjusted downwards the day after earnings are announced, simply because Tuesday’s EPS will spike as last quarter’s results are announced. I have spoken voluminously over the years of this natural phenomenon, but more and more traders and investors have finally begun twigging to it. I think of it as creating room for yet another ascendancy to the present valuation, and if things continue moving in this direction, it will continue moving the valuation goalposts farther out quarter after quarter just as long as that EPS metric keeps leading the way. Bottom line: Apple buybacks are NOT a gimmick!'
  • Joseph Bland on This week's Apple trading strategies (11/2-11/6/26) - 'IMO, Apple is not climbing in value because it’s a safe haven, but because it is worth every bit of its present value, and then some! But this damning with faint praise is typical, and other than being incredibly tiresome is actually just serving to allow folks to continue buying into a massively prosperous stock at a low price. And whether you’re playing the short run or the long run, that’s becoming increasingly obvious to even the dullest knife in the drawer. Well, maybe it’s because, like this character, they’re spoons, not knives….'
  • Joseph Bland on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'Regarding Apple Intelligence and the touch screen: So I have big hands and bigger thumbs, and my left thumb is abnormally short, since half of the first bone was cut off in an industrial accident years ago. My sight is also going, and so on. And I usually type these responses into my 18 Pro Max (since I carry it with me everywhere) in portrait on the tiny keyboard because I have shoulder issues and it’s too hard to hold a phone in landscape and type, which means I type one-thumbed. Hence the reason so much of my typing is error-prone. But lately I have found that Apple’s Intelligence has grown so good that it error-corrects without my constantly being very careful to error-check my scribblings. How freeing! I imagine many folks who are one-thumbers like myself (btw, the term “one-thumber appears to be a new term, since it is not being seen by Apple Intelligence as being a proper spelling, requiring me to break my flow – interesting!), and will probably have tumbled to this much, much sooner than I have. Anyway, it does take some getting used to (Apple also automatically capitalized the first letter of a sentence, which also takes getting used to, btw), but I have to say that it’s these kinds of subtle improvements that are nearly invisible (but highly impactful for folks who stand to benefit from them) that put Apple so very far ahead of the pack! PS – Screw Gurman!'
  • Gregg Thurman on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - '”But touch controls do have to be big enough to be easily tapped.” Touch can occur anywhere on the screen. The size of the Touch button is determined by the developer.'
  • Jonathan Rotenberg on Apple's John Ternus: The Wired interview - 'There is something I find unsettling about this. Steve & Tim really came from the intersection of technology & liberal arts. Steve drew heavily (and deeply) on historical analogies (like fractional horsepower motors, telegraphs). Tim talked about how MLK and RFK inspired him. John sounds like a bit of a robotic, one-dimensional engineer to me. (And I’m sure a phenomenally brilliant one.) I get how he could repeat Apple’s past effectively. But when he needs to reimagine things—or think in whole different ways—can he do it? I don’t discern a lot of character. Maybe he’s just coached to play it super-safe at this point. I hope he start to show himself as more than just an engineer.'
  • Miguel Ancira on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'I hope he sold all of his stock, then.'
  • Dan Scropos on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - '$2.10-ish on about $113.5B in revenue.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'Throughout the time period that I have been following what Eddie has been saying about Apple and its products, the stock has continued to rise. Devices are being sold. Services keep churning along. Another talking head who has also trailed off into the rearview mirror is the “Chartist” Carter Worth (Less). It appears that Eddie is headed down that very same path of irrelevance.'
  • Michael Goldfeder on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'I’m thinking these numbers will be quite positive as Tim Cook wanted to pass along the baton at the right time. If they were going to be subpar, I believe Tim would have ridden out his CEO tenure by retiring at the end of the calendar year. Either way, the market has finally faced the reckoning that all of this Capex money being spent by everyone else on AI while Apple charted their own course, has now worked out extremely well for Apple as they’re the only company who went a different direction and continued to invest in themselves through buybacks as opposed to spending wildly and lavishly on a concept they can easily rent from everyone else. Or let the consumer decide as to which AI product they want to use for themselves on their devices. While everyone on Apple 3.0 understood that the rest of the consumer world would be using AI on their handheld smartphone and other devices, all of these talking heads analysts kept falsely claiming that Apple is so far behind that they will never catch up. Now that narrative has finally shifted to: “When will these companies begin to monetize this Capex and start showing revenues, FCF, and a profit from all of this AI spending?” Once again, Apple the Tortoise is the winner in this AI race. As well as the foldable phone market too. Looking forward to the 1:30 PDT earnings announcement on Monday. The call will provide conservative color at best with the emphasis being the Duo is more demand constrained than supply constrained. Also, has the Neo finally caught up to its extraordinary demand as well? Stay tuned.'
