Recent Comments

  • Fred Stein on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - 'From the Zombies, ‘Time of the season’ lyrics Who’s your daddy? (Who’s your daddy?) (He rich?) Is he rich like me? Has he taken (has he taken) Any time (any time) (To show) To show you what you need to live?'
  • Bill Donahue on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - 'It’s pretty amazing how basically Apple’s demand and promise to purchase output has initiated what will probably become among the most important global centres of excellence for the research and production of chips and associated technologies, in Sherman, Texas, and Phoenix, Arizona. Fast-forward a couple of decades, and the scientific, technological, financial and economic spin-offs will probably be mind-boggling.'
  • David Emery on Counterpoint: Apple's iPhone had a bang-up quarter - '“proprietary internal numbers” – obtained via rectal sampling, no doubt!'
  • Bill Donahue on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - '“Who’s the most demanding customer that you have?” “Apple.” Music to my ears!'
  • Bill Donahue on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - 'Are they really bringing chip manufacturing “back” to the USA, or is this just the latest expansion of production and supply capacity that’s always been part of Tim Cook’s forward-looking dance around global supply-chain pinch-points caused by things like domestic and international politics and “disagreements”? Especially given prior statements by TSMC’s CEO that they don’t upgrade existing lines to shift to new products, but rather just build new lines so that they can continue to satisfy the demand for the products they’re already pumping out.'
  • Richard Gayle on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - 'It looks like Houston may be the nexus for a lot of US assembly. It has a dedicated bare silicon wafer supplier in Texas. It is having chips made at 22 different US faciities. Its server assembly in Houston is ahead of schedule and will be assembling Mac minis soon. https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/02/apple-accelerates-us-manufacturing-with-mac-mini-production/'
  • Fred Stein on Apple silicon is actually getting made in the US. Watch! - 'Wanna bet we’ll hear about this tonite? And friendly reminder, the prior administration started the drive to move chip making to the US.'
  • Joseph Bland on Premarket: Apple is green - 'The 5 year worm appears to finally be turning for Apple’s valuation. Only the 3 month chart is still in the red (-1.74%). Folks that “locked in” profit are now buying back in, while the braver souls who never sold are taking a victory lap.'
  • Bart Yee on Counterpoint: Apple's iPhone had a bang-up quarter - 'Hi Bill, Counterpoint like many other research companies, doesn’t always publish their proprietary internal numbers, only low precision percentages. The 14% could represent 13.5 to 14.4% and still be correctly rounded. Same for the growth reported. If the 4% growth YoY for the overall market is between 3.5 to 4.4%, same with Apple’s market share numbers. The calculation could easily be: .251 / .230 =1.091 x 1.042 = 1.137 or rounded up to 14% growth.'
  • Joseph Bland on Apple Mac minis in Texas - 'Hi, David. Apple and China have both gained by partnering, but that’s true for anyone who partners with Apple. Including long-term Apple investors…. Here’s hoping Apple’s intrinsic high morals rub off on all its partners.'
  • David Emery on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Maybe the circular funding in AI will just short-circuit the whole thing Until it pops the market circuit breaker….'
  • David Drinkwater on Apple Mac minis in Texas - 'I saw a Reuters report that “Apple shareholders reject shareholder proposal asking for report on China entanglements”. I don’t know if that is playing into today’s bump. It certainly would save Apple from “a lot of ‘splainin’ to do”.'
  • Bill Donahue on Counterpoint: Apple's iPhone had a bang-up quarter - 'I’m not sure those numbers are correct. I get 17% YOY growth for Suamsung’s Q42025, based on 4% market growth and an increase from 16% Q42024 market share to 18% Q42025 market share (1.04 x 0.18/0.16 =1.17). But for Apple I get 13% YOY growth using their market share and YOY growth numbers (1.04 x 0.25/0.23 =1.13).'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Counterpoint: Apple's iPhone had a bang-up quarter - 'A couple of thoughts here. The first thing that hit me is that we will probably get a story from Gurman that is negative about Apple to try to bring it down so he can brag about how he moves markets again. The second thing I thought of was that we are probably seeing the benefits of the larger installed base despite the lengthening replacement cycles of the past few years. And with many people buying into the Apple ecosystem with used phones, maybe when they upgrade they upgrade to a new premium phone. This whole phenomenon may be something that can last a couple of years. I think this is also, at least somewhat, related to Apple holding the line on pricing. In this time of rising prices everywhere else, Apple being able to hold the line on prices, I think, has helped it. This is all without the benefit of a foldable phone. I still have my doubts(and I am probably wrong) but it may be very helpful for revenues if Apple does eventually release a foldable phone. If the AVP and associated services can take off in the next year, it will bring a new avenue of growth to Apple and bring another enticement to join the Apple ecosystem. If this does take off for Apple, I think we will see another revision upward of the yearly price targets.'
