The subject at hand is Apple Inc., and from now on your moderator will crack down hard on deviations.
My mistake. I steered the boat in the wrong direction. It won't happen again.
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on Stone Fox Capital: Sell Apple immediately, wait for a spring thaw 'Off Topic, but here’s a story that’s actually worth reading: vice.com “Apple’s End-to-End iCloud Could Be a Security Game Changer”'
on Stone Fox Capital: Sell Apple immediately, wait for a spring thaw 'If we follow his Apple hating advice which is based on nonsense, will he reimburse us if he turns out…'
on Chinese Apple resellers knock $125 off iPhone 14 'I read this, especially in light of several other comments/data points, as Apple putting the screws to the competition.'
on Chinese Apple resellers knock $125 off iPhone 14 'A few hours before this story came out a report about Foxconn’s January sales was published. This is from Reuter’s…'
on Stone Fox Capital: Sell Apple immediately, wait for a spring thaw '“Stoned Fox Das Kapital” has been writing nothing but negative stories about Apple each and every quarter. As do most…'
on Chinese Apple resellers knock $125 off iPhone 14 'The 128g Pro is &US999 in the US. That’s 6,787 yuan at todays exchange rate. Daigou could be buying US…' on Stone Fox Capital: Sell Apple immediately, wait for a spring thaw 'It’s called Apple-hater click-bait. There are hordes of unreasoning Apple-haters out there, so writing anything negative is an easy way…' on Steve Jobs' revenge '@ Fred: “No one can compete. Despite Apple’s lower market share, their overall chip economics out-scales everyone.” Is Apple being…'
on Chinese Apple resellers knock $125 off iPhone 14 'Would the change in exchange rate in part justify an Apple price drop in China?'
I value all posters – you’re a talented bunch – and don’t want to see anyone holding back or leaving. (Yes, I appreciate the data rich comments from Greg T, and the back ‘n forth with all others that have better understanding of AAPL than I do!)
It takes guts to admit you made a mistake. Well done, PED!
My response was absolutely yes, as there isn’t a smarter group of AAPL investors (that I’m aware of) on the ‘net.
I apologize for the abruptness of my leaving. I wasn’t upset with any one investor “here”. I was afraid Apple 3.0 discussions were headed theway that the outside world’s discussions were going. I should be more tolerant, but with politics and religion (2 taboos) I’m not.
The OCT 26 $230/$235 Call Spreads I had purchased we’re Closed a couple weeks ago for a $25K loss. That purchase was made before I noted that the Historic Trend was 3 days out of sync with AAPLs prints.
After making a 3 day adjustment AAPL was tracking the Trend almost perfectly, albeit with a much larger Standard Deviation than last quarter.
With renewed confidence in AAPLs Trend I purchased 245 OCT 5 $220/$222.50 Call Spreads. I made enough profit on those to more than offset my losses from the 2 prior trades.
The Trend is indicating that AAPL will continue its current slide to about $217, ending next Monday. I must say I almost pulled the trigger this morning when AAPL bottomed at $220, but my overall success for the past 20 months has been derived from following the trend. So right or wrong that is what I’m going to do now.
It’s nice to be back.
Ps., I’m still looking for a way that I can post my charts here. Ideas anyone?
One poblem is, when I post a link here, it almost always goes into the “awaiting moderation” limbo. Then I have to contact PED and ask him to approve the post.
But if it’s important or useful, it’s worth it, until PED gets tired of the hassle.
I also think that what we all want is a sensible discussion of the merits of Apple and AAPL.
Let’s keep it positive and civil.
(I’ll admit to sometimes not confronting what I believe to be overly Pollyannaish views.)