  • Greg Lippert on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'I saw that buttons enlarge on touch. What a jackoff.'
  • Brian M MacManus on Apple secretly buys an agent - 'David is right… However, there’s an interesting insight that Apple gets hundreds of millions of dollars of free advertising simply by sending an invite to the press. When the September announcement is gonna be for the new iPhones every year and they don’t spend a dime they get $100 million just from that event alone in free advertising. I don’t know of any other company that gets as much free advertising as AAPL . Marketing genius at it’s finest! Brian M'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Handicapping Apple's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings - 'The numbers are nice but I am not sure they support the present valuation. A lot will depend on guidance. I think the market will be cautious and no matter what Apple reports, it will be down. Hopefully it will be more of a ripple and not a tsunami.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Mark Gurman's been waiting years for a touchscreen Mac, but... - 'I am so glad that Gurman is around. Where would Apple get ideas for future products from if he wasn’t posting all his drivel. We need a new title for Gurman. SATTG-special advisor to Ternus Gurman.'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple secretly buys an agent - 'Trade secrecy is a real thing, and if any of you recall, at some time in the past (I’d have the research the exact date), Tim Cook said “we are going to double down on secrecy”. If it took four months for this to be publicly noticed, that means that the strategy worked! “Don’t bet against us.”'
  • David Drinkwater on Evercore expects Apple to beat its conservative guidance - 'Isn’t it just the big hands, Joe?'
  • Gregg Thurman on This week's Apple trading strategies (11/2-11/6/26) - 'Craig needs a seeing eye dog. For sure he can’t read a chart. The only day last week AAPL traded above the S&P 500 was Friday, the day the AI stocks performed a collective meltdown, and even then it was a brief sojourn.'
  • Charles A. on In defense of the Apple iPhone Duo - 'Steven, this is the 3rd paragraph in the MR article. It only has one sentence: “Apple’s memo said the issue affects a small number of iPhone Duo units, which is consistent with what it said in a public statement on Monday.“'
  • Kirk DeBernardi on In defense of the Apple iPhone Duo - 'Common sense. What a true breath of fresh air in today’s world. Let the damn thing be born. Iterated refinement later.'
  • Robert Paul Leitao on BofA: Record (and lenient) carrier trade-ins are a tailwind for Apple - 'The major cellular carriers want post-paid subscribers and subscribers purchasing their highest-priced service tiers. Like so many other enterprises, they also want Apple customers and Apple customers on longer-term contracts. The major cellular service providers are in a narrow moat business with few barriers for a customer to move through to change providers. Financing a new iPhone through a carrier contract is one of the few barriers for providers to lock-in a customer. Because payments are made monthly the total cost of the iPhone is less of an issue than if one was paying full cost upfront. This certainly works for the carrier and it works for Apple. It provides a mean for a customer to pay for a new iPhone over time through a promotional offer. It also works for me as an Apple investor. In my view, there’s too much talk about how much a new iPhone “costs” and far less mention how worthwhile a customer views their new iPhone purchase no matter how they chose to finance the purchase of it.'
  • Steven Philips on In defense of the Apple iPhone Duo - 'Four lines down in the third paragraph.'
  • Steven Philips on Saturday Apple audio: Steve Jobs wows the 1983 Aspen design conference - 'All of the above! 🙂 BUT…. the Only miss I see is on the question about privacy (of all things!). He de-prioritizes the concerns about big data gathering and didn’t quite see how it would turn out to be one of our biggest problems. NO one really did except in very general terms. His brilliance was in “enhanced” common sense and his ability to ignore hype and distraction and “follow the puck”!'