  • Les Surdykowski on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Maybe the circular funding in AI will just short-circuit the whole thing 😉'
  • Fred Stein on Counterpoint: Apple's iPhone had a bang-up quarter - 'Notes: Apple’s 14% growth accounts for most of the overall market’s 4% growth. Used iPhones surely impact (steal share) from low to mid tier Androids. Foldables don’t seem to help Android gain share vs. iOS.'
  • Greg Lippert on Apple Mac minis in Texas - 'Allegedly is doing a lot of heavy lifting 😉'
  • Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Apple Mac minis in Texas - '“Like a teenage girl at one of his beauty pageants.” Allegedly.'
  • Bill Donahue on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'I assumed AI stocks dropped yesterday because of the report in the Washington Post about Morgan Stanley’s and Goldman Sach’s new economic analysis that led to their conclusion that AI contributed nothing to economic growth in 2025, contrary to prior preliminary assessments/predictions that it was resulting in a significant portion if not most of the annual economic growth in the USA.'
  • Greg Lippert on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Yes there will be people who need to cook, pack, etc but the tentpole of the essay is the displaced people will be white collar workers making good income that drive the economy (spend $$$). That starts a spiral as those jobs are gone and they flood lower paying jobs increasing supply and lowering wages. A race to the bottom.'
  • Greg Lippert on Apple Mac minis in Texas - 'Like a teenage girl at one of his beauty pageants.'
  • Bill Donahue on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - '“OpenAI generated $13.1 billion in revenue in 2025, the sources said, up from its $10 billion target. The company burned through $8 billion, lower than its $9 billion target, they said.” This also isn’t a complete picture of their finances, given that in the most recent financial reports Microsoft reported that their portion of losses associated with their ~25% “investment” in OpenAI were a shade under $10 billion for the most recent *quarter*.'
  • Anice Hassim on Apple Mac minis in Texas - 'Apple popping against the tide a bit as well again today… This is a big deal since it is both an Apple priority and an American priority. I would expect Trump to milk it tonight.'
  • David Emery on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Could they both be correct? The current approach to AI, huge investments by a small number of powerful tech companies with limited government oversight, has a lot of potential to “go bad.” But AI and general, and even “Big AI” can produce substantial value, once the investments and capabilities reach equilibrium. Digant is right about the negatives of services like DoorDash (which I’ve never used, I’m far enough away from downtown Dover that I’m not sure how well a delivery service would work, even if I was interested in paying for it.) But there is one significant aspect of DoorDash, for now there still has to be -people- to cook, pack up, and deliver the food. Mebbe AI eventually replaces cooks and drivers.'
  • Greg Lippert on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'I’m sure it won’t end up like the article predicts the future is never cleanly predicted. It could be a nothing burger, or given our pedo-in-chief, it could be worse! While he’s in the WH do you expect rational responses? Could be a chance for a power grab.'
  • Neal Guttenberg on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'This scenario has been out there for at least the last decade. I am not sure what dam broke that this piece had a part of. I think there have been more and more doomsday type of scenarios out there that have garnered more and more attention and caused investors/traders to look more closely at the potential risks in their portfolios.'
  • Bill Donahue on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Interesting, but not at all surprising. That said, the announced $1.4 trillion in spending commitments were up to 2033, not 2030, so presumably their non-stated total for spending until 2033 is still much higher than $600 billion. Meanwhile, they’re “targeting” more than a 21-fold increase in revenue, which I’m chalking up to Altman’s continued reality hyperscaling. While no doubt very challenging, I think he may now have surpassed even Elon’s level of extraordinary detachment from reality with his predictions of growth.'
  • Digant Jariwala on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'Poor choice on using DoorDash as an example there, Ben. DoorDash exists by, on one side exploiting poor workers and not paying them a living wage, and on the other side exploiting restaurants who have to pay for leases, waiters and front end fixtures and locations that remain empty. IMO, the likes of DoorDash and other similar services create negative value and are not a long term viable business model. Just like the hypothetical thought exercise in AI that Ben chose to criticize – at least not without the countervailing forces that Les highlighted above.'
  • James Hillhouse on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'To me, the good news is that social media, like say Facebook or Threads or that cesspool X are equally at risk of being disrupted as is SaaS.. No wonder Zuck is worried. Karma is tough. But, yeah, this could easily go the other way.'
  • Les Surdykowski on Here's the essay that crashed AI stocks Monday - 'And I’d say the price action for Apple on Monday was very much a safe haven play in response to this article. Apple plays in identity, payments, health, privacy, device integration. Potential safe harbor in this context.'