Analyst Timothy Arcuri estimates the terms of Tuesday’s settlement.
From a note to clients that landed in my desktop Wednesday:
While very limited terms were disclosed, QCOM’s indication of ~$2/share in incremental EPS… suggests to us that AAPL settled for something in the range of $8-$9/phone royalty rate—a solid outcome for QCOM and certainly better than the ~$5 assumption we had been making.
This additionally does not include what seems to be a likely resumption of full royalty payments from Huawei as well as bullet payments from both AAPL (~$5-$6B) and Huawei (~$1.5B) for royalties in arrears.
Cue the spreadsheets:
Click to enlarge.
My take: Apple caved.